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Forums :: Blog World :: Michael Stuart: Senators Beat the Best
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spazzbot
Location: Maple Zombie
Joined: 02.14.2013

Dec 10 @ 10:59 AM ET
Not suggesting that Sens trade with any of those teams. But, if those teams trade away a few good pieces (especially San Jose) they will quickly become bottom feeders.
- spatso


I would even be for strategic trading . Trade to their standing rivals and try and kick them down
Michael Stuart
Ottawa Senators
Location: "Caresi > Corsi"
Joined: 10.24.2011

Dec 10 @ 10:59 AM ET
Trading to Leafs or Canadiens or Sharks would be a big blunder at this point and time for the Sens...unless they were wellll overpaying.

Personally i believe sharks are going to turn it up a notch and make the playoffs.not counting on a top 10 pick from them...would be nice though.

- spazzbot


The Sharks are a really interesting case to me. They need to change goaltenders in the worst way, but even with that they still sit 25th in xGF% at 5v5. Something is broken.
Adam French
Atlanta Thrashers
Location: Isn't Cooley 5"11? You know who else is 5"11? Sydney Crosby. - Scabeh
Joined: 04.06.2011

Dec 10 @ 11:02 AM ET
The Sharks are a really interesting case to me. They need to change goaltenders in the worst way, but even with that they still sit 25th in xGF% at 5v5. Something is broken.
- Michael_Stuart

They just need a time machine. Simple fix.
spazzbot
Location: Maple Zombie
Joined: 02.14.2013

Dec 10 @ 11:04 AM ET
The Sharks are a really interesting case to me. They need to change goaltenders in the worst way, but even with that they still sit 25th in xGF% at 5v5. Something is broken.
- Michael_Stuart


I know. Feel bad for Thorton but he should have retired i suppose last summer
Michael Stuart
Ottawa Senators
Location: "Caresi > Corsi"
Joined: 10.24.2011

Dec 10 @ 11:06 AM ET
They just need a time machine. Simple fix.
- AdamFrench

kaptaan
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Turning a new Leaf, CA
Joined: 09.29.2010

Dec 10 @ 11:32 AM ET
If Sens get two ten picks it would be good. If they got a top 5 and a top 10 it would be great. Two top 5's spectacular. The first and second pick would be orgasmic.

I think we are only two weeks away from San Jose trying to reload for a desperate attempt to make the playoffs or they will throw in the towel and begin their rebuild. They have some nice pieces and it will be tempting for them to try and pick up draft picks for the coming draft.

The other team I see as falling into the collapse and free fall pattern is Nashville. They are struggling badly in some games and are close to joining the ranks of free fall.

I have no idea if the Leafs are going to collapse. But they are very close to a complete pancake. They have no character and there is very little team unity. If the Leafs fall, it will significantly disrupt our expectations around the draft lottery as teams scramble to deal with some good young talent available at the trade deadline.

- spatso

Agree with that. I think San Jose had a spurt but didn't look like they can maintain it.

Coyotes and Canucks look like they are staying with the pace. Oilers are not faltering. Calgary has picked up the pace.

San Jose is in tough to make the playoffs at this point. Any injuries and they're done.
DutchSenators
Location: Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
Joined: 06.07.2015

Dec 10 @ 12:32 PM ET
Duclair at 5/5 please
Michael Stuart
Ottawa Senators
Location: "Caresi > Corsi"
Joined: 10.24.2011

Dec 10 @ 1:42 PM ET
Duclair at 5/5 please
- DutchSenators


I would hesitate to go that high on a combination of dollars and term. If you need to increase the dollars to that level, go shorter-term in case this is isn't the new norm.
kaptaan
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Turning a new Leaf, CA
Joined: 09.29.2010

Dec 10 @ 2:13 PM ET
I would hesitate to go that high on a combination of dollars and term. If you need to increase the dollars to that level, go shorter-term in case this is isn't the new norm.
- Michael_Stuart

He's making less than 2 now. He should be at 3 mill per for 3 years
Michael Stuart
Ottawa Senators
Location: "Caresi > Corsi"
Joined: 10.24.2011

Dec 10 @ 2:28 PM ET
He's making less than 2 now. He should be at 3 mill per for 3 years
- kaptaan


