Hoping to see a blog with updated standings and then crowdsourcing which teams that aren't in the playoffs will climb back into the playoffs. Because of the whole US Thanksgiving watermark.
- Cooleus

Thanksgiving numbers are actually highly informative on the season outcomes.

But important to rank teams in accordance with point percentages rather than total points.

Thanksgiving numbers are actually highly informative on the season outcomes.

But important to rank teams in accordance with point percentages rather than total points.
- spatso

It's actually a myth. But funny to see media and talking heads preach how this is statistically significant. The 1 through 8 ranking is meaningless. Last year 25% of teams ended up missing. Maybe people find a 75% success rate impressive. I don't. You want something that is 96% accurate? Here's a secret. If your points percentage is over .600 right now, then you have a 96% chance of making it. Currently, each conference has 6 teams that meet this criteria. So that's 12 spots claimed. The other 4 spots are basically a coin flip. Maybe Detroit and Tampa holds on, maybe NYI or NJ or someone catches them. Coin flip. Maybe St.Louis and Seattle hang on. Maybe not. Coin flip.

How about they are both really good!

I prefer Pat Quinn.

It's actually a myth. But funny to see media and talking heads preach how this is statistically significant. The 1 through 8 ranking is meaningless. Last year 25% of teams ended up missing. Maybe people find a 75% success rate impressive. I don't. You want something that is 96% accurate? Here's a secret. If your points percentage is over .600 right now, then you have a 96% chance of making it. Currently, each conference has 6 teams that meet this criteria. So that's 12 spots claimed. The other 4 spots are basically a coin flip. Maybe Detroit and Tampa holds on, maybe NYI or NJ or someone catches them. Coin flip. Maybe St.Louis and Seattle hang on. Maybe not. Coin flip.
- Cooleus

How far back does that 96% accuracy go? Genuinely curious but I just looked at the last two seasons and three teams (PIT 2022, CBJ and VGK 2021) were at .6 percentage points on Thanksgiving and still missed the postseason. ~90% accurate.