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Forums :: Blog World :: Bill Meltzer: Musings: Tangled Goaltending Outlook, Quick Hits: Leach and More
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TheGreat28
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Chadds Ford, PA
Joined: 06.20.2010

Jul 18 @ 2:38 PM ET
The interest is Buzzgate 2018-2019 is quite exciting. So far we have :

Opeth_Pa
BiggE
FlyersGrace
Jmatchett383
Glak18
Cdearth23
Scoob
Johndewar
Wcorvette
Bulet13
Missingmike
WhirlingDervish
Stayintheffnet
Nutter
Meltz - has stated would try to stop by at some point!

Thought I saw a glimpse of Arichardson but maybe he deleted the post. Forgive me if I incorrectly spelt a username, or forgot someone - PM's are ideal as posts are sometimes missed.

Plans or feelings may change, so no hard feelings but the initial response is promising! Take care all.

- flyer_nutter


What are the deets?
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Jul 18 @ 2:40 PM ET
Actually I don't like the Flyers goaltending situation, but there are no other options at the moment that makes this team better.

How about this, you contact Kekalainen in Columbus. Tell him you will have a trade available for Bobrovsky for Neurvirth + 2019 3rd round while retaining 15% of Bob's salary. Get it done and I will personally guarantee I will have Ron Hextall shake your hand and let you "beat the piss out of him".

Deal?

- Glak18


Even simpler, just trade Neuvirth, Provorov, Patrick, and a 2 1sts to NYR for Lundqvist. Problem solved.
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Jul 18 @ 2:40 PM ET
What are the deets?
- TheGreat28


Bring your own heroin.
TheGreat28
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Chadds Ford, PA
Joined: 06.20.2010

Jul 18 @ 2:42 PM ET
Bring your own heroin.
- jmatchett383


Was hoping to find some there
flyer_nutter
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Unleash the Peanuts, MB
Joined: 10.16.2008

Jul 18 @ 2:42 PM ET
What are the deets?
- TheGreat28


Nothing concrete yet, thinking late March or early April.

As time goes on we can discuss further. Just checking out the interest for now.

jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Jul 18 @ 2:42 PM ET
So OT, but one if he LA players in the Machado trade has apparently failed his physical.
Glak18
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: "It's pretty big loogie on my face, so I was pretty psssted".", PA
Joined: 06.26.2007

Jul 18 @ 2:44 PM ET
Come on man to say their are no options to male them better is incorrect. You may not want to pay the price to get one; that’s the difference.
- rinaldo


I know you have been like a jumping bean about this, but please feel free to suggest those options, what the Flyers would have to pay and/or give up in trade and what the Flyers would do with the other goaltenders they have.

Don't be one of those people who comes up with the "greatest" idea ever (Ex. a TV that can read your mind and knows what you want to watch), but when asked how it works they respond "I don't know, that's someone elses job to figure out". Anyone can come up with an idea, the only ones who matter are the ones who know how to execute it.
Glak18
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: "It's pretty big loogie on my face, so I was pretty psssted".", PA
Joined: 06.26.2007

Jul 18 @ 2:45 PM ET
Even simpler, just trade Neuvirth, Provorov, Patrick, and a 2 1sts to NYR for Lundqvist. Problem solved.
- jmatchett383


In all seriousness, would NYR accept that or want more because it's a division rival?
rinaldo
Joined: 05.10.2011

Jul 18 @ 2:46 PM ET
I know you have been like a jumping bean about this, but please feel free to suggest those options, what the Flyers would have to pay and/or give up in trade and what the Flyers would do with the other goaltenders they have.

Don't be one of those people who comes up with the "greatest" idea ever (Ex. a TV that can read your mind and knows what you want to watch), but when asked how it works they respond "I don't know, that's someone elses job to figure out". Anyone can come up with an idea, the only ones who matter are the ones who know how to execute it.

- Glak18

Real simple question.

do you think the flyers can aquire a goalie who is an upgrade then the 2 starters they currently have? Yes or no

I am not a GM so impossible for me to execute it.
MBFlyerfan
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Be nice from now on, NJ
Joined: 03.17.2006

Jul 18 @ 2:47 PM ET
The interest is Buzzgate 2018-2019 is quite exciting. So far we have :

Opeth_Pa
BiggE
FlyersGrace
Jmatchett383
Glak18
Cdearth23
Scoob
Johndewar
Wcorvette
Bulet13
Missingmike
WhirlingDervish
Stayintheffnet
Nutter
Meltz - has stated would try to stop by at some point!

