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Forums :: Blog World :: Bill Meltzer: As Expected, No Buyout for Lecavalier
Author Message
Jsaquella
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Bringing Hexy Back
Joined: 06.16.2006

Jun 18 @ 8:00 PM ET
funny thing is the flyers are expecting these two to play at this level when they're in their mid 30's when these teenagers they have in the prospect pool develop... just (frank)ing genius.
- JoeRussomanno


Amazingly, the Ducks managed to do pretty much the same thing the Flyers are trying and now have a top contender...but yeah, let's ignore that
Scoob
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: love is love
Joined: 06.29.2006

Jun 18 @ 8:02 PM ET
if Jake says give me a contract identical to giroux, do any of you guys step away from the table?
- stayinthefnnet


Here are the papers, Jake. Happy to keep you as part of the team.
JoeRussomanno
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: me bitter? F-no i think it's hilarious
Joined: 12.14.2011

Jun 18 @ 8:12 PM ET
no i think at this point (barring any drastic fluctuations in his play) he is as valuable or more valuable than giroux. im starting to think jake would be the better captain.
- black_francis

easy there, that's my thunder you're stealing
JoeRussomanno
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: me bitter? F-no i think it's hilarious
Joined: 12.14.2011

Jun 18 @ 8:13 PM ET
Amazingly, the Ducks managed to do pretty much the same thing the Flyers are trying and now have a top contender...but yeah, let's ignore that
- Jsaquella

oh I didn't realize the goal was to be a contender. thought we were aiming a bit higher.
ob18
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: That matters less than you hope it does
Joined: 07.20.2007

Jun 18 @ 8:14 PM ET
oh I didn't realize the goal was to be a contender. thought we were aiming a bit higher.
- JoeRussomanno


You need to be a contender in order to reach the higher intended goals.
Jsaquella
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Bringing Hexy Back
Joined: 06.16.2006

Jun 18 @ 8:15 PM ET
oh I didn't realize the goal was to be a contender. thought we were aiming a bit higher.
- JoeRussomanno


Usually need to contend to have a shot to win. It's called taking steps towards the ultimate goal.
JoeRussomanno
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: me bitter? F-no i think it's hilarious
Joined: 12.14.2011

Jun 18 @ 8:16 PM ET
You need to be a contender in order to reach the higher intended goals.
- ob18

ok so one team has reached the final four doing that.
JoeRussomanno
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: me bitter? F-no i think it's hilarious
Joined: 12.14.2011

Jun 18 @ 8:17 PM ET
Usually need to contend to have a shot to win. It's called taking steps towards the ultimate goal.
- Jsaquella

so we're going to follow an iffy at best plan that has yet to succeed... ok this just might be different.
AllInForFlyers
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Call Me Sweetcheeks
Joined: 03.18.2013

Jun 18 @ 8:17 PM ET
Id ink him in for 6 years at that cap number in a second
- Just5


Yessir

Until proven otherwise, not sure this team can score on the PP without Giroux and at ES without Voracek, so yeah, you gotta pay those men their money and give them better support options

I don't love how much Chicago is paying Toews and Kane, but if you're gonna pay people, always pay difference makers, not third-liners and third-pair defenders. Can't dispute they aren't doing just that

Not to say the latter aren't valuable, because the playoffs always show how top lines can usually be neutralized. But you gotta make the playoffs first, and elite point producers are high on the list to getting there
howiehandles
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: IL
Joined: 06.18.2010

Jun 18 @ 8:21 PM ET
I love seeing the old vets getting to hoist the Cup.

Timonen is at 2:28 of the video.


http://wgntv.com/2015/06/...stanley-cup-parade-rally/
Jsaquella
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Bringing Hexy Back
Joined: 06.16.2006

Jun 18 @ 8:23 PM ET
so we're going to follow an iffy at best plan that has yet to succeed... ok this just might be different.
- JoeRussomanno


Drafting and developing is an iffy plan? It just so happens that the Flyers roster is most similar to the Ducks when they started their retooling-two mid 20's star players, with a younger D corps. Also similar to the Rangers, and even the Kings, although the disparity wasn't as pronounced in the ages of Kopitar and Doughty and Voynov.

Yeah, so much better to trade away the future and chase the big, shiny names who cost an arm and a leg. That plan has worked so well for the Flyers.
Jsaquella
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Bringing Hexy Back
Joined: 06.16.2006

Jun 18 @ 8:25 PM ET
Yessir

Until proven otherwise, not sure this team can score on the PP without Giroux and at ES without Voracek, so yeah, you gotta pay those men their money and give them better support options

I don't love how much Chicago is paying Toews and Kane, but if you're gonna pay people, always pay difference makers, not third-liners and third-pair defenders. Can't dispute they aren't doing just that

Not to say the latter aren't valuable, because the playoffs always show how top lines can usually be neutralized. But you gotta make the playoffs first, and elite point producers are high on the list to getting there

- AllInForFlyers


At the very least, keep them both under control, so if the kids don't develop as hoped, they're an asset that can be moved for a great return.

