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Forums :: Blog World :: Bill Meltzer: Fletcher/Flahr Press Conference Transcript
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PT21
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: 木糠布丁, PA
Joined: 03.04.2008

Jul 14 @ 3:11 PM ET
It’s really only for a few years the other years it’s minimal most teams carry some sort of dead cap space. They didn’t want to lose youth with expiring contracts. They biting the bullet. Not ideal by any means but propably smart move in the end
- Stayin alive


Imo, there is a crippling absence of risk-taking in hockey. Its like football in the 90s, when every team would punt at 4-and-1, even inside the opponent's 40 yard line, even though stats suggested conversion chances were high.

Now the %s have shifted dramatically, because analytics have caught up with strategy.

PT21
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: 木糠布丁, PA
Joined: 03.04.2008

Jul 14 @ 3:21 PM ET
But they gained very little. Keeping Dumba is a plus for sure. They removed the players but are basically saving nothing over the next three years. They did not even ask them to waive the NMC's.

That is bad management in my book. Other than keeping Dumba they did basically nothing with these two moves. I get it's a flashy move but offers very little in terms of relief.

- mickel25



My take is that they have written off the next 3 years. Of course they will never come out and say that. Its bad for ticket sales. This move was, on the face of it and based on Guerin's statements, squarely made for a horizon beyond that.

Now look beyond that 3 years:

1. The dead cap hit will remove both ability and pressure to be in the competitive death spiral they were mired in. They can't be competitive being forced to be much closer to floor than cap.

2. They are absent two pretty good player contributions.

Above 2 means: high draft picks.

3. Also, during the rebuild, as guys like Kaprisov, Rossi etc come into their own, there will be no ancient former superstars clogging up the culture. I think the hiring of Evason last year, a guy with a long track record working with young players, reflects that as well.

Will it work? Gee I dunno. But I like what I think they did a lot. Its nice to see a franchise having the balls to risk competitiveness for higher aspirations.

JW98FlyerFan
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 07.02.2013

Jul 14 @ 3:24 PM ET
But they gained very little. Keeping Dumba is a plus for sure. They removed the players but are basically saving nothing over the next three years. They did not even ask them to waive the NMC's.

That is bad management in my book. Other than keeping Dumba they did basically nothing with these two moves. I get it's a flashy move but offers very little in terms of relief.

- mickel25

I don't think they/he needed to ask them to waive them...there was not going to be a team that was taking on those contracts, esp before the ED. No team was going to lock in to those contracts and then be stuck with a NMC...because the player can ask to have the NMC retained even if they waive it for the trade (at least that is how I understand it.) Waiving it can be conditional.

I don't think they had a ton of options, so he made the call to cut bait now. It is a gutsy call...only time will tell if they can manage it. Hell if you look at some of our contracts, you could say we are carrying 14M in dead cap too.
Tomahawk
Location: Driver's Seat: Mitch Marner bandwagon. Grab 'em by the Corsi.
Joined: 02.04.2009

Jul 14 @ 3:25 PM ET
Can someone explain why Suter and Parise were bought out? The cap implications are insane.
- ClaudeFather


I've seen some rumors recently about them both being pretty difficult to deal with. With their contract length and NMCs, they knew they would outlast all their coaches. Apparently some questionable behavior from both of them over the years.

Suter hung up on Guerin when he informed him of the BO, lol.
mickel25
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Morgantown, PA
Joined: 01.21.2011

Jul 14 @ 3:26 PM ET
My take is that they have written off the next 3 years. Of course they will never come out and say that. Its bad for ticket sales. This move was, on the face of it and based on Guerin's statements, squarely made for a horizon beyond that.

Now look beyond that 3 years:

1. The dead cap hit will remove both ability and pressure to be in the competitive death spiral they were mired in. They can't be competitive being forced to be much closer to floor than cap.

2. They are absent two pretty good player contributions.

Above 2 means: high draft picks.

3. Also, during the rebuild, as guys like Kaprisov, Rossi etc come into their own, there will be no ancient former superstars clogging up the culture. I think the hiring of Evason last year, a guy with a long track record working with young players, reflects that as well.

Will it work? Gee I dunno. But I like what I think they did a lot. Its nice to see a franchise having the balls to risk competitiveness for higher aspirations.

- PT21


My real issue with it is Guerin did not even address waiving the NMC's. Perhaps he had other options he did not explore? We will see what happens.
mickel25
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Morgantown, PA
Joined: 01.21.2011

Jul 14 @ 3:29 PM ET
I don't think they/he needed to ask them to waive them...there was not going to be a team that was taking on those contracts, esp before the ED. No team was going to lock in to those contracts and then be stuck with a NMC...because the player can ask to have the NMC retained even if they waive it for the trade (at least that is how I understand it.) Waiving it can be conditional.

I don't think they had a ton of options, so he made the call to cut bait now. It is a gutsy call...only time will tell if they can manage it. Hell if you look at some of our contracts, you could say we are carrying 14M in dead cap too.

