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Forums :: Blog World :: Ryan Wilson: The Bruins offense is Fruit Stripe gum
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Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Apr 4 @ 10:52 AM ET
Tampa is also getting the following:

1) Production up and down their lineup.
2) CF% 51.90
3) HDCF% of 51.75
4) xGF% of 52.52

Tampa isn't just goaltending.

- Rinosaur

No poop Tampa isn’t just goaltending.
Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Apr 4 @ 10:53 AM ET
When you have a high PDO and everything else is average or below, yeah, PDO tells you there's a lot of luck involved, but when everything is firing it really doesn't say much IMO.
- Rinosaur

It says you have above average goaltending and shooting talent.
MacPatty
Pittsburgh Penguins
Joined: 05.21.2015

Apr 4 @ 10:54 AM ET
Peanut butter is good and versatile so I agree with your analogy.
- Feds91Stammer


Peanut butter is a term used in finance to describe numbers used because there was insufficient data, time or knowledge to do something that was actually accurate or purposefully thought out.

I cringe if I have someone tell me they Peanut butter something.

Rinosaur
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Somewhere, NJ
Joined: 01.21.2016

Apr 4 @ 10:55 AM ET
It says you have above average goaltending and shooting talent.
- Feds91Stammer


It's just not a great stat. There are far too many outside factors to combine with it.

Right now the Pens are basically average in all categories with a high PDO which definitely shows they're relying on goaltending, but with a wounded lineup it's also not capturing what this team looks like with Geno and Blueger back in.


Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Apr 4 @ 10:55 AM ET
Peanut butter is a term used in finance to describe numbers used because there was insufficient data, time or knowledge to do something that was actually accurate or purposefully thought out.

I cringe if I have someone tell me they Peanut butter something.

- MacPatty

Oh thanks. I’m clueless when it comes to finance world stuff.
Rinosaur
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Somewhere, NJ
Joined: 01.21.2016

Apr 4 @ 10:56 AM ET
No poop Tampa isn’t just goaltending.
- Feds91Stammer


Well you literally said they're relying on unsustainable goaltending.
Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Apr 4 @ 10:57 AM ET
It's just not a great stat. There are far too many outside factors to combine with it.

Right now the Pens are basically average in all categories with a high PDO which definitely shows they're relying on goaltending, but with a wounded lineup it's also not capturing what this team looks like with Geno and Blueger back in.

- Rinosaur

It’s the easiest and quickest way to see if results are generally sustainable. Coach of the year always seems to be the top PDO team and then they get fired 2 seasons later.
Rinosaur
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Somewhere, NJ
Joined: 01.21.2016

Apr 4 @ 10:57 AM ET
It’s the easiest and quickest way to see if results are generally sustainable. Coach of the year always seems to be the top PDO team and then they get fired 2 seasons later.
- Feds91Stammer


It's quick and easy, yeah, but there are just too many variables that affect it.
Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Apr 4 @ 10:58 AM ET
Well you literally said they're relying on unsustainable goaltending.
- Rinosaur

I said they are getting carried by it, which they are. They are still good obviously but they are nowhere near as dominant as their record suggests aka they need Kucherov back.
MattStrat
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: ...serial abuser...and misuser...of the ellipsis , NF
Joined: 12.12.2014

Apr 4 @ 10:58 AM ET
Natural stat trick is a free website
- Feds91Stammer


Hahaha bitta Easter Sunday sauce, love it
Rinosaur
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Somewhere, NJ
Joined: 01.21.2016

Apr 4 @ 10:58 AM ET
I said they are getting carried by it, which they are. They are still good obviously but they are nowhere near as dominant as their record suggests aka they need Kucherov back.
- Feds91Stammer


Getting carried by and relying are the same thing.
Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Apr 4 @ 10:59 AM ET
It's quick and easy, yeah, but there are just too many variables that affect it.
- Rinosaur

Not really but okay.
Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Apr 4 @ 11:00 AM ET
Getting carried by and relying are the same thing.
- Rinosaur

Nah
Rinosaur
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Somewhere, NJ
Joined: 01.21.2016

Apr 4 @ 11:03 AM ET
Nah
- Feds91Stammer


LOL ok
Blackstrom2
Washington Capitals
Location: richmond, VA
Joined: 10.11.2010

Apr 4 @ 11:10 AM ET
It's just not a great stat. There are far too many outside factors to combine with it.

