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Forums :: Blog World :: Michael Ghofrani: Sabres Draft Primer Part 3: Gaining An Edge In Rounds 2-7
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buffalofan19
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Wonderful things can happen when you sow seeds of distrust in a garden full of (bum)holes
Joined: 07.01.2007

May 18 @ 3:00 PM ET
Lawsuits for what?

It's a declared pandemic with both the Feds and States declaring states of emergency. And not only that, the Federal Gov't issued guidelines for reopening and not one state to my knowledge has met the criteria.

- Michael Pachla



That's not going to deter people from filing them, unless this virus has some sort of unknown biological property that alters the human brain to a state unlike any other in human history.
Michael Pachla
Buffalo Sabres
Location: solid!!!
Joined: 09.05.2007

May 18 @ 3:06 PM ET
No one is forcing anyone back to work. You want to hide down your basement then do it. If you want to come back to work don’t expect to get rich by suing your employer and getting rich off it if you get sick. It is the right move to pass this.
- Alex the Great


Like I said, why is the GOP trying to add that clause to the bill?

Maybe you can stay on point for once.
Michael Pachla
Buffalo Sabres
Location: solid!!!
Joined: 09.05.2007

May 18 @ 3:09 PM ET
That's not going to deter people from filing them, unless this virus has some sort of unknown biological property that alters the human brain to a state unlike any other in human history.
- buffalofan19


Nonsense followed snark.

Nice work, but an epic fail none the less.
Lunaion
Joined: 05.23.2016

May 18 @ 3:18 PM ET
In case people want to talk hockey instead of fighting culture wars:

https://dobberprospects.c...ck-probabilities/#respond

My problem with the methodology is that using games played as a metric for evaluating top-10 pick success isn't really useful. This article uses a benchmark of 100 games played, but almost every top-10 pick will get 100 games just based on the fact that they were picked in the top-10.

- jcragcrumple


Solid effort. Maybe tomorrow.
IonSabres
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I said that months ago, keep up!, FL
Joined: 03.10.2013

May 18 @ 3:24 PM ET
No one is forcing anyone back to work. You want to hide down your basement then do it. If you want to come back to work don’t expect to get rich by suing your employer and getting rich off it if you get sick. It is the right move to pass this.
- Alex the Great


Voice of reason.
Land of the free, allow people to make decisions for their interest, as long as it doesn't create obvious issues for others. People can use common sense and apply the general recommendations we have learned for public safety. Those at higher risk need to be vigilant to protect themselves.

I will say however, the NYC area is rather unique given the crowded environment and reliance on public transportation, therefore it should be treated uniquely as well. At least, they shouldn't require the most at risk to be for ed to live with known IC-19 infected ... what a friggin gaff that was. Talk about major F-up.
Michael Pachla
Buffalo Sabres
Location: solid!!!
Joined: 09.05.2007

May 18 @ 3:35 PM ET
I’d guess it’s because the vast majority of their constituents actually pay tax.
- TheHank

Not sure what you're getting at. But if you're happy, then so be it.
Losman
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 08.30.2006

May 18 @ 3:37 PM ET
If Eklund's post is true, the Sabres are in this sham of a Stanley Cup tournament?
TheHank
Location: Yawn.
Joined: 01.11.2017

May 18 @ 3:43 PM ET
Not sure what you're getting at. But if you're happy, then so be it.
- Michael Pachla

I’m not happy. I stopped relying on someone else to make decisions for me a long damn time ago. I side with peter, not Paul and I’m not ashamed to say it.
IonSabres
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I said that months ago, keep up!, FL
Joined: 03.10.2013

May 18 @ 3:46 PM ET
In case people want to talk hockey instead of fighting culture wars:

https://dobberprospects.c...ck-probabilities/#respond

My problem with the methodology is that using games played as a metric for evaluating top-10 pick success isn't really useful. This article uses a benchmark of 100 games played, but almost every top-10 pick will get 100 games just based on the fact that they were picked in the top-10.

- jcragcrumple


Agreed.
Should have moved the bar to ~275 games minimum...to reflect 3 complete seasons plus a partial initial year of games.
The better metric would have been a breakdown of say top 3/1st pairing, middle 6/2nd pairing and bottom 6/3rd pairing.
That would have been a pain to track, but would have added much more value.

Anyway, Sabres get a player 90% sure to play at least 100 games
Michael Pachla
Buffalo Sabres
Location: solid!!!
Joined: 09.05.2007

May 18 @ 3:54 PM ET
I’m not happy. I stopped relying on someone else to make decisions for me a long damn time ago. I side with peter, not Paul and I’m not ashamed to say it.
- TheHank

I can tell you're not happy. In fact there are many here that aren't happy. Speaking for myself, I feeling pretty damn good.
feetontheair22
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Tampa doesn't suck, FL
Joined: 02.01.2011

May 18 @ 3:55 PM ET
Lawsuits for what?

It's a declared pandemic with both the Feds and States declaring states of emergency. And not only that, the Federal Gov't issued guidelines for reopening and not one state to my knowledge has met the criteria.

- Michael Pachla


Oh that pesky Constitution.
Ratsreign
Florida Panthers
Location: Mo can stay awhile, FL
Joined: 10.27.2017

May 18 @ 3:55 PM ET
If Eklund's post is true, the Sabres are in this sham of a Stanley Cup tournament?
- Losman

Is their points percentage better than Montreal's? I think that would be the only way, because I hear they're going to take top 12 in conference. Rangers would come into the Atlantic, leaving Sabres out. I've heard several scenarios, so who knows what they actually will decide to do.
LandlordTom
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Ice girls, please, NY
Joined: 07.16.2011

May 18 @ 3:58 PM ET
If Eklund's post is true, the Sabres are in this sham of a Stanley Cup tournament?
- Losman


Yeah, putting the top-6 teams in each division will screw the Rags, big time.

