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Forums :: Blog World :: Bill Meltzer: 2012 Draft: Laughton, Rumors, Day 2
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isaiah520
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: "All train compartments smell vaguely of sh*t. It gets so you don't mind it"
Joined: 12.26.2006

Jun 23 @ 10:56 AM ET
Another bad pick by the Flyers huh? I like to know just how the Flyers are intimidated.
- MJL

I think they might default to the forward if it's close because of their record...
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Jun 23 @ 10:58 AM ET
I think they might default to the forward if it's close because of their record...
- isaiah520


I think it's exactly what those who have insight into the Flyers Draft strategy say it is. They take the best player available in their eyes.
isaiah520
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: "All train compartments smell vaguely of sh*t. It gets so you don't mind it"
Joined: 12.26.2006

Jun 23 @ 10:58 AM ET
You can't just pick the player immediately after. That is too small a sample size, ignores team needs, and ignores the "Howson" effect. Go with 10 after, or even 5 after. That is much more representative as those players should generally be comparables in scouting reports.
- TheGreat28

ya think
the deaninator
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Purgatory, DE
Joined: 08.06.2006

Jun 23 @ 10:59 AM ET
do they draft hyka in this round, or will they forget about him again
Jimmygrazz
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: South Jersey, NJ
Joined: 04.23.2010

Jun 23 @ 10:59 AM ET
Homer is going to suplex Shero..

isaiah520
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: "All train compartments smell vaguely of sh*t. It gets so you don't mind it"
Joined: 12.26.2006

Jun 23 @ 11:00 AM ET
LH 160 pound D-man.
- PLindbergh31

hey, they tried the common sense approach and it hasn't worked so...
TheGreat28
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Chadds Ford, PA
Joined: 06.20.2010

Jun 23 @ 11:00 AM ET
This is Hockey, not Stocks.
- MJL
And opportunity cost has nothing to do with it.
Just because Parise was available, doesn't make Carter a so so pick.


Sorry, but I completely disagree with that statement. Drafting in any sport factors in opportunity cost.
stayinthefnnet
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 01.12.2012

Jun 23 @ 11:01 AM ET
it sucks that the flyers and pens would likely not be inclined to trade with one another, as each seems to have the philosophy of monopolizing one area of their team to trade for the other. some flyers forward prospects would look nice for some pens d prospects, if the teams werent who they were
bird_dog
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: PEI
Joined: 09.30.2011

Jun 23 @ 11:01 AM ET
I'm not getting this draft for the flyers at all. Laughton ok i"m with them on that pick but a goalie and a wood nymph sized d man. I hope they know what they are doing.
Hope they aren't drafting to fill their ECHL affiliate.
Duran76
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Calmer than you are dude, PA
Joined: 07.25.2010

Jun 23 @ 11:01 AM ET
Well if the past is any reflection on the future then Laughton will be decent, but the rest will be marginal at best. Seems a bit of a reach for the other two.
TheGreat28
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Chadds Ford, PA
Joined: 06.20.2010

Jun 23 @ 11:02 AM ET
Sorry, but I completely disagree with that statement. Drafting in any sport factors in opportunity cost.
- TheGreat28


For example, the opportunity cost of drafting Derek Mathers last year is Hyka.
eayost
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Into the Void, PA
Joined: 04.14.2010

Jun 23 @ 11:02 AM ET
Sorry, but I completely disagree with that statement. Drafting in any sport factors in opportunity cost.
- TheGreat28


But you aren't quantifying whether, even including a factor of "opportunity cost", the Flyers aren't one of the better drafting teams or not.
TheGreat28
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Chadds Ford, PA
Joined: 06.20.2010

Jun 23 @ 11:04 AM ET
ya think
- isaiah520


Sorry, I wasn't clear. I meant to say you can't just compare the player picked after those 5, as Tomahawk did. You need to use the next 5-10 players and compare those to our picks.
jd342
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: PA
Joined: 02.08.2012

Jun 23 @ 11:04 AM ET
Isn't it kind of hard to judge these picks right off the bat? Not even considering the fact that most of us haven't even seen these guys play (and that the Flyers have a staff of guys who get paid to do only that), drafted players aren't expected to make an impact for a few years anyway. And even then, a lot of the picks won't make any significant impact. Pierre might think that every pick is a future hall of famer, but it's rare for drafts to produce talent like the one in 2003.

Let's relax. Trust the Flyers, and wait for things to develop. If in 3-4 years, none of these guys pan out? Great. That's about what you have to expect anyway. It's also not that bad when you consider that the Flyers generally draft well, so an off year is to bound to happen. And we're still pretty stocked with quality young players that are producing now.

