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Forums :: Blog World :: Mike Augello: What next for the Leafs after the expansion draft?
Author Message
Santo_44
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 10.20.2014

Jul 21 @ 9:58 AM ET


why are so many struggling with this.
its 2 assets. Hallander and 7th

rest is a wash

- senstroll

It boggles my mind
senstroll
Location: Leafs AAV Champs, ON
Joined: 02.22.2008

Jul 21 @ 9:58 AM ET
Plus the 1 asset seattle takes. which seems like the better asset over Kerfoot.

Ah well
the leafs.

- Fakepartofme


They started with - Kerfoot, Hallander, 7th (3 assets)
they gave up 2 to get 1 - they now have 2 assets
Seattle takes 1

they are left with 1. from the original 3... that equals a loss of 2 assets.

whether you think Kerfoot or Mccann is better doesnt matter to the above.

anyways. until we see what happens..its just noise


Santo_44
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 10.20.2014

Jul 21 @ 9:58 AM ET
So... If they expose Holl, and protect Kerfoot and McCann, is it possible to say that at some point over the summer well after expansion, Kerfoot is worth more than Holl? Because that's where it becomes not so clear cut.

I can't emphasize this enough, in my eyes... The Hallander thing went out the window when they acquired McCann. Hallander was not a leaf asset when it came time to submit the protection list, McCann was.

Protecting both at that point was the better angle for me, because you secure the asset you've traded for, you have Kerfoot and his 3.5 in cap space to play with after the fact.

- joel878


So they lost Mccann not hallinder and a 7th? Cant have it both ways.
Fakepartofme
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Living rent free... in your head, ON
Joined: 09.20.2010

Jul 21 @ 9:59 AM ET
I thought you liked Kerfoot at 3.5? If they lose McCann then that is what they traded Hallander and the 7th for ...to keep that player and cap hit.

Or am I wrong and he's a bad cap hit?

- The Law

I do like Kerfoot, hes been one of our more consistent playoff performers.
But honestly, this team is going in circles, we're stuck with the 40million four and need to find cap space somewhere else. So I was open to letting go of his 3.5m cap hit to seattle.

Which technically could still occur if Dubas and Francis have made a gentlemen's agreement and seattle picks the dafoot.

we'll see in 10 hours or so.
Garnie
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: ON
Joined: 11.30.2009

Jul 21 @ 9:59 AM ET
Muzzin-Holl 5v5

53% of the shots on goal
55.6% of the expected goals
Outscored opposition 42-30
Started in offensive zone 46% of the play

Find a $2M replacement

- Canada Cup


This season or playoffs or last 2 seasons?

This season without he was 45% shots on goal

50% expected goals

Goals for 35%

Not a big sample, but goes to show a boot would put up good #โ€™s with Muzzin.

Weird thing is I read from time to time that Muzzin sucks/overpaid and should have been traded - exposed ๐Ÿคฃ๐Ÿคฃ๐Ÿคฃ

I like Holl, but it seems Marincin could have done well with Muzzin...or maybe these #โ€™s mean (frank) all and the eye test is better and Holl rocks.
Leafs43
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: ON
Joined: 06.16.2010

Jul 21 @ 10:00 AM ET
oh FFS.
- Fakepartofme


All I will say is I legitimately hope you have someone helping you with your finances.

You seem to be the type of guy who would trade a dollar for two quarters and convince himself he is richer because 2 is more than 1.

Santo_44
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 10.20.2014

Jul 21 @ 10:00 AM ET
They started with - Kerfoot, Hallander, 7th (3 assets)
they gave up 2 to get 1 - they now have 2 assets
Seattle takes 1

they are left with 1. from the original 3... that equals a loss of 2 assets.

whether you think Kerfoot or Mccann is better doesnt matter to the above.

anyways. until we see what happens..its just noise

- senstroll

If they take Mccann they get to keep Kerfoot which is the trade off.

2.5M over the next 2 years. His contract is valuable in trade.

Maybe Kraken see that too.
bobbyisno1
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: I'm excited to see that
Joined: 08.28.2010

Jul 21 @ 10:00 AM ET
Yes, its pretty simple to see.
- Fakepartofme

For most, others resort to insults.
Zezel
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: God Leafs Satan The Oneness, ON
Joined: 02.28.2011

Jul 21 @ 10:00 AM ET
I can't deal with this expansion draft argument anymore.
senstroll
Location: Leafs AAV Champs, ON
Joined: 02.22.2008

Jul 21 @ 10:00 AM ET
It boggles my mind
- Santo_44



reminds me of the Monty Hall problem

always switch doors
joel878
Joined: 06.13.2009

Jul 21 @ 10:01 AM ET
He is talking value.

