Exactly. And things are worth whatever people are willing to buy/sell it for.
- rangerdanger94
Here's the flaw in that logic and I mean this with all respect:
the Dodgers are the only other sports team (also LA interestingly) to sell for more than $2b in NA. However, unlike the Clippers, the Dodgers new owners received :
- the Dodgers team
- the arena
- an expiring television contract & TW waiting in the wings
- land surrounding the stadium and parking lot
vs. what the Clippers had (the team, practice facility, and a lease with Staples arena)
http://www.nytimes.com/20...chelle-sterling.html?_r=1
Financially, the Clippers in the year before the sale had reveues of $128 million and once you take away expenses, are left with $10-17m in profits (depending on the source).
Time Magazine did a calculation that the only way to get a $2b valuation would be if revenues would rise to $500m. Which would require a revenue multiple of 500 by their current standards).
Remember, this deal was signed before the opportunity to sign a Lakers-esque contract.
http://time.com/2800607/s...s-angeles-clippers-worth/
Here's a nice piece from Grantland on the Clippers valuation where he used a regression on the coefficient of franchise value (and the difference between 2004 and 2014 - lets be honest, NBA team valuations rose through the roof post-lockout):
http://fivethirtyeight.co...dollars-buy-the-clippers/
The Forbes valuation is very low but the sale of the team for $2b even more so.
It's also pretty common knowledge Ballmer was
a) bummed that his friends from MS owned a sports team and had other commitments after leaving MS
b) he lost out on the Sacramento team
Its fine and dandy to say the value of anything is what people would pay for it, but you have to understand if the Clippers revenue multiple were used for any NBA team it would be ludicrous. Just in 2013 the Kings (Sacramento) sold for $534 and the Warriors for $450m. Even factoring the LA market, anything over 1b is an overpayment.
The flaw with valuations as to what people are willing to pay is that they won't hold up and more importantly, won't extend to other places. Points to note:
- Do you really think the Dot Com bubble was unusual in bringing down companies like Cisco that had P/E ratios of 200?
- Tulip bubble: Ill let you read this one, its pretty interesting. In the 1500s Tulips sold for more than 10X the salary of a yearly employed skilled artisan. Perhaps the first speculative bubble of its kind.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tulip_mania
In summary, I think everyone realizes
A) Ballmer was desperate and had lots of cash
B) The Forbes estimate is low (for all NBA franchises - except the Lakers - there's might be too high) but $2b valuation is way beyond the annual cash flows