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Forums :: Blog World :: Mike Augello: Readying For The Reset
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Woderwick
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: David Clarkson's Water Bottle, ON
Joined: 02.12.2013

Jan 8 @ 4:26 PM ET
Pay attention, Wods. He DECIDED what he was eating at 8AM.
- Elbows15

I see it now Elbows...been a long day as well. I tend to skip read and work at the same time. Sometimes I mess vital words.
bixll
Location: New Glasgow, NS
Joined: 09.04.2008

Jan 8 @ 4:26 PM ET

- robin_steele264



Suckers..
1979AD
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: "I'm a Sens Fan!" -Kaptaan
Joined: 09.08.2010

Jan 8 @ 4:26 PM ET
In most cases it's negligible. In Toronto's case it's fascinating. Toronto starts about 60% of the time in the D Zone and turn the puck over before any sustained possession, leading to more shots.
- Viktory


Really? Not in Leaf games.
shmenge
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 06.18.2011

Jan 8 @ 4:27 PM ET
BUT if you can use science to figure it out, it's a lot better of a bet than trying to rely on your own judgment, which will be inevitably biased one way or another whether you realize it or not.
- BINGO!

will analytics detect cancer in a dressing room
JohnFergusonJr
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: I'd be happy with Che Guevara; hero of the Cuban revolution. - Canada Cup aka AOCC
Joined: 01.14.2011

Jan 8 @ 4:27 PM ET
Scouting talent is what differentiates good teams from bad teams. A scientific fact is different than figuring out who is better defensively, Kadri or Bozak.
- dionschenn


Scouting leans more towards subjectivity. Analytics lean more towards objectivity. Scientific facts are not subjective.

Bozak has the benefit of playing on a line that scores enough to make up for his defensive short comings as well as makes him look like he's good offensively, which he's not.

The best career move Bozak ever made was becoming best friends with Phil Kessel.
Dozzer
Referee
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Somewhere over the rainbow since I’m way up high
Joined: 09.15.2010

Jan 8 @ 4:27 PM ET
So, what did you have for lunch today ?
- bixll


nothing.. woke up a bit late and didnt have a chance to toss anything together

which is amplifying the burger craving lol
aminnes
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Mrs. Buzzkill, AB
Joined: 12.17.2008

Jan 8 @ 4:27 PM ET
Who wanted him for that? He was horrific last season.
- RogerRoeper


Thats what he wanted after the boston year, he wanted 4x5 this offseason, he's good, but no one looks good playing with Gardner...
BINGO!
Carolina Hurricanes
Location: I'll always remember the last words my grandfather ever told me. He said, "A Truck!", SK
Joined: 09.21.2009

Jan 8 @ 4:27 PM ET
will analytics detect cancer in a dressing room
- shmenge



That's what a coach is for.
Woderwick
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: David Clarkson's Water Bottle, ON
Joined: 02.12.2013

Jan 8 @ 4:28 PM ET
Yep, can't measure desire...
- aminnes

I think you can don't you? Desire to get the puck back, win puck battles, cycle etc ..all possession stats directly linked to desire.
Viktory
Location: Hamilton, ON
Joined: 08.12.2011

Jan 8 @ 4:28 PM ET
Really? Not in Leaf games.
- 1979AD


If you read the entire post, that's what I said.
JohnFergusonJr
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: I'd be happy with Che Guevara; hero of the Cuban revolution. - Canada Cup aka AOCC
Joined: 01.14.2011

Jan 8 @ 4:28 PM ET
Analytics look at what has already happened. They are irrefutable facts. If you look at things from that singular perspective then the people looking at them should come to the same logical conclusions.

When people look at things from multiple angles, then you get a clearer picture, but that doesn't reduce the value of any of it.

If everyone who looks at the numbers comes to the same conclusion, that tells you something. If you just dismiss it because nobody is dissenting, that's ridiculous.

- BINGO!


2 + 2 = 4 but if too many people agree on it, it's garbage.
shmenge
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 06.18.2011

Jan 8 @ 4:29 PM ET
That's what a coach is for.
- BINGO!

and away we go
DoubleDown
Montreal Canadiens
Location: Not to point any fingers but Tyson Barrie has looked awful in the blue and white for the Leafs., QC
Joined: 07.28.2006

Jan 8 @ 4:29 PM ET
One thing I've always wondered and haven't gotten a reasonable explanation is for team possession stats, why is the ratio of shot attempts a better proxy for possession than the ratio of time the puck is in each team's offensive zone?
- 1979AD


because if you have the puck and you're not putting it on net or you're not able to put it on net, you suck. you can't score if you can't get the puck to the net.
aminnes
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Mrs. Buzzkill, AB
Joined: 12.17.2008

