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Forums :: Blog World :: Michael Pachla: Some mid-six juggling and the search for secondary scoring (again)
Author Message
hehateme
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 04.11.2017

Nov 13 @ 4:30 PM ET
IDK why people expected more scoring, you basically kept the same forwards. Your 4th line (say what you want) but has gone back to playing like they always do (Sh!t). The new coach effect wore off and the same players are doing the same things. They went to the net in the beginning of the season, now they fall into the same routines of shooting from the perimeter. If you put the same garbage back on the ice year after year, you will get the same results. Wake up Botts.
- icemen


what would you like to see Botts do?

homiedclown
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We want 1, FL
Joined: 02.24.2008

Nov 13 @ 4:31 PM ET
Good Times in Bflo again..
- hehateme

2019-20 season

eichel 19 points
ror 19 points
hehateme
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 04.11.2017

Nov 13 @ 4:32 PM ET
2019-20 season

eichel 19 points
ror 19 points

- homiedclown


Ugh.... What could of been....

homiedclown
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We want 1, FL
Joined: 02.24.2008

Nov 13 @ 4:32 PM ET
what would you like to see Botts do?
- hehateme

dump scandella, bogo, girgens, larsson, sobotka


let pilut, asplund, lazar and tage get some time in the nhl for the next 60 plus games
hehateme
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 04.11.2017

Nov 13 @ 4:33 PM ET
dump scandella, bogo, girgens, larsson, sobotka


let pilut, asplund, lazar and tage get some time in the nhl for the next 60 plus games

- homiedclown


yup sounds like another lottery team to me. maybe still one with the players we have now.
jcragcrumple
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Reluctant bridge jumper; 6th round OHL draft pick, YT
Joined: 04.04.2016

Nov 13 @ 4:35 PM ET
dump scandella, bogo, girgens, larsson, sobotka


let pilut, asplund, lazar and tage get some time in the nhl for the next 60 plus games

- homiedclown


Girgensons' x/GF has him scoring 20-25 goals this year though!
homiedclown
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We want 1, FL
Joined: 02.24.2008

Nov 13 @ 4:36 PM ET
Girgensons' x/GF has him scoring 20-25 goals this year though!
- jcragcrumple

can she cook?
homiedclown
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We want 1, FL
Joined: 02.24.2008

Nov 13 @ 4:38 PM ET
olofsson 12 points this season
skinner 10 points
casey buststadt 7 points


skunk has 15
jcragcrumple
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Reluctant bridge jumper; 6th round OHL draft pick, YT
Joined: 04.04.2016

Nov 13 @ 4:39 PM ET
can she cook?
- homiedclown


I see what you did there...

But seriously I keep hearing about how the LOG line leads the NHL in x/GF, but I keep refreshing the sabres stat page and they only have 3 goals between them. Maybe it isn't loading right
Angler
Buffalo Sabres
Location: City of No Illusions, NY
Joined: 01.10.2017

Nov 13 @ 4:39 PM ET
Anyone other than Gerbe think this team makes the playoffs?

I cannot say that I do, although right now it is close to a coin toss for me. 51% we don't 49% we do.
hehateme
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 04.11.2017

Nov 13 @ 4:40 PM ET
olofsson 12 points this season
skinner 10 points
casey buststadt 7 points


skunk has 15

- homiedclown


12 points this season Great for a Rookie
skinner 10 points, Pretty Average for him, still expect him to hit 35 goals
casey buststadt 7 points, Yuck


skunk has 15 Id say that is going to cost the Sabres 8 Large in the off season
jcragcrumple
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Reluctant bridge jumper; 6th round OHL draft pick, YT
Joined: 04.04.2016

Nov 13 @ 4:48 PM ET
Anyone other than Gerbe think this team makes the playoffs?

I cannot say that I do, although right now it is close to a coin toss for me. 51% we don't 49% we do.

- Angler


As is, it looks bleak. If JB actually acquires a top-6 forward, I think they will.

I'm not going to kid myself and say "wait for Cozens to fix this next year!!!!" like others are doing. We did that with Mitts and Dahlin. Botterill will actually have to do something
IonSabres
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I said that months ago, keep up!, FL
Joined: 03.10.2013

Nov 13 @ 4:48 PM ET
Girgensons' x/GF has him scoring 20-25 goals this year though!
- jcragcrumple


I read somewhere that xGF uses the players shot count, but assigns an average conversion factor to arrive at the x ... with all forwards having the same conversion factor, and all defensemen getting the same factor which is lower than the forwards.
Do you know if that is this true?
hubie
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Matt Ellis is my patronus, NY
Joined: 06.28.2011

Nov 13 @ 4:49 PM ET
Anyone other than Gerbe think this team makes the playoffs?

I cannot say that I do, although right now it is close to a coin toss for me. 51% we don't 49% we do.

- Angler


A wild card isnt out of question

MTL
FLA
BUF
PHI
Car

2 make it
jcragcrumple
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Reluctant bridge jumper; 6th round OHL draft pick, YT
Joined: 04.04.2016

Nov 13 @ 4:50 PM ET
I read somewhere that xGF uses the players shot count, but assigns an average conversion factor to arrive at the x ... with all forwards having the same conversion factor, and all defensemen getting the same factor which is lower than the forwards.
Do you know if that is this true?

