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Forums :: Blog World :: Carol Schram: Vancouver Canucks Game Review: Beating the Oilers to Wrap Solid Preseason
Author Message
A_SteamingLombardi
Location: Systemic failure / Slurptastic
Joined: 10.12.2008

Oct 5 @ 5:28 PM ET
Bit of perspective:
Malkin:
08/09 - 82GP 113P
09/10 - 67GP 77P
10/11 - 43GP 37P

Ovechkin
09/10 - 72GP 109P
10/11 - 79GP 85P
11/12 - 78GP 65P

H Sedin
11/12 82GP 81P
12/13 48GP 45P
13/14 70GP 50P

D Sedin
11/12 72GP 67P
12/13 47GP 40P
13/14 73GP 47P

- bezz44

Perspective isn't allowed.
VANTEL
Joined: 07.03.2010

Oct 5 @ 5:29 PM ET
Bit of perspective:
Malkin:
08/09 - 82GP 113P
09/10 - 67GP 77P
10/11 - 43GP 37P

Ovechkin
09/10 - 72GP 109P
10/11 - 79GP 85P
11/12 - 78GP 65P

H Sedin
11/12 82GP 81P
12/13 48GP 45P
13/14 70GP 50P

D Sedin
11/12 72GP 67P
12/13 47GP 40P
13/14 73GP 47P

- bezz44


So you want me to compare years when two players had their highest productivity ever against two others that had their career lows?
thundachunk
Location: Help
Joined: 12.31.2011

Oct 5 @ 5:31 PM ET
It is like pulling teeth around here to get fans to admit that this roster is thin.

Burrows got 0 goals against bottom end teams and depleted lineups , Daniel got one and now we formulate this into 20 and 30 goal seasons against real NHL teams.

- VANTEL

I hate to do this but your right our 2nd and 3rd line are thin for goal scoring. We have an abundance of 3\4 line players "possible" shut down guys. Right now I don't see certain players having break out seasons. Goals win hockey games. I was all for youth movement I don't think we will see much this year. I am a positive guy and truly believe this team can do well and make the playoffs. I will stick by that. I am also a realist we are thin. We would be less so if some young talent had some real ice time at NHL speed.
bezz44
Vancouver Canucks
Location: Inside the scroatee, BC
Joined: 05.29.2014

Oct 5 @ 5:33 PM ET
So you want me to compare years when two players had their highest productivity ever against two others that had their career lows?
- VANTEL

I could have included an extra year from the Sedins if you liked, as they had career numbers in years previous, but the point of going back further for Malkin/Ovi was to show that players have off years and bounce back. Just because the Sedins are in their 30's doesn't mean that it is absolutely a decline, or that the decline was a long time coming. If you look at the small dip in PPG for Daniel and Henrik between 11/12 and 12/13 it is significantly smaller than the drops experienced by Ovi and Malkin. 13/14 looks a lot more anomalous to the two previous years than the crummy years by Malkin and Ovi, where they had two consecutive years of significantly reduced production
A_SteamingLombardi
Location: Systemic failure / Slurptastic
Joined: 10.12.2008

Oct 5 @ 5:33 PM ET
Throw at me your numbers
- VANTEL

Burrows 10-20
Dan 18-26
Hank 10-18
Vrbata 24-32
Higgins 15-22
Bonino 16-25
Kassian 10-16
Hansen 10-12
Vey 12-18
bezz44
Vancouver Canucks
Location: Inside the scroatee, BC
Joined: 05.29.2014

Oct 5 @ 5:36 PM ET
Burrows 10-20
Dan 18-26
Hank 10-18
Vrbata 24-32
Higgins 15-22
Bonino 16-25
Kassian 10-16
Hansen 10-12
Vey 12-18

- A_SteamingLombardi

I think Higgins, Vey, Vrbata may be a tad high, with Kassian and Hansen being a bit low. I think Kassian will push for 20 this year
VANTEL
Joined: 07.03.2010

Oct 5 @ 5:37 PM ET
Burrows 10-20
Dan 18-26
Hank 10-18
Vrbata 24-32
Higgins 15-22
Bonino 16-25
Kassian 10-16
Hansen 10-12
Vey 12-18

- A_SteamingLombardi



10-20 why didn't you say between 1 and 50. No one could plan a roster with guesstimates like that
A_SteamingLombardi
Location: Systemic failure / Slurptastic
Joined: 10.12.2008

Oct 5 @ 5:38 PM ET
10-20 why didn't you say between 1 and 50. No one could plan a roster with guesstimates like that
- VANTEL

I don't do this for a living
thundachunk
Location: Help
Joined: 12.31.2011

Oct 5 @ 5:38 PM ET
Burrows 10-20
Dan 18-26
Hank 10-18
Vrbata 24-32
Higgins 15-22
Bonino 16-25
Kassian 10-16
Hansen 10-12
Vey 12-18

- A_SteamingLombardi

Sestito 50
BigDre
Edmonton Oilers
Location: The only thing we win is a trophy for our captain who attends gay pride parades- Lahey, AB
Joined: 01.09.2012