Hope it happens, though, so Jack and co. can say they made it to the "playoffs".
TheHank
Location: Yawn.
Joined: 01.11.2017

May 18 @ 3:59 PM ET
I can tell you're not happy. In fact there are many here that aren't happy. Speaking for myself, I feeling pretty damn good.
- Michael Pachla

Sounds about right. I’m just not a fan of overwhelming governmental control and free handouts. I can see how some might be though. Enjoy it while it lasts.
jcragcrumple
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Reluctant bridge jumper; 6th round OHL draft pick, YT
Joined: 04.04.2016

May 18 @ 3:59 PM ET
Agreed.
Should have moved the bar to ~275 games minimum...to reflect 3 complete seasons plus a partial initial year of games.
The better metric would have been a breakdown of say top 3/1st pairing, middle 6/2nd pairing and bottom 6/3rd pairing.
That would have been a pain to track, but would have added much more value.

Anyway, Sabres get a player 90% sure to play at least 100 games

- IonSabres


What id like to do is take the 6th, 7th and 8th overall picks from say 2007-2017 (too soon for the '18+ to really know) and then do the breakdown you proposed to give an average value of a 7th overall pick where the sabres will probably pick. With the understanding that this year is closer to '03 than '14 or whatever people consider shallow

Could be a good blog idea
TheHank
Location: Yawn.
Joined: 01.11.2017

May 18 @ 3:59 PM ET
Oh that pesky Constitution.
- feetontheair22

Just pick and choose what you like from it and bash the rest. Simple really
BareMetal
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Buffalo, NY
Joined: 11.15.2017

May 18 @ 4:00 PM ET
Can’t, never happened near me. Do you know how statistically insignificant that is. Police go on over 100 million calls a year and people like you drone on the 4-5 calls a year that are bad.
- Fattony1187


This.

The U.S. is exceptional at keeping records and statistics, yet no one can be bothered to look at them, nor can they be bothered to look into an incident themselves. A minority citizen was shot or pulled over? Oh, must be those racist cops hunting innocent people again.
Losman
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 08.30.2006

May 18 @ 4:02 PM ET
Is their points percentage better than Montreal's? I think that would be the only way, because I hear they're going to take top 12 in conference. Rangers would come into the Atlantic, leaving Sabres out. I've heard several scenarios, so who knows what they actually will decide to do.
- Ratsreign


EKLUND says top 6 in each division. This would jive with what Greg Wyshinski was suggesting several weeks ago.

Rangers out. Sabres in.
TheHank
Location: Yawn.
Joined: 01.11.2017

May 18 @ 4:02 PM ET
This.

The U.S. is exceptional at keeping records and statistics, yet know one can be bothered to look at them, nor can they be bothered to look into an incident themselves. A minority citizen was shot or pulled over? Oh, must be those racist cops hunting innocent people again.

- BareMetal

If I don’t commit a crime must be because I’m Caucasian. Amiright?
Michael Pachla
Buffalo Sabres
Location: solid!!!
Joined: 09.05.2007

May 18 @ 4:07 PM ET
Oh that pesky Constitution.
- feetontheair22

Care to elaborate?
Losman
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 08.30.2006

May 18 @ 4:11 PM ET
Is their points percentage better than Montreal's? I think that would be the only way, because I hear they're going to take top 12 in conference. Rangers would come into the Atlantic, leaving Sabres out. I've heard several scenarios, so who knows what they actually will decide to do.
- Ratsreign


If the league does that they will also have to bounce the Ducks out of the Pacific and move Chicago into that pod.

Can't leave Anaheim in and kick Buffalo out.
IonSabres
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I said that months ago, keep up!, FL
Joined: 03.10.2013

May 18 @ 4:11 PM ET
EKLUND says top 6 in each division. This would jive with what Greg Wyshinski was suggesting several weeks ago.

Rangers out. Sabres in.

- Losman


To say I would be shocked is a stretch, afterall it is the NHL.
I would also think they would closely follow existing method for qualification, but go with expanded number of wild card teams to get to 24 teams total.
Also, they have to be fair by using points percentage given the reality of uneven number of games played among clubs.
So, keep top 3 teams from each Division, then 6 wildcards from each conference for 12 per conference; using points percentage versus raw point totals.

Makes more sense to me, probably why they won't.
Michael Pachla
Buffalo Sabres
Location: solid!!!
Joined: 09.05.2007

May 18 @ 4:13 PM ET
Sounds about right. I’m just not a fan of overwhelming governmental control and free handouts. I can see how some might be though. Enjoy it while it lasts.
- TheHank


I've been paying taxes for over 40 years. How about you?
jcragcrumple
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Reluctant bridge jumper; 6th round OHL draft pick, YT
Joined: 04.04.2016

May 18 @ 4:14 PM ET
I've been paying taxes for over 40 years. How about corporations?
- Michael Pachla


Ftfy
Ratsreign
Florida Panthers
Location: Mo can stay awhile, FL
Joined: 10.27.2017

May 18 @ 4:15 PM ET
If the league does that they will also have to bounce the Ducks out of the Pacific and move Chicago into that pod.

Can't leave Anaheim in and kick Buffalo out.

- Losman

Yes, that will also happen if they go that route.
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