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Forums :: Blog World :: Bill Meltzer: Flyers Gameday: 11/21/18 @ BUF
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MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Nov 21 @ 5:11 PM ET
I personally think the team is mentally fragile, but thats just me.
- Glak18


I definitely believe that there are mental hurdles to get over for both the PK and the PP. As far as 5 on 5 play, they're inconsistently fragile. Sometimes they wilt easily. Sometimes they don't quit such as in the TB game. Does a mentally fragile team come back from a 5-1 deficit in the 3rd period?
easY
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 11.20.2018

Nov 21 @ 5:34 PM ET
I definitely believe that there are mental hurdles to get over for both the PK and the PP. As far as 5 on 5 play, they're inconsistently fragile. Sometimes they wilt easily. Sometimes they don't quit such as in the TB game. Does a mentally fragile team come back from a 5-1 deficit in the 3rd period?
- MJL


Yes because they have nothing to lose. And Tampa went into defense-only mode.
easY
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 11.20.2018

Nov 21 @ 5:43 PM ET
The PK was slightly better but it hasn't been good in years. Fillpula would help make the Flyers a better 5 on 5 team but lets face it, he was declining rapidly last season.
- MJL


That's the thing, he declined enough last year to not get resigned so I don't know if he'd be any better than Weal at even strength. He'd probably help lighten the load on PK.

One thing I notice is how few forwards are trusted on the PK this year. Last year they even had Simmonds out there and didn't look as bad.
Glak18
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: "It's pretty big loogie on my face, so I was pretty psssted".", PA
Joined: 06.26.2007

Nov 21 @ 6:00 PM ET
Beauty of a blog by Ek today...

Really captures who needs defense.
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Nov 21 @ 6:09 PM ET
That's the thing, he declined enough last year to not get resigned so I don't know if he'd be any better than Weal at even strength. He'd probably help lighten the load on PK.

One thing I notice is how few forwards are trusted on the PK this year. Last year they even had Simmonds out there and didn't look as bad.

- easY



Having a player like Filppula last year took weight off of the Couturier line.
easY
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 11.20.2018

Nov 21 @ 6:19 PM ET
Having a player like Filppula last year took weight off of the Couturier line.
- MJL


In deployment or effectiveness? Filppula was deployed a lot but did not look effective by the end.
hockeyal
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 07.22.2017

Nov 21 @ 6:24 PM ET

Also why are the Flyers worse without Manning?

- Glak18


MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Nov 21 @ 6:25 PM ET
In deployment or effectiveness? Filppula was deployed a lot but did not look effective by the end.
- easY


He declined rapidly. However taking a lot of hard minutes allowed the Couturier line to play less against top lines. The Flyers don't make the playoff last season if they didn't have Filppula in my opinion. This season, pretty much every game the Couturier line is having to go head to head with top lines.
hockeyal
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 07.22.2017

Nov 21 @ 6:26 PM ET
The flip side of that is that doesn't tell you specifically that the issue there is JVR. It can't tell you why something is happening, only what is happening.
- MJL


Yes, or if its just lingering rust from his injury, yada yada yada.

The point is, he wasn't one of the best players. Other than that, I don't know.
hockeyal
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 07.22.2017

Nov 21 @ 6:31 PM ET
You don't score the amount of goals that JVR has scored in this league without getting to the right areas of the ice. That simple. The Flyers have a lot of good players. They have an issue with fit in some cases.
- MJL


True, and being able to find the right spot makes you a great PP player, which I think JvR is. But what does it say about a player who is a career minus player (-33) . Sometimes it says they spent their whole career on teams that can't play D, but in his case it doesn't. It says what the good old "eye test" says, and what I said when they announced the trade: he is a guy with a reputation of not playing defense.
easY
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 11.20.2018

Nov 21 @ 6:32 PM ET
He declined rapidly. However taking a lot of hard minutes allowed the Couturier line to play less against top lines. The Flyers don't make the playoff last season if they didn't have Filppula in my opinion. This season, pretty much every game the Couturier line is having to go head to head with top lines.
- MJL


Do you think they'd play jvr filppula and Simmonds against to lines?
hockeyal
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 07.22.2017

Nov 21 @ 6:33 PM ET
Here is a comparison:

Flyers
Score 3/per games played 60%
Score 3 record 9-1-2

Washington
Score 3/per games played 65%
Score 3 record 9-1-2-1

Toronto
Score 3/per games played 71.4%
Score 3 record 14-1

- NC Flyers Fan


So one of these teams goes out and plays defense every night? Got it. How can we get some of that?
hockeyal
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 07.22.2017

Nov 21 @ 6:38 PM ET
The only move I would make now if the opportunity is there, is to trade for Nylander. Other than that., leave the team. There isnt a quick fix, go with what we got, address what we need via TDL and FA. We can legit take a huge step forward next season.

What we need is:

#3 C (Preferably a PK guy)
Sign starting Goalie
Sign reliable backup
Trade AMac retaining 25-50%
Let Simmonds Walk or trade him
Let Lehtera and Weal walk

All of the above can be done before next season starts. I know people are frustrated with losing but this team should still make the playoffs. They could squeak into round two but not likely but we cant just keep trading our young players away. We need to keep to the program. Rome wasnt built in a day. Trading works if you have a surplus, right now we do not. We are close, we cant just throw it away now.

