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Forums :: Blog World :: Michael Ghofrani: Sabres Trade Deadline Recap
Author Message
Lunaion
Joined: 05.23.2016

Feb 27 @ 3:44 PM ET
I’d probably say no
But you realize you’re just talking about worst case in every angle of this discussion, right?
I just don’t have any reason to think it’ll all go so wrong
But i guess I’m just more positive about the situation than you? Idk
Also...
i don’t think 2mil is necessarily “team friendly”
I think it’s very close to fair

- jdfitz77


2yr 2m is team friendly. Everyone here would do that. UFA's aren't usually team friendly. I'd bring him back for [email protected], so I guess I like him more than you.

Once that $ or term rises, you are walking away pretty fast for as much as you're arguing this topic.
jdfitz77
Buffalo Sabres
Location: buffalo, NY
Joined: 05.21.2007

Feb 27 @ 3:44 PM ET
That's the task of most bottom6 groups. Try to get offensive zone draws while limiting the chances of opposing top lines.

Right around 2.5M though, you can sign a defensive forward to do the same thing for less. Sheahan, Maroon, Brassard, Clifford, Schaller, Fast, Archibald, Pitlick, Thompson, Boyle....all under 1.5M salaries, similar point production and all are deployed in bottom6s playing against opposing top lines.

- RhinoFan


But what i see HERE is that ppl are just slotting in a 4th line of something like
Asplund-Lazar-Okposo
And thinking it can be just as effective

Maybe they can put up the points?
Playing as well defensively & tilting the ice like the LOG line is not only risky, it’s not likely

Are there slightly cheaper guys out there you feel good about being able to do the job?
Yeah, probably
But paying .5mil more for the guys already here doing it doesn’t seem like it’ll kill us either

Again though...
there is a walk away point of the $$$ gets too high
I think I’d go 2.5mil tops
But even that is pushing it for me
jdfitz77
Buffalo Sabres
Location: buffalo, NY
Joined: 05.21.2007

Feb 27 @ 3:47 PM ET
Don't fall for it.

He's 27 years old having a career year. You might squeeze a year or two of 50ish points out of him but he's probably going to drop back to being a 30~ point guy pretty quickly.

- BINGO!


I see him as a 40ish point guy who can play a good 2way game with high energy/effort
Eventual 3C who can score 15+ goals & 20+ assists

Is $5mil per too much for that?
It’s pricy
But I’d do think 3C is an important slot when it comes to building a contender
jdfitz77
Buffalo Sabres
Location: buffalo, NY
Joined: 05.21.2007

Feb 27 @ 3:48 PM ET
2yr 2m is team friendly. Everyone here would do that. UFA's aren't usually team friendly. I'd bring him back for [email protected], so I guess I like him more than you.

Once that $ or term rises, you are walking away pretty fast for as much as you're arguing this topic.

- Lunaion


Well let’s just pick this back up when we see how it all plays out then
I think we’ve done enough speculating on both sides
IonSabres
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I said that months ago, keep up!, FL
Joined: 03.10.2013

Feb 27 @ 3:55 PM ET
Talking about the limit is much more interesting than saying you'd bring him back on a team friendly deal. That's just boring.

I think Larrson's comps put him at 2.5m. 3m is on the high end. The question then was: would you sign him for 3x3, if that's what it took to keep him from testing the market. Still think that is a very reasonable question. There's plenty of reasons to think he'd want to see his options.

- Lunaion


This.
Can't over pay everyone.
IMO, anything more than 2 years, $2.0 per and they need to walk away.

Unfortunately
- it becomes the additional cost of overpaying for Skinner, Okposo, Johansson, Risto, Miller;
- while still having gaping holes at 2C, 2RW, 1RhD, 2LhD, G
- AND needing new contracts for Rhino, Kahun, Montour, Ulmark, etc.
BINGO!
Carolina Hurricanes
Location: I'll always remember the last words my grandfather ever told me. He said, "A Truck!", SK
Joined: 09.21.2009

Feb 27 @ 3:56 PM ET
I see him as a 40ish point guy who can play a good 2way game with high energy/effort
Eventual 3C who can score 15+ goals & 20+ assists

Is $5mil per too much for that?
It’s pricy
But I’d do think 3C is an important slot when it comes to building a contender

- jdfitz77


40ish points is pretty optimistic though.

2014-2015: 31 point pace
2015-2016: 43 points
2016-2017: 33 points
2017-2018: 30 point pace
2018-2019: 25 point pace

There's very little evidence that this year is anything but a mirage.
Boss34
Buffalo Sabres
Location: BUFFALO , NY
Joined: 12.03.2015

Feb 27 @ 4:01 PM ET
So the Colorado game was great. Sam isn't doing it for me at all. Buffalo cannot give him more than 5-6 max per year. I don't see him making any impact other than playing with Jack. If he was on the second line, I see the second-line woes continuing forever. Especially if he gets 7.5. Skinner rode Jack to the bank last year.

