21peter
Atlanta Thrashers |
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Location: Peter I Island Joined: 11.18.2014
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Nope. I'm only 6'0. My cousin is 6'9. (frank)ing Neanderthal. - gergeswillems
In cm's I am 191, my oldest son is 190 and my 18 y/o son is 192 and still growing. Only shortbread for him now - no more spaghetti |
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PatC80
Toronto Maple Leafs |
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Location: I would never let my children play hockey. The risk of getting drafted by Edmonton is too high", ON Joined: 08.11.2011
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nice catch - 21peter
I remember watching that series thinking the Leafs would've beat the Habs |
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winsix
Season Ticket Holder Toronto Maple Leafs |
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Location: Henry Hudson's Fairchild 24 South Porcupine Joined: 04.03.2016
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Anyone seen Dom Luszczyszyn's numbers for playoff probabilities this morning?
Toronto Maple Leafs:
100% to make the playoffs. OK, I can agree with this.
76% to make it to round 2. That seems a little high - 3 in 4? But OK.
57% to make it to round 3. If I'm mathing correctly, that's making us heavy, heavy favourites to win round 2. Like, 75% chance.
37% chance to make it to the Finals. 65% to win round 3? Really?
21% chance to win the Stanley Cup. Just take a moment to look at that, breathe it in. Mmmmmmmmm. 57% chance of winning final round.
Don't bother trying to argue these numbers, because Dom uses numbers and spreadsheets and logarithms and math and stuff. - Atomic Wedgie
Troll food
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Atomic Wedgie
Toronto Maple Leafs |
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Location: The centre of the hockey universe Joined: 07.31.2006
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50% of the time, he flips the coin right EVERY time. - AdamFrench
I would imagine he doesn't flip a coin - he has a complex program on his computer which randomly generates a head or tail. |
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gergeswillems
Detroit Red Wings |
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Location: Malkin wants to be The Man, ON Joined: 02.01.2016
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Chicago continues to cheat the cap system at an incredible pace. Leafs did well with Robidas Island but they have nothing on the Hawks. First they squirm out of Hossa with Jockstrapgate now this baloney. Would do a happy dance if the league hit them with penalty on this one. - winsix
I agree with you. Problem is that this can of worms was opened a long time ago and now it seems all teams are doing it. How do you allow one team to do it and not allow it for another team? |
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Garnie
Toronto Maple Leafs |
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Location: ON Joined: 11.30.2009
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Nope. I'm only 6'0. My cousin is 6'9. (frank)ing Neanderthal. - gergeswillems
Your cousin only has me by 2 ft. |
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Atomic Wedgie
Toronto Maple Leafs |
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Location: The centre of the hockey universe Joined: 07.31.2006
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In cm's I am 191, my oldest son is 190 and my 18 y/o son is 192 and still growing. Only shortbread for him now - no more spaghetti - 21peter
Jesus, dude - you are speaking with a bunch of Canadians!
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gergeswillems
Detroit Red Wings |
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Location: Malkin wants to be The Man, ON Joined: 02.01.2016
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In cm's I am 191, my oldest son is 190 and my 18 y/o son is 192 and still growing. Only shortbread for him now - no more spaghetti - 21peter
Ha! |
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Adam French
Atlanta Thrashers |
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Location: Isn't Cooley 5"11? You know who else is 5"11? Sydney Crosby. - Scabeh Joined: 04.06.2011
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I would imagine he doesn't flip a coin - he has a complex program on his computer which randomly generates a head or tail. - Atomic Wedgie
Btw. I love Calgary consistently getting more and more insanely demanding coaches. Mike Keanan and Ken Hitchcock must be frothing at the mouth in anticipation for the call. |
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gergeswillems
Detroit Red Wings |
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Location: Malkin wants to be The Man, ON Joined: 02.01.2016
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Your cousin only has me by 2 ft. - Garnie
He can still pick me up and throw me around. It's a VERY helpless feeling knowing you can't do anything about it. Kind of like watching the Red Wings now. |
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winsix
Season Ticket Holder Toronto Maple Leafs |
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Location: Henry Hudson's Fairchild 24 South Porcupine Joined: 04.03.2016
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I agree with you. Problem is that this can of worms was opened a long time ago and now it seems all teams are doing it. How do you allow one team to do it and not allow it for another team? - gergeswillems
The league gave to Vancouver right in the rump roast with the Luongo contract, they can do something here unless the ghost of "Dollar Bill" still haunts Gary.
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senstroll
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Location: Leafs AAV Champs, ON Joined: 02.22.2008
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Anyone seen Dom Luszczyszyn's numbers for playoff probabilities this morning?
Toronto Maple Leafs:
100% to make the playoffs. OK, I can agree with this.
76% to make it to round 2. That seems a little high - 3 in 4? But OK.
57% to make it to round 3. If I'm mathing correctly, that's making us heavy, heavy favourites to win round 2. Like, 75% chance.
37% chance to make it to the Finals. 65% to win round 3? Really?
21% chance to win the Stanley Cup. Just take a moment to look at that, breathe it in. Mmmmmmmmm. 57% chance of winning final round.
