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Forums :: Blog World :: Bill Meltzer: Meltzer's Musings: Defense/Offense Conundrum, Ghost, Giroux, Goalies
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YuenglingJagr
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: under the bridge
Joined: 10.05.2015

Feb 7 @ 3:14 PM ET
The point is 5v5 (aka what line you're actually on), and PP points are two entirely different categories. It's very possible to be a top 6 forward at 5v5 and not get much PP time to bring your points down. Or to be a mediocre 5v5 player but get a huge PP boost.

I just love that Ghost is a 3rd pair PP specialist, and called that even before his slump this year.......but that logic doesn't apply to a forward like Schenn. Is Sam Gagner a top line forward pacing for 56 points? Because he plays on the 4th line.

- Mononoke

thats because your third line is for defense
J35Bacher
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 04.03.2014

Feb 7 @ 3:14 PM ET
This lineup is missing Waffles!
- dragonoffrost


Sorry.

I knew something didn't look right.

dragonoffrost
Season Ticket Holder
Location: The East Coast Dump, NJ
Joined: 10.12.2015

Feb 7 @ 3:15 PM ET
Sorry.

I knew something didn't look right.

- J35Bacher


LOL I got to like you knew who I meant.
Baxter27
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 12.03.2007

Feb 7 @ 3:16 PM ET
Well, Kopitar was only the 11th pick.
- Feanor


2007: Macdonald/Selane or Getzlaf/Perry
2008: Datsyuk/Zetterberg
2009 : Crosby/Malkin
2010: Toews/Kane

2011: Bergeron/Krejic
2012: Kopitar/Brown
2013: Toews/Kane
2014: Kopitar/Carter
2015: Toews/Kane
2016: Crosby/Malkin

In the last 10 years only half the Stanley cup champions and 1/3 of organizations to win the cup had a 1-2 punch provided as a result of tanking. But it's apparently absolutely necessary.
Mononoke
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: I'd do anything to get you humans out of my forest!
Joined: 07.19.2015

Feb 7 @ 3:16 PM ET
According to last year's numbers, 55-60 points puts you in the 41-67 range of scoring. That's low end top line or high end 2nd line.

In regards to Schenn, it's misleading because he accumulates a disproportionate amount of points on the PP compared to most guys. He's also a mess defensively, so it's hard to play him big minutes at even strength. He and Simmonds are both more specialists than all around great players.

- PhillySportsGuy


Preach, baby.

I think Simmonds though has shown that with a non-anchor attached to him at center, that he can actually match with another strong possession player. Schenn has been a known drag on pretty much anyone's numbers 5v5. Simmonds actually has better results. Plus Simmonds's speed and shot 5v5 are quality assets.
J35Bacher
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 04.03.2014

Feb 7 @ 3:17 PM ET
LOL
- dragonoffrost



Schenn - Giroux - Voracek
TBD or Cousins - Couturier - Simmonds
Raffl - Laughton - Read
Vandevelde - Bellemare - Lyubimov


PhillySportsGuy
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: any donut with a hole in the middle can get (frank)ed right in its hole, NJ
Joined: 04.08.2012

Feb 7 @ 3:17 PM ET
Second line away from Coots who can be 3C and eat lots of minutes.

Raffl-G-Jake
Schenn-Cousins-Simmonds
Read-Coots-Weise
YOU KNOW WHO!

- dragonoffrost


If Couts is going to eat lots of minutes, shouldn't he play with better wingers?
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Feb 7 @ 3:17 PM ET
Do you think it's time to get Schenn back to the wing?

I know they want to spread out the depth but I think it's time to get back to Schenn on the wing and maybe Cousins back in the middle.

Schenn - Giroux - Voracek
TBD - Couturier - Simmonds
Read - Cousins - Weise
Vandevelde - Bellemare - Lyubimov


It's not perfect but I am not sure Schenn in the middle is what's needed. With Laughton playing with confidence in the AHL maybe it's time to see if he can handle 3rd line center duties.

