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Forums :: Blog World :: Mike Augello: Leafs finally even in games, only moving Kapanen in "big" deal
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RogerRoeper
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Toronto, ON
Joined: 03.27.2007

Jan 23 @ 4:30 PM ET
You think NY perceives him as a backup? Everyone knows he's a future starter. Stop acting like he's 34 and been a backup for 10 years.
- aminnes


New York sees him as trade bait. he's not their future starter at all. they have a better prospect they think is better.

To pay a massive price for a goalie based on him being a future #1 is dumb, You can't predict goaltending at all. That's why they rarely are picked high.

Igor Shesterkin is the Rangers future starter.
aminnes
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Mrs. Buzzkill, AB
Joined: 12.17.2008

Jan 23 @ 4:31 PM ET
Seriously. You need to stop perceiving him like he's proven ANYTHING.

He has played in 10, 33 and 23 games in 3 different NHL seasons posting save percentages of .918, .914 and .910 in that descending order.

He has potential. He hasn't done anything to merit the outlandish price tag people want him to have.

To put this in perspective, a 37 year old Lundqvist has a save percentage of .907 this year behind the same defense.

- Monkeypunk


I don't disagree, but NY sees him as their future.

I would say people overblow Nylander's value. Other Gms know full well he is one dimensional and surely wonder what he could do without playing with Matthews and/or Tavares.

Would the Rangers trade away their perceived future number one goalie for a guy who should score 30? Probably. Would they trade their perceived future number one for a guy who scored 20 once but looks like a lower tier top 6 forward? I doubt it.
Tumbleweed
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: avid reader of the daily douche news
Joined: 03.14.2014

Jan 23 @ 4:32 PM ET
Obviously, I'm not in the room with Gorton and Davidson, but honestly, Georgie is not perceived as a backup or the future.
He's been too good to keep as a backup, but Shesterkin is the future.
They need to pull the trigger on moving Georgie while his stock is high, but there's no way he's bringing back a top-9 player one for one. As much as I wish it were true. I'm not huge on Kapanen, living in Southern Ontario, I see more of the Leafs than I might like, but I don't see that he has any skills more valuable than his speed.
That being said, I would love to see a Georgie package that brings back Kapanen and someone like Bracco. I don't know your whole prospect pool, so I don't know what others to target that have upside. Would love Robertson, but I understand he is probably not being moved.

- Tonybere


sounds like andersen/gibson. we paid a late 1st and 2nd for the lesser of the 2.
RogerRoeper
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Toronto, ON
Joined: 03.27.2007

Jan 23 @ 4:32 PM ET
Gorgiev isn't really seen as a future star goalie at all. Where do people get this stuff?
aminnes
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Mrs. Buzzkill, AB
Joined: 12.17.2008

Jan 23 @ 4:32 PM ET
New York sees him as trade bait. he's not their future starter at all. they have a better prospect they think is better.

To pay a massive price for a goalie based on him being a future #1 is dumb, You can't predict goaltending at all. That's why they rarely are picked high.

Igor Shesterkin is the Rangers future starter.

- RogerRoeper


I agree. I never said I wanted him, I just said NY is not trading him for a Johnsson, but they likely would for a Nylander.
RogerRoeper
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Toronto, ON
Joined: 03.27.2007

Jan 23 @ 4:33 PM ET
I don't disagree, but NY sees him as their future.

I would say people overblow Nylander's value. Other Gms know full well he is one dimensional and surely wonder what he could do without playing with Matthews and/or Tavares.

Would the Rangers trade away their perceived future number one goalie for a guy who should score 30? Probably. Would they trade their perceived future number one for a guy who scored 20 once but looks like a lower tier top 6 forward? I doubt it.

- aminnes


Stop saying this. Igor Shesterkin is their future #1. Gorgiev is trade bait due to having a guy who they think will be better.
RogerRoeper
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Toronto, ON
Joined: 03.27.2007

Jan 23 @ 4:34 PM ET
I agree. I never said I wanted him, I just said NY is not trading him for a Johnsson, but they likely would for a Nylander.
- aminnes


You honestly think any NHL team will trade someone that good for a backup? Not happening. Have you seen what backups go for?
Tonybere
New York Rangers
Location: ON
Joined: 02.04.2016

Jan 23 @ 4:34 PM ET
New York sees him as trade bait. he's not their future starter at all. they have a better prospect they think is better.

