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Forums :: Blog World :: Ryan Wilson: Marcel Goc Is Better Than Your Eye Test
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dbell646
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Pittsburgh, PA
Joined: 04.13.2009

Jan 20 @ 11:26 AM ET
I remember a few weeks ago when anyone who mentioned sutter being traded was immediately insulted. He's bedn butt and now that all changed. Bipolar pens fans!! Flyers coming off a bad loss but the pens are as well. Always fun regardless of record when these teams play.
znagle
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: OH
Joined: 10.02.2014

Jan 20 @ 11:26 AM ET
Strawman. No responsible analyst/blogger/whatever relies on stats alone.
- bri29smith


I know, but RW is using stats to say that Sutter is an all around better player than Sutter and the next pope. Goc has never put up good numbers his whole career no matter how he has been used. Plain and simple
znagle
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: OH
Joined: 10.02.2014

Jan 20 @ 11:28 AM ET
He's not wrong in that eye tests are very subjective. People have this notion that 'the eye test' is a standard thing that everyone evaluates correctly. If the eye test were enough to evaluate a player, then advanced metrics wouldn't exist. They do, and they are extremely valuable in this very scenario. Is Sutter driving possession? No. Is Goc driving possession? No. How about zone starts? They're about equal with Sutter at 45% OZS and Goc at 44%. OK then, are their line mates any good? Well, Sutter plays with Malkin, Bennett, Downie, Spaling, Rust. Goc - Adams, Sill, Farnham, Rust, Arcabello, Ebbett. Notice a difference in Quality of Teammates? Sutter plays with guys that drive possession. Goc doesn't. Yet Goc's is a full percentage point better than Sutter in SAF.

At worst, Goc/Sutter is a push. Why then do the Pens pay Sutter 3.3m and Goc 1m? These are legitimate questions that should be asked.

- Stillson14


Management seems to think Goc is 4c and Sutter 3c/2winger and center. If they felt Goc was better than Sutter, then why isn't he getting a chance to prove it? It's much more than a simple "eye test" they watch film and break down everything stride by stride.
znagle
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: OH
Joined: 10.02.2014

Jan 20 @ 11:29 AM ET
I remember a few weeks ago when anyone who mentioned sutter being traded was immediately insulted. He's bedn butt and now that all changed. Bipolar pens fans!! Flyers coming off a bad loss but the pens are as well. Always fun regardless of record when these teams play.
- dbell646


In two weeks, trade Perron!
Guile
Joined: 03.04.2014

Jan 20 @ 11:29 AM ET
Goc plays better on the 4th line than Sutter does on the 3rd.

/eof

- jmatchett383



Thanks for ripping me off from a page ago
Guile
Joined: 03.04.2014

Jan 20 @ 11:30 AM ET
Management seems to think Goc is 4c and Sutter 3c/2winger and center. If they felt Goc was better than Sutter, then why isn't he getting a chance to prove it? It's much more than a simple "eye test" they watch film and break down everything stride by stride.
- znagle



Hold up... they think Zach Sill is worthy of a spot on many nights... I don't think management is perfect.
dbell646
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Pittsburgh, PA
Joined: 04.13.2009

Jan 20 @ 11:30 AM ET
Management seems to think Goc is 4c and Sutter 3c/2winger and center. If they felt Goc was better than Sutter, then why isn't he getting a chance to prove it? It's much more than a simple "eye test" they watch film and break down everything stride by stride.
- znagle

Why aren't anyone getting a chance to take Adams, sill, or scuderi spots?
YouMeAndDupuis9
Pittsburgh Penguins
Joined: 06.09.2014

Jan 20 @ 11:31 AM ET
He's not wrong in that eye tests are very subjective. People have this notion that 'the eye test' is a standard thing that everyone evaluates correctly. If the eye test were enough to evaluate a player, then advanced metrics wouldn't exist. They do, and they are extremely valuable in this very scenario. Is Sutter driving possession? No. Is Goc driving possession? No. How about zone starts? They're about equal with Sutter at 45% OZS and Goc at 44%. OK then, are their line mates any good? Well, Sutter plays with Malkin, Bennett, Downie, Spaling, Rust. Goc - Adams, Sill, Farnham, Rust, Arcabello, Ebbett. Notice a difference in Quality of Teammates? Sutter plays with guys that drive possession. Goc doesn't. Yet Goc's is a full percentage point better than Sutter in SAF.

At worst, Goc/Sutter is a push. Why then do the Pens pay Sutter 3.3m and Goc 1m? These are legitimate questions that should be asked.

- Stillson14


Spot on. And right or wrong, it's at least a legitimate conversation to have. I'm going to be mad as hell when you all run RW out of town and our new blogger writes fluff pieces like the Pens website....Todays blog: "Today is Malkin's birthday, GO PENS!"
dbell646
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Pittsburgh, PA
Joined: 04.13.2009

Jan 20 @ 11:31 AM ET
In two weeks, trade Perron!
- znagle

I hope they sign him so I can buy his jersey
YouMeAndDupuis9
Pittsburgh Penguins
Joined: 06.09.2014

Jan 20 @ 11:33 AM ET
Hold up... they think Zach Sill is worthy of a spot on many nights... I don't think management is perfect.
- Guile


"management keeps playing Adams so its proof that I'm right and Adams is great"
Guile
Joined: 03.04.2014

Jan 20 @ 11:34 AM ET
Why aren't anyone getting a chance to take Adams, sill, or scuderi spots?
- dbell646



Scuds I think is his cost... just cannot bench that much money and I think its that simple sadly.

Sill has been being bumped up and down, and for tonight he is down with Farnham up.

