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Forums :: Blog World :: Bill Meltzer: Meltzer's Musings: The Flyers and Risk-Tolerance at the Draft
Author Message
Tumbleweed
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: avid reader of the daily douche news
Joined: 03.14.2014

Jun 6 @ 4:28 PM ET
cant even compair nash to kessel. Nash would be the higher of the two. Id take him over kessel asny day of the week and twice on sunday.
- jmdodgeser4


Comparison of Kessel (now) and Nash (time of trade)

Age:
Nash - 28
Kessel - 27

PPG – Last 5 years
Nash - .72, .88, .88, 1.01, .86
Kessel: .74, .98, 1.08, 1.00, .78

Contract Status
Nash: 6 years, $7.8M, LNTC
Kessel: 7 years, $8.0M, LNTC

Other
Kessel – elite scoring winger, with speed and play-making ability
Nash – elite scoring winger with unique combination of size and skill
jmdodgeser4
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 01.26.2009

Jun 6 @ 4:30 PM ET
Comparison of Kessel (now) and Nash (time of trade)

Age:
Nash - 28
Kessel - 27

PPG – Last 5 years
Nash - .72, .88, .88, 1.01, .86
Kessel: .74, .98, 1.08, 1.00, .78

Contract Status
Nash: 6 years, $7.8M, LNTC
Kessel: 7 years, $8.0M, LNTC

Other
Kessel – elite scoring winger, with speed and play-making ability
Nash – elite scoring winger with unique combination of size and skill

- Tumbleweed

please supply now for both along with plus minus ..thx
jmdodgeser4
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 01.26.2009

Jun 6 @ 4:35 PM ET
Comparison of Kessel (now) and Nash (time of trade)

Age:
Nash - 28
Kessel - 27

PPG – Last 5 years
Nash - .72, .88, .88, 1.01, .86
Kessel: .74, .98, 1.08, 1.00, .78

Contract Status
Nash: 6 years, $7.8M, LNTC
Kessel: 7 years, $8.0M, LNTC

From what i see and know I would take nash. Hes just the better all around player. But also note I wouldnt take either now for anthing. cap hit and assets
Other
Kessel – elite scoring winger, with speed and play-making ability
Nash – elite scoring winger with unique combination of size and skill

- Tumbleweed

Tumbleweed
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: avid reader of the daily douche news
Joined: 03.14.2014

Jun 6 @ 4:36 PM ET
please supply now for both along with plus minus ..thx
- jmdodgeser4


plus/minus is a pretty crappy stat to base a decision on, but here you go:

-34, -5,-3, -10,-20
-19, 2, 4, -2, 11
jmdodgeser4
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 01.26.2009

Jun 6 @ 4:38 PM ET
plus/minus is a pretty crappy stat to base a decision on, but here you go:

-34, -5,-3, -10,-20
-19, 2, 4, -2, 11

- Tumbleweed


i agree. But who the more complete player of the two?
Tumbleweed
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: avid reader of the daily douche news
Joined: 03.14.2014

Jun 6 @ 4:42 PM ET
i agree. But who the more complete player of the two?
- jmdodgeser4


nash. but really, they're both terrible defensively.

http://ownthepuck.blogspo...ative-rankings-optic.html
jmdodgeser4
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 01.26.2009

Jun 6 @ 4:47 PM ET
nash. but really, they're both terrible defensively.

http://ownthepuck.blogspo...ative-rankings-optic.html

- Tumbleweed


I dont agree. Nash is ok on the d side. Kessel is just lost on that side of the puck. My point is thinking youll get a deal like the nash trade just isnt happening
Tumbleweed
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: avid reader of the daily douche news
Joined: 03.14.2014

Jun 6 @ 4:49 PM ET
I dont agree. Nash is ok on the d side. Kessel is just lost on that side of the puck. My point is thinking youll get a deal like the nash trade just isnt happening
- jmdodgeser4


agree to disagree.

Jsaquella
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Bringing Hexy Back
Joined: 06.16.2006

Jun 6 @ 5:10 PM ET
thanks
- Tumbleweed


Bill Meltzer was the first I saw to post this theory, makes sense. on some levels, but nit sure I see Lecavalier walk away from nearly $10mm
Jsaquella
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Bringing Hexy Back
Joined: 06.16.2006

Jun 6 @ 5:13 PM ET
Dreaded?
- ob18

Yeah, didn't you know, he's big and therefore bad
Tumbleweed
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: avid reader of the daily douche news
Joined: 03.14.2014

Jun 6 @ 5:30 PM ET
Bill Meltzer was the first I saw to post this theory, makes sense. on some levels, but nit sure I see Lecavalier walk away from nearly $10mm
- Jsaquella


i hear ya, if i have the choice between sitting in the press box or forgoing $10mm, i probably choose the pressbox and wait for a buyout.

vinny holds a lot of leverage with the NMC. If the flyers could force his hand by sending to the ahl, it is a very different choice. Ridding out his career on a bus does not so sound appealing to me.
Jsaquella
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Bringing Hexy Back
Joined: 06.16.2006

Jun 6 @ 5:36 PM ET
i hear ya, if i have the choice between sitting in the press box or forgoing $10mm, i probably choose the pressbox and wait for a buyout.

vinny holds a lot of leverage with the NMC. If the flyers could force his hand by sending to the ahl, it is a very different choice. Ridding out his career on a bus does not so sound appealing to me.

