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Forums :: Blog World :: Hank Balling: History Suggests Sabres Could Land Quality Players at Picks 9, 16
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hehateme
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 04.11.2017

May 11 @ 11:11 AM ET
20 GF away from NYR (the closest east playoff team)

40 GA away from TO (the closest east playoff team)

Our goal differential is -58

Which helps more adding 20 goals or taking away 40?

- DirtyDan


taking away 40
buffalofan19
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Wonderful things can happen when you sow seeds of distrust in a garden full of (bum)holes
Joined: 07.01.2007

May 11 @ 11:11 AM ET
20 GF away from NYR (the closest east playoff team)

40 GA away from TO (the closest east playoff team)

Our goal differential is -58

Which helps more adding 20 goals or taking away 40?

- DirtyDan


What available goaltender, trade or free agency is making up 40 goals next season? That simply doesn't happen. There is absolutely zero precedence for that.
TheSabresTaco
Buffalo Sabres
Location: For me. jack Eichel is bobby ryan….that's it. - Octavarium, NY
Joined: 05.05.2011

May 11 @ 11:12 AM ET
20 GF away from NYR (the closest east playoff team)

40 GA away from TO (the closest east playoff team)

Our goal differential is -58

Which helps more adding 20 goals or taking away 40?

- DirtyDan


you're treating this like a static math problem instead of a fluid dynamic. It's just not that simple.
ImThatGuy
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I AM MY OWN DAMN SOURCE!, NY
Joined: 11.04.2010

May 11 @ 11:13 AM ET
What available goaltender, trade or free agency is making up 40 goals next season? That simply doesn't happen. There is absolutely zero precedence for that.
- buffalofan19

Take away 15 goals and add 20.

Seems like the logical scenario.

DirtyDan
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Why aren't more people interrigent? Rike Me? , ON
Joined: 02.03.2021

May 11 @ 11:13 AM ET
What available goaltender, trade or free agency is making up 40 goals next season? That simply doesn't happen. There is absolutely zero precedence for that.
- buffalofan19


That's 1 goal every other game. Very plausible with how our goal played.
jdfitz77
Buffalo Sabres
Location: buffalo, NY
Joined: 05.21.2007

May 11 @ 11:13 AM ET
I would shutter at the cost for the Cat.
- hehateme


And i shudder at the idea of giving up assets for a rental who isn’t gonna waive to come here anyways

Kane wouldn’t be cheap

I’m not necessarily even saying “let’s GMTM this thing”
But if we do, it makes sense to go after a younger player than Kane
sbroads24
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We are in 30th place. It's 2017 , NY
Joined: 02.12.2012

May 11 @ 11:14 AM ET
This is the main point. Goaltending is going to be upgraded. It's almost impossible for them not to. They don't even have enough bodies on the roster next year right now.

The Sabres have 3 forwards that can produce at a Top 6 level consistently. Oloffsson is close, but until he actually does it or a full season, I'm not putting him in that category. Even if you include him, if, more likely when, one of them goes down with injury, you have players slotted where they don't belong, and then a repeat of November-February.

- buffalofan19

Yup
DirtyDan
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Why aren't more people interrigent? Rike Me? , ON
Joined: 02.03.2021

May 11 @ 11:14 AM ET
you're treating this like a static math problem instead of a fluid dynamic. It's just not that simple.
- TheSabresTaco


Nothing is simple. But simplifying it makes what is important easier to see.

We can score more all we want but until we stop the puck we aren't getting anywhere
sbroads24
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We are in 30th place. It's 2017 , NY
Joined: 02.12.2012

May 11 @ 11:15 AM ET
you're treating this like a static math problem instead of a fluid dynamic. It's just not that simple.
- TheSabresTaco

Yup
lulags
Buffalo Sabres
Location: St Louis
Joined: 02.24.2007

May 11 @ 11:17 AM ET
And i shudder at the idea of giving up assets for a rental who isn’t gonna waive to come here anyways

Kane wouldn’t be cheap

I’m not necessarily even saying “let’s GMTM this thing”
But if we do, it makes sense to go after a younger player than Kane

- jdfitz77

If Kane wants to come here to retire, and ensure the Sabres are competitive, he should also understand the impact of any deal/salary to bring him here. Florida’s 1st is max I’m paying, mid level prospect in addition. Not a 16th and a Krebs or equal.
Hank Balling
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 05.18.2021

May 11 @ 11:17 AM ET
20 GF away from NYR (the closest east playoff team)

40 GA away from TO (the closest east playoff team)

Our goal differential is -58

Which helps more adding 20 goals or taking away 40?

- DirtyDan


How many goals against are empty netters against because they're losing?

I can't find ENGA anywhere but I would be interested to see how that impacts GA team-by-team. Those GA are essentially a product of the team being bad
buffalofan19
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Wonderful things can happen when you sow seeds of distrust in a garden full of (bum)holes
Joined: 07.01.2007

May 11 @ 11:17 AM ET
And i shudder at the idea of giving up assets for a rental who isn’t gonna waive to come here anyways

Kane wouldn’t be cheap

I’m not necessarily even saying “let’s GMTM this thing”
But if we do, it makes sense to go after a younger player than Kane

- jdfitz77


Let's say Kane changes his mind and decides he's willing to come here.

Hank's proposal:

Vegas 1st, Mittelstadt and Laaksonen for Kane.