Oct 5 @ 5:39 PM ET
I think Higgins, Vey, Vrbata may be a tad high, with Kassian and Hansen being a bit low. I think Kassian will push for 20 this year
- bezz44


Goon plays? at least...
VANTEL
Joined: 07.03.2010

Oct 5 @ 5:39 PM ET
I could have included an extra year from the Sedins if you liked, as they had career numbers in years previous, but the point of going back further for Malkin/Ovi was to show that players have off years and bounce back. Just because the Sedins are in their 30's doesn't mean that it is absolutely a decline, or that the decline was a long time coming. If you look at the small dip in PPG for Daniel and Henrik between 11/12 and 12/13 it is significantly smaller than the drops experienced by Ovi and Malkin. 13/14 looks a lot more anomalous to the two previous years than the crummy years by Malkin and Ovi, where they had two consecutive years of significantly reduced production
- bezz44

Sedins have peaked and are on the other side of the slope now. I doubt they will ever come back and get 100 pts again like OV and Malkin did
A_SteamingLombardi
Location: Systemic failure / Slurptastic
Joined: 10.12.2008

Oct 5 @ 5:40 PM ET
Sestito 50
- thundachunk

They don't count in Utica
VANTEL
Joined: 07.03.2010

Oct 5 @ 5:41 PM ET
I don't do this for a living
- A_SteamingLombardi

No kidding. If Burrows has 10 he sucks ,if he has 20 he is great . So your prediction is somewhere between sucking and great.
bezz44
Vancouver Canucks
Location: Inside the scroatee, BC
Joined: 05.29.2014

Oct 5 @ 5:41 PM ET
Sedins have peaked and are on the other side of the slope now. I doubt they will ever come back and get 100 pts again like OV and Malkin did
- VANTEL

I'm not saying they will even be PPG but not all hills have straight slopes. I could look into examples of players who put up big numbers relative to their career highs well into their 30's if you like but I have about 5 hours of oral histories to analyze so I would rather not
Edit: I will just throw out my personal favourite, Joe Sakic put up 100 points two years before he retired, after having 4 consecutive seasons where he was under 90 points
A_SteamingLombardi
Location: Systemic failure / Slurptastic
Joined: 10.12.2008

Oct 5 @ 5:41 PM ET
Goon plays? at least...
- BigDre

You knocked that one right out of the park man.
A_SteamingLombardi
Location: Systemic failure / Slurptastic
Joined: 10.12.2008

Oct 5 @ 5:42 PM ET
No kidding. If Burrows has 10 he sucks ,if he has 20 he is great . So your prediction is somewhere between sucking and great.
- VANTEL

Isn't that the Canucks?
thundachunk
Location: Help
Joined: 12.31.2011

Oct 5 @ 5:44 PM ET
They don't count in Utica
- A_SteamingLombardi

VANTEL
Joined: 07.03.2010

Oct 5 @ 5:45 PM ET
I'm not saying they will even be PPG but not all hills have straight slopes. I could look into examples of players who put up big numbers relative to their career highs well into their 30's if you like but I have about 5 hours of oral histories to analyze so I would rather not
- bezz44

If Sedins hit 65 this year it will be a successful year for them.
A_SteamingLombardi
Location: Systemic failure / Slurptastic
Joined: 10.12.2008

Oct 5 @ 5:46 PM ET
If Sedins hit 65 this year it will be a successful year for them.
- VANTEL

Give us your numbers, your worst case scenario. Burrows 5?
lumlums
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: ON
Joined: 06.25.2011

Oct 5 @ 5:47 PM ET
Give us your numbers, your worst case scenario. Burrows 5?
- A_SteamingLombardi


Wasn't that last year?
bezz44
Vancouver Canucks
Location: Inside the scroatee, BC
Joined: 05.29.2014

Oct 5 @ 5:48 PM ET
If Sedins hit 65 this year it will be a successful year for them.
- VANTEL

That would have put them in the top 30 for scoring last year. Nothing wrong with 65 points
A_SteamingLombardi
Location: Systemic failure / Slurptastic
Joined: 10.12.2008

Oct 5 @ 5:48 PM ET
Wasn't that last year?
- lumlums

Yeah and a broken foot and a broken jaw.

Edit: all 5 goals came in March last year
VANTEL
Joined: 07.03.2010

Oct 5 @ 5:49 PM ET
Give us your numbers, your worst case scenario. Burrows 5?
- A_SteamingLombardi

Burrows I think 12 give or take 2 goals

Daniel 16 , give or take 2 goals.

That in my estimate means they will have goal production one line less than what they are currently slotted at.
VANTEL
Joined: 07.03.2010

Oct 5 @ 5:50 PM ET
That would have put them in the top 30 for scoring last year. Nothing wrong with 65 points
- bezz44

I didn't say they would get that, I said if they did it would be a successful year. I see them close to 55 which is still an Improvement over last year.
CubanBuffet
Vancouver Canucks
Location: Whine Country
Joined: 08.29.2014

Oct 5 @ 5:51 PM ET
10-20 why didn't you say between 1 and 50. No one could plan a roster with guesstimates like that
- VANTEL


Aren't all scoring projections basically pulled out of your ass? I'm not sure saying ten to twenty is any more of a guesstimate then saying fifteen.
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