- J35Bacher



I've always like Schenn better at wing, and I think his skill set is better suited for the wing. The problem is who plays center, because I also like Cousins better on the wing.
J35Bacher
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 04.03.2014

Feb 7 @ 3:19 PM ET
I've always like Schenn better at wing, and I think his skill set is better suited for the wing. The problem is who plays center, because I also like Cousins better on the wing.
- MJL



Is it time for Laughton to get 3rd line center. Reports are he is playing with confidence. I think at some point he needs to be up here since he is RFA and the expansion draft.
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Feb 7 @ 3:19 PM ET
The point is 5v5 (aka what line you're actually on), and PP points are two entirely different categories. It's very possible to be a top 6 forward at 5v5 and not get much PP time to bring your points down. Or to be a mediocre 5v5 player but get a huge PP boost.

I just love that Ghost is a 3rd pair PP specialist, and called that even before his slump this year.......but that logic doesn't apply to a forward like Schenn. Is Sam Gagner a top line forward pacing for 56 points? Because he plays on the 4th line.

- Mononoke



It's a moot point because most informed people know and realize that at his best, Gostisbehere is not just a PP specialist.
mickel25
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Morgantown, PA
Joined: 01.21.2011

Feb 7 @ 3:21 PM ET
2007: Macdonald/Selane or Getzlaf/Perry
2008: Datsyuk/Zetterberg
2009 : Crosby/Malkin
2010: Toews/Kane

2011: Bergeron/Krejic
2012: Kopitar/Brown
2013: Toews/Kane
2014: Kopitar/Carter
2015: Toews/Kane
2016: Crosby/Malkin

In the last 10 years only half the Stanley cup champions and 1/3 of organizations to win the cup had a 1-2 punch provided as a result of tanking. But it's apparently absolutely necessary.

- Baxter27


I believe all of those teams won with goalies they drafted as well. Was Thomas drafted by the Bruins? The Pens and Hawks doing it with multiple goalies they drafted.

Drafting good players regardless of where you draft is the key.
Baxter27
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 12.03.2007

Feb 7 @ 3:21 PM ET
I've always like Schenn better at wing, and I think his skill set is better suited for the wing. The problem is who plays center, because I also like Cousins better on the wing.
- MJL


You can give Laughton or Weal a look at third line Center but it probably means Read remains out of the line up. I'd want 2 out of Raffl, Read and Weise on their wings to support them.
dragonoffrost
Season Ticket Holder
Location: The East Coast Dump, NJ
Joined: 10.12.2015

Feb 7 @ 3:23 PM ET
If Couts is going to eat lots of minutes, shouldn't he play with better wingers?
- PhillySportsGuy


The only issue is Weise. Read has been OK for the role Coots and him will be facing.
PhillySportsGuy
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: any donut with a hole in the middle can get (frank)ed right in its hole, NJ
Joined: 04.08.2012

Feb 7 @ 3:23 PM ET
2007: Macdonald/Selane or Getzlaf/Perry
2008: Datsyuk/Zetterberg
2009 : Crosby/Malkin
2010: Toews/Kane

2011: Bergeron/Krejic
2012: Kopitar/Brown
2013: Toews/Kane
2014: Kopitar/Carter
2015: Toews/Kane
2016: Crosby/Malkin

In the last 10 years only half the Stanley cup champions and 1/3 of organizations to win the cup had a 1-2 punch provided as a result of tanking. But it's apparently absolutely necessary.

- Baxter27


Kopitar is more of an in between. The Kings also used one of their awful years to get Doughty. They also acquired Carter using Jack Johnson (former 3rd overall pick) as the centerpiece of the deal.

The tanking isn't entirely about what you get with those picks though. It's the opportunity to take several bites at the apple through other means as well.
dragonoffrost
Season Ticket Holder
Location: The East Coast Dump, NJ
Joined: 10.12.2015

Feb 7 @ 3:24 PM ET
I believe all of those teams won with goalies they drafted as well. Was Thomas drafted by the Bruins? The Pens and Hawks doing it with multiple goalies they drafted.

Drafting good players regardless of where you draft is the key.

