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Forums :: Blog World :: Michael Ghofrani: Analyzing Sabres Armchair GM Rosters Part 1: New Blogger Vs. Former
Author Message
Hesh_
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 07.29.2013

Apr 13 @ 6:58 AM ET
I understand Askarov is getting a ton of attention, but prospects are a crapshoot, especially with goalies.

Marner is a proven commodity. Downright stud. Great playmaker and 100 point scorer in the past and could very well be for several years to come. I get Leafs fans are irked at him for holding out, but cmon now.

Toronto would be foolish.

Which makes it absolutely fine by me. Go get him, Sabres. He and Eichel would be nasty.
kingcong39
Buffalo Sabres
Location: albany, NY
Joined: 02.21.2007

Apr 13 @ 7:09 AM ET
I understand Askarov is getting a ton of attention, but prospects are a crapshoot, especially with goalies.

Marner is a proven commodity. Downright stud. Great playmaker and 100 point scorer in the past and could very well be for several years to come. I get Leafs fans are irked at him for holding out, but cmon now.

Toronto would be foolish.

Which makes it absolutely fine by me. Go get him, Sabres. He and Eichel would be nasty.

- Hesh_


When? The OHL?
homiedclown
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We want 1, FL
Joined: 02.24.2008

Apr 13 @ 7:44 AM ET
yotes in 6
IonSabres
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I said that months ago, keep up!, FL
Joined: 03.10.2013

Apr 13 @ 8:13 AM ET
I used the actual cap hit at the time each contract was signed instead of salary, and I used some logical decisions as well, such as using Tarasenko as the number 1 RW for the Blues despite what the depth chart says, as he was out for the majority of the season.

I also excluded one salary of the 30, as Matt Barzal is about to get a large pay increase, and his 1.3% ELC cap hit very much skewed the numbers.

Here's what I got:

Line 1 LW - 9.14% of the cap, $7.45M cap hit
Line 1 C - 10.87% of the cap, $8.86M cap hit
Line 1 RW - 8.22% of the cap, $6.69M cap hit

How do the Sabres top 3 of Skinner - Eichel - Reinhart fit in there?

11.32% ($9M cap hit), 13.33% ($10M cap hit), 8.68% ($7M cap hit, estimated)

Yes they are over, but not by as much as your numbers are showing.

- kingcong39


Nice.
Now compare the actual to the amounted calculated from the projected dependable Cap, which is about $72m not $81.5m. Botts F'd-up the Bonuses this season, so they have to be paid from next seasons Cap pool...and allocate another $3m for next seasons Bonuses....and $900k in Buyouts.
Then put is whatever Flexibility Buffer you want, I used $2.5m to be parked...which gets it down from $81.5 to $72.
kingcong39
Buffalo Sabres
Location: albany, NY
Joined: 02.21.2007

Apr 13 @ 8:21 AM ET
Nice.
Now compare the actual to the amounted calculated from the projected dependable Cap, which is about $72m not $81.5m. Botts F'd-up the Bonuses this season, so they have to be paid from next seasons Cap pool...and allocate another $3m for next seasons Bonuses....and $900k in Buyouts.
Then put is whatever Flexibility Buffer you want, I used $2.5m to be parked...which gets it down from $81.5 to $72.

- IonSabres


The Cody Hodgson buyout is $791,667 through 22-23.

I'm not factoring in the bonuses until I actually know what they are. I'm not going to guess.
Michael Pachla
Buffalo Sabres
Location: solid!!!
Joined: 09.05.2007

Apr 13 @ 8:23 AM ET
Nice.
Now compare the actual to the amounted calculated from the projected dependable Cap, which is about $72m not $81.5m. Botts F'd-up the Bonuses this season, so they have to be paid from next seasons Cap pool...and allocate another $3m for next seasons Bonuses....and $900k in Buyouts.
Then put is whatever Flexibility Buffer you want, I used $2.5m to be parked...which gets it down from $81.5 to $72.

