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Forums :: Blog World :: Bill Meltzer: Meltzer's Musings: Weber Watch
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77rams
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: There's a kind of freedom in being completely screwed...
Joined: 09.12.2006

Jul 20 @ 9:02 PM ET
I'm feeling really good about the Flyers chances. I just don't believe Nashville can match this offer. I think Weber and his agent know that and it's was an easy move to sign the offer sheet. I could be wrong but that's what I believe.
- stveshdy


I've got a nagging feeling that Nashville will match.

Despite putting a very good team on the ice, that organization is holding on by it's fingernails because of the grace of a lot of public funding. If the team suffers in attendance, downtown Nashville will feel the effect and the city won't like that.

First Suter, now Weber? The team will take a massive PR hit which most likely would mean a drop in attendance. I'm envisioning the Preds will use this tact to convince the city and/or state to squeeze more money into it's coffers, or perhaps even come up with another investor that it's been looking for (long shot), to make this happen.
tangent_man
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: South Jersey
Joined: 11.28.2007

Jul 20 @ 9:02 PM ET
Not true at all. Just because they haven't announced matching it, doesn't mean they can't. It's a choice here. You, or I, or anyone else here, doesn't have any idea what kind of money they have "laying around".
- MJL


Not too mention that you really can't crunch numbers for the next decade or so over lunch.
stveshdy
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 06.28.2010

Jul 20 @ 9:05 PM ET
Not true at all. Just because they haven't announced matching it, doesn't mean they can't. It's a choice here. You, or I, or anyone else here, doesn't have any idea what kind of money they have "laying around".
- MJL


I disagree. There numbers don't lie. They had a chance to sign weber last year for $20m and balked. You saying they have the money is the same thing as me saying they don't have the money laying around. Will find out in due time but IMO they can't match that offer.
jstross
Joined: 06.25.2012

Jul 20 @ 9:05 PM ET
Starting to think they match as well. Or the Flyers break down and trade them Voracek, Meszaros and 2 1s.
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Jul 20 @ 9:05 PM ET
Not too mention that you really can't crunch numbers for the next decade or so over lunch.
- tangent_man


This is going to be about Nashville making a decision one way or the other. And not about not being able to match the offer.
isaiah520
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: "All train compartments smell vaguely of sh*t. It gets so you don't mind it"
Joined: 12.26.2006

Jul 20 @ 9:06 PM ET
I've got a nagging feeling that Nashville will match.

Despite putting a very good team on the ice, that organization is holding on by it's fingernails because of the grace of a lot of public funding. If the team suffers in attendance, downtown Nashville will feel the effect and the city won't like that.

First Suter, now Weber? The team will take a massive PR hit which most likely would mean a drop in attendance. I'm envisioning the Preds will use this tact to convince the city and/or state to squeeze more money into it's coffers, or perhaps even come up with another investor that it's been looking for (long shot), to make this happen.

- 77rams

that's the reason I think that the only way to insure that we get weber is to make a deal. that way we have both the carrot and the stick to make it happen. it also allows NSH to save face.
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Jul 20 @ 9:08 PM ET
I disagree. There numbers don't lie. They had a chance to sign weber last year for $20m and balked. You saying they have the money is the same thing as me saying they don't have the money laying around. Will find out in due time but IMO they can't match that offer.
- stveshdy


What numbers are they? Anyone who thinks they have all the numbers, is kidding themselves. I have the money to buy a new boat. But it doesn't make financial sense for me to buy it right now.

How much money does Nashville have to have "laying around" to match the offer?
Don'tForgetTocchet
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Ground Zero Brooklyn
Joined: 02.08.2007

Jul 20 @ 9:08 PM ET
not for the flyers, certainly not if they land him. weber's ready to move on. that's not on the flyers. and i think this is just as important as any other reason nashville will not match. why retain a player who doesn't want to be there, and deal with distractions all season, and have even less leverage in a year when trying to move him? it basically gives poile an out. weber gets to be the bad guy.
- hammarby31



the bad guy is joining the bad guys


Don'tForgetTocchet
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Ground Zero Brooklyn
Joined: 02.08.2007

Jul 20 @ 9:09 PM ET
Yeah, I pointed it out to Larry Brooks and he sent me kind of a snide DM. So I tweeted the CBA clause back to him
- Jsaquella




sometimes the internet is awesome
Don'tForgetTocchet
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Ground Zero Brooklyn
Joined: 02.08.2007

Jul 20 @ 9:10 PM ET
One of Weber's Agents also said this.

http://www.philly.com/phi...fer_sheet.html?page=2&c=y

Epp, the agent, acknowledged that Weber would enjoy becoming a Flyer, but that he would still feel comfortable if he returned to Nashville.

"He's had a successful career in Nashville and it's home, so it's not a place where he doesn't think he can't finish his career," Epp said.

- MJL




good cop bad cop
stveshdy
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 06.28.2010

Jul 20 @ 9:12 PM ET
What numbers are they? Anyone who thinks they have all the numbers, is kidding themselves. I have the money to buy a new boat. But it doesn't make financial sense for me to buy it right now.