- IonSabres


I do not. But I do know any stat that expects Girgensons to score is a flawed stat
IonSabres
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I said that months ago, keep up!, FL
Joined: 03.10.2013

Nov 13 @ 4:50 PM ET
olofsson 12 points this season
skinner 10 points
casey buststadt 7 points


skunk has 15

- homiedclown


Do any of them punch the face of opponents?
What is their xTF ... expected Truculence Factor?
IonSabres
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I said that months ago, keep up!, FL
Joined: 03.10.2013

Nov 13 @ 4:52 PM ET
I see what you did there...

But seriously I keep hearing about how the LOG line leads the NHL in x/GF, but I keep refreshing the sabres stat page and they only have 3 goals between them. Maybe it isn't loading right

- jcragcrumple


Be patient, it takes awhile for the servers to load all their goals, then they have to be computed...it takes awhile.
Boss34
Buffalo Sabres
Location: BUFFALO , NY
Joined: 12.03.2015

Nov 13 @ 4:55 PM ET
Anyone other than Gerbe think this team makes the playoffs?

I cannot say that I do, although right now it is close to a coin toss for me. 51% we don't 49% we do.

- Angler


I'm still believing:
I think we are. Better than:

Ottawa
Detroit
Montreal
Florida - even
Columbus
Caroilina- even
NY rangers
Nj devils.

Pittsburgh isnt the old Pittsburgh
Crosby might be having groin surgery.

Top heavy conference in my opinion
IonSabres
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I said that months ago, keep up!, FL
Joined: 03.10.2013

Nov 13 @ 5:08 PM ET
Anyone other than Gerbe think this team makes the playoffs?

I cannot say that I do, although right now it is close to a coin toss for me. 51% we don't 49% we do.

- Angler


It's interesting.
Before the season started, I used the very basics of Dom Luszczyszyn's WAR model assumptions, applied it to the Sabres roster and it calculated somewhere around 76 pts. Not included in there was the Krueger Impact...so I guessed and added 4 wins (FYI - an Elite player contributes 3.5 wins individually)...so, it projected 84pts. They are on pace for roughly 96, but declining after their hot start...as an example, if they lose to Carolina that pace drops to 91.

Ralphie-boy could have a larger impact than I guessed, maybe he has already exceeded those 4 wins.
sbroads24
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We are in 30th place. It's 2017 , NY
Joined: 02.12.2012

Nov 13 @ 5:08 PM ET
Ugh.... What could of been....
- hehateme

See standings - 2015-2018 Buffalo Sabres
IonSabres
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I said that months ago, keep up!, FL
Joined: 03.10.2013

Nov 13 @ 5:18 PM ET
I'm still believing:
I think we are. Better than:

Ottawa
Detroit
Montreal
Florida - even
Columbus
Caroilina- even
NY rangers
Nj devils.

Pittsburgh isnt the old Pittsburgh
Crosby might be having groin surgery.



Top heavy conference in my opinion

- Boss34


I see Pittsburgh the same way, but should still be relevant
I disagree on Carolina though, as I see them being very strong, but we'll know better tomorrow.
I see Florida as better as well.

Caps, Isles, Hurricanes
Bruins, Laughs, Bolts

Leaves a fight with Canadians, Flyers, Panthers, Penguins and Sabres

Unless Botts sits on his hands ... which I don't believe he will.
Sabretooth9
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 05.24.2019

Nov 13 @ 5:23 PM ET
2019-20 season

eichel 19 points
ror 19 points

- homiedclown


Honestly who cares. Move on
Powerslave
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Arriving Somewhere But Not Here
Joined: 02.10.2011

Nov 13 @ 5:26 PM ET
Honestly who cares. Move on
- Sabretooth9



This
Sabretooth9
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 05.24.2019

Nov 13 @ 5:30 PM ET
I see Pittsburgh the same way, but should still be relevant
I disagree on Carolina though, as I see them being very strong, but we'll know better tomorrow.
I see Florida as better as well.

Caps, Isles, Hurricanes
Bruins, Laughs, Bolts

Leaves a fight with Canadians, Flyers, Panthers, Penguins and Sabres

Unless Botts sits on his hands ... which I don't believe he will.

- IonSabres


Depends. Which Sabres team will hit the ice?

The Sabres team that can make tape to tap passes or the Sabres team that rings passes around the boards aimlessly?
Boss34
Buffalo Sabres
Location: BUFFALO , NY
Joined: 12.03.2015

Nov 13 @ 5:31 PM ET
I see Pittsburgh the same way, but should still be relevant
I disagree on Carolina though, as I see them being very strong, but we'll know better tomorrow.
I see Florida as better as well.

Caps, Isles, Hurricanes
Bruins, Laughs, Bolts

Leaves a fight with Canadians, Flyers, Panthers, Penguins and Sabres

Unless Botts sits on his hands ... which I don't believe he will.

- IonSabres



Good post ion.

Big game tomorrow night vs. Carolina
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