- JW98FlyerFan


They could have waived for the ED and opened the protection spots. Doesn't matter if the Kraken would have been interested or not. Either could have retired over the next four years as well. Then you would not have them on the cap for 8 years.

We will see if the moves bring added success.
PT21
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: 木糠布丁, PA
Joined: 03.04.2008

Jul 14 @ 3:32 PM ET
My real issue with it is Guerin did not even address waiving the NMC's. Perhaps he had other options he did not explore? We will see what happens.
- mickel25



That is precisely part of what makes me suspicious.

I dunno much about Guerin, but I get the impression he is a smart guy. I am just speculatively connecting a whole lotta dots.
Richieattack18
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Girouxsalem
Joined: 07.13.2010

Jul 14 @ 3:34 PM ET
Alex tuch sucks as it’s been implied to me 🤷‍♂️
- Stayin alive

Yeah not wanting to trade Coots for Tuch a late pick and poop prospect means Tuch sucks. LOL delusional
Tomahawk
Location: Driver's Seat: Mitch Marner bandwagon. Grab 'em by the Corsi.
Joined: 02.04.2009

Jul 14 @ 3:36 PM ET
What you are describing is a status quo logic. The kind that essentially maintains competitiveness and regular season standings. Guerin is aiming higher, and I personally applaud him for it.
- PT21


Aiming higher? They planning on a full rebuild? Because if not, having $13-15M less to spend on players for the next little while is really gonna put a dent in their ability to compete with their rivals.
PT21
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: 木糠布丁, PA
Joined: 03.04.2008

Jul 14 @ 3:40 PM ET
Aiming higher? They planning on a full rebuild? Because if not, having $13-15M less to spend on players for the next little while is really gonna put a dent in their ability to compete with their rivals.
- Tomahawk


1.Yes.
2.Yes. Very sneakily and nicely done imo.
3.Yes. That's precisely the point, or at least, the way I see it.
JW98FlyerFan
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 07.02.2013

Jul 14 @ 3:42 PM ET
They could have waived for the ED and opened the protection spots. Doesn't matter if the Kraken would have been interested or not. Either could have retired over the next four years as well. Then you would not have them on the cap for 8 years.

We will see if the moves bring added success.

- mickel25

I am sure we don't have the whole story...It could go like this...Bill talks to agents about waiving...Agents says get bent...Bill waives them...Therefore Bill never talked to "them"...

Honestly I couldn't stand either player when they both went to Minn. I felt like they were going home to play pond hockey...Neither guy wanted a challenge, they wanted comfort for them and their family...and it was their right to do that as FAs...It was Bill's right to cut them both...that is just my take on it. I think from the other reports of them not being good for the culture there backs my theory up.
Tomahawk
Location: Driver's Seat: Mitch Marner bandwagon. Grab 'em by the Corsi.
Joined: 02.04.2009

Jul 14 @ 3:43 PM ET
1.Yes.
2.Yes. Very sneakily and nicely done imo.
3.Yes. That's precisely the point, or at least, the way I see it.

- PT21


The pain doesn't end until 25/26. What are the chances that Guerin will even still be the GM by then?
MBFlyerfan
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Be nice from now on, NJ
Joined: 03.17.2006

Jul 14 @ 3:45 PM ET
Suter would be a great short term addition to this team, but I think there will be a bidding war for his services. But perhaps the Fletcher/Minny Soda connection helps in that aspect.
mickel25
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Morgantown, PA
Joined: 01.21.2011

Jul 14 @ 3:45 PM ET
The pain doesn't end until 25/26. What are the chances that Guerin will even still be the GM by then?
- Tomahawk


You would think he has the backing of ownership after making such a bold move. Perhaps he does not.
PT21
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: 木糠布丁, PA
Joined: 03.04.2008

Jul 14 @ 3:49 PM ET
The pain doesn't end until 25/26. What are the chances that Guerin will even still be the GM by then?
- Tomahawk


24/25 really. After that, the cap hit will be more than absorbed by rise in salary cap.

Chances Guerin will be around after that? Oh I would personally say, 98-99%. No GM makes a huge move like that w/o ownership's full blessing. In today's age, ownership would be fully involved about ramifications, which likely means a string of very poor seasons coming up.

You only get fired for the unexpected bad, not the expected bad. Guerin's been given a carte blanche the way I see it.
Tomahawk
Location: Driver's Seat: Mitch Marner bandwagon. Grab 'em by the Corsi.
Joined: 02.04.2009

Jul 14 @ 3:49 PM ET
You would think he has the backing of ownership after making such a bold move. Perhaps he does not.
- mickel25


We're talking the same owner that signed off on those two contracts in the first place. The same owner who fired the last GM after only one season.
landros 2
Season Ticket Holder
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Centre of universe
Joined: 02.07.2007

Jul 14 @ 3:49 PM ET
Can someone explain why Suter and Parise were bought out? The cap implications are insane.
- ClaudeFather