What is the vote on trading him to Ottawa for their second-first round pick and their last 2nd round pick. Ottawa gets an immediate player and we get potentially top 6 pick. I just don't see Sam as a top 4 core player that will lead them to the Cup. He is good, but he seems like a role player which can be swapped. Victor is so much more noticeable than Sam.

- Tragically Buffalo



Good post :

Be ready to duck
Lunaion
Joined: 05.23.2016

Feb 27 @ 4:04 PM ET
40ish points is pretty optimistic though.

2014-2015: 31 point pace
2015-2016: 43 points
2016-2017: 33 points
2017-2018: 30 point pace
2018-2019: 25 point pace

There's very little evidence that this year is anything but a mirage.

- BINGO!


I think he's a classic case of production spiking when he gets 1st line + 1st PP minutes, coupled with an unsustainable shooting %. Going to a very defensive minded team, I think you're right.
jdfitz77
Buffalo Sabres
Location: buffalo, NY
Joined: 05.21.2007

Feb 27 @ 4:08 PM ET
This.
Can't over pay everyone.
IMO, anything more than 2 years, $2.0 per and they need to walk away.

Unfortunately
- it becomes the additional cost of overpaying for Skinner, Okposo, Johansson, Risto, Miller;
- while still having gaping holes at 2C, 2RW, 1RhD, 2LhD, G
- AND needing new contracts for Rhino, Kahun, Montour, Ulmark, etc.

- IonSabres


Shouldn’t let past mistakes keeps you from keeping guys who play their roles well though either
Trade MoJo, Okposo isn’t here forever, Miller is also tradable, etc etc
We don’t have to keep all our “mistakes” forever
jdfitz77
Buffalo Sabres
Location: buffalo, NY
Joined: 05.21.2007

Feb 27 @ 4:10 PM ET
40ish points is pretty optimistic though.

2014-2015: 31 point pace
2015-2016: 43 points
2016-2017: 33 points
2017-2018: 30 point pace
2018-2019: 25 point pace

There's very little evidence that this year is anything but a mirage.

- BINGO!


On terrible teams
If he’s the 3C on Tampa, what’s he look like?
I think he can be a good player in a 2way role
We’ll see why he does with NyI
They pod a high price, but i think they’ll like the player
BINGO!
Carolina Hurricanes
Location: I'll always remember the last words my grandfather ever told me. He said, "A Truck!", SK
Joined: 09.21.2009

Feb 27 @ 4:12 PM ET
On terrible teams
If he’s the 3C on Tampa, what’s he look like?
I think he can be a good player in a 2way role
We’ll see why he does with NyI
They pod a high price, but i think they’ll like the player

- jdfitz77


Probably about the same. His production is spiking with extra usage. he's not going to be the primary option on another team like he is in Ottawa.
buffalofan19
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Wonderful things can happen when you sow seeds of distrust in a garden full of (bum)holes
Joined: 07.01.2007

Feb 27 @ 4:13 PM ET
On terrible teams
If he’s the 3C on Tampa, what’s he look like?
I think he can be a good player in a 2way role
We’ll see why he does with NyI
They pod a high price, but i think they’ll like the player

- jdfitz77



Probably pretty good, because that's where he belongs on a team that considers itself a contender. The same goes for Trocheck.
buffalofan19
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Wonderful things can happen when you sow seeds of distrust in a garden full of (bum)holes
Joined: 07.01.2007

Feb 27 @ 4:14 PM ET
Probably about the same. His production is spiking with extra usage. he's not going to be the primary option on another team like he is in Ottawa.
- BINGO!



At the same time, teams aren't going to defend against him like he is, either.
dadeadhead
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I don't want to say Greztky was a dude when I was watching. Mentalorgasm5 , NY
Joined: 07.16.2006

Feb 27 @ 4:14 PM ET
Don't fall for it.

He's 27 years old having a career year. You might squeeze a year or two of 50ish points out of him but he's probably going to drop back to being a 30~ point guy pretty quickly.

- BINGO!



Carolina has been paying Staal more for less for years...........



IonSabres
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I said that months ago, keep up!, FL
Joined: 03.10.2013

Feb 27 @ 4:17 PM ET
So the Colorado game was great. Sam isn't doing it for me at all. Buffalo cannot give him more than 5-6 max per year. I don't see him making any impact other than playing with Jack. If he was on the second line, I see the second-line woes continuing forever. Especially if he gets 7.5. Skinner rode Jack to the bank last year.

What is the vote on trading him to Ottawa for their second-first round pick and their last 2nd round pick. Ottawa gets an immediate player and we get potentially top 6 pick. I just don't see Sam as a top 4 core player that will lead them to the Cup. He is good, but he seems like a role player which can be swapped. Victor is so much more noticeable than Sam.

- Tragically Buffalo


Let's throw out the question of IF Ottawa would trade for Sam, because that SJ picks could be top 3...meaning they could grab Byfield and another beast upfront or Drysdale on the D.
That being said...