Adams seems to just be untouchable roster spot wise. Whatever, last season with him, hes playing better than last year, I'm just letting the fight with him go.
YouMeAndDupuis9
Pittsburgh Penguins
Joined: 06.09.2014

Jan 20 @ 11:35 AM ET
I hope they sign him so I can buy his jersey
- dbell646


For sure.

I can't wait until Perron is back on the left side and Horny on the right.
Guile
Joined: 03.04.2014

Jan 20 @ 11:35 AM ET
"management keeps playing Adams so its proof that I'm right and Adams is great"
- YouMeAndDupuis9



I'd play Adams over Sill anyday of the week... but I'd have Rust, Farnham, and my grandmother also over Sill any day of the week.
RAGSareDANGERus
New York Rangers
Joined: 05.22.2013

Jan 20 @ 11:36 AM ET
I take Tanger over McD 100 times out of 100 times.
- nbartley9

I'll take Klein as my 5th defenseman over uh scuderi? Or is scuderi your 4th defenseman?
znagle
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: OH
Joined: 10.02.2014

Jan 20 @ 11:36 AM ET
Why aren't anyone getting a chance to take Adams, sill, or scuderi spots?
- dbell646


Due to injuries, they should most likely be gone when healthy. Also salary cap wizardry keeping Sill or Adams up, they have like 234234 salary cap wizards there to squeeze the most they possibly can. Scuderi hasn't been all too bad this year minus last game..
znagle
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: OH
Joined: 10.02.2014

Jan 20 @ 11:37 AM ET
"management keeps playing Adams so its proof that I'm right and Adams is great"
- YouMeAndDupuis9


Never said that.
dbell646
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Pittsburgh, PA
Joined: 04.13.2009

Jan 20 @ 11:37 AM ET
Scuds I think is his cost... just cannot bench that much money and I think its that simple sadly.

Sill has been being bumped up and down, and for tonight he is down with Farnham up.

Adams seems to just be untouchable roster spot wise. Whatever, last season with him, hes playing better than last year, I'm just letting the fight with him go.

- Guile

Cost could be the difference between sutter and goc. I don't really have a horse in that fight though. I don't particularly care too much about either
znagle
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: OH
Joined: 10.02.2014

Jan 20 @ 11:37 AM ET
I'd play Adams over Sill anyday of the week... but I'd have Rust, Farnham, and my grandmother also over Sill any day of the week.
- Guile


Agree on this. Once the injury bug is up hopefully they will be bounced.
YouMeAndDupuis9
Pittsburgh Penguins
Joined: 06.09.2014

Jan 20 @ 11:37 AM ET
Scuds I think is his cost... just cannot bench that much money and I think its that simple sadly.

Sill has been being bumped up and down, and for tonight he is down with Farnham up.

Adams seems to just be untouchable roster spot wise. Whatever, last season with him, hes playing better than last year, I'm just letting the fight with him go
.

- Guile


My guess is that it is hard to justify putting in a younger guy with limited NHL experience in Adam's spot when this player has no pedigree. Our farm system for forwards is still poop. A really raw 3rd round pick in Rust or a guy like Megna is the best we can do?

At least on defense, you can be more willing to give Pouliot/Harrington ice time and play through their mistakes.
dbell646
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Pittsburgh, PA
Joined: 04.13.2009

Jan 20 @ 11:38 AM ET
Due to injuries, they should most likely be gone when healthy. Also salary cap wizardry keeping Sill or Adams up, they have like 234234 salary cap wizards there to squeeze the most they possibly can. Scuderi hasn't been all too bad this year minus last game..
- znagle

There are better options then scuds imo. I don't think he's terrible but I think there are upgrades. I don't care who they play where as long as they start winning
YouMeAndDupuis9
Pittsburgh Penguins
Joined: 06.09.2014

Jan 20 @ 11:38 AM ET
Never said that.
- znagle


Not directed at you haha...just one of those classic comebacks...
j.boyd919
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Tampa, FL
Joined: 06.14.2011

Jan 20 @ 11:39 AM ET
I know, but RW is using stats to say that Sutter is an all around better player than Sutter and the next pope. Goc has never put up good numbers his whole career no matter how he has been used. Plain and simple
- znagle


Aside from Brandon Sutter's lone 40 point season with the Canes, Goc and Sutter's numbers are very similar. They both hover around 20-30 points a season.
YouMeAndDupuis9
Pittsburgh Penguins
Joined: 06.09.2014

Jan 20 @ 11:40 AM ET
I'll take Klein as my 5th defenseman over uh scuderi? Or is scuderi your 4th defenseman?
- RAGSareDANGERus


nobody cares about your underwear model Calvin Klein. I'd take the Pens (healthy) top 4 over the Rangers any day of the week and twice on sunday...
RAGSareDANGERus
New York Rangers
Joined: 05.22.2013

Jan 20 @ 11:41 AM ET
nobody cares about your underwear model Calvin Klein. I'd take the Pens (healthy) top 4 over the Rangers any day of the week and twice on sunday...
- YouMeAndDupuis9

I doubt many others would. Unless they're penguins fans.
znagle
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: OH
Joined: 10.02.2014

Jan 20 @ 11:42 AM ET
There are better options then scuds imo. I don't think he's terrible but I think there are upgrades. I don't care who they play where as long as they start winning
- dbell646


The problem is Scuderi has been a decent 3d that was brought in to be a top pairing Dman with Letang. That's why he makes 3 million. It didn't work out obviously, but he has been a great mentor to the young guys and has played decent hockey while doing it. There aren't better options out there, we have nothing to trade for another Dman and our rookies aren't ready. They will be sooner than later though, hopefully this year.
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