One reason might be covid. Some teams have an internal budget. If the GM has been told not to go over a certain amount for the next few years ( let’s say 65 million)to make up for the lost revenue ….because the team lost a poop load of money in the last 1 1/2 years then it makes a little more sense to get some cost savings. If they weren’t going to go that high anyways then there is some cost savings in “real” dollars.
mickel25
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Morgantown, PA
Joined: 01.21.2011

Jul 14 @ 3:51 PM ET
We're talking the same owner that signed off on those two contracts in the first place. The same owner who fired the last GM after only one season.
- Tomahawk


That is a valid point
Stayin alive
Joined: 06.10.2021

Jul 14 @ 4:01 PM ET
Yeah not wanting to trade Coots for Tuch a late pick and poop prospect means Tuch sucks. LOL delusional
- Richieattack18

First off I said a TOP D PROSPECT. How does that translate to a poop prospect? York is a TOP D PROSPECT if we traded him in a package would the other team consider him a poop prospect? COMPREHEND?
NC Flyers Fan
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 07.19.2018

Jul 14 @ 4:04 PM ET
I've been listening to Zak Kindrachuk's "My Dad Used to Play Hockey" podcast all afternoon. I highly recommend it; especially for any of you who were around during the cup years.
- Dkos




I was not but I think the history is interesting, and Zak is easy to listen to and the interviews are fascinating.

Today, there is also a new Snow the Goalie podcast episode with an 30 minute interview of Chuck Fletcher that took place following his media availability. Plus Nasty Knuckles has a great interview of Sam Morin. I love that guy’s personality. Lastly, Bill Meltzer was interviewed on The Press Zone so I will be giving that a listen.
CaptainSensible
Joined: 05.16.2021

Jul 14 @ 4:05 PM ET
I've seen some rumors recently about them both being pretty difficult to deal with. With their contract length and NMCs, they knew they would outlast all their coaches. Apparently some questionable behavior from both of them over the years.

Suter hung up on Guerin when he informed him of the BO, lol.

- Tomahawk


FWIW, here's an article that details some of those rumors:

https://www.startribune.c...yan-suter-gone/600077722/
Stayin alive
Joined: 06.10.2021

Jul 14 @ 4:06 PM ET
First off I said a TOP D PROSPECT. How does that translate to a poop prospect? York is a TOP D PROSPECT if we traded him in a package would the other team consider him a poop prospect? COMPREHEND?
- Stayin alive


Also it’s not a late pick. You act like it’s some random 7th round pick. ITS STILL A FIRST ROUND PICK EVEN IF TOWARD END OF ROUND 1. ABSOLUTELY ZERO REASON TO ACT LIKE THATS GOT ZERO VALUE OR SOME THOWAWAY.

you keep saying trade coots for 3 garbage lesser pieces.

Who’s delusional?

I get it. You invested in coots Jersey. You might even had him sign it. Your emotionally and financially invested in the player. But you are the delusional one.

A simple I wouldn’t make that trade makes your point. You’re entitled to your opinion but saying it’s an awful trade proposal and everyone laughing in my face shows how much you’re a homer
PT21
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: 木糠布丁, PA
Joined: 03.04.2008

Jul 14 @ 4:08 PM ET
One reason might be covid. Some teams have an internal budget. If the GM has been told not to go over a certain amount for the next few years ( let’s say 65 million)to make up for the lost revenue ….because the team lost a poop load of money in the last 1 1/2 years then it makes a little more sense to get some cost savings. If they weren’t going to go that high anyways then there is some cost savings in “real” dollars.
- landros 2


This is an interesting take. But one point against this is that actual salary for each of Suter and Parise for the next 4 years were 2.5m a year. The vast majority of the contract had been paid out.

landros 2
Season Ticket Holder
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Centre of universe
Joined: 02.07.2007

Jul 14 @ 4:13 PM ET
This is an interesting take. But one point against this is that actual salary for each of Suter and Parise for the next 4 years were 2.5m a year. The vast majority of the contract had been paid out.
- PT21



But if they weren’t going to the cap # anyways…..then those #s really don’t matter. There are some teams that won’t be cap teams for a few years after the losses sustained….if the article is posted a few posts back is true then it has more to do with changing their “toxic” core.
Minnyhock
Minnesota Wild
Joined: 06.26.2021

Jul 14 @ 4:15 PM ET
I've seen some rumors recently about them both being pretty difficult to deal with. With their contract length and NMCs, they knew they would outlast all their coaches. Apparently some questionable behavior from both of them over the years.

Suter hung up on Guerin when he informed him of the BO, lol.

- Tomahawk


This wasn’t about protecting Dumba and a forward. This was about organizational conflict.

Parise was taken off the power play, sitting in the press box, and playing on the 4th line when playing. He expressed his displeasure.

Suter was the Wild’s 4th best D man this year. Suter still has value and skill but is definitely in decline. Going forward, Suter was going to end up being a 3rd pair D man further exposing his deficiencies by playing with someone not named Spurgeon Guerin likely concluded that like Parise, Suter would be unhappy with a reduced role. This was likely a move to avert a potentially poisonous room with 2 disgruntled vets.
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