If Ottawa gave up that pick in the top 5 I'd do it.

Sam is one of the least of the Sabres problems currently....that story changes a bit when he is making $7.25m.

As much as Sam gets bashed, the notion of Anyone can play with Jack just isn't true.
Jack has played with most if not all wingers, Rhino has been the best by lightyears.

I would like to see Kahun there...if he can produce nearly as well, you'd have to give it very serious consideration for sure.
IonSabres
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I said that months ago, keep up!, FL
Joined: 03.10.2013

Feb 27 @ 4:21 PM ET
Shouldn’t let past mistakes keeps you from keeping guys who play their roles well though either
Trade MoJo, Okposo isn’t here forever, Miller is also tradable, etc etc
We don’t have to keep all our “mistakes” forever

- jdfitz77



I mean, there is a hard Cap.
There are glaring holes elsewhere.
You're buying at a relative high for positions where the value difference just isn't warranted.
Having a 2C pop in 25/35/60 and getting Skinner to 35/20/55 provides far more value than the difference between Lazar and Larsson.
IonSabres
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I said that months ago, keep up!, FL
Joined: 03.10.2013

Feb 27 @ 4:22 PM ET
Shouldn’t let past mistakes keeps you from keeping guys who play their roles well though either
Trade MoJo, Okposo isn’t here forever, Miller is also tradable, etc etc
We don’t have to keep all our “mistakes” forever

- jdfitz77



I mean, there is a hard Cap.
There are glaring holes elsewhere.
You're buying at a relative high for positions where the value difference just isn't warranted.
Having a 2C pop in 25/35/60 and getting Skinner to 35/20/55 provides far more value than the difference between Lazar and Larsson.
ImThatGuy
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I AM MY OWN DAMN SOURCE!, NY
Joined: 11.04.2010

Feb 27 @ 4:24 PM ET
I mean, there is a hard Cap.
There are glaring holes elsewhere.
You're buying at a relative high for positions where the value difference just isn't warranted.
Having a 2C pop in 25/35/60 and getting Skinner to 35/20/55 provides far more value than the difference between Lazar and Larsson.

- IonSabres


{COUGH} Ryan Johansen {COUGH}
dadeadhead
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I don't want to say Greztky was a dude when I was watching. Mentalorgasm5 , NY
Joined: 07.16.2006

Feb 27 @ 4:27 PM ET
{COUGH} Ryan Johansen {COUGH}
- ImThatGuy



Hasn’t scored 20 goals in 5 years..........
Powerslave
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Arriving Somewhere But Not Here
Joined: 02.10.2011

Feb 27 @ 4:28 PM ET
We're getting Tyler Johnson and Josh Anderson.
NEDinED
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Edmonton, AB
Joined: 07.06.2013

Feb 27 @ 4:29 PM ET
I know we all want to see that big move for a 2C but who is that guy? And what does he cost?

Could it be better to bring in a cheap 3c that can spot in the 2nd line until cozens or mitts is ready? I'm thinking someone like Bonino or Tierney. Good Penalty killers as well.

I'd also move Risto for whatever we can get. Use those assets for a 2RW, or cap space to sign someone.
BINGO!
Carolina Hurricanes
Location: I'll always remember the last words my grandfather ever told me. He said, "A Truck!", SK
Joined: 09.21.2009

Feb 27 @ 4:31 PM ET
Carolina has been paying Staal more for less for years...........




- dadeadhead


his 30 point pace this year is the worst of his career. He's been a pretty consistent 40-45ish points for forever.

not what they wanted out of him, to be sure, but it's not like you're going to buy that contract out either.
gerbe75pts
Anaheim Ducks
Location: DRAFT COLE CAUFIELD AT 7!!!, CA
Joined: 09.03.2009

Feb 27 @ 4:31 PM ET
We're getting Tyler Johnson and Josh Anderson.
- Powerslave


Dont see Johnson waving to come here

And Anderson I don't trust
dadeadhead
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I don't want to say Greztky was a dude when I was watching. Mentalorgasm5 , NY
Joined: 07.16.2006

Feb 27 @ 4:33 PM ET
his 30 point pace this year is the worst of his career. He's been a pretty consistent 40-45ish points for forever.

not what they wanted out of him, to be sure, but it's not like you're going to buy that contract out either.

- BINGO!



His best hockey was almost 10 years ago.
Lunaion
Joined: 05.23.2016

Feb 27 @ 4:35 PM ET
I mean, there is a hard Cap.
There are glaring holes elsewhere.
You're buying at a relative high for positions where the value difference just isn't warranted.
Having a 2C pop in 25/35/60 and getting Skinner to 35/20/55 provides far more value than the difference between Lazar and Larsson.

- IonSabres


This should be a huge concern. Any roster these days starts with 6-8 guys making less than 1m. If your 4th line is making 10.5m, it comes at a cost somewhere else.
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