- Tumbleweed


That's the rub. The Flyers lone leverage exists if Vinny wants to play so badly he is willing to bail on that much money.
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Jun 6 @ 5:39 PM ET
i hear ya, if i have the choice between sitting in the press box or forgoing $10mm, i probably choose the pressbox and wait for a buyout.

vinny holds a lot of leverage with the NMC. If the flyers could force his hand by sending to the ahl, it is a very different choice. Ridding out his career on a bus does not so sound appealing to me.

- Tumbleweed



What's worse, playing in the AHL and riding a bus, or not playing at all, and becoming a well paid season ticket holder?
Tumbleweed
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: avid reader of the daily douche news
Joined: 03.14.2014

Jun 6 @ 5:45 PM ET
What's worse, playing in the AHL and riding a bus, or not playing at all, and becoming a well paid season ticket holder?
- MJL


clearly the ahl is far worse imo.

nhl is charter flights, first class food, facilities and treatment all the way. tough for someone that is used to that lifestyle to adjust to the ahl lifestyle.

easy for me to say, but ultimately it's up to vinny.
Tumbleweed
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: avid reader of the daily douche news
Joined: 03.14.2014

Jun 6 @ 5:49 PM ET
That's the rub. The Flyers lone leverage exists if Vinny wants to play so badly he is willing to bail on that much money.
- Jsaquella


yup, as was aptly put earlier, a good old fashion Mexican standoff.

ob18
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: That matters less than you hope it does
Joined: 07.20.2007

Jun 6 @ 6:06 PM ET
Yeah, didn't you know, he's big and therefore bad
- Jsaquella


I thought you'd go with he'd never lift his teammates up
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Jun 6 @ 6:07 PM ET
clearly the ahl is far worse imo.

nhl is charter flights, first class food, facilities and treatment all the way. tough for someone that is used to that lifestyle to adjust to the ahl lifestyle.

easy for me to say, but ultimately it's up to vinny.

- Tumbleweed


I think most of all, Lecavalier wants to play hockey. We'll see how it plays out.
MatveiDmitrii
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Delco, PA
Joined: 01.16.2015

Jun 6 @ 6:11 PM ET
If the scouting team has really done their homework (as they always do), the risk is minimal. Go for the highest ceiling prospect, and let the team's infrastructure and development system bring him up the right way. I don't think highly rated prospects just fail. I think they fail for a reason. And I think a team's player development system can have a massive difference in whether or not a highly rated prospect fails.
- JAKEw1234


Very spot on. It's not like these kids forget how to play hockey. Yeah some of it may be on the ice, but like you said, it's very much in how these players are brought along.
Jsaquella
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Bringing Hexy Back
Joined: 06.16.2006

Jun 6 @ 6:14 PM ET
I thought you'd go with he'd never lift his teammates up
- ob18


No the latest I've seen from draft analysts who have watched as much of Crouse as I did of Eddie Shore, is that he's nothing but a big grinder
flyerfan28
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: CA
Joined: 02.06.2012

Jun 6 @ 6:14 PM ET
That's the rub. The Flyers lone leverage exists if Vinny wants to play so badly he is willing to bail on that much money.
- Jsaquella


I don't know, Vinny pretty much made it clear he wanted out I'm sure he realizes he has little to no trade value. Hexy made it clear it hasn't worked out for him or the Flyers either....I'd be shocked if there wasn't a mutual termination.
ob18
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: That matters less than you hope it does
Joined: 07.20.2007

Jun 6 @ 6:15 PM ET
No the latest I've seen from draft analysts who have watched as much of Crouse as I did of Eddie Shore, is that he's nothing but a big grinder
- Jsaquella


I guess they should watch some more, I think he's a bit more than just a big grinder.
Jsaquella
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Bringing Hexy Back
Joined: 06.16.2006

Jun 6 @ 6:19 PM ET
I guess they should watch some more, I think he's a bit more than just a big grinder.
- ob18


I'm fine if he's the pick. Not my pet prospect, but I agree with you about his ability and think he's going to be good.
Jsaquella
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Bringing Hexy Back
Joined: 06.16.2006

Jun 6 @ 6:19 PM ET
I don't know, Vinny pretty much made it clear he wanted out I'm sure he realizes he has little to no trade value. Hexy made it clear it hasn't worked out for him or the Flyers either....I'd be shocked if there wasn't a mutual termination.
- flyerfan28


I wouldn't be shocked either way, TBH
ob18
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: That matters less than you hope it does
Joined: 07.20.2007

Jun 6 @ 6:20 PM ET
I'm fine if he's the pick. Not my pet prospect, but I agree with you about his ability and think he's going to be good.
- Jsaquella


I have the 5 I think I'd consider the most at that spot but won't be upset if it's Crouse at all.
JoeRussomanno
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: me bitter? F-no i think it's hilarious
Joined: 12.14.2011

Jun 6 @ 6:28 PM ET
Examples?
- sarmen25

so laughton and couturier were the best players available? that's two
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