Don't bother trying to argue these numbers, because Dom uses numbers and spreadsheets and logarithms and math and stuff. - Atomic Wedgie
this doesnt sound right to me
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gergeswillems
Detroit Red Wings |
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Location: Malkin wants to be The Man, ON Joined: 02.01.2016
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The league gave to Vancouver right in the rump roast with the Luongo contract, they can do something here unless the ghost of "Dollar Bill" still haunts Gary. - winsix
I think that was because Gary warned Mike Gillis what would happen if they gave Luongo that contract extension. Gillis said "Nah, I'm good." So when Luongo did retire, Gary said "Nah, I'm good." |
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21peter
Atlanta Thrashers |
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Location: Peter I Island Joined: 11.18.2014
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Jesus, dude - you are speaking with a bunch of Canadians!
- Atomic Wedgie
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Garnie
Toronto Maple Leafs |
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Location: ON Joined: 11.30.2009
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He can still pick me up and throw me around. It's a VERY helpless feeling knowing you can't do anything about it. Kind of like watching the Red Wings now. - gergeswillems
He won’t (frank) with me
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Adam French
Atlanta Thrashers |
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Location: Isn't Cooley 5"11? You know who else is 5"11? Sydney Crosby. - Scabeh Joined: 04.06.2011
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- 21peter
It's sadly very on point. |
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PatC80
Toronto Maple Leafs |
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Location: I would never let my children play hockey. The risk of getting drafted by Edmonton is too high", ON Joined: 08.11.2011
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The league gave to Vancouver right in the rump roast with the Luongo contract, they can do something here unless the ghost of "Dollar Bill" still haunts Gary. - winsix
if he has officially retired, there should be a cap recapture penalty... |
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senstroll
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Location: Leafs AAV Champs, ON Joined: 02.22.2008
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Anyone seen Dom Luszczyszyn's numbers for playoff probabilities this morning?
Toronto Maple Leafs:
100% to make the playoffs. OK, I can agree with this.
76% to make it to round 2. That seems a little high - 3 in 4? But OK.
57% to make it to round 3. If I'm mathing correctly, that's making us heavy, heavy favourites to win round 2. Like, 75% chance.
37% chance to make it to the Finals. 65% to win round 3? Really?
21% chance to win the Stanley Cup. Just take a moment to look at that, breathe it in. Mmmmmmmmm. 57% chance of winning final round.
Don't bother trying to argue these numbers, because Dom uses numbers and spreadsheets and logarithms and math and stuff. - Atomic Wedgie
I look at these numbers like this.
for example if they played each series 100 time or 1000 times or 10000 times..thats kinda how these things work, run the sims thousands of times and see how many times each wins.
Leafs win round 1 76% of the time
Leafs win round 2 57% of the time (lose 43%, feel about right with this season)
Leafs win round 3 37% of the times (lose 65%, not a great chance)
Leafs win cup 21% of the time, lose 79% (really bad odds they win)
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21peter
Atlanta Thrashers |
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Location: Peter I Island Joined: 11.18.2014
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this doesnt sound right to me - senstroll
when you're a #'s guy, how often isn't it you see they (frank) up about it in the media... |
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Garnie
Toronto Maple Leafs |
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Location: ON Joined: 11.30.2009
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if he has officially retired, there should be a cap recapture penalty... - PatC80
It’ll be like Pronger I’m guessing.
No sense in retiring if he’s hurt and it’s going to cost his team. |
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senstroll
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Location: Leafs AAV Champs, ON Joined: 02.22.2008
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when you're a #'s guy, how often isn't it you see they (frank) up about it in the media... - 21peter
ill be honest, I have no idea what you are saying here |
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mjones242
Toronto Maple Leafs |
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Location: Pretentious Beer Snob, ON Joined: 06.22.2015
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In cm's I am 191, my oldest son is 190 and my 18 y/o son is 192 and still growing. Only shortbread for him now - no more spaghetti - 21peter
Is it weird that I have no idea how to interpret cm for height? Canada is weird -- we have metric for almost everything but stick to imperial for oddball things like height/weight (in casual context). |
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Atomic Wedgie
Toronto Maple Leafs |
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Location: The centre of the hockey universe Joined: 07.31.2006
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I look at these numbers like this.
for example if they played each series 100 time or 1000 times or 10000 times..thats kinda how these things work, run the sims thousands of times and see how many times each wins.
Leafs win round 1 76% of the time
Leafs win round 2 57% of the time (lose 43%, feel about right with this season)
Leafs win round 3 37% of the times (lose 65%, not a great chance)
Leafs win cup 21% of the time, lose 79% (really bad odds they win) - senstroll
I don't think you are interpreting this correctly.
Leafs have a 57% chance of advancing to round 3. That's not the same as a 57% chance of winning round 2.
Otherwise, they have every team as a heavy underdog for the finals. |
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senstroll
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Location: Leafs AAV Champs, ON Joined: 02.22.2008
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I don't think you are interpreting this correctly.
Leafs have a 57% chance of advancing to round 3. That's not the same as a 57% chance as winning round 2.
Otherwise, they have every team as a heavy underdog for the finals. - Atomic Wedgie
advancing to round 3 means you won round 2
pretty sure I am reading this properly
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21peter
Atlanta Thrashers |
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Location: Peter I Island Joined: 11.18.2014
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ill be honest, I have no idea what you are saying here - senstroll
ok |
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