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Forums :: Blog World :: Michael Pachla: (Relatively) Simple math. 2014-15 Sabres team goal projections
Author Message
Michael Pachla
Buffalo Sabres
Location: solid!!!
Joined: 09.05.2007

Aug 27 @ 11:05 AM ET
I really don't think it will be that bad. We suffered through a season visually and statistically so bad most of us probably never thought it would get that bad in our lifetime. I don't think we will be seeing 6-7 game losing streaks.
- Buffalo-Sabres


last season, enroth's gaa was 2.82...neuvirth's, 2.78...

if the sabres hit 188 total goals, that equals 2.29 goals per game
EnrothWeTrust
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Amherst, NY
Joined: 07.23.2013

Aug 27 @ 11:05 AM ET
that would be florida, imo
- Michael Pachla


There's certainly a chance that they bought their way to the 8th seed if those signings work out and augment their youth.
Michael Pachla
Buffalo Sabres
Location: solid!!!
Joined: 09.05.2007

Aug 27 @ 11:06 AM ET

- Der Kaiser

schultzie...my hero
Der Kaiser
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I Know Nothink ... NOTHINK!
Joined: 07.27.2007

Aug 27 @ 11:08 AM ET
schultzie...my hero
- Michael Pachla


Just a misanthrope at heart.
Michael Pachla
Buffalo Sabres
Location: solid!!!
Joined: 09.05.2007

Aug 27 @ 11:08 AM ET
There's certainly a chance that they bought their way to the 8th seed if those signings work out and augment their youth.
- EnrothWeTrust

every year, its seems, there's a bottom-feeder that jumps up and into the playoffs...with the east fairly wide open (save for BOS and PIT,) there's a good possibility it could happen...

plus they have a bonafide #1 goalie in luongo
Buffalo-Sabres
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I lost a bet, NY
Joined: 07.05.2007

Aug 27 @ 11:09 AM ET
last season, enroth's gaa was 2.82...neuvirth's, 2.78...

if the sabres hit 188 total goals, that equals 2.29 goals per game

- Michael Pachla



No Villie Leino. No John Scott. Healthy Tyler Myers. Chris Stewart played 1.5 games for us last year. This is not last years team.
Michael Pachla
Buffalo Sabres
Location: solid!!!
Joined: 09.05.2007

Aug 27 @ 11:10 AM ET
Just a misanthrope at heart.
- Der Kaiser


you may just need a hug
Der Kaiser
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I Know Nothink ... NOTHINK!
Joined: 07.27.2007

Aug 27 @ 11:13 AM ET
you may just need a hug
- Michael Pachla



I don't hate people, I just feel better when they're not around. It's because I think of myself as one of the best people I know, and I know how bad I suck.
Michael Pachla
Buffalo Sabres
Location: solid!!!
Joined: 09.05.2007

Aug 27 @ 11:16 AM ET
No Villie Leino. No John Scott. Healthy Tyler Myers. Chris Stewart played 1.5 games for us last year. This is not last years team.
- Buffalo-Sabres


i'm with ya...but there's also Mitchell, mccormick and weber...with enroth and neuvirth in net
yen6d1
Buffalo Sabres
Location: maxim Afinogenov, NY
Joined: 02.21.2011

Aug 27 @ 11:18 AM ET
A little off topic but IF these expansions happen: which draft year would it effect and how would it effect that draft?
Michael Pachla
Buffalo Sabres
Location: solid!!!
Joined: 09.05.2007

Aug 27 @ 11:19 AM ET
I don't hate people, I just feel better when they're not around. It's because I think of myself as one of the best people I know, and I know how bad I suck.
- Der Kaiser


two things popped into my head: neil young's on the beach and albert camus', the stranger
Buffalo-Sabres
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I lost a bet, NY
Joined: 07.05.2007

Aug 27 @ 11:20 AM ET
I like Hockeybuzz because its the only place on the internet people aren't dumping buckets of water on themselves.
stashu
Buffalo Sabres
Location: SC
Joined: 06.04.2008

Aug 27 @ 11:22 AM ET
last season, enroth's gaa was 2.82...neuvirth's, 2.78...

if the sabres hit 188 total goals, that equals 2.29 goals per game

- Michael Pachla


And Miller was 2.72, so this miraculous not "standing on his head" and how we'll be much worse this season is a fairy tale.

Eat those corn flakes, Max!!

Seriously though, the key is that this team will score more goals, which I started to illustrate the other day with my screenshot. It would be pretty tough to not have more goals this season.

Minus: Leino, Scott, D'Agostini, Ott

15 goals combined - the two "scorers" of that bunch had 14 goals in 108 combined games.
stashu
Buffalo Sabres
Location: SC
Joined: 06.04.2008

Aug 27 @ 11:24 AM ET
A little off topic but IF these expansions happen: which draft year would it effect and how would it effect that draft?
- yen6d1


Last few expansions the new teams were NOT given the top picks, so I imagine it follows suit going forward.