Yes or no?
ImThatGuy
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I AM MY OWN DAMN SOURCE!, NY
Joined: 11.04.2010

May 11 @ 11:17 AM ET
Nothing is simple. But simplifying it makes what is important easier to see.

We can score more all we want but until we stop the puck we aren't getting anywhere

- DirtyDan

again. get a goalie to say cut that in half and they let in 20 less goals instead of 40.

Add to the Forward group to score 20-30 more goals.

Lunaion
Joined: 05.23.2016

May 11 @ 11:19 AM ET
How many goals against are empty netters against because they're losing?

I can't find ENGA anywhere but I would be interested to see how that impacts GA team-by-team. Those GA are essentially a product of the team being bad

- Hank Balling


https://morehockeystats.com/teams/en

17 allowed, 12 scored. Expected a bigger difference.
jdfitz77
Buffalo Sabres
Location: buffalo, NY
Joined: 05.21.2007

May 11 @ 11:19 AM ET
If Kane wants to come here to retire, and ensure the Sabres are competitive, he should also understand the impact of any deal/salary to bring him here. Florida’s 1st is max I’m paying, mid level prospect in addition. Not a 16th and a Krebs or equal.
- lulags


But he doesn’t, so…..

If we make the playoffs this year & maybe win a round, THEN maybe that’s enough to make him reconsider

But supposedly he wouldn’t wanna leave Chicago unless it’s for a team he thinks he can “win a Cup” with
jdfitz77
Buffalo Sabres
Location: buffalo, NY
Joined: 05.21.2007

May 11 @ 11:20 AM ET
Let's say Kane changes his mind and decides he's willing to come here.

Hank's proposal:

Vegas 1st, Mittelstadt and Laaksonen for Kane.

Yes or no?

- buffalofan19


No
If he changes his mind & wants to come here….
Wait till he’s a UFA

Spend those assets u propose getting Fiala (or whoever) instead
That would help Kane consider to come here as well
Apparently the dude still just wants to win
TheSabresTaco
Buffalo Sabres
Location: For me. jack Eichel is bobby ryan….that's it. - Octavarium, NY
Joined: 05.05.2011

May 11 @ 11:21 AM ET
Nothing is simple. But simplifying it makes what is important easier to see.

We can score more all we want but until we stop the puck we aren't getting anywhere

- DirtyDan


Pretending that it's as simple as 'the number 1 will always come before the number 2 and nothing will ever change' is not the approach you should be taking in your analysis. There's far too many dynamics to simply say, we get a better goalie and that's that.
lulags
Buffalo Sabres
Location: St Louis
Joined: 02.24.2007

May 11 @ 11:21 AM ET
But he doesn’t, so…..

If we make the playoffs this year & maybe win a round, THEN maybe that’s enough to make him reconsider

But supposedly he wouldn’t wanna leave Chicago unless it’s for a team he thinks he can “win a Cup” with

- jdfitz77

Exactly, why way overpriced pay for him when we can wait until he wants to come here
ImThatGuy
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I AM MY OWN DAMN SOURCE!, NY
Joined: 11.04.2010

May 11 @ 11:22 AM ET
buffalofan19
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Wonderful things can happen when you sow seeds of distrust in a garden full of (bum)holes
Joined: 07.01.2007

May 11 @ 11:22 AM ET
Pretending that it's as simple as 'the number 1 will always come before the number 2 and nothing will ever change' is not the approach you should be taking in your analysis. There's far too many dynamics to simply say, we get a better goalie and that's that.
- TheSabresTaco


Especially when getting a "better" goaltender is pretty much going to happen out of necessity anyway.
DirtyDan
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Why aren't more people interrigent? Rike Me? , ON
Joined: 02.03.2021

May 11 @ 11:23 AM ET
again. get a goalie to say cut that in half and they let in 20 less goals instead of 40.

Add to the Forward group to score 20-30 more goals.

- ImThatGuy



If you add a 30 goal scorer you also have to take away whatever player he is replacing.

So its really like a 22ish goal differential.

something something vacuum

ImThatGuy
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I AM MY OWN DAMN SOURCE!, NY
Joined: 11.04.2010

May 11 @ 11:23 AM ET
Exactly, why way overpriced pay for him when we can wait until he wants to come here
- lulags


Because like others have mentioned, you get a full year of showing him whats its like here, and he may take a hometown discount to resign after.

Or you wait a year and are bidding against 15 other teams.
DirtyDan
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Why aren't more people interrigent? Rike Me? , ON
Joined: 02.03.2021

May 11 @ 11:23 AM ET
Especially when getting a "better" goaltender is pretty much going to happen out of necessity anyway.
- buffalofan19


Really cause its looking like a real possibility we have the same combo
ImThatGuy
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I AM MY OWN DAMN SOURCE!, NY
Joined: 11.04.2010

May 11 @ 11:23 AM ET
If you add a 30 goal scorer you also have to take away whatever player he is replacing.

So its really like a 22ish goal differential.

something something vacuum

- DirtyDan


Cody Eakids
DirtyDan
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Why aren't more people interrigent? Rike Me? , ON
Joined: 02.03.2021

May 11 @ 11:24 AM ET
Pretending that it's as simple as 'the number 1 will always come before the number 2 and nothing will ever change' is not the approach you should be taking in your analysis. There's far too many dynamics to simply say, we get a better goalie and that's that.
- TheSabresTaco


This should be said with everything here then


My god you guys are full of yourselves
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