To pay a massive price for a goalie based on him being a future #1 is dumb, You can't predict goaltending at all. That's why they rarely are picked high.

Igor Shesterkin is the Rangers present starter.

- RogerRoeper



- fixed!

Hank has only started one game since Jan. 2.
Shesty sent down to get some games in during our 10 day break, then he'll be back up.
Unfortunately, Lundqvist is in the way right now, that's the reality. But, he's earned the right to finish out his contract in NY ten times over.
Monkeypunk
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Whenever, wherever, ON
Joined: 06.27.2013

Jan 23 @ 4:35 PM ET
IMO, it should be Johnsson for Georgiev. 1 for 1.

We get a decent back up, and the Rangers get a top 6 winger

- PatC80


I don't think I'm overvaluing Johnsson when I say that I think that's an overpayment.

Other guys I would lump into the same boat as Johnsson based on age and production:

Sam Reinhart, Tyler Bertuzzi, Pavel Buchnevich, Oliver Bjorkstrand, Jakub Vrana, Frank Vatrano, Dylan Strome, Anthony Duclair, Alex Galchenyuk . . .

They're all roughly in that 22-24 age range and produced around 20 goals and 40 points at their ages. Some are obviously better than others and have more potential, but all of them have proven something at the NHL level at a young age.

Georgiev is just 23 which is great, but he has not played more than 33 games in an NHL season. This year he is worse than last year statistically.

Cam Talbot was traded for a 2nd and a 3rd.
Andersen was traded for a late 1st and a 2nd
Grubauer (with Orpik) was traded for a 2nd
Kuemper was traded for Rieder and Wedgewood (what a steal)
Raanta was traded with Stepan for DeAngelo and a 1st

I don't see giving up a top 6 guy for an unproven backup as the market rate.
RogerRoeper
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Toronto, ON
Joined: 03.27.2007

Jan 23 @ 4:35 PM ET
Leafs are always supposed to pay more than other players in trades LOL
Tumbleweed
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: avid reader of the daily douche news
Joined: 03.14.2014

Jan 23 @ 4:36 PM ET
I don't think I'm overvaluing Johnsson when I say that I think that's an overpayment.

Other guys I would lump into the same boat as Johnsson based on age and production:

Sam Reinhart, Tyler Bertuzzi, Pavel Buchnevich, Oliver Bjorkstrand, Jakub Vrana, Frank Vatrano, Dylan Strome, Anthony Duclair, Alex Galchenyuk . . .

They're all roughly in that 22-24 age range and produced around 20 goals and 40 points at their ages. Some are obviously better than others and have more potential, but all of them have proven something at the NHL level at a young age.

Georgiev is just 23 which is great, but he has not played more than 33 games in an NHL season. This year he is worse than last year statistically.

Cam Talbot was traded for a 2nd and a 3rd.
Andersen was traded for a late 1st and a 2nd
Grubauer (with Orpik) was traded for a 2nd
Kuemper was traded for Rieder and Wedgewood (what a steal)
Raanta was traded with Stepan for DeAngelo and a 1st


I don't see giving up a top 6 guy for an unproven backup as the market rate.

- Monkeypunk


this.

the goalie market generally sucks. there is no precedent for giving up kap
Tonybere
New York Rangers
Location: ON
Joined: 02.04.2016

Jan 23 @ 4:37 PM ET
You honestly think any NHL team will trade someone that good for a backup? Not happening. Have you seen what backups go for?
- RogerRoeper


This is truth, man. You should believe him.
We have the Goalie Whisperer in Benoit Allaire. He turned Talbot and then Raanta into great trade chips, but honestly, Georgiev is better than those two, IMO.
But, the reality is that backups don't bring huge returns. Talbot was fire incarnate when he was traded and only brought back a 2nd and 3rd round picks.
aminnes
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Mrs. Buzzkill, AB
Joined: 12.17.2008

Jan 23 @ 4:37 PM ET
Gorgiev isn't really seen as a future star goalie at all. Where do people get this stuff?
- RogerRoeper


He's seen as one just like Bernier was seen as one.
aminnes
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Mrs. Buzzkill, AB
Joined: 12.17.2008

Jan 23 @ 4:38 PM ET
this.

the goalie market generally sucks. there is no precedent for giving up kap

- Tumbleweed


The Rangers have said they want t top 6 forward they can plug in now, not a prospect. They are trying to raise the bar.
Santo_44
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 10.20.2014

Jan 23 @ 4:39 PM ET
I don't disagree, but NY sees him as their future.

