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Forums :: Blog World :: Mike Augello: Matthews: Pursuing 70 And Preserving For Playoffs; Leafs vs. Penguins
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Monkeypunk
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Whenever, wherever, ON
Joined: 06.27.2013

Apr 9 @ 1:57 PM ET
id have Mackinnon over kuch, but any of them make sense tbh.
- senstroll



Kucherov, MacKinnon, Matthews and McDavid have all had exceptional seasons and Quinn Hughes deserves mention as well.

In the last 10 team games, Kucherov and McDavid have both averaged 2.2 points / game, MacKinnon has averaged 1.7, and Matthews has averaged 1.8 - with 10 goals in those 10 games. By the way, Crosby is at 1.7 and Forsberg is at 1.8 - so these are the guys having elite performances as we run out the season.

Matthews and Kuch have 5 games left, McDavid has 6 and MacKinnon has 4.

Kucherov: 136 + 11 = 147
McDavid: 130 + 11 = 141
MacKinnon: 133 + 7 = 140
Matthews: 102 + 9 = 111; 5 goals/4 assists = 70 goals.

It is plausible by pace that both Hyman and Reinhart could end up with about 56. This would project to put Matthews' goal lead about 20% greater than the next highest goal scorer - which would be a top-20 goal scoring performance in NHL history, if you look at how many more goals the top goal scorer had over the second goal scorer, by percentage.

As an example historically, this is the top-20 goal scoring variations within a single season (I've bolded the Hart winners):

In 1965-66 Bobby Hull led by 40.74%
In 1990-91 Brett Hull led by 40.7%
In 1983-84 Wayne Gretzky led by 35.63%
In 1952-53 Gordie Howe led by 34.69%
In 1951-52 Gordie Howe led by 34.04%

In 1961-62 Bobby Hull led by 34%
In 1970-71 Phil Esposito led by 32.89%
In 1966-67 Bobby Hull led by 32.69%
In 1981-82 Wayne Gretzky led by 30.43%
In 1956-57 Gordie Howe led by 25%

In 1971-72 Phil Esposito led by 24.24%
In 1999-00 Pavel Bure led by 24.14%
In 1973-74 Phil Esposito led by 23.53%
In 1991-92 Brett Hull led by 22.86%
In 2001-02 Jarome Iginla led by 21.15%
In 1987-88 Mario Lemieux led by 20%
In 2007-08 Alex Ovechkin led by 20%
In 2020-21 Auston Matthews led by 19.51%
In 1955-56 Jean Beliveau led by 19.15%
In 2014-15 Alex Ovechkin led by 18.87%

Goal scoring isn't really the Hart indicator you'd think it is. When I look at this year, I'm not even sure Matthews gets in the top-3 if he doesn't crack 70 goals.






mjones242
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Pretentious Beer Snob, ON
Joined: 06.22.2015

Apr 9 @ 2:15 PM ET
Kucherov, MacKinnon, Matthews and McDavid have all had exceptional seasons and Quinn Hughes deserves mention as well.

In the last 10 team games, Kucherov and McDavid have both averaged 2.2 points / game, MacKinnon has averaged 1.7, and Matthews has averaged 1.8 - with 10 goals in those 10 games. By the way, Crosby is at 1.7 and Forsberg is at 1.8 - so these are the guys having elite performances as we run out the season.

Matthews and Kuch have 5 games left, McDavid has 6 and MacKinnon has 4.

Kucherov: 136 + 11 = 147
McDavid: 130 + 11 = 141
MacKinnon: 133 + 7 = 140
Matthews: 102 + 9 = 111; 5 goals/4 assists = 70 goals.

It is plausible by pace that both Hyman and Reinhart could end up with about 56. This would project to put Matthews' goal lead about 20% greater than the next highest goal scorer - which would be a top-20 goal scoring performance in NHL history, if you look at how many more goals the top goal scorer had over the second goal scorer, by percentage.

As an example historically, this is the top-20 goal scoring variations within a single season (I've bolded the Hart winners):

In 1965-66 Bobby Hull led by 40.74%
In 1990-91 Brett Hull led by 40.7%
In 1983-84 Wayne Gretzky led by 35.63%
In 1952-53 Gordie Howe led by 34.69%
In 1951-52 Gordie Howe led by 34.04%

In 1961-62 Bobby Hull led by 34%
In 1970-71 Phil Esposito led by 32.89%
In 1966-67 Bobby Hull led by 32.69%
In 1981-82 Wayne Gretzky led by 30.43%
In 1956-57 Gordie Howe led by 25%

In 1971-72 Phil Esposito led by 24.24%
In 1999-00 Pavel Bure led by 24.14%
In 1973-74 Phil Esposito led by 23.53%
In 1991-92 Brett Hull led by 22.86%
In 2001-02 Jarome Iginla led by 21.15%
In 1987-88 Mario Lemieux led by 20%
In 2007-08 Alex Ovechkin led by 20%
In 2020-21 Auston Matthews led by 19.51%
In 1955-56 Jean Beliveau led by 19.15%
In 2014-15 Alex Ovechkin led by 18.87%

Goal scoring isn't really the Hart indicator you'd think it is. When I look at this year, I'm not even sure Matthews gets in the top-3 if he doesn't crack 70 goals.

- Monkeypunk

The Hart Trophy is given to the player that fits whatever given media narrative is sexy each year.

I'm afraid 70 goals won't even be enough.
Symba007
Montreal Canadiens
Location: I'm bi. Why limit yourself with half of the possible delicious pleasures of life - Fredo, ON
Joined: 02.26.2007

Apr 9 @ 2:16 PM ET
The Hart Trophy is given to the player that fits whatever given media narrative is sexy each year.

