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Forums :: Blog World :: Bill Meltzer: Quick Hits: Hayes Line, Farabee, Frost, Camp Day 3 Plan
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Nucker101
Vancouver Canucks
Location: Vancouver, BC
Joined: 09.26.2010

Sep 15 @ 11:20 PM ET
The (frank) was the defense doing there
- 2Real

they were gonna get burned eventually with all of those blitzes
StepfordSam
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 02.06.2017

Sep 15 @ 11:21 PM ET
Plenty of time here
2Real
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: IT'S GRITTIN TIME, CA
Joined: 07.14.2007

Sep 15 @ 11:23 PM ET
they were gonna get burned eventually with all of those blitzes
- Nucker101

I don’t get why they only covered 2 of the receivers with jones being one of them out there
KINGKENZO
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: OMAR COMIN'..Head or Gut?.....Watching regular white people
Joined: 01.10.2008

Sep 15 @ 11:23 PM ET
I don’t get why they only covered 2 of the receivers with jones being one of them out there
- 2Real

that was a great play design to counter the blitz
KINGKENZO
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: OMAR COMIN'..Head or Gut?.....Watching regular white people
Joined: 01.10.2008

Sep 15 @ 11:24 PM ET
(frank) (frank) (frank)
opeth_pa
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: The Implication
Joined: 12.13.2011

Sep 15 @ 11:24 PM ET
I don’t get why they only covered 2 of the receivers with jones being one of them out there
- 2Real


DIdnt see anything wrong with the playcall on either side..
Sometimes the other team does it right.
2Real
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: IT'S GRITTIN TIME, CA
Joined: 07.14.2007

Sep 15 @ 11:25 PM ET
Oh there’s stone hands
2Real
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: IT'S GRITTIN TIME, CA
Joined: 07.14.2007

Sep 15 @ 11:28 PM ET
It’d be nice if we had receivers to rely on
opeth_pa
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: The Implication
Joined: 12.13.2011

Sep 15 @ 11:29 PM ET
This game is 100% on Agholor at this point..

Pathetic.
opeth_pa
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: The Implication
Joined: 12.13.2011

Sep 15 @ 11:29 PM ET
It’d be nice if we had receivers to rely on
- 2Real


I know right?
It's not like our top two receivers are injured
opeth_pa
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: The Implication
Joined: 12.13.2011

Sep 15 @ 11:31 PM ET
This game is 100% on Agholor at this point..

Pathetic.

- opeth_pa



I take that back.
2Real
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: IT'S GRITTIN TIME, CA
Joined: 07.14.2007

Sep 15 @ 11:31 PM ET
I take that back.
- opeth_pa

He hasn’t finished it yet
StepfordSam
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 02.06.2017

Sep 15 @ 11:35 PM ET
Turnover on downs
opeth_pa
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: The Implication
Joined: 12.13.2011

Sep 15 @ 11:36 PM ET
He hasn’t finished it yet
- 2Real



Damn..
What a battle with all the injuries on offense.
No jackson, no Alson and freaking Agholor missing a clear Tdown. =(
2Real
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: IT'S GRITTIN TIME, CA
Joined: 07.14.2007

Sep 15 @ 11:37 PM ET
So mad could have easily won this game but they played like ass until the end
StepfordSam
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 02.06.2017

Sep 15 @ 11:39 PM ET
Pretty much a must win for Atlanta. Quinn is still probably getting poopcanned at the end of this season. Long overdue after the embarrassing collapse a few years ago in the Super Bowl.
2Real
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: IT'S GRITTIN TIME, CA
Joined: 07.14.2007

Sep 15 @ 11:42 PM ET
the only thing schwartz's defense prevents is the eagles from winning

getting tired of his poop
2Real
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: IT'S GRITTIN TIME, CA
Joined: 07.14.2007

Sep 15 @ 11:44 PM ET
omg my (frank)ing fantasy team lost by .1 point this week
Just5
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: PA
Joined: 05.22.2008

Sep 15 @ 11:46 PM ET
(frank)ing agohole
2Real
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: IT'S GRITTIN TIME, CA
Joined: 07.14.2007

Sep 15 @ 11:47 PM ET
(frank)ing agohole
- Just5

there's a reason why he's our 3rd option
SMS4016
Joined: 01.27.2011

Sep 16 @ 12:18 AM ET
So, Pavel, let's suppose the Flyers had bridged him. Then instead of moaning about his term, you'd moan about how they stupidly walked their No. 1 center directly to UFA status (because he could either take the QO or push an arbitration case at the end of a three-year, and then go UFA), where you are looking at paying him $10M+ to pre-empt going UFA.

Either which way, there's risk involved. In two years, if Sanheim's next deal balloons, you'll moan about why he didn't get long-term back when it would have been cheaper.