- xShoot4WarAmpsx


If you "let Lehtera and Weal walk" who will play 3C and 4C? Who do you have under contract who has proven they will be ready in 19-20 to step in? Do you want to finish last?

Do you actually think that trading AMac will improve the team's defensive play, or that if he is having lingering injury issues, anyone will trade for him? Nobody is in danger of missing the floor anymore. If he returns to form they need him and if he doesn't nobody wants him.

Wishing your misguided list won't make it happen in the real NHL.
hockeyal
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 07.22.2017

Nov 21 @ 6:39 PM ET
I personally think the team is mentally fragile, but thats just me.
- Glak18


I think they lack real leadership in the room.
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Nov 21 @ 6:40 PM ET
True, and being able to find the right spot makes you a great PP player, which I think JvR is. But what does it say about a player who is a career minus player (-33) . Sometimes it says they spent their whole career on teams that can't play D, but in his case it doesn't. It says what the good old "eye test" says, and what I said when they announced the trade: he is a guy with a reputation of not playing defense.
- hockeyal


You're committing the cardinal sin of stats use. Whether it's more indepth analytics or simple +/-, once you start using them to rate a player, you've gone astray.

JVR had one season where he was -33 on the year. Other than that, he's an even player on his career. I've seen good players who are good defensive players rack up big minus numbers on bad teams.
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Nov 21 @ 6:41 PM ET
If you "let Lehtera and Weal walk" who will play 3C and 4C? Who do you have under contract who has proven they will be ready in 19-20 to step in? Do you want to finish last?

Do you actually think that trading AMac will improve the team's defensive play, or that if he is having lingering injury issues, anyone will trade for him? Nobody is in danger of missing the floor anymore. If he returns to form they need him and if he doesn't nobody wants him.

Wishing your misguided list won't make it happen in the real NHL.

- hockeyal


It's pretty much a safe bet that both Weal and Lehtera won't be back next season.
Nucker101
Vancouver Canucks
Location: Vancouver, BC
Joined: 09.26.2010

Nov 21 @ 6:42 PM ET
I think they lack real leadership in the room.
- hockeyal

#Fraudes
Landsbergfan
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Gävle, Sweden
Joined: 07.15.2014

Nov 21 @ 6:56 PM ET
Hak love Lehtera’s speed and PK skills. 🤡 💪
Landsbergfan
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Gävle, Sweden
Joined: 07.15.2014

Nov 21 @ 7:00 PM ET
Having a player like Filppula last year took weight off of the Couturier line.
- MJL

Darn Philpulla look like another player on the Isles. Is it the basketball arena or the coach. 🤔
hockeyal
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 07.22.2017

Nov 21 @ 7:05 PM ET
He declined rapidly. However taking a lot of hard minutes allowed the Couturier line to play less against top lines. The Flyers don't make the playoff last season if they didn't have Filppula in my opinion. This season, pretty much every game the Couturier line is having to go head to head with top lines.
- MJL


Filppula is a +9 this season playing 2nd line minutes, and top unit PK minutes (Islanders PK is mid-pack). In the last 12 games last season the PK was top 10 in the NHL at 84%. Not great, but respectable. Sure, Provorov and Coots were logging a lot of minutes but right up there with them the top 7 in PK minutes: Matt Read, Filppula and Manning. Just saying.
Landsbergfan
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Gävle, Sweden
Joined: 07.15.2014

Nov 21 @ 7:12 PM ET
Wow rags scored after 30 seconds with Daniel Day Lewis as their coach. 🤩
hockeyal
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 07.22.2017

Nov 21 @ 7:15 PM ET
It's pretty much a safe bet that both Weal and Lehtera won't be back next season.
- MJL


Don't disagree, based on how the front office makes decisions based on who they drafted and by whom. But maybe they should be back. If I assume I can sign them for the same amount, And I pick one of the three from Weal, Lehtera and Laughton, is Laughton really the best player of the three. He definitely has the smallest upside, but how can you not sign him after your protected him in the expansion draft?

Assuming you let them walk, who will play 3C and 4C? Corbin Knight and Phil Varone? Resign Filppula and PEB? The team needed a 3C and a 4C last summer and it will need them in 2019.
hockeyal
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 07.22.2017

Nov 21 @ 7:18 PM ET
You're committing the cardinal sin of stats use. Whether it's more indepth analytics or simple +/-, once you start using them to rate a player, you've gone astray.

JVR had one season where he was -33 on the year. Other than that, he's an even player on his career. I've seen good players who are good defensive players rack up big minus numbers on bad teams.

- MJL


In this case, the stats are backed up by the "eye test" we are so fond of here. The reason Toronto was willing to part with a scorer is that he would not play in system. They chose to let him leave.
Landsbergfan
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Gävle, Sweden
Joined: 07.15.2014

Nov 21 @ 7:18 PM ET
Wow rags scored after 30 seconds with Daniel Day Lewis as their coach. 🤩
- Landsbergfan

3 upcoming games could solidify flyers last place in the Metro. 🤬😓
Landsbergfan
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Gävle, Sweden
Joined: 07.15.2014

Nov 21 @ 7:19 PM ET
I think they lack real leadership in the room.
- hockeyal

That’s why they do not fight?
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