- mickel25


So we got Stolie/Sandstrom/Hart in the pipeline.
Feanor
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: DE
Joined: 02.13.2013

Feb 7 @ 3:24 PM ET
The odds of Cousins being made the 2C are slim to none.
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Feb 7 @ 3:24 PM ET
According to last year's numbers, 55-60 points puts you in the 41-67 range of scoring. That's low end top line or high end 2nd line.

In regards to Schenn, it's misleading because he accumulates a disproportionate amount of points on the PP compared to most guys. He's also a mess defensively, so it's hard to play him big minutes at even strength. He and Simmonds are both more specialists than all around great players.

- PhillySportsGuy



Last season Schenn scored 37 ES points, and 22 PP points.

Simmonds scored 39 at ES, and 21 PP points.

Neither is a specialist, and both are good scoring line forwards.

This season, pretty much the entire team is poor in ES scoring.
PhillySportsGuy
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: any donut with a hole in the middle can get (frank)ed right in its hole, NJ
Joined: 04.08.2012

Feb 7 @ 3:25 PM ET
Preach, baby.

I think Simmonds though has shown that with a non-anchor attached to him at center, that he can actually match with another strong possession player. Schenn has been a known drag on pretty much anyone's numbers 5v5. Simmonds actually has better results. Plus Simmonds's speed and shot 5v5 are quality assets.

- Mononoke


Yeah, Simmonds is definitely better. I just think his reputation probably overrates him as an even strength guy. He is a wizard in front of the net on the PP though.
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Feb 7 @ 3:25 PM ET
Is it time for Laughton to get 3rd line center. Reports are he is playing with confidence. I think at some point he needs to be up here since he is RFA and the expansion draft.
- J35Bacher



No idea. I have not watched him play with the Phantoms.
arichardson22
Season Ticket Holder
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philly, PA
Joined: 06.10.2013

Feb 7 @ 3:25 PM ET
I believe all of those teams won with goalies they drafted as well. Was Thomas drafted by the Bruins? The Pens and Hawks doing it with multiple goalies they drafted.

Drafting good players regardless of where you draft is the key.

- mickel25


And also drafted top pairing dman. (Keith, Letang).
dragonoffrost
Season Ticket Holder
Location: The East Coast Dump, NJ
Joined: 10.12.2015

Feb 7 @ 3:26 PM ET
The odds of Cousins being made the 2C are slim to none.
- Feanor


2C playing 10-15 a game?

G - 17-20
Coots 18-20
Cousins 10-15
YKW 10-15
mickel25
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Morgantown, PA
Joined: 01.21.2011

Feb 7 @ 3:28 PM ET
The only issue is Weise. Read has been OK for the role Coots and him will be facing.
- dragonoffrost


I'd go Raffl-Coots-Simmonds. All sound defensive players. Assuming Schenn is with G and Jake my ideal lines would look like this.

Schenn-G-Jake
Raffl-Coots-Simmonds
Weiss/Read-Laughton-Cousins
Read/Weiss-78-13
mickel25
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Morgantown, PA
Joined: 01.21.2011

Feb 7 @ 3:29 PM ET
And also drafted top pairing dman. (Keith, Letang).
- arichardson22


Flyers have seemingly done that with Provorov.
Mononoke
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: I'd do anything to get you humans out of my forest!
Joined: 07.19.2015

Feb 7 @ 3:32 PM ET
Yeah, Simmonds is definitely better. I just think his reputation probably overrates him as an even strength guy. He is a wizard in front of the net on the PP though.
- PhillySportsGuy


I think most people would actually oversell the PP and undersell how good he can be at other strengths with the right linemates. But yes, he's at BEST probably a 2nd line 5v5 player. He's back with Coots now and they always do well together. Line was a bright spot last night.
arichardson22
Season Ticket Holder
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philly, PA
Joined: 06.10.2013

Feb 7 @ 3:33 PM ET
Flyers have seemingly done that with Provorov.
- mickel25


Yup, and possibly with Hart for goalie. Now all we need is that 1C potential prospect.
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