Thought I saw a glimpse of Arichardson but maybe he deleted the post. Forgive me if I incorrectly spelt a username, or forgot someone - PM's are ideal as posts are sometimes missed.

Plans or feelings may change, so no hard feelings but the initial response is promising! Take care all.

- flyer_nutter


Im in.
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Jul 18 @ 2:50 PM ET
In all seriousness, would NYR accept that or want more because it's a division rival?
- Glak18


For Provorov alone they'd do it in a heartbeat.

So yes, it CAN be done. Whether or not the upgrade is worth the cost both in the short term and long term is the issue.
Mononoke
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: I'd do anything to get you humans out of my forest!
Joined: 07.19.2015

Jul 18 @ 2:57 PM ET
You're welcome all. Note: I switched Allison and Ratcliffe in the pic by accident.

I even quickly ranked the honorable mentions on the left


- YuenglingJagr


What the (frank) is this disaster of a list? You have Noah Cates as the 7th highest ranked player in the organization?

My eye is twitching.
Glak18
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: "It's pretty big loogie on my face, so I was pretty psssted".", PA
Joined: 06.26.2007

Jul 18 @ 2:59 PM ET
Real simple question.

do you think the flyers can aquire a goalie who is an upgrade then the 2 starters they currently have? Yes or no

I am not a GM so impossible for me to execute it.

- rinaldo


Again you always have a question to answer a question.

Answer is 100% yes. Every single team in the NHL can acquire a goalie who is an upgrade, every single one. You want an upgraded goaltender, I want an upgraded team...big difference because an upgraded goaltender doesn't mean a better team.
YuenglingJagr
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: under the bridge
Joined: 10.05.2015

Jul 18 @ 2:59 PM ET
What the (frank) is this disaster of a list? You have Noah Cates as the 7th highest ranked player in the organization?

My eye is twitching.

- Mononoke

Your Grace, that was merely a mistake. He is #25 on the list I submitted. The rest is completely accurate*

*except for Konecny at 2 instead of 4
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Jul 18 @ 3:00 PM ET
What the (frank) is this disaster of a list? You have Noah Cates as the 7th highest ranked player in the organization?

My eye is twitching.

Also, I’ve said it before: top 25 under 25s are dumb. It implicitly forces you to value lower ceiling current NHL players over prospects with arguably more potential to tap into. A top 25 prospect pool has more comparative consistency.

My eye is still twitching by the way. Jfc.

- Mononoke


It's ranked by thetan level.
Glak18
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: "It's pretty big loogie on my face, so I was pretty psssted".", PA
Joined: 06.26.2007

Jul 18 @ 3:01 PM ET
For Provorov alone they'd do it in a heartbeat.

So yes, it CAN be done. Whether or not the upgrade is worth the cost both in the short term and long term is the issue.

- jmatchett383


Oh if I was NYR I would do it in a heartbeat too, but in division does include an increase in cost.

If Giroux ever got traded, would you want more if he went to Pittsburgh? I just threw up in my mouth typing that.
Glak18
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: "It's pretty big loogie on my face, so I was pretty psssted".", PA
Joined: 06.26.2007

Jul 18 @ 3:03 PM ET
You're welcome all. Note: I switched Allison and Ratcliffe in the pic by accident.

I even quickly ranked the honorable mentions on the left


- YuenglingJagr


I just finally read your notch list...

Really *in Jim Carey voice*

Cates ranked that high? I need insight and I need it now.
Mononoke
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: I'd do anything to get you humans out of my forest!
Joined: 07.19.2015

Jul 18 @ 3:04 PM ET
Your Grace, that was merely a mistake. He is #25 on the list I submitted. The rest is completely accurate*

*except for Konecny at 2 instead of 4

- YuenglingJagr


I’ve said it before: top 25 under 25s are dumb. I know you are just following the format, so I’m not calling you dumb for this. For other reasons, maybe.

It implicitly forces you to weight lower ceiling current NHL players too highly over prospects with arguably more potential to tap into. It’s a matter of known commodities, even if they’re not that good. Obviously Provorov and company are safe bets, but more so the depth players. A top 25 prospect pool has more comparative consistency. I’d rather see that list. Then exclude goalies. And then tell me where we will hold our HBois Convention.
Glak18
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: "It's pretty big loogie on my face, so I was pretty psssted".", PA
Joined: 06.26.2007

Jul 18 @ 3:05 PM ET
What the (frank) is this disaster of a list? You have Noah Cates as the 7th highest ranked player in the organization?