- IonSabres

Do we know how LTIR fits into the equation? CapFriendly has Buffalo with $6.68M LTIR
Camel
Season Ticket Holder
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Sudbury, ON
Joined: 04.25.2009

Apr 13 @ 8:23 AM ET
Not taking anything away from a talent like marner...that said, I'd like to see what he could do with the likes of mojo, mitts and angry larry at center instead of two of the best in league
- Michael Pachla


I agree. He’s just a boy with a mans wallet.
Michael Pachla
Buffalo Sabres
Location: solid!!!
Joined: 09.05.2007

Apr 13 @ 8:24 AM ET
The Cody Hodgson buyout is $791,667 through 22-23.

I'm not factoring in the bonuses until I actually know what they are. I'm not going to guess.

- kingcong39

This, as we don't know the effect of the shutdown on those bonuses.
kingcong39
Buffalo Sabres
Location: albany, NY
Joined: 02.21.2007

Apr 13 @ 8:28 AM ET
Do we know how LTIR fits into the equation? CapFriendly has Buffalo with $6.68M LTIR
- Michael Pachla


https://www.capfriendly.com/teams/sabres

I believe that is potential relief if they were to need it, but the actual amount they used is $2,160,434 at the point the season was stopped?

It's all a guess really until the season is officially over, whenever and however that happens.
kingcong39
Buffalo Sabres
Location: albany, NY
Joined: 02.21.2007

Apr 13 @ 8:29 AM ET
This, as we don't know the effect of the shutdown on those bonuses.
- Michael Pachla


For all we know, none of the bonus levels were hit, or they all were.

No point in guessing or factoring it in without the information that Botterill and his staff clearly have.
IonSabres
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I said that months ago, keep up!, FL
Joined: 03.10.2013

Apr 13 @ 8:40 AM ET
The Cody Hodgson buyout is $791,667 through 22-23.

I'm not factoring in the bonuses until I actually know what they are. I'm not going to guess.

- kingcong39


Botts mentioned they will have a rollover, I don't think he quantified it. Vogel I believe it was pegged it at about $3m. I think it should be factored in, I'd take away the assumed rollover for next seasons performance that I had targeted $3m for again. Gets you to ~$75m spendable.
And $100k over Cody's Buyout....ok, that will help!
buffalofan19
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Wonderful things can happen when you sow seeds of distrust in a garden full of (bum)holes
Joined: 07.01.2007

Apr 13 @ 9:02 AM ET
Botts mentioned they will have a rollover, I don't think he quantified it. Vogel I believe it was pegged it at about $3m. I think it should be factored in, I'd take away the assumed rollover for next seasons performance that I had targeted $3m for again. Gets you to ~$75m spendable.
And $100k over Cody's Buyout....ok, that will help!

- IonSabres



Botterill did confirm that there will be overages. I think Vogel's $3 million projection, though, was before "It" caused the season to be suspended.
Pegullaville
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Toronto
Joined: 03.16.2011

Apr 13 @ 9:12 AM ET
Dahlin turned 20 today, best is yet to come
Hesh_
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 07.29.2013

Apr 13 @ 9:12 AM ET
When? The OHL?
- kingcong39

Oops! My bad. ONLY 94 last year. was having another strong season this year as far as ppg.

He’ll get there. I have no doubt.
gerbe75pts
Anaheim Ducks
Location: DRAFT COLE CAUFIELD AT 7!!!, CA
Joined: 09.03.2009

Apr 13 @ 9:44 AM ET
Love me some Marner ...

Michael Pachla
Buffalo Sabres
Location: solid!!!
Joined: 09.05.2007

Apr 13 @ 9:53 AM ET
Love me some Marner ...
- gerbe75pts

who wouldn't?...have you done a capfriendly roster yet?...it would be very interesting to see your construct
IonSabres
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I said that months ago, keep up!, FL
Joined: 03.10.2013

Apr 13 @ 10:00 AM ET
who wouldn't?...have you done a capfriendly roster yet?...it would be very interesting to see your construct
- Michael Pachla


I feel for anyone who has/will submitted one.
There have been some decent suggestions inside many though.
adambuffalo
Buffalo Sabres
Location: United States, NY
Joined: 01.30.2007

Apr 13 @ 10:03 AM ET
http://www.nfl.com/news/s...jackson-dies-in-car-crash

Tavaris Jackson died in a car accident
Michael Pachla
Buffalo Sabres
Location: solid!!!
Joined: 09.05.2007

Apr 13 @ 10:04 AM ET
I feel for anyone who has/will submitted one.
There have been some decent suggestions inside many though.