If they take Mccann the Leafs essentially payed Hallinder and a 7th to keep Kerfoot instead of a 1st and 3rd.

Which they can then flip for assets post expansion draft.

The whole point is after the expansion draft the Leafs will either come out with the player they traded for or will remain with the same roster they had 5 days ago without Hallinder.

They want to keep Holl...before and after that. With knowing this do you make the Mccann trade? Yes

- Santo_44


And my angle on that would be, who the (frank) cares about Kerfoot to the extent that you'll part with assets to secure him. Let him go, use the 3.5 in cap space separately.

The trade and the protection list are two different things.

Which for the 87th time is why Im ruling Hallander out of the equation. That was a good opportunistic trade and it was done and dusted by the time protection lists were due. McCann is the asset the leafs had to decide to protect or not, not Hallander.

If we had to protect Muzzin, we weren't talking about two prospects and a pick.
gergeswillems
Detroit Red Wings
Location: Malkin wants to be The Man, ON
Joined: 02.01.2016

Jul 21 @ 10:02 AM ET
Frank Seravalli
@frank_seravalli
ยท
12m
Early word is #SeaKraken were focused in on one player from #GoBolts lot: Yanni Gourde.

Not entirely clear how tonight will work. Teams wondering if he's the only Tampa player heading to Seattle? Could change. But sense is Gourde will be a Kraken before night is done.
@DFOHockey

- 21peter

JBB can always trade Tyler Johnson to Detroit in a separate trade. ๐Ÿ˜‰ Goalie Hugo Alnefelt would be a good sweetener. ๐Ÿ‘
joel878
Joined: 06.13.2009

Jul 21 @ 10:02 AM ET
So they lost Mccann not hallinder and a 7th? Cant have it both ways.
- Santo_44


๐Ÿคฆ๐Ÿปโ€โ™‚๏ธ

Im not trying to have it both ways. I'm clearly trying to have it one.

Do you have really bad ADHD or can you just not read? Honest question.
bobbyisno1
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: I'm excited to see that
Joined: 08.28.2010

Jul 21 @ 10:02 AM ET
He is talking value.

If they take Mccann the Leafs essentially payed Hallinder and a 7th to keep Kerfoot instead of a 1st and 3rd.

Which they can then flip for assets post expansion draft.

The whole point is after the expansion draft the Leafs will either come out with the player they traded for or will remain with the same roster they had 5 days ago without Hallinder.

They want to keep Holl...before and after that. With knowing this do you make the Mccann trade? Yes

- Santo_44

I don't. i lose Kerfoot and keep the cap space.
Archaic
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Waterloo, ON
Joined: 01.12.2011

Jul 21 @ 10:03 AM ET
If they keep McCann...it was for sure. Nice plan.
If they lose McCann.....not worth it at all. They had an opportunity to free up some cap space and missed

- Fakepartofme


They can still trade Kerfoot, and likely for more then Hallander and 7th.
Santo_44
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 10.20.2014

Jul 21 @ 10:03 AM ET
And my angle on that would be, who the (frank) cares about Kerfoot to the extent that you'll part with assets to secure him. Let him go, use the 3.5 in cap space separately.

The trade and the protection list are two different things.

Which for the 87th time is why Im ruling Hallander out of the equation. That was a good opportunistic trade and it was done and dusted by the time protection lists were due. McCann is the asset the leafs had to decide to protect or not, not Hallander.

If we had to protect Muzzin, we weren't talking about two prospects and a pick.

- joel878


Kerfoot is owed 700K this season and 1.9 M next....his contract is very valuable in trade.

They would be able to get more than Hallinder and a 7th.

If Dubas flips Kerfoot for Hallinder and a 2nd(wont happen but an example). Are you happy with the move? Basically they upgraded a 7th to a 2nd instead of losing Kerfoot for free.
Fakepartofme
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Living rent free... in your head, ON
Joined: 09.20.2010

Jul 21 @ 10:03 AM ET
All I will say is I legitimately hope you have someone helping you with your finances.

You seem to be the type of guy who would trade a dollar for two quarters and convince himself he is richer because 2 is more than 1.

