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Friday Night Pix - 5 Plays!(late goalie info updated and new plays!) |
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Last night 3-3 -.56 Units
YTD 131-93-2 +52.15 Units
We actually have a solid card for a Friday with 3 teams playing back-to-back nights on the road and the Avs are off a long roadie too. Road teams were dominant last night going 8-2. We had an average night as two of our winners were only 1 Unit plays. Looking back at last night, the Isles continue to lose at home! Definitely keep an eye on teams that are trending up or down, Oilers are struggling while the Canes are starting to heat up. Minny and TB look super!!! I am actually leaning to big dogs tonight in Detroit +250, AZ +250 and Philly +205! The favs have been hitting at an alarming rate, it wouldn't surprise me if the dogs have a big night as they are beyond overdue. Vegas can't keep taking a bath with favs and they will swing the lines to screw the public so they can have a big night for the many nights in which they have taken a hit lately. If it doesn't happen tonight, they will eventually catch up with the public. So be careful this weekend on playing big favs. We have a 7 game card tonight with the game analysis below for tonight's games.
**Georgiev/Luukkonen goalies**
The Sabres are without 3 goalies, so you can expect the rookie Luukkonen for Buffalo in goal. I hate this spot for the NYR, even though they are hot and one of the best of the teams, while the Sabres are one of the worst teams lately losing 9 of their last 10 games. NYR playing 3 in 4 nights, road/home/road game during that stretch. The Avs snapped the Rangers 7 game win streak and the last time these two teams played each in NY, it was only a 5-4 NYR win as they tend to play down to the level of their opponent. There's a reason NYR are only -159 while Buffalo is a small fav at +140! Pass for me!
**Jarry/Samsonov goalies**
Pittsburgh has been off since Monday and is very good on the road while the Caps are great at home. Washington is really banged up and is without some key players! Lean to the Pens +110.
**Saros/Blackwood goalies**
The Preds have won 3 in a row and 4 of their last 5 games but this will be their 3rd game in 4 nights on the road. The Devils have lost 6 of their last 8 games, both wins came against the Flyers who've lost 10 games in a row. Small lean to Nashville -105 as I can't back a struggling team.
**Greiss/Kuemper goalies**
Detroit is playing back-to-back nights on the road while the Avs rested, but Colorado is off a very tough 5 game road trip and only had yesterday off. Normally I would say play Detroit here, but the Wings are terrible on the road. The Wings are off until Tuesday though. With Detroit missing 3 defensemen and Colorado a tired team, I lean to the over here as both teams go over the total far more than under! The total is at 6 in most places with higher juice. Small lean to Detroit +250 at a great dog price. I would never touch the Avs -325.
**Bobrovsky/Wedgewood goalies**
Florida has been off since Tuesday and we all know how this team struggles on the road. When you add to it that this is the ultimate sandwich game for the Panthers, a term we like to use in College Football and the NFL, with Colorado on deck. AZ has been off since Monday night and this sets up very well for the Yotes, especially at +250! No way in the world would I back Florida -300 on the road. Lean to a nice dog here with AZ +250.
**Comrie/Demko goalies**
Winnipeg is playing back-to-back nights on the road(plus 3rd game in 4 nights after the home game after Carolina) and they get to play the upstart Canucks who are trending upwards with Boudreau as their HC after winning both games under his watch. Give me the rested Canucks while the Jets played last night. Strong lean to Vancouver -120!
**Hart/Brossoit goalies**
The Flyers have lost 10 in a row and when you look at this game in Vegas you think the Knights should roll but be careful! Vegas is in a sandwich game here too, coming off a huge come from behind win over Dallas in which Lehner was pulled from the game and they have the Wild on deck who is one of their biggest rivals going back to last year in the playoffs. You can expect Vegas to have their backup goalie Brossoit in goal and the Flyers will be up for this game as teams in a funk always get up for one of the better teams in the league. Small lean to the Flyers +205.
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The following numbers from last night were requested by all the Draft Kings reader's here, so I hope all of you that read the column daily can use them to your advantage -
Total goals last night - 49(Home - 21/Road - 28)
Total PP goals last night - 11
Total SH goals last night - 1
Favs were only 5-5 last night. The last 12 days favs have gone 75-36!
**Another prop to try is empty-net goals, you would be surprised how many are scored each night as coaches tend to pull the goalie earlier than if down 1 or 2 goals.
Home teams are now 228-181. Over/Under the total is 202-196-7 on the year.
Teams in back-to-back consecutive road games are now 33-28-1 over/under the total.
Teams rested the night before when their opponent plays the prior night are 36-27.
East vs West games, West 92-82 over the Eastern Conference.
Teams playing 3 in 4 nights on the road, bet against in 3rd game - 18-11
Teams playing 4 in 6 nights on the road, bet against in 4th game - 19-5
Teams off 5 game roadie or more, bet against them. 11-6
Teams playing 5 in 8 nights on the road, bet against them in 5th game - 8-4
Teams playing in their 6th straight road game, bet against them. 1-4
Playing tonight- Back later with more confirmed plays, be sure to check back throughout the day!
Canucks - ML(-120)(3 Units)Now a 4 Unit play, extra unit -134.
AZ - ML(+280)(1 Unit)
Wings - ML(+315)(1/2 Unit)
Wings/Avs o6(-128)(2 Units)
Flyers - ML(+215)(1 Unit)
If anyone has a system that they would like to share in the comment section, please do! We're all trying to help each win $, anything that can help the group here would be great.
If anyone has any questions or comments, either drop me an IM or leave a comment in the discussion section of the blog. I always get back to everyone!
Good Luck Tonight!
Puckpix
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