- IonSabres

meh...it doesn't physically kill or maim
Hatboro_Swords
Buffalo Sabres
Location: WE'RE PRACTICING THE POWER PLAY!, PA
Joined: 07.30.2010

Apr 13 @ 10:11 AM ET
Congratulations Sabres fans. The Cinco de Mayo 2006 game being aired on MSG tonight. The greatest Sabres game ever played. I can’t wait to watch it for the first time.

For all the transplants, for whatever reason the Sabres YouTube channel no longer uploading the Classics the day after. That’s a huge bummer. Only way I’ve been able to tune in was through Spectrum app with parents account info. Even then, have to watch on a device and screen mirror to tv.
Michael Pachla
Buffalo Sabres
Location: solid!!!
Joined: 09.05.2007

Apr 13 @ 10:12 AM ET
Interesting pick for the bills at #54 by that athletic

CB, Jeff Gladney TCU

Am not opposed to a cornerback there...need to keep them stockpiled as they can become very expensive outside their rookie contracts...from some quick reads, Gladney may fit well as a slot defender who can cover wide, he's relentless and aggressive, has great instincts and can tackle...at 5'11" 191 lbs. he's a little small and seems to get manhandled at times and although be breaks up a lot of passes, there's not a lot of INT's
buffalofan19
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Wonderful things can happen when you sow seeds of distrust in a garden full of (bum)holes
Joined: 07.01.2007

Apr 13 @ 10:14 AM ET
Interesting pick for the bills at #54 by that athletic

CB, Jeff Gladney TCU

Am not opposed to a cornerback there...need to keep them stockpiled as they can become very expensive outside their rookie contracts..

from some quick reads, Gladney may fit well as a slot defender who can cover wide, he's relentless and aggressive, has great instincts and can tackle...at 5'11" 191 lbs. he's a little small and seems to get manhandled at times and although be breaks up a lot of passes, there's not a lot of INT's

- Michael Pachla



I always thought before the Diggs trade they were going to go receiver #1 and defense in the 2nd round, either DE or corner so this wouldn't surprise or upset me.
Hatboro_Swords
Buffalo Sabres
Location: WE'RE PRACTICING THE POWER PLAY!, PA
Joined: 07.30.2010

Apr 13 @ 10:18 AM ET
Interesting pick for the bills at #54 by that athletic

CB, Jeff Gladney TCU

Am not opposed to a cornerback there...need to keep them stockpiled as they can become very expensive outside their rookie contracts...from some quick reads, Gladney may fit well as a slot defender who can cover wide, he's relentless and aggressive, has great instincts and can tackle...at 5'11" 191 lbs. he's a little small and seems to get manhandled at times and although be breaks up a lot of passes, there's not a lot of INT's

- Michael Pachla

I don’t hate the idea, but what happpens if Hyde or Poyer go down? Yikes. If they’re going secondary there, would rather a safety. OL or pass rusher preferred.
gerbe75pts
Anaheim Ducks
Location: DRAFT COLE CAUFIELD AT 7!!!, CA
Joined: 09.03.2009

Apr 13 @ 10:27 AM ET
Interesting pick for the bills at #54 by that athletic

CB, Jeff Gladney TCU

Am not opposed to a cornerback there...need to keep them stockpiled as they can become very expensive outside their rookie contracts...from some quick reads, Gladney may fit well as a slot defender who can cover wide, he's relentless and aggressive, has great instincts and can tackle...at 5'11" 191 lbs. he's a little small and seems to get manhandled at times and although be breaks up a lot of passes, there's not a lot of INT's

- Michael Pachla


They need to draft a WR
gerbe75pts
Anaheim Ducks
Location: DRAFT COLE CAUFIELD AT 7!!!, CA
Joined: 09.03.2009

Apr 13 @ 10:28 AM ET
http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000001109122/article/former-nfl-qb-tarvaris-jackson-dies-in-car-crash

Tavaris Jackson died in a car accident

- adambuffalo


Is it bad i forgot who this was ..
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