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Duck Hunting in Winnipeg

February 2, 2019, 3:23 PM ET [64 Comments]
Peter Tessier
Winnipeg Jets Blogger •Winnipeg Jets Writer • RSSArchiveCONTACT
The Winnipeg Jets are hosting the Anaheim Ducks tonight, a team that has historically given them trouble and some fits over the years. It's not that the Jets can't beat the Ducks, they have but it's that currently the fear is the Jets will play down to the Ducks level, a team that is inferior.

With Anaheim being 2-6-2 in their last 10 and the Jets being 7-3 with wins over Columbus, Boston, Nashville, Vegas and Colorado and even the Ducks in that span, the Jets have an edge.

Here's how they compare with some underlying numbers. This one should be concerning for Jets fans because it's the one area that needs to be righted and tout suite.



The Rolling Corsi Differential almost mimics the above at current level and perhaps the effects of missing Ehlers and Buff, two play drivers is finally catching up with them.



If you want to look at the shots rates for the rolling average, it points to the Jets getting a recent uptick for Winnipeg.



Now shot rates against are concerning too and Jets have been all over the map as the season has moved on.



The PDO over time is interesting too as as the season has gone on the Jets have really not had a true PDO run and are probably above average now because of goaltending.



Without diving deep into the game there is likely some obvious hope for Jets fans in that the Jets had a strong game against Columbus even if they did not own the possession battle. They had a huge advantage in HDCF- 72% vs 28% and that continued in SCF 60% vs 40%. When it came to expected goals in the Columbus game the Jets were ahead almost all game.

Now if this is something the Jets can build on and some good news with Buff and Ehlers coming back soon then this could be the run many have waited to see from this team- a period of dominance in play not just by the results. Anaheim would be a good team to keep building momentum with, if they can.
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