How much money does Nashville have to have "laying around" to match the offer?

- MJL


They don't look at Forbes. They are 27 th in revenue. I'm sticking to them not matching. So there going to fork up 27m and there net worth is 160m and do that in one year? I don't see it.
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Jul 20 @ 9:15 PM ET
They don't look at Forbes. They are 27 th in revenue. I'm sticking to them not matching. So there going to fork up 27m and there net worth is 160m and do that in one year? I don't see it.
- stveshdy


Forbes doesn't have all the numbers either. The NHLPA is challenging that Nashville hasn't reported their income accurately. Forbes isn't privy to the resources that the team has available to them. Does it make sense for them to match it? Maybe not. But they do have the ability to match it.

Again, how much money does Nashville have to have laying around to match the offer?
FlyerMike18
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 03.07.2009

Jul 20 @ 9:15 PM ET
the bad guy is joining the bad guys



- Don'tForgetTocchet


next time, he'll put the guy's head THROUGH the glass
Don'tForgetTocchet
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Ground Zero Brooklyn
Joined: 02.08.2007

Jul 20 @ 9:16 PM ET
next time, he'll put the guy's head THROUGH the glass
- FlyerMike18



still cannot even fathom that this may happen
stveshdy
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 06.28.2010

Jul 20 @ 9:19 PM ET
Forbes doesn't have all the numbers either. The NHLPA is challenging that Nashville hasn't reported their income accurately. Forbes isn't privy to the resources that the team has available to them. Does it make sense for them to match it? Maybe not. But they do have the ability to match it.

Again, how much money does Nashville have to have laying around to match the offer?

- MJL


Then why haven't they matched it if they have it? Why didn't they offer it? He's there franchise player.
TheGreat28
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Chadds Ford, PA
Joined: 06.20.2010

Jul 20 @ 9:20 PM ET
If they could match it would be done. The problem is they may have the money but there not going to make any money if they match. There a small market team they don't have that kind of money laying around. They need six owners all to agree and it's been reported that one owner wants to sell his share for $50M ( on crossing Broad. Com). Willl see what happens.
- stveshdy



This I not necessarily true. There are several options. They could change the ownership equity percentage by having one owner supply capital. Other owners would have to agree. Also, one owner could provide a loan to the business to get through the cash crunch. Both have some risk though to the owner fronting the cash. However it might be the prudent hedge to protect his investment, and he would either earn interest on the loan or a greater stake in the company.
FlyerMike18
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 03.07.2009

Jul 20 @ 9:20 PM ET
still cannot even fathom that this may happen
- Don'tForgetTocchet


seriously... but that's the best part of being a flyers fan. you are always on the verge of chaos

MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Jul 20 @ 9:22 PM ET
Then why haven't they matched it if they have it? Why didn't they offer it? He's there franchise player.
- stveshdy


I don't know how many times I have to answer that question. You don't want to accept my answer. That's fine.
stveshdy
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 06.28.2010

Jul 20 @ 9:24 PM ET
I don't know how many times I have to answer that question. You don't want to accept my answer. That's fine.
- MJL


Okay I'm done then.
Don'tForgetTocchet
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Ground Zero Brooklyn
Joined: 02.08.2007

Jul 20 @ 9:28 PM ET
seriously... but that's the best part of being a flyers fan. you are always on the verge of chaos


- FlyerMike18



just like a meltzer thread
jstross
Joined: 06.25.2012

Jul 20 @ 9:30 PM ET
Then why haven't they matched it if they have it? Why didn't they offer it? He's there franchise player.
- stveshdy


The AAV isn't the issue. Nashville could most likely swing the $7.8 million. they have to determine if they want to disperse that much cash over the first 6 years and also take into account a potential work stoppage were they could lose the $13 million up front if there is no season,
ravishingone
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: United States, PA
Joined: 06.30.2007

Jul 20 @ 9:30 PM ET
I think Weber would be fine playing in Nashville, but certainly prefers to play with the Flyers. Unfortunately for the Preds with CBA changes looming, it was in Weber's best interests to test his market worth even in a restricted market. Obviously, his market value is that of a top 5 player in the league regardless of position.

I agree with others, try and convince Poile to make a trade with players off the roster not named G, Coots, or Schenn.
bodiva88
Referee
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: There aren't any answers. Only choices.
Joined: 07.01.2007

Jul 20 @ 9:33 PM ET
Ladies and gentlemen - Dale Carnegie!
- tangent_man

WHy are there so few hockey writers who have a clue?
stveshdy
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 06.28.2010

Jul 20 @ 9:35 PM ET
The AAV isn't the issue. Nashville could most likely swing the $7.8 million. they have to determine if they want to disperse that much cash over the first 6 years and also take into account a potential work stoppage were they could lose the $13 million up front if there is no season,
- jstross


No point in debating anymore the answer will be here shortly.
Crimsoninja
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Dude, I am so sorry about whatever made you like this. Take it easy.
Joined: 07.06.2007

Jul 20 @ 9:37 PM ET
the bad guy is joining the bad guys



- Don'tForgetTocchet

lol


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