It typically will be an announcement for a year or two down the road. New franchises don't usually just pop up in a few months.
cage19
Joined: 07.09.2014

Aug 27 @ 11:25 AM ET
Nice analysis for the Sabres.... what does this same analysis look like for the Islanders?
Der Kaiser
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I Know Nothink ... NOTHINK!
Joined: 07.27.2007

Aug 27 @ 11:26 AM ET
two things popped into my head: neil young's on the beach and albert camus', the stranger
- Michael Pachla



Of note, perhaps:

http://www.rollingstone.c...wife-of-36-years-20140826
Michael Pachla
Buffalo Sabres
Location: solid!!!
Joined: 09.05.2007

Aug 27 @ 11:29 AM ET
And Miller was 2.72, so this miraculous not "standing on his head" and how we'll be much worse this season is a fairy tale.

Eat those corn flakes, Max!!

Seriously though, the key is that this team will score more goals, which I started to illustrate the other day with my screenshot. It would be pretty tough to not have more goals this season.

Minus: Leino, Scott, D'Agostini, Ott

15 goals combined - the two "scorers" of that bunch had 14 goals in 108 combined games.

- stashu


you were inspirational, stash...

but...

when it comes to miller, stats don't tell the whole story...he was under fire all year with a butt-load of high quality shots...

had he not stood on his head, his gaa probably would've approached 3.00
Sabresfan-365
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Lockport, NY
Joined: 12.09.2012

Aug 27 @ 11:30 AM ET
No Villie Leino. No John Scott. Healthy Tyler Myers. Chris Stewart played 1.5 games for us last year. This is not last years team.
- Buffalo-Sabres



Even healthy Tyler Myers can only do so much with the group of forwards we have up front. And while Stewart may add some goals, I expect to be responsible for giving up just as many like Hodgson.

You're right, this is not last years team but it's still a pretty bad team. This years Calgary imo, 75-80 pts 3rd-6th last from the bottom.
stashu
Buffalo Sabres
Location: SC
Joined: 06.04.2008

Aug 27 @ 11:32 AM ET
you were inspirational, stash...

but...

when it comes to miller, stats don't tell the whole story...he was under fire all year with a butt-load of high quality shots...

had he not stood on his head, his gaa probably would've approached 3.00

- Michael Pachla


Meh, it was mostly just to poke some goodhearted fun at Max.

But with that elite talent, it still didn't matter, so him in blue and gold or not doesn't bother me. :D
Michael Pachla
Buffalo Sabres
Location: solid!!!
Joined: 09.05.2007

Aug 27 @ 11:32 AM ET
Nice analysis for the Sabres.... what does this same analysis look like for the Islanders?
- cage19


*shrugs*
Michael Pachla
Buffalo Sabres
Location: solid!!!
Joined: 09.05.2007

Aug 27 @ 11:32 AM ET
Meh, it was mostly just to poke some goodhearted fun at Max.

But with that elite talent, it still didn't matter, so him in blue and gold or not doesn't bother me. :D

- stashu


my bad
Michael Pachla
Buffalo Sabres
Location: solid!!!
Joined: 09.05.2007

Aug 27 @ 11:33 AM ET
Of note, perhaps:

http://www.rollingstone.c...wife-of-36-years-20140826

- Der Kaiser


bummer...

it happens
Maximum Signal
Season Ticket Holder
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Buffalo, NY
Joined: 07.11.2008

Aug 27 @ 11:34 AM ET
And Miller was 2.72, so this miraculous not "standing on his head" and how we'll be much worse this season is a fairy tale.

Eat those corn flakes, Max!!

Seriously though, the key is that this team will score more goals, which I started to illustrate the other day with my screenshot. It would be pretty tough to not have more goals this season.

Minus: Leino, Scott, D'Agostini, Ott

15 goals combined - the two "scorers" of that bunch had 14 goals in 108 combined games.

- stashu


State all the numbers you want . You really should watch the Games . Starting to sound like the know it all Mike Schoop with that jibberish . He knows everything just from reading a stat sheet
HonkFortheGoose
Buffalo Sabres
Location: "___________ stinks."-Sabres89, NY
Joined: 07.26.2008

Aug 27 @ 12:01 PM ET
you were inspirational, stash...

but...

when it comes to miller, stats don't tell the whole story...he was under fire all year with a butt-load of high quality shots...

had he not stood on his head, his gaa probably would've approached 3.00

- Michael Pachla


Wouldn't Enroth's have been higher then too? You can't make excuses for one of the goalies, but not the other. The both played behind the same team.
Maximum Signal
Season Ticket Holder
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Buffalo, NY
Joined: 07.11.2008

Aug 27 @ 12:05 PM ET
Wouldn't Enroth's have been higher then too? You can't make excuses for one of the goalies, but not the other. The both played behind the same team.
- HonkFortheGoose


Team actually played better in front of Enroth . They were too sure Miller would bail them out on their miscues . Please do not think I am bashing Enroth with this observation.
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