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Thursday night pix - 2 system plays and 1 non-system play!!

May 13, 2021, 12:03 AM ET [2 Comments]
Puck Pix
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Last night - 1-1 +.80 Units
YTD - 217-188-5 +38.61 Units

Just 3 games tonight, but only 1 game has any meaning. Colorado can clinch the West Division Title and the President's Trophy with a win over LA! See gamenotes below for system plays.

**I have started to research teams that come off at least a 5 game road trip and how they fare in their first game back home.** Its 11-9 to date.

Scenario #1 – Teams that are rested, either sitting at home or on the road while their opponent plays the night before. 29-12 over the last month of tracking it! The under is 23-17-1 in these spots.

Scenario #2 – Teams that are playing each other in back to back games, in which the home team loses the first game, the record of the home team in the second game is 81-53.

Scenario #3 – Teams playing back to back road games on consecutive nights tend to go under the total in the 2nd game. So far that trend is 44-36-2 when teams play on the road back to back nights.

Scenario #4 - One last angle I am tracking that is slightly profitable and similar to Scenario #1, is when any team loses the first game of a back to back against the same team, regardless if it’s on the road or at home, those teams are 95-69 in that situation. LA/Colorado and Wild/Blues fit the system tonight.

Quick stat updates -
First period totals going over were 4-1 last night and are 417-433 on the season.
Road teams were 2-3 last night and are 395-449 on the season.
Game totals going over the total were 3-1-1 last night and are 398-407-36 on the season.

Gamenotes for tonight -

Canucks/Flames - Flames have won 4 of 6 head to head. Gotta think the under might be the play here tonight with nothing to play for, for either team.

LA/Colorado - Avs off 5 game roadie. Avs have won 6 of 7 head to head with 5 of 7 going under the total this season.

Wild/Blues - Blues have won 5 of 7 head to head with 4 of 7 going over the total this season.

System plays all for 1 unit each -

LA/Colorado u5.5(-120)
Wild/Blues u6(-120)

Non-system play for 1 unit -

Avs- ML(-335)

GL tonight!
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