My eye is twitching.

- Mononoke


Oh looks like someone else noticed that, I am so behind talking goalies...
rinaldo
Joined: 05.10.2011

Jul 18 @ 3:09 PM ET
Again you always have a question to answer a question.

Answer is 100% yes. Every single team in the NHL can acquire a goalie who is an upgrade, every single one. You want an upgraded goaltender, I want an upgraded team...big difference because an upgraded goaltender doesn't mean a better team.

- Glak18

Again sure if u say so.

Goalie is part of the team. Upgraded goalie = upgraded team.

Goalie is the biggest weakness right now imo. A weakness that can really kill the upcoming season.
Glak18
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: "It's pretty big loogie on my face, so I was pretty psssted".", PA
Joined: 06.26.2007

Jul 18 @ 3:11 PM ET
Again sure if u say so.

Goalie is part of the team. Upgraded goalie = upgraded team.

Goalie is the biggest weakness right now imo. A weakness that can really kill the upcoming season.

- rinaldo


Better goalie for nothing = upgraded team

A slight better goaltender while giving up needed assets = sideways
YuenglingJagr
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: under the bridge
Joined: 10.05.2015

Jul 18 @ 3:12 PM ET
I’ve said it before: top 25 under 25s are dumb. I know you are just following the format, so I’m not calling you dumb for this. For other reasons, maybe.

It implicitly forces you to weight lower ceiling current NHL players too highly over prospects with arguably more potential to tap into. It’s a matter of known commodities, even if they’re not that good. Obviously Provorov and company are safe bets, but more so the depth players. A top 25 prospect pool has more comparative consistency. I’d rather see that list. Then exclude goalies. And then tell me where we will hold our HBois Convention.

- Mononoke

It's only dumb when you disagree on how much to weight potential. I'm only interested in comparing with those who seem to value it like I do. My prospect rankings are the same, this just has older players sprinkled in. It is best described as the little value bar in chel. I think it is a realistic thing to consider so we know who to give up to get Karlsson.
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Jul 18 @ 3:16 PM ET
Oh if I was NYR I would do it in a heartbeat too, but in division does include an increase in cost.

If Giroux ever got traded, would you want more if he went to Pittsburgh? I just threw up in my mouth typing that.

- Glak18


It depends where Pittsburgh and Philly's "windows" were. To me, if you're trading star vets for young players/picks, you shouldn't care where they go because, by the time you're ready to be a contender, the player you traded most likely will have severely degraded.

So no, I would just want the best return possible.
rinaldo
Joined: 05.10.2011

Jul 18 @ 3:17 PM ET
Better goalie for nothing = upgraded team

A slight better goaltender while giving up needed assets = sideways

- Glak18

So giving up assets not even on the flyers sideways ?
Mononoke
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: I'd do anything to get you humans out of my forest!
Joined: 07.19.2015

Jul 18 @ 3:21 PM ET
It's only dumb when you disagree on how much to weight potential. I'm only interested in comparing with those who seem to value it like I do. My prospect rankings are the same, this just has older players sprinkled in. It is best described as the little value bar in chel. I think it is a realistic thing to consider so we know who to give up to get Karlsson.
- YuenglingJagr


To be fair to you (ugh), you didn't overweigh it. Though Hagg sticks out as too high for me given what we know. Like I think Hogberg is what people dreamily think Hagg is, but he's not already in the NHL almost leading the league in hits and xJimJacksonHeartBeats/60. You can point to known league value, but in that case, he should be higher. That's the other thing: league value (for a known NHL asset, whatever the mediocrity) is different than your ideal organizational value. Then you have someone like Stolarz who might have little trade value given his situation and no upwards mobility here. Are you ranking on pure potential in a vacuum? Then it gets confusing in methodology.

You see year in and year out in those awful rankings they end up compiling at BSH, with players like Leier above Myers and so on, that they 1) simply don't know anything about the prospects and 2) don't have any clue how to balance different factors out and 3) rank by names they know given closeness.

To do a top 25 prospects though, minus goalies, you'd have to eliminate 11 people from your list of 25 and add some. It's tougher. When I do mine I try to set my criteria as the prospects who I think are the most talented with the best chance of maximizing potential or potential value here.
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