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Saturday Night Pix - 3 BIG Plays & 2 small plays(added Pens in late game) |
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Last night 3-0 +7.00 Units
YTD 117-83-2 +38.51 Units(season high)
We had another great night betting last night and I hope many of you tailed our plays! We have done very well on the weekends since the NHL started so let's hope for that trend to continue! I will be back throughout the day and night with more plays. Be very careful of teams with goaltending issues or goalies out due to covid. We have a nice 10 game card tonight, the game analysis is below for tonight's games.
**Husso/Knight confirmed goalies**
1 pm EST - Faulk, Bozak, and Binninton are all out for the Blues due to covid protocol. The Panthers are really banged up too and have had some close calls lately. This is a home and home between these two teams. Small lean to Florida here but the juice is way too high at -179.
**Tarasov/Samsonov confirmed goalies**
The Jackets are playing their 4th in 7 nights on the road and just lost half of their goaltending tandem too. The Caps continue to add to their injury list and I wonder if a team like CLB has their attention. Caps -217 or CLB +180, just when you count out the Jackets they surprise you. This game is a pass for me, small lean to CLB believe it or not.
**Vasilevsky/Swayman confirmed goalies**
TB starts a 5 game roadie and they aren't nearly as good on the road. They are coming off a stretch where they played 8 of 11 at home. The Bruins are a small at -124 and are still without Marchand and their HC. Boston hits the road for the west coast swing in Canada after this one. Small lean to Boston here.
**Johanssen/Forsberg confirmed goalies**
The Avs are playing their 3rd in 4 nights on the road, while the Sens are playing 3 in 4 but 2 of those at home. Ottawa is off a huge road win at Carolina and I could see them getting up for Colorado after they played the Avs very hard in Colorado 2 weeks ago. The Avs have lost Kuemper in goal and I wonder if they take Ottawa too lightly in this spot. Sens +193 is enticing, compared to Colorado -233 on the road. Small lean to Ottawa in this spot.
**Sorokin/Nedeljkovic confirmed goalies**
The Isles are -115 vs. the Wings -105. I always play the fav in this weird line spot, it almost never fails! NYI has lost 9 in a row and I see that losing streak ending tonight as it's only their 2nd game back after the covid outbreak. Strong lean to the Isles here.
**Allen/Saras confirmed goalies**
The Preds got pumped in Montreal two weeks ago and now the Habs are extremely banged up, injuries mounting while Nashville is injury free! Montreal is terrible on the road and is 3-7 vs. the West this season.
Nashville -193 is very steep juice, but this is a game the Preds have to win plus they are on a bizarre run of winning a game, then losing a game over their last 6 games. The trend is a win tonight!
**Campbell/Talbot confirmed goalies**
The Leafs lost Morgan Reilly their best defensemen and Mitch Marner last game against Colorado. Toronto will be on an emotional letdown after the huge win they got up for over Colorado. The Wild will be looking at this game as one of their biggest games of the year plus they are home ice! The Wild are 4-0 on this homestand and head out on a 4 game west coast roadie after this one. I love this spot for Minnesota, a strong lean to the Wild at even money!!
**Subban confirmed goalie for Sabres**
Buffalo has lost their 2 starting goaltenders and will be going with the combo of Dell/Subban for the next few games. The Sabres have lost back-to-back games with identical scores of 7-4. It tells you how back their goaltending situation is and have lost 7 of their last 8 games. Canes have lost 5 of their last 6 games after starting the year 14-2! Carolina needs this one badly after losing to Ottawa and they hit the road a 5 west coast roadie after this game. Strong lean to Carolina -284 and PL -116!
**Georgiev confirmed goalie for the Rangers**
The Hawks are on a crazy run of rotating wins and losses too over their last 7 games. Win then a loss, so now the 8th game on this run should trend to a loss! Chicago was rested last night while the NY Rangers played SJ. NYR had won 5 in a row and 9 of their last 10 games. Strong lean to NYR -185.
**Jarry/Demko confirmed goalies**
Pittsburgh has been off since Wednesday night and has lost 3 in a row after winning 5 straight. Meanwhile, Vancouver is off a 5 game east coast roadie and starts a 6 game homestand. Strong lean to Pitt -141 as a small fav in a nice spot.
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The following numbers from last night were requested by all the Draft Kings reader's here, so I hope all of you that read the column daily can use them to your advantage -
Total goals last night - 35 (Home - 17/Road - 18)
Total PP goals last night - 6
Total SH goals last night - 1
Favs were 4-1 last night. The last eight days favs have gone 52-23!
**Another prop to try is empty-net goals, you would be surprised how many are scored each night as coaches tend to pull the goalie earlier than if down 1 or 2 goals.
Home teams are now 202-161. Over/Under the total is 176-176-7 on the year.
Teams in back-to-back consecutive road games are now 28-22-1 over/under the total.
Teams rested the night before when their opponent plays the prior night are 31-24.
East vs West games, West 78-71 over the Eastern Conference.
Teams playing 3 in 4 nights on the road, bet against in 3rd game - 16-9
Teams playing 4 in 6 nights on the road, bet against in 4th game - 17-4
Teams off 5 game roadie or more, bet against them. 9-5
Teams playing 5 in 8 nights on the road, bet against them in 5th game - 7-3
Teams playing in their 6th straight road game, bet against them. 1-4
Playing tonight- Back later with more confirmed plays, be sure to check back throughout the day!
**adding late play - Pens - ML(-145)(2 Units)
Minnesota - ML(even)(3 Units)Now a 4 Unit play, 1 extra unit is at -115.
Nashville - ML(-193)(2 Units)
Carolina -1.5(-116)(3 Units)
Ottawa - ML(+185)(1 Unit)
NYI - ML(+110)(1 Unit)
If anyone has a system that they would like to share in the comment section, please do! We're all trying to help each win $, anything that can help the group here would be great.
If anyone has any questions or comments, either drop me an IM or leave a comment in the discussion section of the blog. I always get back to everyone!
Good Luck Tonight!
Puckpix
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