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Forums :: Blog World :: Mike Augello: Bozak At The "Center" Of A Dilemma
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systemtool
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Real men always have to poo, ON
Joined: 09.12.2007

Apr 10 @ 8:51 AM ET
Its listed at the top of the page.

Fantasy News

- faceto27


Their mistake.

Fantasy sports is about pools, doing your own thing with your friends etc. In other words, living out the fantasy of being an Owner, GM etc.

I dont see how this relates.
burn
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Tavares is sledge hockey level - Islesrbettr, ON
Joined: 08.02.2006

Apr 10 @ 8:52 AM ET
If you REALLY want to get into it...Heres what Cullen had to say about it -

So, now that each player has a rating based on his statistical production, the next step is to generate team rankings and I do that by weighting each player's contribution based on their role on the team. Thus, first line forwards count much more significantly than fourth-line forwards and top-pair defencemen are more impactful than third-pair defencemen and so on.

What this methodology allows is for players to be moved in and out of the lineup based on injuries, suspensions, trades -- whatever transaction will affect the lineup, so that a value can be established for the current team. I readily acknowledge that it is an estimated value for any team, but I readily acknowledge it because there is not a flawless, guaranteed accurate measure that exists, and I've found this model to be representative, even if the results aren't always popular.

Additionally, by using statistics alone to generate the rankings, there should be no illusions of bias or favouritism affecting the rankings.

That means the team that is going on the ice that night, not the one that was playing weeks or months ago or will be playing when an injured star returns because, when the injured star returns to action, that will also be reflected in the rankings.

Consider the rankings to be a snapshot (think photography, not Ovechkin coming down the wing) of a team's value at a given time. For the purposes of TSN.ca, that will most often be on Mondays, when the rankings are updated each week. That means the rankings are always subject to change based on any number of factors, whether it's injuries, trades or simply improved results.

While the end result of the weighted individual grades provides an approximate value for each team, over the years I've incorporated small weightings for factors like divisional strength, power play and penalty killing results to help smooth statistics that are compiled against different levels of competition. These aren't huge factors in the overall rating but certainly if teams are of similar value otherwise, the team in the stronger division will most often prevail in the rankings.

The premise, then, of my NHL Power Rankings is to determine the team that would be favoured to win a seven-game series on neutral ice. The theoretical premise is based on neutral ice because home-ice advantage is a circumstance of play, not a measure of a team's actual quality.

Given that any team could beat any other in a single game, the likelihood swings towards a more statistically-relevant result when it comes to a seven-game series.

A couple observations that I've found over the years:

There is not a uniform difference from one spot to the next, so don't automatically assume that a team that moved up three spots in the rankings necessarily improved by more than a team that moved up by one spot in the rankings. The movement between places has as much to do with the performance of other teams in a similar place in the rankings.

The key injuries that are listed for each team are for top six forwards, top four defencemen and starting goaltenders. We have a page on the site that lists all injuries, but I'm including the most impactful ones in the rankings simply for a quick reference.

The rankings will tend to favour teams with strong goaltending. I have no problem with this since, at the very least, solid goaltending seems to be needed to win a series of any significance.

Teams that win by a larger margin of victory are rewarded. Again, I fully support this result, since it's preposterous to me to reward a 2-1 win the same as a 10-1 win. The standings, which give two points for every victory, make this kind of evaluation and it's why I am just as concerned, in the big picture, with goal differential as I am with points in the standings.

- Colin Dambrauskas


All the more perplexing.
systemtool
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Real men always have to poo, ON
Joined: 09.12.2007

Apr 10 @ 8:53 AM ET
All the more perplexing.
- burn


I read that too.

Too much bullpoop and too many points that conflict and contradict with one another.

faceto27
Location: Burke: Best part of today is I
Joined: 01.21.2010

Apr 10 @ 8:54 AM ET


10
burn
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Tavares is sledge hockey level - Islesrbettr, ON
Joined: 08.02.2006

Apr 10 @ 8:54 AM ET
No poop.

The Rangers are barely 8th in the East, yet they have them ranked as 6th in the power rankings overall.

- systemtool



They aren't playing poorly, they are strategically positioning themselves for the playoffs.
burn
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Tavares is sledge hockey level - Islesrbettr, ON
Joined: 08.02.2006

Apr 10 @ 8:55 AM ET
I read that too.

Too much bullpoop and too many points that conflict and contradict with one another.

- systemtool




Agreed.
lumlums
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: ON
Joined: 06.25.2011

Apr 10 @ 8:55 AM ET
They aren't playing poorly, they are strategically positioning themselves for the playoffs.
- burn


Making sure that they line up against an injury riddled Pens team? Smart bastards
burn
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Tavares is sledge hockey level - Islesrbettr, ON
Joined: 08.02.2006

Apr 10 @ 8:59 AM ET
Making sure that they line up against an injury riddled Pens team? Smart bastards
- lumlums




The power rankings say they are better.
systemtool
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Real men always have to poo, ON
Joined: 09.12.2007

Apr 10 @ 8:59 AM ET
Making sure that they line up against an injury riddled Pens team? Smart bastards
- lumlums


I think the smart teams are avoiding the powerhouse Sens and hoping to play the Pens.

Just like Im hoping the Leafs avoid the mighty Habs and play the humble and meek Bruins.
Colin Dambrauskas
Location: Office Chair - @ColinDJD
Joined: 08.04.2010

Apr 10 @ 8:59 AM ET
I read that too.