Jan 8 @ 4:29 PM ET
I think you can don't you? Desire to get the puck back, win puck battles, cycle etc ..all possession stats directly linked to desire.
- Woderwick


Kind of but not really... It's a tool but to me i wouldn't rest 100% on it, it would be a factor in any decision...
Woderwick
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: David Clarkson's Water Bottle, ON
Joined: 02.12.2013

Jan 8 @ 4:30 PM ET
nothing.. woke up a bit late and didnt have a chance to toss anything together

which is amplifying the burger craving lol

- Dozzer

Now I want burgers, and haven't had one for a long time, but happened to take hamburg out of the freezer last night. But it's -18 outside.. (frank) it..I'm Canadian. Burgers it is. My family will love me.
dionschenn
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 10.01.2010

Jan 8 @ 4:30 PM ET
2 + 2 = 4 but if too many people agree on it, it's garbage.
- JohnFergusonJr


You're missing the point. So we should just construct a team based on the guy's who have the best Corsi in the league?
Woderwick
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: David Clarkson's Water Bottle, ON
Joined: 02.12.2013

Jan 8 @ 4:31 PM ET
That's what a coach is for.
- BINGO!

And a Captain.
Elbows15
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: I was going to do the math on this but I don't think it will help., IL
Joined: 08.04.2013

Jan 8 @ 4:31 PM ET
I see it now Elbows...been a long day as well. I tend to skip read and work at the same time. Sometimes I mess vital words.
- Woderwick

So kind of like my typing then. Gotcha.
bixll
Location: New Glasgow, NS
Joined: 09.04.2008

Jan 8 @ 4:31 PM ET
nothing.. woke up a bit late and didnt have a chance to toss anything together

which is amplifying the burger craving lol

- Dozzer



Well time for me to make dinner, what should I have.. Maybe a burger..
dionschenn
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 10.01.2010

Jan 8 @ 4:31 PM ET
2 + 2 = 4 but if too many people agree on it, it's garbage.
- JohnFergusonJr


If I found a group of people who LOVE plus/minus. And they all agree that one player is better than the other because of their plus/minus, would that be smart? No.

I don't think Corsi is reliable. So them all agreeing on on who is better than who based off ONE flawed stat is ridiculous to me.
DoubleDown
Montreal Canadiens
Location: Not to point any fingers but Tyson Barrie has looked awful in the blue and white for the Leafs., QC
Joined: 07.28.2006

Jan 8 @ 4:32 PM ET
You're missing the point. So we should just construct a team based on the guy's who have the best Corsi in the league?
- dionschenn


that's definitely a slippery slope when it comes to evaluating players to trade for or bring in through UFA.
BINGO!
Carolina Hurricanes
Location: I'll always remember the last words my grandfather ever told me. He said, "A Truck!", SK
Joined: 09.21.2009

Jan 8 @ 4:33 PM ET
and away we go
- shmenge



I don't know what you mean...

Analytics deal in numbers representative of performance. Coaches are there mostly to implement a system and then just manage the players as people.

He gets the best of both worlds because he can evaluate his players in person and via the numbers and adjust his systems and player usage based on that.

The numbers say, unequivocally, what is happening on the ice.

You can then use them how you see fit and evaluate players from there.

But to ignore them entirely is just stupid.
Woderwick
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: David Clarkson's Water Bottle, ON
Joined: 02.12.2013

Jan 8 @ 4:34 PM ET
So kind of like my typing then. Gotcha.
- Elbows15

I wish...too many people take offence to haphazard typing on here. If I can understand what someone is trying to convey, I could care less. See Dozzer going to bed now and making burgers at 8am.
shmenge
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 06.18.2011

Jan 8 @ 4:34 PM ET
And a Captain.
- Woderwick

we need to buck this down to the wood, change the core. We've done everything else but... will fans be able to take it? Yes they will, we've been taking it for 5 decades, what's one more.
Viktory
Location: Hamilton, ON
Joined: 08.12.2011

Jan 8 @ 4:34 PM ET
If I found a group of people who LOVE plus/minus. And they all agree that one player is better than the other because of their plus/minus, would that be smart? No.

I don't think Corsi is reliable. So them all agreeing on on who is better than who based off ONE flawed stat is ridiculous to me.

- dionschenn


Corsi is more reliable than other stats because it shows how the player performs in order to get the puck into scoring chances. Yeah it's flawed, but comparing it to +/- is silly.
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