Eklund: Buzztron 7-3 last night. New Tie in Projected President Cup. Buzz@3

Again,

Vegas has struggled since November, but somehow the Kings are the underdog?

The Kings have been far more consistent and are in a stronger position as of today.

Vegas is playing for their life tonight vs blues.

Again,

Vegas has struggled since November, but somehow the Kings are the underdog?

The Kings have been far more consistent and are in a stronger position as of today.

Vegas is playing for their life tonight vs blues.
- TrueGrit

I don't disagree with you. It comes down to who both teams are playing the rest of the way. The Kings are the most baffling team in the projections. I don't disagree.

Thank you for posting an explanation of how you calculate your winning percentage in response to my comment yesterday.

However, just eliminating the “even” nights does not give you an accurate winning percentage because even nights are not winning nights but they are a night the Buzztron was playing the game, they played and they tied. You can’t just eliminate all the ties 😂

Thank you for posting an explanation of how you calculate your winning percentage in response to my comment yesterday.

However, just eliminating the “even” nights does not give you an accurate winning percentage because even nights are not winning nights but they are a night the Buzztron was playing the game, they played and they tied. You can’t just eliminate all the ties 😂
- JBP1802

The other way to do it would be to calculate it like the NHL does, 2 points for a win, 1 for a tie. the Buzztron is 8-3-2 Take the total possible points of 13 nights. 26 points. Give them 2 points for a win, one for a tie, that's 19 points. 19 divided by 26 is .750%..

I chose the first method because tied nights for a gambler are a wash.

The other way to do it would be to calculate it like the NHL does, 2 points for a win, 1 for a tie. the Buzztron is 8-3-2 Take the total possible points of 13 nights. 26 points. Give them 2 points for a win, one for a tie, that's 19 points. 19 divided by 26 is .750%..

I chose the first method because tied nights for a gambler are a wash.
- Eklund

As a gambler I don't care how many winning nights I have. It's how many winning outcomes. If you go 2-0, then 3-2, then 2-6...well I take no solace in winning 66.6% of the nights. My overall record is 7-8 and in the red.

And if we're approaching from a gambling standpoint, then being right on 60% of games is a recipe for bankruptcy. Picking Tampa to beat Anaheim or Colorado to beat Chicago pays very, very little. Would be interesting to simulate a $100 bet on every game using Vegas odds and see how profitable the Buzztron system is.

Eklund: Buzztron 7-3 last night. New Tie in Projected President Cup. Buzz@3
- Eklund

sabres only playing 81 games?


thank the Gods

The other way to do it would be to calculate it like the NHL does, 2 points for a win, 1 for a tie. the Buzztron is 8-3-2 Take the total possible points of 13 nights. 26 points. Give them 2 points for a win, one for a tie, that's 19 points. 19 divided by 26 is .750%..

I chose the first method because tied nights for a gambler are a wash.
- Eklund

From a gamblers stand point, if you pick a team to win in regulation and they win in overtime, it's an incorrect pick. But you continue to count them as wins.

Why did you post today's blog over yesterday's picks?

The other way to do it would be to calculate it like the NHL does, 2 points for a win, 1 for a tie. the Buzztron is 8-3-2 Take the total possible points of 13 nights. 26 points. Give them 2 points for a win, one for a tie, that's 19 points. 19 divided by 26 is .750%..

I chose the first method because tied nights for a gambler are a wash.
- Eklund

Other people have posted from a gamblers perspective so I won’t touch on that but the NHL actually keeps 2 stats. For teams they keep a points percentage, not a win percentage so if you go that route then that’s fine, provided you also truly track the win in regulation vs overtime/shootout.

A win percentage is strictly the percentage of times an outcome wins and a tie is not a win (this is how the NHL tracks it for goaltenders, they don’t use a points percentage)

As stated by someone else, gambling comparison means your numbers are very skewed. When I bet on a team to win in Overtime and they win in regulation, I lose my bet. It is not a win.

I’d like to see a comparison on how the buzztron performs compared to Vegas. If someone picked all favourites, would they outperform buzztron or would buzztron out perform Vegas. I like someone’s assumption on assuming a $100 bet for each game. Even if you strictly did it as a win or a loss and don’t even announce the regulation/OT part, you don’t factor it into your stats so why pick it that way?

If you played every buzztron play you would be losing money

To be profitable in nhl betting. Betting individual games you need to hit 75%

The other way to do it would be to calculate it like the NHL does, 2 points for a win, 1 for a tie. the Buzztron is 8-3-2 Take the total possible points of 13 nights. 26 points. Give them 2 points for a win, one for a tie, that's 19 points. 19 divided by 26 is .750%..

I chose the first method because tied nights for a gambler are a wash.
- Eklund

I love the irony that in explaining this methodology, the math is also wrong. 8 wins, 3 losses, 2 ties. So 16 points for the wins, plus 2 points for the ties, gets you to 18 points out of 26. A 69% record.

But somehow instead of 18 points, you come up with 19.

And then somehow 19 divided by 26 is 75% when it's actually 73%. Amazing.

In order for those final standings to be correct, here is how the respective remaining records:

Vegas 8 3 1
Nas 6 4 1
LA 5 6 1
Min 8 2 1
St. Louis 7 4 1

My picks tonite were the exact opposite

Had the Blues winning Lost Had the Kings winning Won
Ot got me again I lose a lot of OT games

To be profitable in nhl betting. Betting individual games you need to hit 75%
- Keyser soze

Not true You cannot play all favs or you will lose your shirt You have to be selective or play 2 team parlays with heavy favs That way you do not have to lay out the big number to bet the big fav

TODAY'S PICKS
number represents how many points the team is projected to get tonight



STL 0 LV 2
VAN 2 LAK 0

Daily 0-2
Total 36-59. Mar 24 not included in my total as I can't bring up his predictions as the blog was wiped.

Thank you for posting an explanation of how you calculate your winning percentage in response to my comment yesterday.

However, just eliminating the “even” nights does not give you an accurate winning percentage because even nights are not winning nights but they are a night the Buzztron was playing the game, they played and they tied. You can’t just eliminate all the ties 😂
- JBP1802

I like this fun math where you can just disregard data sets.

I like this fun math where you can just disregard data sets.
- jmatchett383

Last night was another even night. So just disregard.

The mention of the Golden Knights playing for their playoff lives against the St. Louis Blues adds to the drama of the situation. slope