Yeah, that's where I sort of think it should land as well. Somewhere in the range of $3-4M for three years.
spatso
Ottawa Senators
Location: jensen beach, FL
Joined: 02.19.2007

Dec 10 @ 2:31 PM ET
He's making less than 2 now. He should be at 3 mill per for 3 years
- kaptaan


I go 5@$5m in a heart beat. Kid plays really good D, kills penalties, has soft hands and elite speed. He is showing the upside that made him a high draft pick, don’t screw this up.
Gord_Wilson_2.0
Ottawa Senators
Joined: 10.11.2011

Dec 10 @ 2:57 PM ET
Yeah, that's where I sort of think it should land as well. Somewhere in the range of $3-4M for three years.
- Michael_Stuart

If he keeps his current production pace, something closer to 5 mill is more realistic. So far, he has proven himself as a top 6 forward. That gets you at least 5 mill nowadays. If he production drops to more of a top 9 role, then 3-4 mill is more the ballpark.

Duclair would probably be a guy worth keeping around. However, I would be hesitant to go heavy on term given his track record at this juncture.
Michael Stuart
Ottawa Senators
Location: "Caresi > Corsi"
Joined: 10.24.2011

Dec 10 @ 3:11 PM ET
If he keeps his current production pace, something closer to 5 mill is more realistic. So far, he has proven himself as a top 6 forward. That gets you at least 5 mill nowadays. If he production drops to more of a top 9 role, then 3-4 mill is more the ballpark.

Duclair would probably be a guy worth keeping around. However, I would be hesitant to go heavy on term given his track record at this juncture.

- Gord_Wilson_2.0


Dollars don't scare me nearly as much as term. Not like this is a cap team next year, so whether he gets $3M or $5M isn't the end of the world. Term scares the heck out of me, simply because there's been far too many one hit wonders who cash in on a good season and then regress. No doubt that Duclair has been super since being acquired, but I don't think he's done proving himself yet.
Gord_Wilson_2.0
Ottawa Senators
Joined: 10.11.2011

Dec 10 @ 3:19 PM ET
Dollars don't scare me nearly as much as term. Not like this is a cap team next year, so whether he gets $3M or $5M isn't the end of the world. Term scares the heck out of me, simply because there's been far too many one hit wonders who cash in on a good season and then regress. No doubt that Duclair has been super since being acquired, but I don't think he's done proving himself yet.
- Michael_Stuart

Ya. Same. I’d like to see a full 82 games before jumping on anything. It’s also worth noting that it really isn’t that hard to standout on this roster.
david22
Ottawa Senators
Joined: 04.15.2008

Dec 10 @ 6:30 PM ET
If he keeps his current production pace, something closer to 5 mill is more realistic. So far, he has proven himself as a top 6 forward. That gets you at least 5 mill nowadays. If he production drops to more of a top 9 role, then 3-4 mill is more the ballpark.

Duclair would probably be a guy worth keeping around. However, I would be hesitant to go heavy on term given his track record at this juncture.

- Gord_Wilson_2.0


Depends how Dorion wants to play it. Even with his play Duclair's leverage would be minimal.

But the team will need to pay SOME players to reach the floor. (I haven't looked at their salary next year)

3-4 years at w/e 5 would be fine in my opinion.

This could be Turris (ish) 2.0
sensarmy_11
Location: NS
Joined: 06.01.2009

Dec 10 @ 6:40 PM ET
I go 5@$5m in a heart beat. Kid plays really good D, kills penalties, has soft hands and elite speed. He is showing the upside that made him a high draft pick, don’t screw this up.
- spatso


relax man....he's been good, but he needs to show he can be consistent before handing out 25 mil contracts

and let's not act like the kid was a top 10 pick, he was a mid 3rd round pick.....he has slick offensive skills, but his 2-way game still needs a lot of work

i agree that 3x4 mil is a pretty fair deal for everyone
sensarmy_11
Location: NS
Joined: 06.01.2009

Dec 10 @ 6:42 PM ET
Dollars don't scare me nearly as much as term. Not like this is a cap team next year, so whether he gets $3M or $5M isn't the end of the world. Term scares the heck out of me, simply because there's been far too many one hit wonders who cash in on a good season and then regress. No doubt that Duclair has been super since being acquired, but I don't think he's done proving himself yet.
- Michael_Stuart


