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Forums :: Blog World :: Bill Meltzer: Meltzer's Musings:Briere, Arnott, Scurko
Author Message
Daman
Joined: 07.03.2011

Jul 17 @ 1:50 PM ET

- feelingkettle


BTW man, I am sorry I called your avatar a jacka$$. Several posters last night corrected me on this. They were very kind, calling my beech and fukko.

Sounds like a poor man's version of Chickie's and Pete's.
JoeRussomanno
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: me bitter? F-no i think it's hilarious
Joined: 12.14.2011

Jul 17 @ 1:51 PM ET
I seem to recall he was a -23 or something here his first season before Lavy. Anyway, you still seem to be focusing on a part of a player's game that he was never really good at, and never hurt the team in the playoffs, as in losing them games or series. I will still say that he is far more likely to win a team a game than lose it.

+/- is a weird stat, and I don't know how reliable it is for rating defense, but I know that Mike Green sucks at defense and has had good +/- in the past. I use corgi stats, anyway.

- feelingkettle

I only use stats to back up my own observation. +/- is a weird stat and needs to be considered with other things. For purposes of this conversation I'm refering to his postseason +/- and before last season he was never worse than a -5 in the postseason. Under Stevens he was -3, -1 which really isn't bad. When it gets to be -7 and -6 its a cause for concern imo. As for the past two seasons I don't think nor would I consider it fair to say one guy is the reason for the departure. Its a team game however things contribute to a team's successes and failures.
funmaster18
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: All I need are some tasty waves, a cool buzz and I'm fine.
Joined: 03.15.2009

Jul 17 @ 1:51 PM ET

- stveshdy


stveshdy
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 06.28.2010

Jul 17 @ 1:51 PM ET
+/- is a valid stat, but it's also flawed because it's a team stat. One great example of overvaluing +/- is Rod Brind'Amour. Brind'Amour finished his NHL career as a -39. Nobody here is likely to say he was a poor defensive player, especially since he won the Selke twice.

Danny Briere is a -5 over his NHL career.

- Jsaquella


Alex Semin +65

feelingkettle
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: "No sir, I don't like it" Phil, PA
Joined: 11.13.2006

Jul 17 @ 1:53 PM ET
BTW man, I am sorry I called your avatar a jacka$$. Several posters last night corrected me on this. They were very kind, calling my beech and fukko.

Sounds like a poor man's version of Chickie's and Pete's.

- Daman

It's all good, I didn't even think anything of it. What is a donkey anyway? Just an ugly horse. They can easily be mistaken.
Jsaquella
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Bringing Hexy Back
Joined: 06.16.2006

Jul 17 @ 1:53 PM ET
Alex Semin +65


- stveshdy


Yep.
Deasr1
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Mays Landing, NJ
Joined: 06.21.2009

Jul 17 @ 1:53 PM ET
BTW man, I am sorry I called your avatar a jacka$$. Several posters last night corrected me on this. They were very kind, calling my beech and fukko.

Sounds like a poor man's version of Chickie's and Pete's.

- Daman

Don't they realize you are da man
stveshdy
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 06.28.2010

Jul 17 @ 1:53 PM ET
Yep.
- Jsaquella


Now go sign him Homer.
Daman
Joined: 07.03.2011

Jul 17 @ 1:54 PM ET
It's all good, I didn't even think anything of it. What is a donkey anyway? Just an ugly horse. They can easily be mistaken.
- feelingkettle


I did proceed to call you intelligent and wise, but the beech and fukko names just seemed to fly like the wind. Again, my apologies.
Daman
Joined: 07.03.2011

Jul 17 @ 1:55 PM ET
Don't they realize you are da man
- Deasr1


Guess not. To be clear, it is now implied that I am da "gentle" man.
BulliesPhan87
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: the lone wolf of hockeybuzz
Joined: 07.31.2009

Jul 17 @ 1:55 PM ET
I did proceed to call you intelligent and wise, but the beech and fukko names just seemed to fly like the wind. Again, my apologies.
- Daman

I am not detecting the inner peace you typically have when posting about Howard Eskin
stveshdy
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 06.28.2010

Jul 17 @ 1:55 PM ET
I did proceed to call you intelligent and wise, but the beech and fukko names just seemed to fly like the wind. Again, my apologies.
- Daman


Maybe this will cheer you up Da Man!!!!

Deasr1
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Mays Landing, NJ
Joined: 06.21.2009

Jul 17 @ 1:55 PM ET
Yep.
- Jsaquella

I didn't think semin was that big. I thought more girouxish. He skates and puck handles like a smaller guy
jstross
Joined: 06.25.2012

Jul 17 @ 1:56 PM ET
I don't recall who said it but a few days ago someone said the Phillies would not receive compensation for Hamels because compensation is no longer in the CBA. Not necessarily true.

