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Forums :: Blog World :: Ryan Wilson: Penguins crush the King yet again
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Rinosaur
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Somewhere, NJ
Joined: 01.21.2016

Jan 4 @ 11:56 AM ET
Over the last 15 games he’s ~30% cf%, ~35% scf, and ~45% hdcf with a -1 5v5 goal differential. He still sucks ass.
- j.boyd919


Ouch
MattStrat
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: ...serial abuser...and misuser...of the ellipsis , NF
Joined: 12.12.2014

Jan 4 @ 12:14 PM ET
Over the last 15 games he’s ~30% cf%, ~35% scf, and ~45% hdcf with a -1 5v5 goal differential. He still sucks ass.
- j.boyd919


Where'd you get last 15 game stats?


How about some zone exit/entry stats and what not?....those numbers are a bit damning to be sure but I cant just say he sucks ass when he skates as well as he does and when he lays good smart hard checks like he does. I think his passing is at least average too which is more than can be said for others.

Pretty much every game I've seen things I've really liked about what he's doing on the ice.
j.boyd919
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Tampa, FL
Joined: 06.14.2011

Jan 4 @ 12:31 PM ET
Where'd you get last 15 game stats?


How about some zone exit/entry stats and what not?....those numbers are a bit damning to be sure but I cant just say he sucks ass when he skates as well as he does and when he lays good smart hard checks like he does. I think his passing is at least average too which is more than can be said for others.

Pretty much every game I've seen things I've really liked about what he's doing on the ice.

- MattStrat


Natural Stat Trick has a filter setting so you can filter it to the teams last “x” games.
Zone exit/entry stats usually come way later in the season if I recall because Corey manually tracks all of those things.
MattStrat
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: ...serial abuser...and misuser...of the ellipsis , NF
Joined: 12.12.2014

Jan 4 @ 12:35 PM ET
Natural Stat Trick has a filter setting so you can filter it to the teams last “x” games.
Zone exit/entry stats usually come way later in the season if I recall because Corey manually tracks all of those things.

- j.boyd919


Thanks.

I will say that in this 7 game winning streak I dont think the team as a whole has been playing nearly as good as the 15ish games before it.

Actually, the 3 or 4 games before this winning streak were close to terrible and a lot of people were getting ready to jump of the ledge. The 15ish games before that they were playing some pretty solid games. More very good periods than not.

EDIT: Since December 1st Rikky has only played 8 games. His first 3 since December 1st games his stats were much higher than his last 15 game sample you speak of. Did you go back to the games before he was scratched for a long time?
Grinder47
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Somerset, PA
Joined: 10.20.2013

Jan 4 @ 12:49 PM ET
Bortuzzo did pretty well against Wilson last night.
MattStrat
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: ...serial abuser...and misuser...of the ellipsis , NF
Joined: 12.12.2014

Jan 4 @ 12:51 PM ET
Bortuzzo did pretty well against Wilson last night.
- Grinder47



Being given time to actually ready and square off can make a big difference...
j.boyd919
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Tampa, FL
Joined: 06.14.2011

Jan 4 @ 1:03 PM ET
Thanks.

I will say that in this 7 game winning streak I dont think the team as a whole has been playing nearly as good as the 15ish games before it.

Actually, the 3 or 4 games before this winning streak were close to terrible and a lot of people were getting ready to jump of the ledge. The 15ish games before that they were playing some pretty solid games. More very good periods than not.

EDIT: Since December 1st Rikky has only played 8 games. His first 3 since December 1st games his stats were much higher than his last 15 game sample you speak of. Did you go back to the games before he was scratched for a long time?

- MattStrat


It was just the whole teams last 15 games. 112 minutes at 5v5. Is there a date range you want me to check? I can filter between dates too. I just figured seeing how the team is getting results, I’d find the more recent results for players.
668710
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: "Give him a chance" -Barnaby36, PA
Joined: 06.25.2011

Jan 4 @ 1:10 PM ET
https://www.pensburgh.com/2019/1/4/18168144/penguins-statistics-analytics-war-goals-points-wins-nhl-advanced-stats-sidney-crosby

WAR article for the full lineup from Pensburgh is a good read.