- bmeltzer

Sorry bill but totally disagree with your logic here. Pavel is correct. Here’s why your theory of buying ufa is wrong...
First off, using YOUR example of bridge deal(which is always the correct way to go except in 1 case which I’ll explain later) if you look at the bridge deals of others and take into account the qf year that gets tack on and yes it usually brings them to fa, they’re CAP HIT is always lower than it should be. Example 5 Werenski cap hit over the 4 years will be roughly 5.5 mil over the 4 years. If he progresses at current pace or close to it yes he will be on line for a huge deal. But that’s a good thing. He’d be getting a huge raise anyways in that scenario. And bj will be glad in that case to pay it. If his value goes up to we will say 10 mil a year that’s what he’s gonna get. No one is gonna way overpay to get him. Yes maybe a little bit not outrageous. Example is Hayes contract. Did we overpay a little? Most would say yes. But was the overpay so outrageous ? Maybe 500k a year. Maybe 1mil? A year? Times that by the 7 years he got. What’s that equal? 3.5-7 mil total....
Now take provys deal....he by no means earned that contract. We overplayed him to “buy” a few years of fa. And if he outplays the last few years of the contract then he’s gonna feel and ask for more than he’s worth to make up for it. So flyers will also have to overpay to keep him. So they kinda equal out in the end except in provy case the CAP HIT is higher and you take more risk that the player doesn’t live up to the contract for the term (6years) and you never reap benefits of “deal” in the later few years.
The only exception to is when the case comes up where player comes off elc and signs 2 year deal and after their 2nd contract they still have a few years before fa and they sign max term deal and team might overpay toward end but save early to lower cap hit. It only works because player age after 5 years plus new max contract basically spent all his prime years with that team.
Example: Werenski elc(which is standard) 3 mil 3 years. Bridge deal(we will even assume he’s qualified4th year) 4 years 22 mil. Assume he progresses into top 10 dman in league or close to it and gets huge 6 year 60 mil contract that total 13 years 85 mil. Provy (because no bridge) example elc 3 years 3 mil 2nd contract 6 years 40mil. Now he has 9 years in league... what’s his 3rd contract gonna be? He’ll be 27-28 years old? Say he progresses like Werenski example. He’d be a few years older but still young enough to commit 5 year deal ( like jvr term) at 10 mil a year so totals for provy 14 years 93 mil. So the risk is clearly in teams favor to bridge both against player not living up to contract and also not trending downwards as they age at end of prime years.
SMS4016
Joined: 01.27.2011

Sep 16 @ 12:21 AM ET
Sorry bill but totally disagree with your logic here. Pavel is correct. Here’s why your theory of buying ufa is wrong...
First off, using YOUR example of bridge deal(which is always the correct way to go except in 1 case which I’ll explain later) if you look at the bridge deals of others and take into account the qf year that gets tack on and yes it usually brings them to fa, they’re CAP HIT is always lower than it should be. Example 5 Werenski cap hit over the 4 years will be roughly 5.5 mil over the 4 years. If he progresses at current pace or close to it yes he will be on line for a huge deal. But that’s a good thing. He’d be getting a huge raise anyways in that scenario. And bj will be glad in that case to pay it. If his value goes up to we will say 10 mil a year that’s what he’s gonna get. No one is gonna way overpay to get him. Yes maybe a little bit not outrageous. Example is Hayes contract. Did we overpay a little? Most would say yes. But was the overpay so outrageous ? Maybe 500k a year. Maybe 1mil? A year? Times that by the 7 years he got. What’s that equal? 3.5-7 mil total....
Now take provys deal....he by no means earned that contract. We overplayed him to “buy” a few years of fa. And if he outplays the last few years of the contract then he’s gonna feel and ask for more than he’s worth to make up for it. So flyers will also have to overpay to keep him. So they kinda equal out in the end except in provy case the CAP HIT is higher and you take more risk that the player doesn’t live up to the contract for the term (6years) and you never reap benefits of “deal” in the later few years.
The only exception to is when the case comes up where player comes off elc and signs 2 year deal and after their 2nd contract they still have a few years before fa and they sign max term deal and team might overpay toward end but save early to lower cap hit. It only works because player age after 5 years plus new max contract basically spent all his prime years with that team.
Example: Werenski elc(which is standard) 3 mil 3 years. Bridge deal(we will even assume he’s qualified4th year) 4 years 22 mil. Assume he progresses into top 10 dman in league or close to it and gets huge 6 year 60 mil contract that total 13 years 85 mil. Provy (because no bridge) example elc 3 years 3 mil 2nd contract 6 years 40mil. Now he has 9 years in league... what’s his 3rd contract gonna be? He’ll be 27-28 years old? Say he progresses like Werenski example. He’d be a few years older but still young enough to commit 5 year deal ( like jvr term) at 10 mil a year so totals for provy 14 years 93 mil. So the risk is clearly in teams favor to bridge both against player not living up to contract and also not trending downwards as they age at end of prime years.

- SMS4016

Sorry so long. I’m tired lol
Nucker101
Vancouver Canucks
Location: Vancouver, BC
Joined: 09.26.2010

Sep 16 @ 12:33 AM ET
Sorry so long. I’m tired lol
- SMS4016


dude....paragraphs
SMS4016
Joined: 01.27.2011

Sep 16 @ 12:54 AM ET
dude....paragraphs
- Nucker101

I know I know. Sorry
SMS4016
Joined: 01.27.2011

Sep 16 @ 12:54 AM ET
dude....paragraphs
- Nucker101

Been up since 6 am. Rambling thought through the fingertips never good
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