But yeah, the Flyers aren't in cap Hell because Giroux's making $8+mm a year. They're in trouble because of the money they're spending on a mediocre defense and bottom six forwards.
JoeRussomanno
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: me bitter? F-no i think it's hilarious
Joined: 12.14.2011

Jun 18 @ 8:31 PM ET
Drafting and developing is an iffy plan? It just so happens that the Flyers roster is most similar to the Ducks when they started their retooling-two mid 20's star players, with a younger D corps. Also similar to the Rangers, and even the Kings, although the disparity wasn't as pronounced in the ages of Kopitar and Doughty and Voynov.

Yeah, so much better to trade away the future and chase the big, shiny names who cost an arm and a leg. That plan has worked so well for the Flyers.

- Jsaquella

how can one plan that hasn't worked be better than another that hasn't ? all im saying is if you wanna draft and develop fine do that, but don't let players toil hopelessly in hopes that some prospects that have not played one shift in the nhl will come out and be a bunch of bobby orrs. for all we know sanheim and morin could be coburn and carle.
Jsaquella
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Bringing Hexy Back
Joined: 06.16.2006

Jun 18 @ 8:36 PM ET
how can one plan that hasn't worked be better than one that is? all im saying is if you wanna draft and develop fine do that, but don't let players toil hopelessly in hopes that some prospects that have not played one shift in the nhl will come out and be a bunch of bobby orrs. for all we know sanheim and morin could be coburn and carle.
- JoeRussomanno


They could be busts. They could also go chasing big names that don't pan out, or basically what they did from 2009-2014. Yes, they have to draft well, but the best way to have sustained success is to draft and develop well, consistently have pieces ready to step in and to recoup value. Far better to deal a big name one year too early than acquire him one year too late.

Look at the free agent class. Look at the kind of players being shopped around the league. Flawed or one dimensional players, who cost a ton of cash to sign or assets to acquire. Then you're stuck playing Lukas Krajicek on the third pair, because you don't have a good youngster to plug in or can't afford to trade for a good vet at the deadline to step in and be a solid contributor
JoeRussomanno
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: me bitter? F-no i think it's hilarious
Joined: 12.14.2011

Jun 18 @ 8:42 PM ET
They could be busts. They could also go chasing big names that don't pan out, or basically what they did from 2009-2014. Yes, they have to draft well, but the best way to have sustained success is to draft and develop well, consistently have pieces ready to step in and to recoup value. Far better to deal a big name one year too early than acquire him one year too late.

Look at the free agent class. Look at the kind of players being shopped around the league. Flawed or one dimensional players, who cost a ton of cash to sign or assets to acquire. Then you're stuck playing Lukas Krajicek on the third pair, because you don't have a good youngster to plug in or can't afford to trade for a good vet at the deadline to step in and be a solid contributor

- Jsaquella

kinda made my point for me mentioning its better to trade a year ealy than a year too late, didn't ya? im just saying i dont like have guys that far apart in age just seems like its unfair and kinda ironic considering what today's blog was anout to expect guys in their 30's to haul the wagon. i find it much safer to project a decline in a player than a plateau or progression.
Jsaquella
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Bringing Hexy Back
Joined: 06.16.2006

Jun 18 @ 8:51 PM ET
kinda made my point for me mentioning its better to trade a year ealy than a year too late, didn't ya? im just saying i dont like have guys that far apart in age just seems like its unfair and kinda ironic considering what today's blog was anout to expect guys in their 30's to haul the wagon. i find it much safer to project a decline in a player than a plateau or progression.
- JoeRussomanno


That would be fine if Giroux or Voracek were 30. But they aren't. Neither plays a style that is likely to see the kind of decline that a guy like Richards experienced, either. In Chicago, Marian Hossa is 36. Patrick Sharp is 33. Both still productive and valuable players.

The Ducks made the final four with Sami Vatanen age 24, Cam Fowler age 23, Simon Despres 23 and Hampus Lindholm, 21 playing huge roles and the offense keyed by the 30 year old Getzlaff & Perry.

In the Flyers case, perhaps when guys like Sanheim and Morin are 23 or 24 year old rising defensemen, the 31 Giroux and 30 year old Voracek can be moved for huge returns that set the table for a talented young team.
Fryman4
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 01.21.2014

Jun 18 @ 8:53 PM ET
how can one plan that hasn't worked be better than another that hasn't ? all im saying is if you wanna draft and develop fine do that, but don't let players toil hopelessly in hopes that some prospects that have not played one shift in the nhl will come out and be a bunch of bobby orrs. for all we know sanheim and morin could be coburn and carle.
- JoeRussomanno


I'm not sure what point you really are trying to make. We should trade G and Jake today because they will be 30 in several years?
Jsaquella
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Bringing Hexy Back
Joined: 06.16.2006

Jun 18 @ 8:55 PM ET
I'm not sure what point you really are trying to make. We should trade G and Jake today because they will be 30 in several years?
- Fryman4