- j.boyd919

Thanks was a nice read. That third line needs to change or Brass needs moved for a new 3c
MattStrat
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: ...serial abuser...and misuser...of the ellipsis , NF
Joined: 12.12.2014

Jan 4 @ 1:29 PM ET
It was just the whole teams last 15 games. 112 minutes at 5v5. Is there a date range you want me to check? I can filter between dates too. I just figured seeing how the team is getting results, I’d find the more recent results for players.
- j.boyd919



Yeah, the last 15 team games is only a 7 game sample size for Rikk. Not very big.

When you look at almost every players metrics in those 15 games they're not very good ie: only player above 50% for CF% is Crosby at 51.68%. So that kinda goes in line with that I said: they haven't played that well this 7 game streak or the 4 games before.
j.boyd919
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Tampa, FL
Joined: 06.14.2011

Jan 4 @ 1:31 PM ET
Yeah, the last 15 team games is only a 7 game sample size for Rikk. Not very big.

When you look at almost every players metrics in those 15 games they're not very good ie: only player above 50% for CF% is Crosby at 51.68%. So that kinda goes in line with that I said: they haven't played that well this 7 game streak or the 4 games before.

- MattStrat


I mean, I don’t think they’ve played well all season in regards to shot attempts/scoring chances. There have been very few games where they are severely outshooting the other team if my mind recalls correctly. I think the majority of the Pens games are hovering around the 50% mark or lower.
MattStrat
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: ...serial abuser...and misuser...of the ellipsis , NF
Joined: 12.12.2014

Jan 4 @ 1:32 PM ET
I really wanna see an urgent and hungry AF team come out tonight with 1st place up for grabs.
MattStrat
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: ...serial abuser...and misuser...of the ellipsis , NF
Joined: 12.12.2014

Jan 4 @ 1:34 PM ET
I mean, I don’t think they’ve played well all season in regards to shot attempts/scoring chances. There have been very few games where they are severely outshooting the other team if my mind recalls correctly. I think the majority of the Pens games are hovering around the 50% mark or lower.
- j.boyd919



See, I think there was a period of time they were playing very well between middle of November and middle of December. Before and after that though, not so much. Regardless of course, they're banking W's.
Rinosaur
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Somewhere, NJ
Joined: 01.21.2016

Jan 4 @ 1:44 PM ET
Thanks was a nice read. That third line needs to change or Brass needs moved for a new 3c
- 668710


Brass needs to be moved.
MattStrat
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: ...serial abuser...and misuser...of the ellipsis , NF
Joined: 12.12.2014

Jan 4 @ 1:46 PM ET
I mean, I don’t think they’ve played well all season in regards to shot attempts/scoring chances. There have been very few games where they are severely outshooting the other team if my mind recalls correctly. I think the majority of the Pens games are hovering around the 50% mark or lower.
- j.boyd919



Look at the stats from November 15th to December 15th and keep in mind that towards the end of that period quite a few games are overlapping with your last 15 game sample.
Rinosaur
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Somewhere, NJ
Joined: 01.21.2016

Jan 4 @ 1:49 PM ET
Look at the stats from November 15th to December 15th and keep in mind that towards the end of that period quite a few games are overlapping with your last 15 game sample.
- MattStrat


I keep track during each game and I can tell you without a shadow of a doubt they are allowing far too many quality chances even to poor teams, sometimes at an alarming rate.
MattStrat
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: ...serial abuser...and misuser...of the ellipsis , NF
Joined: 12.12.2014

Jan 4 @ 1:51 PM ET
I keep track during each game and I can tell you without a shadow of a doubt they are allowing far too many quality chances even to poor teams, sometimes at an alarming rate.
- Rinosaur