PavohnDatsvares
Ottawa Senators
Location: Ottawa, ON
Joined: 05.03.2016

Dec 10 @ 6:44 PM ET
I've been telling people for two years, and I'll keep saying it; DeMelo is the best D in our system not named Chabot. And anyone who wants to move him at the deadline is out to lunch.
sensarmy_11
Location: NS
Joined: 06.01.2009

Dec 10 @ 6:52 PM ET
I've been telling people for two years, and I'll keep saying it; DeMelo is the best D in our system not named Chabot. And anyone who wants to move him at the deadline is out to lunch.
- PavohnDatsvares


he's maybe the best healthy dman RIGHT NOW (i still think wolanin is a better player, but hard to see how he'll be coming off injury) but there are multiple dmen who are likely to be much better

that being said, i absolutely want them to bring him back......so long as they don't massively overpay for him
Sens Writer
Location: Vancouver, BC
Joined: 08.19.2013

Dec 10 @ 6:57 PM ET
I go 5@$5m in a heart beat. Kid plays really good D, kills penalties, has soft hands and elite speed. He is showing the upside that made him a high draft pick, don’t screw this up.
- spatso

I'm a big supporter of keeping Duclair, but in fairness he was a 3rd round pick in a consensus weak draft (e.g. Lazar at #15). However, after being drafted he then hit 50G in the QMJHL, was a standout at the WJC, and broke into the NHL before 20. His game is everything you want in the NHL, and he's showing that he appreciates the opportunity he has in Ottawa.

Adam French
Atlanta Thrashers
Location: Isn't Cooley 5"11? You know who else is 5"11? Sydney Crosby. - Scabeh
Joined: 04.06.2011

Dec 10 @ 6:59 PM ET
I'm a big supporter of keeping Duclair, but in fairness he was a 3rd round pick in a consensus weak draft (e.g. Lazar at #15). However, after being drafted he then hit 50G in the QMJHL, was a standout at the WJC, and broke into the NHL before 20. His game is everything you want in the NHL, and he's showing that he appreciates the opportunity he has in Ottawa.
- khawk

Duclair's inconsistencies on and off the ice tanked him in his draft year. He was "as spatso semi-pointed out" a really high level prospect, but he squandered a ridiculous rookie season with a tumultuous sophomore year that took him from a top-10 pick to a flyer level guy like a Kabanov.
Sens Writer
Location: Vancouver, BC
Joined: 08.19.2013

Dec 10 @ 8:08 PM ET
Duclair's inconsistencies on and off the ice tanked him in his draft year. He was "as spatso semi-pointed out" a really high level prospect, but he squandered a ridiculous rookie season with a tumultuous sophomore year that took him from a top-10 pick to a flyer level guy like a Kabanov.
- AdamFrench

That's fair... lest we forget he was a throw-in on a trade where he was publicly criticized out the door en route to his 5th NHL team in as many seasons. It's clear that Duclair struggled with transitioning to the pro-game, and being cast into roles where he was just grinding out shifts. However, when a player finds their fit, is given a chance to shine, and is self-aware enough to understand the value importance of that opportunity, it can be a very advantageous situation for all involved.

spatso
Ottawa Senators
Location: jensen beach, FL
Joined: 02.19.2007

Dec 10 @ 9:04 PM ET
relax man....he's been good, but he needs to show he can be consistent before handing out 25 mil contracts

and let's not act like the kid was a top 10 pick, he was a mid 3rd round pick.....he has slick offensive skills, but his 2-way game still needs a lot of work

i agree that 3x4 mil is a pretty fair deal for everyone

- sensarmy_11


I did not think he dropped that far in the draft. I actually thought he was a first rounder. Totally whiffed on that one.
spatso
Ottawa Senators
Location: jensen beach, FL
Joined: 02.19.2007

Dec 10 @ 10:48 PM ET
Sharks lose 3-1 against Nashville.

I think they will pull the plug sooner than most people think. They are old, they are slow and if they are bad this year...imagine what they will be like next year. They need to start harvesting draft picks.
PavohnDatsvares
Ottawa Senators
Location: Ottawa, ON
Joined: 05.03.2016

Dec 10 @ 11:49 PM ET
I did not think he dropped that far in the draft. I actually thought he was a first rounder. Totally whiffed on that one.
- spatso


If it's any consolation, you're not alone. I also thought he was a 1st rounder. Thought he went 20-something overall.
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