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Playoff Seeding Scenarios for the Predators from the Voice of the Predators and HBR’s co-host Pete Weber. Buckle in… there are some crazy possibilities that could arise this week.
Entering this week only Colorado, Detroit, and Los Angeles can still catch the Preds in the conference standings.
If the Preds earn 4 points this week…
• Neither Colorado nor Detroit could catch Nashville
• Los Angeles would need to earn 8 of a possible 8 points to pass the Preds (with 7 points the Kings would tie the Preds at 102 points, but Nashville would own the tie breaker based on tie breaker #1 Wins – 48 wins to 47 wins)
• the Preds could earn the No. 4 seed if Phoenix earned 0 of a possible 6 points this week and Nashville would have to finish the season with a better goal differential (currently Coyotes lead Goal Differential +20 to +2)
If the Preds earn 3 points this week…
• Colorado could not catch Nashville
• Detroit would need to earn 6 of a possible 6 points to pass the Preds (with 5 points the Red Wings would tie the Preds at 101 points, but Nashville would own the tie breaker based on tie breaker #1 more Wins – 47 wins to 43 wins)
• Los Angeles would need to earn 7 of a possible 8 points to pass the Preds (with 6 points the Kings would tie the Preds, but Nashville would own the tie breaker – with a 3-1-0 Kings record it would be tie breaker #2 better head-to-head series record; with a 2-0-2 Kings record it would be tie breaker #1 more Wins)
If the Preds earn 2 points this week…
• Colorado could not catch Nashville
• Detroit would need to earn 5 of a possible 6 points to pass the Preds (with 4 points the Red Wings would tie the Preds at 100 points, but Nashville would own the tie breaker based on tie breaker #1 more wins – Nashville has already secured more possible wins than Detroit)
• Los Angeles would need to earn 6 of a possible 8 points to pass the Preds (with 5 points the Kings would tie the Preds, but Nashville would own the tie breaker – which tie breaker – more wins or better head-to-head series record – would depend on the combination of wins/OTLs got either team to the 2 or 5 points)
If the Preds earn 1 point this week…
• Colorado could not catch Nashville
• Detroit would need to earn 4 of a possible 6 points to pass the Preds (with 3 points the Red Wings would tie the Preds at 99 points, but Nashville would own the tie breaker based on tie breaker #1 more wins – 46 wins to 41 or 42 wins)
• Los Angeles would need to earn 5 of a possible 8 points to pass the Preds (with 4 points the Kings would tie the Preds, but Nashville would own the tie breaker – with a 2-2-0 Kings record it would be tie breaker #2 better head-to-head series record; with a 1-1-2 or 0-0-4 Kings record it would be tie breaker #1 more Wins)
If the Preds earn 0 points this week…
• Colorado would need to go 4-0-0 to pass the Preds
• Detroit would need to earn 3 of a possible 6 points to pass the Preds (with 2 points the Red Wings would tie the Preds at 98 points, but Nashville would own the tie breaker based on tie breaker #1 more wins – 46 wins to 41 or 42 wins)
• Los Angeles would need to earn 4 of a possible 8 points to pass the Preds (with 3 points the Kings would tie the Preds, but Nashville would own the tie breaker based on tie breaker #1 more wins – 46 wins to 45 wins)
Thanks to Pete for supplying this incredibly detailed breakdown...
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Jason Arnott is scheduled to be back in the lineup for tomorrow’s game in Phoenix. Getting him a couple of games before the playoffs should be helpful.
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Mark your calendars… The Predators are having an open house on Tuesday April 13h from 6pm to 8pm at Bridgestone Arena. This Open House will feature free pizza and drinks, locket room tours, inflatables, Gnash and the Predator Dancers and a special “Select-A’Seat.”
Available season ticket locations will be tagged so you can easily see available locations and try out the view before purchasing. Full and Half Season tickets will be on sale that night with a special gift with each season ticket purchased. Each full season ticket seat purchased receives a $100 gift certificate to the Predators Pro Shop, half season tickets get $50 per seat purchased. You can get your seat and your gear at the same time!
The Open House is Tuesday April 13th from 6-8pm.
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Where We Stand… A daily look at where the Predator’s stand in the playoff race…
The Predators stand 2nd in the Central division and 5th in the Western Conference with 98 points and two games to play. Nashville has clinched a playoff berth.
If the Preds finish 2-0-0 – they have a 90% chance of finishing 5th, a 10% chance of finishing 6th.
If the Preds finish 1-0-1 – they have a 72% chance of finishing 5th, a 26% chance of finishing 6th and a 2% chance of finishing 7th.
If the Preds finish 1-1-0 or 0-0-2 – they have a 44% chance of finishing 5th, a 47% chance of finishing 6th and a 10% chance of finishing 7th.
If the Preds finish 0-1-1 – they have a 19% chance of finishing 5th, a 49% chance of finishing 6th, a 32% chance of finishing 7th.
If the Preds finish 0-0-2 – they have a 5% chance of finishing 5th, a 37% chance of finishing 6th, a 55% chance of finishing 7th and a 3% chance of finishing 8th.
In the chase group… Nashville leads…
- 6th place Detroit by 2 points, the Red Wings have a game in hand. The Predators own the primary tie-breaker with Detroit.
- 7th place Los Angeles by 3 points, the Kings have two games in hand.
- 8th place Colorado by 7 points, the Av’s have two games in hand.
Detroit and Los Angeles have clinched playoff spots.
The Preds have…
1 game left against – Phoenix (Wed - road), St. Louis (Saturday – Home)
Tonight’s Impact Games Colorado / Vancouver - Vancouver has clinched their division, an Av’s loss in regulation will kill their chances of catching Nashville in the standings. Los Angeles / Anaheim - Game in Hand game for the Kings and a chance to inch closer to the Preds.
The Western Conference Playoff match-ups if the playoffs began today…
San Jose vs. Colorado
Chicago vs. Los Angeles
Vancouver vs. Detroit
Phoenix vs. Nashville
This Wednesday – We’re back in the studio previewing the Phoenix game as Pete Weber will have interviews from the morning skate. We will be chatting with Dan Kamal from the Atlanta Thrashers, breaking down the crazy battle for the last three playoff spots in the east, and we will preview the NCAA Frozen Four with Fred Pletsch, the associate commissioner of the CCHA. That’s all this week on HockeyBuzz Radio, Wednesday at 6pm on SportsRadio 560 WNSR.
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You are invited to follow me on Twitter. Search for PredPAPaul… Not only will I be updating when I get news or updates… I’ll also be updating during Pred home games in season with information and explanations from the PA box.
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