And we also didn't just trade a shutdown center who could be capable of scoring 30, along with a top 4 defenseman for picks and prospects that MIGHT be able to produce at some point in the future. But the Penguins are immediately better right? Stanley Cup favorites again. Worked so well last year.
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Jun 23 @ 11:04 AM ET
Sorry, but I completely disagree with that statement. Drafting in any sport factors in opportunity cost.
- TheGreat28


Drafting in sports figures in a lot of things. It isn't economics. Just because in hindsight another player that was available turns out to be a better player, doesn't make a pick a bad pick, or a so so pick, as you said. Carter wasn't a so so pick. It was a very good choice. What determines how good a pick is, is how that player turns out.
PLindbergh31
Location: NJ
Joined: 02.01.2008

Jun 23 @ 11:04 AM ET
I'm not getting this draft for the flyers at all. Laughton ok i"m with them on that pick but a goalie and a wood nymph sized d man. I hope they know what they are doing.
Hope they aren't drafting to fill their ECHL affiliate.

- bird_dog




This draft has certainly been far from conventional. None of these picks on the surface make any sense at all.
isaiah520
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: "All train compartments smell vaguely of sh*t. It gets so you don't mind it"
Joined: 12.26.2006

Jun 23 @ 11:07 AM ET
Sorry, I wasn't clear. I meant to say you can't just compare the player picked after those 5, as Tomahawk did. You need to use the next 5-10 players and compare those to our picks.
- TheGreat28

no, I agree w/ you regarding that post, which I thought was very short-sighted.
Duran76
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Calmer than you are dude, PA
Joined: 07.25.2010

Jun 23 @ 11:07 AM ET
Isn't it kind of hard to judge these picks right off the bat? Not even considering the fact that most of us haven't even seen these guys play (and that the Flyers have a staff of guys who get paid to do only that), drafted players aren't expected to make an impact for a few years anyway. And even then, a lot of the picks won't make any significant impact. Pierre might think that every pick is a future hall of famer, but it's rare for drafts to produce talent like the one in 2003.

Let's relax. Trust the Flyers, and wait for things to develop. If in 3-4 years, none of these guys pan out? Great. That's about what you have to expect anyway. It's also not that bad when you consider that the Flyers generally draft well, so an off year is to bound to happen. And we're still pretty stocked with quality young players that are producing now.

And we also didn't just trade a shutdown center who could be capable of scoring 30, along with a top 4 defenseman for picks and prospects that MIGHT be able to produce at some point in the future. But the Penguins are immediately better right? Stanley Cup favorites again. Worked so well last year.

- jd342


I agree but I still find it strange that some people in the know don't really have a lot of info on the last few picks.
FlyerMike18
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 03.07.2009

Jun 23 @ 11:08 AM ET
the scouts have spoken.... fire holmgren
TheGreat28
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Chadds Ford, PA
Joined: 06.20.2010

Jun 23 @ 11:08 AM ET
But you aren't quantifying whether, even including a factor of "opportunity cost", the Flyers aren't one of the better drafting teams or not.
- eayost


I think the Flyers are in the top 10 in first round, and then bottom quarter of all teams after the first round.
isaiah520
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: "All train compartments smell vaguely of sh*t. It gets so you don't mind it"
Joined: 12.26.2006

Jun 23 @ 11:08 AM ET
I'm not getting this draft for the flyers at all. Laughton ok i"m with them on that pick but a goalie and a wood nymph sized d man. I hope they know what they are doing.
Hope they aren't drafting to fill their ECHL affiliate.

- bird_dog

if I'm the ECHL team, I'm stoked!
BringBack25
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: deep lurk
Joined: 01.03.2007

Jun 23 @ 11:09 AM ET


...

My point is...they have done ok in last 10 years, but are really not prospect whisperers either.

- TheGreat28



Flyers have done pretty well drafting forwards toward the back of the first round (Gagne, Williams, Richards, Downie, Giroux were all 20+, Carter was 14 and Zubrus 15). As Bill said, I'll give them the benefit of the doubt on this one.
mochoson
Atlanta Thrashers
Location: Josi is the most overrated player in the nhl. He isnt even close to a top ten. - James_Tanner, NJ
Joined: 02.28.2009

Jun 23 @ 11:09 AM ET
Two picks coming shortly
eayost
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Into the Void, PA
Joined: 04.14.2010

Jun 23 @ 11:10 AM ET
Time to draft a new goon
FlyerMike18
Philadelphia Flyers
Joined: 03.07.2009

Jun 23 @ 11:11 AM ET
would anyone consider schenn for yandle?
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