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So Koskinen falls right in around number 20 like he is getting paid - Lemmewinks
However, his sample size is equivalent to that of a single season worth of backup play as of now. The sample isn't big enough to justify anything close to 3 years at 4.5mil. Either a 1 year deal at 4.5mil (more than anyone else would give him) or 3 years at 3 is as high as such a deal should go. |
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Lemmewinks
Edmonton Oilers |
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Location: Edmonton, AB Joined: 02.05.2015
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However, his sample size is equivalent to that of a single season worth of backup play as of now. The sample isn't big enough to justify anything close to 3 years at 4.5mil. Either a 1 year deal at 4.5mil (more than anyone else would give him) or 3 years at 3 is as high as such a deal should go. - MaximumBone
We don't know that for sure... the NHL market especially when it comes to goalies is finicky at best. Now I get all the comparisons to Koskinen vs younger goalies but traditionally goalies take longer to develop and dont reach their prime until late 20s to early 30s. Koskinen has also not played as much hockey as would his counter part at 30 playing in North America. (Less wear and tear on the body). Talbot has played himself off this team and if we didn't re sign Koskinen we are left with no goalies under contract after this season. Plus a big part of it could be if he did not get term he could just as easily return back to Russia. All in all it is a gamble but one I feel we desperately needed to make due to our lack of options. Hopefully he can perform at an adequate level for 3 seasons until one of rodrigue or skinner develops. |
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We don't know that for sure... the NHL market especially when it comes to goalies is finicky at best. Now I get all the comparisons to Koskinen vs younger goalies but traditionally goalies take longer to develop and dont reach their prime until late 20s to early 30s. Koskinen has also not played as much hockey as would his counter part at 30 playing in North America. (Less wear and tear on the body). Talbot has played himself off this team and if we didn't re sign Koskinen we are left with no goalies under contract after this season. Plus a big part of it could be if he did not get term he could just as easily return back to Russia. All in all it is a gamble but one I feel we desperately needed to make due to our lack of options. Hoepfully he can perform at an adequate level for 3 seasons until one of rodrigue or skinner develops. - Lemmewinks
That's precisely the problem. As a team that's already cap-(frank)ed, we need every cent of cap space we had coming open this offseason in order to turn this boat around.
Koskinen doesn't have anything CLOSE to a track record deserving of a contract worth 13.5mil. He falls into a comparable category as players like Mrazek and DeSmith- the first of whom signed for 1.5mil in the offseason while the latter signed for 1.25mil for 3 years. Robin Lehner (who I'll remind I advocated in favour of) was also signed for 1.5mil this offseason. The closest contract Vs track record is Hutton who was still only signed for 2.75 x 3 and a better goalie in Halak signed for just 2.75 x 2.
Giving Koskinen 4.5 x 3 is another bad contract that- like most of the bad contracts we're stuck with- could've been avoided. It's possible he plays up to that contract, but it's not a wise bet. |
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Oildrum
Edmonton Oilers |
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Location: Kenny will bring us to the promised land Joined: 06.12.2012
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My bet is if the Oil lose tomorrow, Chia gets fired within 5 days.
Maybe it's just my hope. |
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Lemmewinks
Edmonton Oilers |
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Location: Edmonton, AB Joined: 02.05.2015
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That's precisely the problem. As a team that's already cap-(frank)ed, we need every cent of cap space we had coming open this offseason in order to turn this boat around.
Koskinen doesn't have anything CLOSE to a track record deserving of a contract worth 13.5mil. He falls into a comparable category as players like Mrazek and DeSmith- the first of whom signed for 1.5mil in the offseason while the latter signed for 1.25mil for 3 years. Robin Lehner (who I'll remind I advocated in favour of) was also signed for 1.5mil this offseason. The closest contract Vs track record is Hutton who was still only signed for 2.75 x 3 and a better goalie in Halak signed for just 2.75 x 2.
