Patrick regressed in almost every single scoring department this season. He only managed one more point total despite a bump in ATOI. His goals, primary assists, points, and shot rates are all down from a year ago. He's creating less off the rush than before. His fancy metrics (which were already meriocre) are down across the board, too.
He's not simply treading water. He got worse. That's where the concern is.
- Tomahawk
One thing to consider is not all players develop in a constant upward trend. Look at MacKinnon for example:
2013-14 GP: 82 24 39 63 pts
2014-15 GP: 64 14 24 38 pts
2015-16 GP: 72 21 31 52 pts
2016-17 GP: 82 16 37 53 pts
2017-18 GP: 74 39 58 97 pts
2018-19 GP: 82 41 58 99 pts
Obviously there's contrast between NP/Mack for total production, but my point is that even someone who is now touted as a top 3 player in the league had a bit of an unclear trajectory at first.
I say we have faith, and continue to root for NP to turn his "flashes" into "the usual."