Major league free agent compensation will be completely revised in 2013, with a team having to offer its former players who became free agents the average of the top 125 contracts -- currently about $12.4 million -- to receive draft-pick compensation if a player signs with a new team. It eliminates the statistical formula that had been in place since the 1981 strike settlement.

- nastyflyergirl


A player needs to be with their team the entire season in order to get compensation. That lowers hamel's trade value since the team trding for him won't get picks for him next year. If Hamels plays out the season with the Phils and the Phils over him a top 125 contrac they'll get a 1st(unless protected) and a sandwhich pick.
ChrisMS
Joined: 05.02.2012

Jul 17 @ 1:56 PM ET
post of the day!

- JoeRussomanno



I know... much better than the expected assualt on the sidewalk... even though I'm not wearing a rangers jersey
feelingkettle
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: "No sir, I don't like it" Phil, PA
Joined: 11.13.2006

Jul 17 @ 1:56 PM ET
I only use stats to back up my own observation. +/- is a weird stat and needs to be considered with other things. For purposes of this conversation I'm refering to his postseason +/- and before last season he was never worse than a -5 in the postseason. Under Stevens he was -3, -1 which really isn't bad. When it gets to be -7 and -6 its a cause for concern imo. As for the past two seasons I don't think nor would I consider it fair to say one guy is the reason for the departure. Its a team game however things contribute to a team's successes and failures.
- JoeRussomanno

Briere has always been bad defensively, and I don't think that's ever changed in a big way. A lot can affect +/-...bad defensive play by the dmen, by the forwards, softies by the goalie, or just more production on special teams. You can look at +/- specifically, but you have to watch the games too. Look at what Bill said a couple posts back. The things that stand out about Briere is what he was able to create offensively. If the team is playing great team d, then it's not as big an issue.

Again, Briere's D play is not going to win or lose the team any games.
JoeRussomanno
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: me bitter? F-no i think it's hilarious
Joined: 12.14.2011

Jul 17 @ 1:56 PM ET
+/- is a valid stat, but it's also flawed because it's a team stat. One great example of overvaluing +/- is Rod Brind'Amour. Brind'Amour finished his NHL career as a -39. Nobody here is likely to say he was a poor defensive player, especially since he won the Selke twice.

Danny Briere is a -5 over his NHL career.

- Jsaquella

It is a flawed stat but not so much that it gets completely tossed out. If used in the right context it's and indicator of things.

In the case of Brind'Amour yes he played on some bad teams so those bad years don't affect his playoff numbers in regards to +/- in which he finished +7. In the case of Briere I don't think he's been on bad teams since coming to Philadelphia at least.
Deasr1
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Mays Landing, NJ
Joined: 06.21.2009

Jul 17 @ 1:56 PM ET
Guess not. To be clear, it is now implied that I am da "gentle" man.
- Daman

By zesus's beard. I apologize. Da gentle man
feelingkettle
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: "No sir, I don't like it" Phil, PA
Joined: 11.13.2006

Jul 17 @ 1:56 PM ET
I did proceed to call you intelligent and wise, but the beech and fukko names just seemed to fly like the wind. Again, my apologies.
- Daman

Believe it or not, that is not me in my avatar, so I am not offended.
stveshdy
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 06.28.2010

Jul 17 @ 1:57 PM ET
I didn't think semin was that big. I thought more girouxish. He skates and puck handles like a smaller guy
- Deasr1


He's a stud. Go get him.
KINGKENZO
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: OMAR COMIN'..Head or Gut?.....Watching regular white people
Joined: 01.10.2008

Jul 17 @ 1:57 PM ET
It was Briere, Schenn and one of the defensemen. Only Coburn and Simmonds were in any kind of position to do anything on the ice at the time of the transition, and only Coburn was in the area when the goal was scored...with 3 Devils to handle.
- Jsaquella


Damn faulty memory Thanks, but i'm still going to have to double check later. I remember the puck in transition, someone, maybe Gus then, skating toward the bench, then a quick outlet pass and game over
JoeRussomanno
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: me bitter? F-no i think it's hilarious
Joined: 12.14.2011

Jul 17 @ 1:58 PM ET
I know... much better than the expected assualt on the sidewalk... even though I'm not wearing a rangers jersey
- ChrisMS

Staying out of bad neighborhoods and not running your mouth usually leads to a decline in assaults one suffers.
hockeylover
Atlanta Thrashers
Location: There's always next year., NT
Joined: 08.03.2006

Jul 17 @ 2:00 PM ET
Deasr1
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Mays Landing, NJ
Joined: 06.21.2009

Jul 17 @ 2:00 PM ET
Staying out of bad neighborhoods and not running your mouth usually leads to a decline in assaults one suffers.
- JoeRussomanno

I smell some sexy role playing.
ChrisMS
Joined: 05.02.2012

Jul 17 @ 2:00 PM ET
Staying out of bad neighborhoods and not running your mouth usually leads to a decline in assaults one suffers.
- JoeRussomanno


So... just stay out of Philly then?
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