Giving Koskinen 4.5 x 3 is another bad contract that- like most of the bad contracts we're stuck with- could've been avoided. It's possible he plays up to that contract, but it's not a wise bet. - MaximumBone
Well currently we are paying 6.7 mill between both our goalies... next season we will be paying Koskinen 4.5 and possibly a backup for a mill or less so we will be saving cap in the goaltending department |
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Well currently we are paying 6.7 mill between both our goalies... next season we will be paying Koskinen 4.5 and possibly a backup for a mill or less so we will be saving cap in the goaltending department - Lemmewinks
Not compared to what we could be saving. We could be paying 2.5 to 3mil for what could easily equate to comparable goaltending. |
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Lemmewinks
Edmonton Oilers |
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Location: Edmonton, AB Joined: 02.05.2015
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Not compared to what we could be saving. We could be paying 2.5 to 3mil for what could easily equate to comparable goaltending. - MaximumBone
Who would we get that would be comparable... I dont know if you have looked at the free agents but it is really bleak and I don't know if you trust this management team to address anything via trade but I sure as hell don't. |
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Who would we get that would be comparable... I dont know if you have looked at the free agents but it is really bleak and I don't know if you trust this management team to address anything via trade but I sure as hell don't. - Lemmewinks
Hard to say. Going to need to wait and see which players keep up their current pace and which ones slow down, but as of now Mrazek would likely be available for less and provide comparable goaltending. Lehner will likely be looking at a comparable extension from the Isles with how he's played, but that's warranted by a track record of out-performing the level of an average goalie. Varlamov and Howard are both set to be UFAs and both provide higher level goaltending (with injury concerns, of course) but would likely cost about the same.
I maintain that my point stands that giving Koskinen this contract is folly especially when you could AT LEAST wait until the end of the year once you've tested him down the stretch. Instead, prematurely splooge money away on a goalie with average numbers of 27 games instead of waiting for a larger sample or spending less money on a comparable bet. |
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vancity787
Vancouver Canucks |
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Location: My Parents Basement, BC Joined: 07.14.2008
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Not compared to what we could be saving. We could be paying 2.5 to 3mil for what could easily equate to comparable goaltending. - MaximumBone This. I dont know how anyone could justify the signing today.
Chias got tunnel vision.
The more and more he tries to fix these situations, the worse and worse they're becoming.
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cpltanto
Calgary Flames |
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Location: Edmonton, AB Joined: 07.05.2013
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I think a tier-system works better with goalies, though it's tough to determine how much one should weigh their performance this year compared to their overall performance the last 3 years. Also, worth noting that regular season and playoff performance yield fundamentally different results.
Observation of some statistics relevant to goaltending skill and a touch of bias of overall stat lines and playoff perfromances to act as a tie-breaker for those on the edge between tiers) brings up a list like this:
Top tier: Gibson, Rinne, Andersen and Holtby (close to being bumped down)
Upper tier: Bobrovsky (drops here because of playoffs and this year) Raanta, Price, Quick, Howard(!), Lundqvist, Lehner (!!!) and Vasilevskiy
Middle tier: Dubnyk, Bishop, Fleury(!), Rask/Halak, Murray, Varlamov, Reimer, Hellebuyck, Crawford, Markstrom (close to being bumped down)
<<< Koskinen falls right about here with his results so far.
Lower tier: Greiss (close to being bumped up), Hutton, Talbot, Smith, Anderson, Kinkaid/Schneider, Allen, Anderson, Ward
Surprisingly so far removed from the 2nd worst over the past 3 years that it's remarkable: Jones (!!!!!)
As I'm no evaluator of goalies I don't know that these are all fair rankings, but I believe this represents a pretty accurate picture of where I'd rank them- Jones being an outlier of such extreme degree that I have to really look into him more now. - MaximumBone
Hey you forgot about Rittich!
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Hey you forgot about Rittich! - cpltanto
He ranks in the upper end of the mid-tier, but it was a small sample so I didn't include it. |
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wreckage
Florida Panthers |
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Location: Fuck Putin, fire Holland, AB Joined: 07.29.2013
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According to Johnston it's not even a flat 4.5 per.