I would say people overblow Nylander's value. Other Gms know full well he is one dimensional and surely wonder what he could do without playing with Matthews and/or Tavares.

Would the Rangers trade away their perceived future number one goalie for a guy who should score 30? Probably. Would they trade their perceived future number one for a guy who scored 20 once but looks like a lower tier top 6 forward? I doubt it.

- aminnes

Look at Talbot, Andersen and Grabeaur trades.

Also look how many games each of them played compared to Georgiev.
Santo_44
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 10.20.2014

Jan 23 @ 4:40 PM ET
The Rangers have said they want t top 6 forward they can plug in now, not a prospect. They are trying to raise the bar.
- aminnes


Cool

No team has to pay it. They can ask for a top pairing D for all I care.
Steven_Seagull
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: AUSTON MATTHEWS IS A LEAF
Joined: 03.03.2016

Jan 23 @ 4:40 PM ET
I agree. I never said I wanted him, I just said NY is not trading him for a Johnsson, but they likely would for a Nylander.
- aminnes



aminnes
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Mrs. Buzzkill, AB
Joined: 12.17.2008

Jan 23 @ 4:40 PM ET
Stop saying this. Igor Shesterkin is their future #1. Gorgiev is trade bait due to having a guy who they think will be better.
- RogerRoeper


Your right. I should have said A future number one.
Fakepartofme
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Living rent free... in your head, ON
Joined: 09.20.2010

Jan 23 @ 4:40 PM ET
NO ONE will ever trade a Nylander type for a backup. that's cray cray. We're getting a heck of a lot more if we trade Nylander.
- RogerRoeper

This hurts a bit.

But i agree. No way in fack are we trading willie for a backup, if that was the suggestion.

Tonybere
New York Rangers
Location: ON
Joined: 02.04.2016

Jan 23 @ 4:41 PM ET
The Rangers have said they want t top 6 forward they can plug in now, not a prospect. They are trying to raise the bar.
- aminnes


Yes, they are. And I have the sickening feeling that if they stick to their guns, we are going to be carrying 3 goalies until July 1st. And that is not the best scenario.
aminnes
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Mrs. Buzzkill, AB
Joined: 12.17.2008

Jan 23 @ 4:41 PM ET
Cool

No team has to pay it. They can ask for a top pairing D for all I care.

- Santo_44


Which brings us back around to the reality that the Leafs aren't getting a better backup if all they are offering is fringe top 6 players. Might as well roll with Hutch.
Santo_44
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 10.20.2014

Jan 23 @ 4:41 PM ET
This is truth, man. You should believe him.
We have the Goalie Whisperer in Benoit Allaire. He turned Talbot and then Raanta into great trade chips, but honestly, Georgiev is better than those two, IMO.
But, the reality is that backups don't bring huge returns. Talbot was fire incarnate when he was traded and only brought back a 2nd and 3rd round picks.

- Tonybere

And that is a goalie with an insane save percentage with the same amount of starts. (close to it)
dozerD10
Anaheim Ducks
Location: long beach, CA
Joined: 01.29.2014

Jan 23 @ 4:42 PM ET


-beef?-

- ug0tbeef?




Over the last three seasons, only seven goalies have saved 0.2 goals above expected per game or more. Georgiev is one of them, joining John Gibson, Ryan Miller, Ben Bishop, Antti Raanta, Darcy Kuemper and Jordan Binnington. It’s that last name that’s most intriguing as Georgiev’s numbers are nearly identical to Binnington’s over the same amount of games.

Check yourself... He's far from done...
Steven_Seagull
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: AUSTON MATTHEWS IS A LEAF
Joined: 03.03.2016

Jan 23 @ 4:42 PM ET
Which brings us back around to the reality that the Leafs aren't getting a better backup if all they are offering is fringe top 6 players. Might as well roll with Hutch.
- aminnes



Hutch it is then.
Santo_44
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 10.20.2014

Jan 23 @ 4:43 PM ET
Which brings us back around to the reality that the Leafs aren't getting a better backup if all they are offering is fringe top 6 players. Might as well roll with Hutch.
- aminnes

Get a UFA.

No team is paying a proven top 6 forward for Georgiev. The Rangers don't have to trade him and another team doesn't have to trade for him.

If they want to? Look at a Talbot return as a direct comparable. If not? They are forced to keep the 3 goalie carousel.
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