But they havent. I have been too. The last 10ish games, yes, the 10 to 15 games before that, no.
willi
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Canada
Joined: 01.30.2015

Jan 4 @ 1:51 PM ET
Brass needs to be moved.
- Rinosaur


IF the Islanders fall back and IF he's willing to move, i think Filppula would be a good 3C option. His game is somewhat similar to Bonino so maybe he'd mess with Kessel.
MattStrat
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: ...serial abuser...and misuser...of the ellipsis , NF
Joined: 12.12.2014

Jan 4 @ 1:53 PM ET
I keep track during each game and I can tell you without a shadow of a doubt they are allowing far too many quality chances even to poor teams, sometimes at an alarming rate.
- Rinosaur



Go look at the HDSF% from November 15th to December 12th....4 games with less than 50%

4 out of 14 games but alot of the other games are 60% + or even 70%+
Rinosaur
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Somewhere, NJ
Joined: 01.21.2016

Jan 4 @ 1:58 PM ET
Go look at the HDSF% from November 15th to December 12th....4 games with less than 50%

4 out of 14 games but alot of the other games are 60% + or even 70%+

- MattStrat


Not talking about the percentage. The actual amount. Goaltending will only be able to keep up at that rate for so long.
j.boyd919
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Tampa, FL
Joined: 06.14.2011

Jan 4 @ 1:59 PM ET
Look at the stats from November 15th to December 15th and keep in mind that towards the end of that period quite a few games are overlapping with your last 15 game sample.
- MattStrat


They were about a 52% for cf%, scf%, hdcf% for that period. Which in 16 games averages out to about +4 shot attempts at 5v5 a game. I’m cool with that. I’d take that. I’d prefer it to be closer to +8-10.
j.boyd919
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Tampa, FL
Joined: 06.14.2011

Jan 4 @ 2:01 PM ET
Not talking about the percentage. The actual amount. Goaltending will only be able to keep up at that rate for so long.
- Rinosaur


I dunno. If they’re on the positive side of the high danger percentage over a 7 game series I feel fine about the Pens finishing their chances. I don’t expect them to completely suppress shots but if they can generate more than the other team I’m cool with it.
MattStrat
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: ...serial abuser...and misuser...of the ellipsis , NF
Joined: 12.12.2014

Jan 4 @ 2:01 PM ET
Not talking about the percentage. The actual amount. Goaltending will only be able to keep up at that rate for so long.
- Rinosaur


It shows how much more they're out-chancing the opponents.

As Feds would say: Recency bias.

They were playing pretty solid hockey for a period of time this season. Its the last 10ish games plus the fact that they've been dead last in conference this season that makes it overlooked.
MattStrat
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: ...serial abuser...and misuser...of the ellipsis , NF
Joined: 12.12.2014

Jan 4 @ 2:02 PM ET
They were about a 52% for cf%, scf%, hdcf% for that period. Which in 16 games averages out to about +4 shot attempts at 5v5 a game. I’m cool with that. I’d take that. I’d prefer it to be closer to +8-10.
- j.boyd919



Haha me too and no doubt.
j.boyd919
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Tampa, FL
Joined: 06.14.2011

Jan 4 @ 2:16 PM ET
Haha me too and no doubt.
- MattStrat


Well that’s where the first Sully cup run Pens were at. And I don’t understand why they aren’t trying to get back to that. Or at least making management decisions that don’t trend that way.
Thorny87
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Calgary, AB
Joined: 10.17.2014

Jan 4 @ 2:53 PM ET
The recent play of MM and consistant play of CD may be attributing the the shots they are allowing. Now that MM looks like his old self some cheating may be sneaking in.

I thought last game from the 2ish periods I saw was Petterssons worst as a Pen.

I'd like to see him away from JJ. By the looks of those stats he's just trying to keep his head above water right now. He has consistently been paired with JJ since his arrival so you'd have to think a better partner would buoy him a bit.
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