2019-20: $5.2MM
2020-21: $3.3MM + $500K signing bonus
2021-22: $4.5MM
So where the eff are we coming up with $5.2MM for next year? |
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BINGO!
Carolina Hurricanes |
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Location: I'll always remember the last words my grandfather ever told me. He said, "A Truck!", SK Joined: 09.21.2009
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He ranks in the upper end of the mid-tier, but it was a small sample so I didn't include it. - MaximumBone
Curtis "The Legend" McElhinney? |
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BINGO!
Carolina Hurricanes |
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Location: I'll always remember the last words my grandfather ever told me. He said, "A Truck!", SK Joined: 09.21.2009
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According to Johnston it's not even a flat 4.5 per.
2019-20: $5.2MM
2020-21: $3.3MM + $500K signing bonus
2021-22: $4.5MM
So where the eff are we coming up with $5.2MM for next year? - wreckage
His cap hit is the average throughout, so the actual salary numbers each year don't matter. |
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RafiDRW
Detroit Red Wings |
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Location: Bill Cosby’s Magic Wiener #FireBlashill, TN Joined: 04.16.2016
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Curtis "The Legend" McElhinney? - BINGO!
Talbot getting the Mrazek treatment me thinks. |
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BINGO!
Carolina Hurricanes |
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Location: I'll always remember the last words my grandfather ever told me. He said, "A Truck!", SK Joined: 09.21.2009
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Talbot getting the Mrazek treatment me thinks. - RafiDRW
More than likely.
Mrazek is the funniest dude. His numbers look like poop but he's played pretty well. Hope he gets another contract somewhere. I'd probably give him the same deal he currently has to keep him. |
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JLO961
Season Ticket Holder Edmonton Oilers |
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Location: MTL, QC Joined: 01.16.2013
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Do you honestly think that was a good trade?! - neem55
Personally, I enjoyed PK's off-ice contributions to the city, but ON the ice, I like Weber better for the Habs. Weber is playing as good as he ever has and PK is returning from injury. I'd say this one has been surprisingly the reverse situation.
While Weber has had bad luck with relatively normal injuries, PK Subban is the one with back issues, not Shea Weber (straight from the physio guy that saw us both). |
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Curtis "The Legend" McElhinney? - BINGO!
Soon to be signed to a mega contract of his own. |
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BINGO!
Carolina Hurricanes |
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Location: I'll always remember the last words my grandfather ever told me. He said, "A Truck!", SK Joined: 09.21.2009
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Soon to be signed to a mega contract of his own. - Wildschwein
Chia gonna hedge his bets in net? |
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Reveen.
Edmonton Oilers |
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Location: BC Joined: 09.05.2016
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Chia gonna hedge his bets in net? - BINGO!
I predict that when Chia gets fired.... Don Waddell will pick up the phone and offer him a front office job. |
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Chia gonna hedge his bets in net? - BINGO!
Touche. |
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Alexzanki
Columbus Blue Jackets |
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Location: Montreal, QC Joined: 06.03.2008
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Curtis "The Legend" McElhinney? - BINGO!
Greatest backup of all time |
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BINGO!
Carolina Hurricanes |
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Location: I'll always remember the last words my grandfather ever told me. He said, "A Truck!", SK Joined: 09.21.2009
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I predict that when Chia gets fired.... Don Waddell will pick up the phone and offer him a front office job. - Reveen.
Luckily Don isn't in charge of that. |
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Reveen.
Edmonton Oilers |
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Location: BC Joined: 09.05.2016
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One thing that's been getting to me lately is the fact that we passed on Connor's junior linemate (DeBrincat) in favor of that bandaid in Tyler Benson.
2017-18 Chicago Blackhawks NHL 82 28 24 52
2018-19 Chicago Blackhawks NHL 50 25 16 41 |
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Reveen.
Edmonton Oilers |
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Location: BC Joined: 09.05.2016
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Luckily Don isn't in charge of that. - BINGO!
It wasn't long ago that Don Waddell was the Peter Chiarelli of his time |
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