Right now the Pens are basically average in all categories with a high PDO which definitely shows they're relying on goaltending, but with a wounded lineup it's also not capturing what this team looks like with Geno and Blueger back in.

- Rinosaur



....Why would it?
Rinosaur
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Somewhere, NJ
Joined: 01.21.2016

Apr 4 @ 11:11 AM ET
....Why would it?
- Blackstrom2


That's the problem with it.
Blackstrom2
Washington Capitals
Location: richmond, VA
Joined: 10.11.2010

Apr 4 @ 11:14 AM ET
That's the problem with it.
- Rinosaur


I don't understand, I don't think it's inability to calculate for injured players not playing is a problem with it. There may be some valid criticisms of PDO, but I don't think this is it.
Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Apr 4 @ 11:15 AM ET
I don't understand, I don't think it's inability to calculate for injured players not playing is a problem with it. There may be some valid criticisms of PDO, but I don't think this is it.
- Blackstrom2

Penguins are the best. Go back to the wings or caps blog loser.
Rinosaur
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Somewhere, NJ
Joined: 01.21.2016

Apr 4 @ 11:15 AM ET
I don't understand, I don't think it's inability to calculate for injured players not playing is a problem with it. There may be some valid criticisms of PDO, but I don't think this is it.
- Blackstrom2


Well when you try to use it project where a team will go and you're not calculating the fact you're getting major pieces back into your lineup, I don't think it's a good future indicator.
Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Apr 4 @ 11:18 AM ET
Well when you try to use it project where a team will go and you're not calculating the fact you're getting major pieces back into your lineup, I don't think it's a good future indicator.
- Rinosaur

Well when you use a month of lucky results against poopty teams to project where a team will go it’s not a good future indicator.
Rinosaur
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Somewhere, NJ
Joined: 01.21.2016

Apr 4 @ 11:19 AM ET
For the record I'm not trying to argue the Pens are a cup favorite or anything. I'm just trying to state that while their PDO does reflect stellar goaltending at the moment, that it doesn't really give much of an indication of how deep this team can go until we see them healthy again.

Rinosaur
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Somewhere, NJ
Joined: 01.21.2016

Apr 4 @ 11:20 AM ET
Well when you use a month of lucky results against poopty teams to project where a team will go it’s not a good future indicator.
- Feds91Stammer


Prior to the rash of injuries the Pens were finally starting to fire on all cylinders and when everyone went down so did their overall team game, then goaltending and some decent depth scoring kicked them up.

Also, NYI and BOS are not poopty teams.
Blackstrom2
Washington Capitals
Location: richmond, VA
Joined: 10.11.2010

Apr 4 @ 11:22 AM ET
Well when you try to use it project where a team will go and you're not calculating the fact you're getting major pieces back into your lineup, I don't think it's a good future indicator.
- Rinosaur


I think PDO by it's very nature, shouldn't be used at all as a future indicator. The whole idea is that teams regress to 100. But if a team is stuck consistently at below or above it, then maybe it's time to take a deeper look into the goaltending or shooting percentages. I don't think better forwards are going to really change that much.

For what it's worth, I think the sample of this season is too small right now to draw any huge indications from PDO, and no team is too far off the average. Caps are actually riding the highest PDO right now, and that's kind of what I see too. A bubble that's about to burst.
Rinosaur
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Somewhere, NJ
Joined: 01.21.2016

Apr 4 @ 11:23 AM ET
I think PDO by it's very nature, shouldn't be used at all as a future indicator. The whole idea is that teams regress to 100. But if a team is stuck consistently at below or above it, then maybe it's time to take a deeper look into the goaltending or shooting percentages. I don't think better forwards are going to really change that much.

For what it's worth, I think the sample of this season is too small right now to draw any huge indications from PDO, and no team is too far off the average. Caps are actually riding the highest PDO right now, and that's kind of what I see too. A bubble that's about to burst.

- Blackstrom2


I agree completely. Others here are using PDO to argue why the Pens aren't likely to go deep.
Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Apr 4 @ 11:24 AM ET
Prior to the rash of injuries the Pens were finally starting to fire on all cylinders and when everyone went down so did their overall team game, then goaltending and some decent depth scoring kicked them up.

Also, NYI and BOS are not poopty teams.

- Rinosaur

Boston sucks and Buffalo NJ NYR and PHI are bottom feeders.
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