That kind of puzzled me, too. There's a difference in trading a 27 year old superstar and a 32 year old one
JoeRussomanno
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: me bitter? F-no i think it's hilarious
Joined: 12.14.2011

Jun 18 @ 8:57 PM ET
I'm not sure what point you really are trying to make. We should trade G and Jake today because they will be 30 in several years?
- Fryman4

im sorry i didnt realize that the difficulty of winning with aging players is a hard concept to grasp, my apologies.
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Jun 18 @ 9:00 PM ET
how can one plan that hasn't worked be better than another that hasn't ? all im saying is if you wanna draft and develop fine do that, but don't let players toil hopelessly in hopes that some prospects that have not played one shift in the nhl will come out and be a bunch of bobby orrs. for all we know sanheim and morin could be coburn and carle.
- JoeRussomanno


I think you make some reasonable points. You could be waiting forever. Lots of teams have tried to draft and develop players to get to the top and have failed. It doesn't matter how you get there, as long as you do. Doesn't matter what method you use either. You can have patience and draft and develop players poorly. Prospects can not pan out. There are no bad methods of acquiring players. Just bad moves and good moves.
Jsaquella
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Bringing Hexy Back
Joined: 06.16.2006

Jun 18 @ 9:01 PM ET
im sorry i didnt realize that the difficulty of winning with aging players is a hard concept to grasp, my apologies.
- JoeRussomanno


It's not really true, is the trouble.

The team that just won the Cup iced 4 guys over age 32 in their top 9 (Hossa 36,Richards 35, Sharp 33,Vermette 32) and had three of their top 4 D-men at advanced ages and playing huge minutes (Oduya 33, Keith 31, Seabrook 30)
ravishingone
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: United States, PA
Joined: 06.30.2007

Jun 18 @ 9:03 PM ET
That would be fine if Giroux or Voracek were 30. But they aren't. Neither plays a style that is likely to see the kind of decline that a guy like Richards experienced, either. In Chicago, Marian Hossa is 36. Patrick Sharp is 33. Both still productive and valuable players.

The Ducks made the final four with Sami Vatanen age 24, Cam Fowler age 23, Simon Despres 23 and Hampus Lindholm, 21 playing huge roles and the offense keyed by the 30 year old Getzlaff & Perry.

In the Flyers case, perhaps when guys like Sanheim and Morin are 23 or 24 year old rising defensemen, the 31 Giroux and 30 year old Voracek can be moved for huge returns that set the table for a talented young team.

- Jsaquella


I'm really looking forward to seeing a blueline who can do more then mainly just chip the puck up the boards and hope the winger can dig the puck out of the defensive zone. Dmen with a little more mobility and a little more passing skill and I believe the goals will become more plentiful even if the top 9 forwards stays the same right now. They just aren't able to consistently generate speed through the neutral zone because the passing or the ability of a dman to carry the puck up the ice just isn't there enough.
Jsaquella
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Bringing Hexy Back
Joined: 06.16.2006

Jun 18 @ 9:05 PM ET
I'm really looking forward to seeing a blueline who can do more then mainly just chip the puck up the boards and hope the winger can dig the puck out of the defensive zone. Dmen with a little more mobility and a little more passing skill and I believe the goals will become more plentiful even if the top 9 forwards stays the same right now. They just aren't able to consistently generate speed through the neutral zone because the passing or the ability of a dman to carry the puck up the ice just isn't there enough.
- ravishingone


I want mobile defensemen who can play defense. I want bigger guys who can skate well and don't have to rely on chipping it out the majority of the time. I want guys who are a threat to simply lug the puck up ice and force teams to respect them and not be able to aggressively forecheck and hem them into their own end for long stretches of time.

JoeRussomanno
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: me bitter? F-no i think it's hilarious
Joined: 12.14.2011

Jun 18 @ 9:06 PM ET
It's not really true, is the trouble.

The team that just won the Cup iced 4 guys over age 32 in their top 9 (Hossa 36,Richards 35, Sharp 33,Vermette 32) and had three of their top 4 D-men at advanced ages and playing huge minutes (Oduya 33, Keith 31, Seabrook 30)

- Jsaquella

out of all them keith and seabrook are the only exception to what im saying and even they are stillon the cusp.those other guys are secondary pieces. Toews and kane are your giroux and voracek on that team. realistically giroux, voracek and mason will be 34/35 when these prospects can reasonably be expected to carry the load.
JoeRussomanno
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: me bitter? F-no i think it's hilarious
Joined: 12.14.2011

Jun 18 @ 9:09 PM ET
I think you make some reasonable points. You could be waiting forever. Lots of teams have tried to draft and develop players to get to the top and have failed. It doesn't matter how you get there, as long as you do. Doesn't matter what method you use either. You can have patience and draft and develop players poorly. Prospects can not pan out. There are no bad methods of acquiring players. Just bad moves and good moves.
- MJL

im all for drafting and development im not for expecting guys in their mid 30's to be your go to guys.
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