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Forums :: Blog World :: Michael Pachla: Sabres streaming tomorrow's scrimmage plus 2021 IIHF WJC notes
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Sabretooth9
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 05.24.2019

Jan 4 @ 8:48 PM ET
Woah woah woah hold your horses there.

Spencer Knight can easily spoil that party.

- Pegullaville



USA doesn’t have the same level of fire power. I get spencer knight is a beast
Sabretooth9
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 05.24.2019

Jan 4 @ 8:48 PM ET
I believe the border issue complicates things. It is what it is and not worth worrying about
- Michael Pachla


Can we just transport him via bubble. Like bubble boy
jdfitz77
Buffalo Sabres
Location: buffalo, NY
Joined: 05.21.2007

Jan 4 @ 8:50 PM ET
It was a joke. I said fitter. Because mitts is fat and out of shape
- Sabretooth9


Read like u were sarcastically responding to someone talking sh!t about Cozens
My bad
Michael Pachla
Buffalo Sabres
Location: solid!!!
Joined: 09.05.2007

Jan 4 @ 8:51 PM ET
Can we just transport him via bubble. Like bubble boy
- Sabretooth9

Roll him right across the lake
Der Kaiser
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I Know Nothink ... NOTHINK!
Joined: 07.27.2007

Jan 4 @ 8:57 PM ET
Roll him right across the lake
- Michael Pachla



http://bilasport.net/game...u20-vs-finland-u20-1.html

9:30 start time (Eastern)
Michael Pachla
Buffalo Sabres
Location: solid!!!
Joined: 09.05.2007

Jan 4 @ 9:05 PM ET
http://bilasport.net/game/usa-u20-vs-finland-u20-1.html

9:30 start time (Eastern)

- Der Kaiser

Mucho garcia
Pegullaville
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Toronto
Joined: 03.16.2011

Jan 4 @ 9:09 PM ET
I’d put cozens as jacks rw right Away. He’s that good, a complete player

Quinn had a couple of Turovers but also is one of the youngest guys on Canada. He needs to add weight. I’m interested to see how Lundell looks can the US tonight, he was really good vs Sweden. We may regret not taking him

- turbo044


Quinn has good positioning defensively and that can translate to the pros.

He has left a lot to be desired offensively though. I know I personally wanted to go in a different direction with the 8th pick, and there may be bias involved, but I’ve tried to be as impartial as possible.

Right now he looks like the kid who made the team because his OHL coach is the coach.

I look forward to him hopefully proving me wrong though.
3rd GM's the charm
Columbus Blue Jackets
Location: Look, it's a situation where thats a great question, OH
Joined: 07.01.2020

Jan 4 @ 9:10 PM ET
Eyes and lungs are overrated, you don't even need both lungs, or eyes at all!
- Wetbandit1

I mean, we have 2 of everything, when you think about it, we can live with half a brain, Fitz is proof.
sbroads24
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We are in 30th place. It's 2017 , NY
Joined: 02.12.2012

Jan 4 @ 9:16 PM ET
Quinn has good positioning defensively and that can translate to the pros.

He has left a lot to be desired offensively though. I know I personally wanted to go in a different direction with the 8th pick, and there may be bias involved, but I’ve tried to be as impartial as possible.

Right now he looks like the kid who made the team because his OHL coach is the coach.

I look forward to him hopefully proving me wrong though.

- Pegullaville

Quinn has looked like a late first - early second who’s a solid player but nothing special.

I truly like him if we were picking in the mid-1st as a character middle six winger who could probably play with Jack as well, but at the 8th pick with who was there it was a moronic choice
Pegullaville
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Toronto
Joined: 03.16.2011

Jan 4 @ 9:32 PM ET
Quinn has looked like a late first - early second who’s a solid player but nothing special.

I truly like him if we were picking in the mid-1st as a character middle six winger who could probably play with Jack as well, but at the 8th pick with who was there it was a moronic choice

- sbroads24


Something we can agree on.

Quinn can play the “Sobotka” role so to speak but has the shot that can convert the chances created by others.

Perhaps there is some untapped potential there. Adams probably saw Pasternak, I see more Toffoli/Oshie if all goes well.
Lunaion
Joined: 05.23.2016

Jan 4 @ 9:36 PM ET
Quinn has looked like a late first - early second who’s a solid player but nothing special.

I truly like him if we were picking in the mid-1st as a character middle six winger who could probably play with Jack as well, but at the 8th pick with who was there it was a moronic choice

- sbroads24


You're way too bitter about this. I wanted Rossi, but it was a very reasonable pick that could easily work out for them.
buffalofan19
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Wonderful things can happen when you sow seeds of distrust in a garden full of (bum)holes
Joined: 07.01.2007

Jan 4 @ 9:42 PM ET
USA doesn’t have the same level of fire power. I get spencer knight is a beast
- Sabretooth9

Not denying Canada's fire power, but they have feasted on a weaker pool.
sbroads24
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We are in 30th place. It's 2017 , NY
Joined: 02.12.2012

Jan 4 @ 9:46 PM ET
You're way too bitter about this. I wanted Rossi, but it was a very reasonable pick that could easily work out for them.
- Lunaion

Depending on how into analytics you are, this is the reason why I couldn’t disagree more that it wasn’t close to reasonable-

@ByronMBader
Marco Rossi currently has the 5th highest star probability of any forward drafted since 2015.

Eichel, McDavid, Matthews and Laine are the four above him.

Svechnikov, Marner, Pettersson and Keller are the four below him.


If he doesn’t turn out to be a perennial all-star, it’s a surprise
ZiggyBuff
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 06.10.2017

Jan 4 @ 9:48 PM ET
Depending on how into analytics you are, this is the reason why I couldn’t disagree more that it wasn’t close to reasonable-

@ByronMBader
Marco Rossi currently has the 5th highest star probability of any forward drafted since 2015.