Too much bullpoop and too many points that conflict and contradict with one another.

- systemtool


Yeah I do have to say, having read it twice it seems as though he was trying a little hard to make it - legit - if you will.
Colin Dambrauskas
Location: Office Chair - @ColinDJD
Joined: 08.04.2010

Apr 10 @ 9:00 AM ET
10
- faceto27


Dix?
systemtool
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Real men always have to poo, ON
Joined: 09.12.2007

Apr 10 @ 9:02 AM ET
Yeah I do have to say, having read it twice it seems as though he was trying a little hard to make it - legit - if you will.
- Colin Dambrauskas


Its morning and im cranky. Im happy the Leafs are 7th, but some of that joy is taken away when I see the Rangers and Sens ahead of us and the Ducks and Pens behind us.
Dozzer
Referee
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Somewhere over the rainbow since I’m way up high
Joined: 09.15.2010

Apr 10 @ 9:04 AM ET
I think the smart teams are avoiding the powerhouse Sens and hoping to play the Pens.

Just like Im hoping the Leafs avoid the mighty Habs and play the humble and meek Bruins.

- systemtool


yes.. the bruins would be awesome

seriously tho about the pens.. for all the fire power they have they still have a big weak spot in MAF
Colin Dambrauskas
Location: Office Chair - @ColinDJD
Joined: 08.04.2010

Apr 10 @ 9:05 AM ET
Its morning and im cranky. Im happy the Leafs are 7th, but some of that joy is taken away when I see the Rangers and Sens ahead of us and the Ducks and Pens behind us.
- systemtool


Fair enough. I decided to put some work aside and chat, like good ol times before I took on more work for the same pay...
Colin Dambrauskas
Location: Office Chair - @ColinDJD
Joined: 08.04.2010

Apr 10 @ 9:06 AM ET
yes.. the bruins would be awesome

seriously tho about the pens.. for all the fire power they have they still have a big weak spot in MAF

- Dozzer


Ive got to say....Lovin' the new pic Bruce!
Dozzer
Referee
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Somewhere over the rainbow since I’m way up high
Joined: 09.15.2010

Apr 10 @ 9:06 AM ET
Its morning and im cranky. Im happy the Leafs are 7th, but some of that joy is taken away when I see the Rangers and Sens ahead of us and the Ducks and Pens behind us.
- systemtool


wha?
TheMike12
Ottawa Senators
Location: Ottawa, ON
Joined: 12.20.2007

Apr 10 @ 9:06 AM ET
Its morning and im cranky. Im happy the Leafs are 7th, but some of that joy is taken away when I see the Rangers and Sens ahead of us and the Ducks and Pens behind us.
- systemtool


the TSN power rankings are retarded...sens have lost 5 straight and just barely holding onto a playoff spot right now...and yet we are 5th...moving UP 2 spots....ok ya that makes sense...
Feeling Glucky?
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Tanktown, ON
Joined: 10.08.2008

Apr 10 @ 9:07 AM ET
don't buy new. buy a 1 yr old Genesis off consignment and save 30% easily. Those are awesome too.
- Big_Lightnin

Yea, I'm looking at used for the most part.

Genisis is a beauty, but under 25 male buying a sports car?


I'd be living in it.
systemtool
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Real men always have to poo, ON
Joined: 09.12.2007

Apr 10 @ 9:08 AM ET
wha?
- Dozzer


Power rankings, TSN
Dozzer
Referee
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Somewhere over the rainbow since I’m way up high
Joined: 09.15.2010

Apr 10 @ 9:08 AM ET
Ive got to say....Lovin' the new pic Bruce!
- Colin Dambrauskas


nearly playoff time.. had to pull out my best mullet to help make sure the leafs dont blow it

lol.. that pic is like 25 years old btw
Dozzer
Referee
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Somewhere over the rainbow since I’m way up high
Joined: 09.15.2010

Apr 10 @ 9:09 AM ET
Power rankings, TSN
- systemtool


wtf? really?

they must be drinking over there
lumlums
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: ON
Joined: 06.25.2011

Apr 10 @ 9:09 AM ET
Yea, I'm looking at used for the most part.

Genisis is a beauty, but under 25 male buying a sports car?


I'd be living in it.

- Feeling Glucky?


Whats the budget? I just did a metric (frank) tonne of car shopping so am now ready to give others advice
systemtool
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Real men always have to poo, ON
Joined: 09.12.2007

Apr 10 @ 9:09 AM ET
yes.. the bruins would be awesome

seriously tho about the pens.. for all the fire power they have they still have a big weak spot in MAF

- Dozzer


Agreed, but they can still win a cup with him.

Really solid teams like the Pens and Hawks can over come the lack of an elite goalie.
systemtool
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Real men always have to poo, ON
Joined: 09.12.2007

Apr 10 @ 9:10 AM ET
nearly playoff time.. had to pull out my best mullet to help make sure the leafs dont blow it

lol.. that pic is like 25 years old btw

- Dozzer




THATS AWESOME!!
Woderwick
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: David Clarkson's Water Bottle, ON
Joined: 02.12.2013

Apr 10 @ 9:11 AM ET
MAPLE LEAFS, WE'RE NUMBER ONE!!!!*


*In blocked shots, hits, fights and intelligent, good looking, loyal fans

- lumlums


Fixed
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