- Leafs43

all I can say is fack off with you condescending BS.
Again, your examples aren't based on reality.

The Law
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 01.29.2008

Jul 21 @ 10:04 AM ET
So... If they expose Holl, and protect Kerfoot and McCann, is it possible to say that at some point over the summer well after expansion, Kerfoot is worth more than Holl? Because that's where it becomes not so clear cut.

I can't emphasize this enough, in my eyes... The Hallander thing went out the window when they acquired McCann. Hallander was not a leaf asset when it came time to submit the protection list, McCann was.

Protecting both at that point was the better angle for me, because you secure the asset you've traded for, you have Kerfoot and his 3.5 in cap space to play with after the fact.

- joel878


I think that's the fair point. Was it the right guy(s) to protect. Does he overvalue Holl vs. McC/Kerfoot. Ultimately I think the difference in value of Holl vs. Kerfoot/McCann is probably not too much anyway. Dubas would probably simply say that at 2M Holl's value (on a team full of high paid "stars") is a bigger value to the Leafs.

The trade was a positive in that Holl is safe and one of the forwards is safe. The decision on who to protect is totally up for debate.

End of the day with free agency about to start it's probably not a big deal at all. All of them are fill around the edges types.
Santo_44
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 10.20.2014

Jul 21 @ 10:04 AM ET
I don't. i lose Kerfoot and keep the cap space.
- bobbyisno1

How about you trade Kerfoot for value and still get the cap space.
Santo_44
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 10.20.2014

Jul 21 @ 10:05 AM ET
๐Ÿคฆ๐Ÿปโ€โ™‚๏ธ

Im not trying to have it both ways. I'm clearly trying to have it one.

Do you have really bad ADHD or can you just not read? Honest question.

- joel878

I do have ADHD, however it does not affect my reading But thanks.
The Law
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 01.29.2008

Jul 21 @ 10:06 AM ET
I do like Kerfoot, hes been one of our more consistent playoff performers.
But honestly, this team is going in circles, we're stuck with the 40million four and need to find cap space somewhere else. So I was open to letting go of his 3.5m cap hit to seattle.

Which technically could still occur if Dubas and Francis have made a gentlemen's agreement and seattle picks the dafoot.

we'll see in 10 hours or so.

- Fakepartofme


I can't disagree with any of that. He's riding with the Big4 and we'll see if it works or whether he sinks with ship.
Garnie
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: ON
Joined: 11.30.2009

Jul 21 @ 10:06 AM ET
CapFriendly
@CapFriendly
ยท
20m
Expansion Draft Calendar for today:

10:00am ET:
- Kraken to submit their Expansion Draft Selection List

10:01am ET:
- Kraken to submit their signed SPC's for all RFA/UFA players selected

8:00pm ET:
- Kraken selections revealed

#SeaKraken

https://capfriendly.com/expansion-draft/seattle

- 21peter


Sucks waiting til 8pm, Iโ€™m spoiled and want it now.

21peter
Atlanta Thrashers
Location: Peter I Island
Joined: 11.18.2014

Jul 21 @ 10:06 AM ET
JBB can always trade Tyler Johnson to Detroit in a separate trade. ๐Ÿ˜‰ Goalie Hugo Alnefelt would be a good sweetener. ๐Ÿ‘
- gergeswillems

have a feeling the Kraken is playing a couple rounds next playoffs
joel878
Joined: 06.13.2009

Jul 21 @ 10:07 AM ET
I think that's the fair point. Was it the right guy(s) to protect. Does he overvalue Holl vs. McC/Kerfoot. Ultimately I think the difference in value of Holl vs. Kerfoot/McCann is probably not too much anyway. Dubas would probably simply say that at 2M Holl's value (on a team full of high paid "stars") is a bigger value to the Leafs.

The trade was a positive in that Holl is safe and one of the forwards is safe. The decision on who to protect is totally up for debate.

End of the day with free agency about to start it's probably not a big deal at all. All of them are fill around the edges types.

- The Law


Yes, thank you.

The who to protect part is the entire debate, everyone will have a different opinion and all angles at that point have their own merit.

I would argue that resorting to FA is more than likely not going to result in better value than your decision on who to protect could, a lot of bloated numbers on the open market.
Leafs43
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: ON
Joined: 06.16.2010

Jul 21 @ 10:07 AM ET
all I can say is fack off with you condescending BS.
Again, your examples are based on reality.


- Fakepartofme


We finally agree.

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