Eichel, McDavid, Matthews and Laine are the four above him.

Svechnikov, Marner, Pettersson and Keller are the four below him.


If he doesn’t turn out to be a perennial all-star, it’s a surprise

- sbroads24



Why he go 9th then?
jdfitz77
Buffalo Sabres
Location: buffalo, NY
Joined: 05.21.2007

Jan 4 @ 9:49 PM ET
Quinn has looked like a late first - early second who’s a solid player but nothing special.

I truly like him if we were picking in the mid-1st as a character middle six winger who could probably play with Jack as well, but at the 8th pick with who was there it was a moronic choice

- sbroads24


So you’re not ok with picking a guy at 8,
who was supposedly ranked around 15 (7 spots higher difference)

But now you’re calling him a late1st/early2nd (split the difference & say 31st), and you’d have been ok picking him in the mid1st (around 15th),
which would be roughly 16spots higher

That doesn’t make much sense
sbroads24
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We are in 30th place. It's 2017 , NY
Joined: 02.12.2012

Jan 4 @ 9:50 PM ET
Why he go 9th then?
- ZiggyBuff

Because he’s small, which was entirely predictable
Pegullaville
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Toronto
Joined: 03.16.2011

Jan 4 @ 9:52 PM ET
Why he go 9th then?
- ZiggyBuff


Same reason why 4 teams passed on the third best talent in the 2018 draft in Quinn Hughes.

Height.
sbroads24
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We are in 30th place. It's 2017 , NY
Joined: 02.12.2012

Jan 4 @ 9:54 PM ET
So you’re not ok with picking a guy at 8,
who was supposedly ranked around 15 (7 spots higher difference)

But now you’re calling him a late1st/early2nd (split the difference & say 31st), and you’d have been ok picking him in the mid1st (around 15th),
which would be roughly 16spots higher

That doesn’t make much sense

- jdfitz77

No, in the WJC he’s played like a late first early second rounder who’s a depth player on Team Canada

jdfitz77
Buffalo Sabres
Location: buffalo, NY
Joined: 05.21.2007

Jan 4 @ 9:56 PM ET
No, in the WJC he’s played like a late first early second rounder who’s a depth player on Team Canada
- sbroads24


Gotcha. Small sample size though
He’s a guy you’ve said multiple times that you like
I’m looking forward to the day u let Rossi go
Lunaion
Joined: 05.23.2016

Jan 4 @ 9:59 PM ET
Depending on how into analytics you are, this is the reason why I couldn’t disagree more that it wasn’t close to reasonable-

@ByronMBader
Marco Rossi currently has the 5th highest star probability of any forward drafted since 2015.

Eichel, McDavid, Matthews and Laine are the four above him.

Svechnikov, Marner, Pettersson and Keller are the four below him.


If he doesn’t turn out to be a perennial all-star, it’s a surprise

- sbroads24


You're talking about applying analytics to 18 year olds. If a 9th pick turns into an all-star at all, it's a surprise.

These were the #6 and #7 rated NA skaters. It's not nearly as egregious as you're making it out to be.
buffalofan19
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Wonderful things can happen when you sow seeds of distrust in a garden full of (bum)holes
Joined: 07.01.2007

Jan 4 @ 10:03 PM ET
No, in the WJC he’s played like a late first early second rounder who’s a depth player on Team Canada
- sbroads24

I used to put more stock in World Juniors performance. Mittelstadt was the tournament MVP in 2018. Eichel disappeared when it mattered most in 2015. It's far from an accurate foreshadowing.
sbroads24
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We are in 30th place. It's 2017 , NY
Joined: 02.12.2012

Jan 4 @ 10:04 PM ET
You're talking about applying analytics to 18 year olds. If a 9th pick turns into an all-star at all, it's a surprise.

These were the #6 and #7 rated NA skaters. It's not nearly as egregious as you're making it out to be.

- Lunaion

Again, it is if you trust the numbers. And he’s only the 9th pick because of how short he is.

The consensus ranking of Rossi and Quinn amongst multiple sources isn’t remotely close to being the 6th and 7th skaters. Rossi was consensus top 7 by legitimately every scouting source. That’s not close to the case for Quinn

The analytics worked for The other skaters listed.

All 8 of them listed were given high probabilities of being “stars” by this ranking and the worst of the bunch is probably Laine.

Boss34
Buffalo Sabres
Location: BUFFALO , NY
Joined: 12.03.2015

Jan 4 @ 10:08 PM ET
I used to put more stock in World Juniors performance. Mittelstadt was the tournament MVP in 2018. Eichel disappeared when it mattered most in 2015. It's far from an accurate foreshadowing.
- buffalofan19


This is a good post, the last several years have been almost the opposite. Hopefully cozens breaks that trend.

sbroads24
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We are in 30th place. It's 2017 , NY
Joined: 02.12.2012

Jan 4 @ 10:09 PM ET
I used to put more stock in World Juniors performance. Mittelstadt was the tournament MVP in 2018. Eichel disappeared when it mattered most in 2015. It's far from an accurate foreshadowing.
- buffalofan19

That’s fine, I think it’s the closest these kids get to NHL competition until they’re actually there.

And you’re right it can be misleading, but Quinn hasn’t done anything to change my mind either
Lunaion
Joined: 05.23.2016

Jan 4 @ 10:14 PM ET
This is a good post, the last several years have been almost the opposite. Hopefully cozens breaks that trend.
- Boss34


The big difference is that Cozens is physically ready to play in the NHL. Most of the time, you're left questioning their strength or speed.
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