I'm afraid 70 goals won't even be enough.

- mjones242

he should go for 93 goals...
drexel
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Corn Pop was a bad dude, AB
Joined: 06.29.2006

Apr 9 @ 2:19 PM ET
will Steve Simmons vote for him?
mjones242
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Pretentious Beer Snob, ON
Joined: 06.22.2015

Apr 9 @ 2:21 PM ET
id have Mackinnon over kuch, but any of them make sense tbh.
- senstroll

Somehow, Kucherov has 51 more points than the next highest player (Point) on the team.

That's (frank)ing bonkers.
mjones242
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Pretentious Beer Snob, ON
Joined: 06.22.2015

Apr 9 @ 2:21 PM ET
he should go for 93 goals...
- Symba007

Sure.

67 in the regular season, 26 in the post-season.
Adam French
Atlanta Thrashers
Location: Isn't Cooley 5"11? You know who else is 5"11? Sydney Crosby. - Scabeh
Joined: 04.06.2011

Apr 9 @ 2:25 PM ET
will Steve Simmons vote for him?
- drexel

Voting for Matt Kessel
Zezel
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: God Leafs Satan The Oneness, ON
Joined: 02.28.2011

Apr 9 @ 2:34 PM ET
Holy (frank)balls man, you can get a ticket for tonight's game in Jersey for $11 USD.
Zezel
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: God Leafs Satan The Oneness, ON
Joined: 02.28.2011

Apr 9 @ 2:36 PM ET
The Hart Trophy is given to the player that fits whatever given media narrative is sexy each year.

I'm afraid 70 goals won't even be enough.

- mjones242


If sexiness won it, Willy Stallionder would win every year.
Zezel
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: God Leafs Satan The Oneness, ON
Joined: 02.28.2011

Apr 9 @ 2:43 PM ET
Next year I'm gonna plan to take a train down to Jersey, watch the Leafs, go fish in the Delaware and suck back a bunch of pork roll egg and cheese for less than a nosebleed at the SBA.
Snot Dillingham
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Ontario, ON
Joined: 07.14.2023

Apr 9 @ 2:53 PM ET
50 Years Ago today!

https://twitter.com/ThatE...tatus/1777758376841101474

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5P_VfLun96o
mjones242
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Pretentious Beer Snob, ON
Joined: 06.22.2015

Apr 9 @ 2:58 PM ET
50 Years Ago today!

https://twitter.com/ThatE...tatus/1777758376841101474

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5P_VfLun96o

- Snot Dillingham

FWIW, I think this was - by far - the best song produced post-Beatles by a Beatles member.
Atomic Wedgie
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: The centre of the hockey universe
Joined: 07.31.2006

Apr 9 @ 3:00 PM ET
Holy (frank)balls man, you can get a ticket for tonight's game in Jersey for $11 USD.
- Zezel

$42 gets you 12th row, lower bowl.

$212 gets you 12th row centre ice lower bowl, with all you can eat food and soft drinks.

Snot Dillingham
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Ontario, ON
Joined: 07.14.2023

Apr 9 @ 3:01 PM ET
FWIW, I think this was - by far - the best song produced post-Beatles by a Beatles member.
- mjones242


Absolutely, Mr. Jones
Atomic Wedgie
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: The centre of the hockey universe
Joined: 07.31.2006

Apr 9 @ 3:02 PM ET
Next year I'm gonna plan to take a train down to Jersey, watch the Leafs, go fish in the Delaware and suck back a bunch of pork roll egg and cheese for less than a nosebleed at the SBA.
- Zezel

The arena is in Newark.

So you need to stay in Manhattan, take the PATH train (like GO), and then immediately after the game take the PATH train back.

Or stay and be murdered.
Mike Augello
Commissioner
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Buffalo, NY
Joined: 06.25.2006

Apr 9 @ 3:10 PM ET
new blog everyone
Adam French
Atlanta Thrashers
Location: Isn't Cooley 5"11? You know who else is 5"11? Sydney Crosby. - Scabeh
Joined: 04.06.2011

Apr 9 @ 3:12 PM ET
FWIW, I think this was - by far - the best song produced post-Beatles by a Beatles member.
- mjones242

George Harrison would like a word with you
Atomic Wedgie
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: The centre of the hockey universe
Joined: 07.31.2006

Apr 9 @ 3:12 PM ET
And just because I'm bored:

Fly into Tampa on Tuesday, April 16th.

Fly out again on the 18th.

Stay at the Hilton Garden in Tampa Ybor City (8.4/10 on Trip Advisor).

$742 per person, based on double occupancy.

Looks like $100 gets you a decent upper bowl ticket.

I'll run the numbers again flying out of Buffalo.

Adam French
Atlanta Thrashers
Location: Isn't Cooley 5"11? You know who else is 5"11? Sydney Crosby. - Scabeh
Joined: 04.06.2011

Apr 9 @ 3:14 PM ET
And just because I'm bored:

Fly into Tampa on Tuesday, April 16th.

Fly out again on the 18th.

Stay at the Hilton Garden in Tampa Ybor City (8.4/10 on Trip Advisor).

$742 per person, based on double occupancy.

Looks like $100 gets you a decent upper bowl ticket.

I'll run the numbers again flying out of Buffalo.

- Atomic Wedgie

We going toe to face again?
Atomic Wedgie
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: The centre of the hockey universe
Joined: 07.31.2006

Apr 9 @ 3:15 PM ET
And just because I'm bored:

Fly into Tampa on Tuesday, April 16th.

Fly out again on the 18th.

Stay at the Hilton Garden in Tampa Ybor City (8.4/10 on Trip Advisor).

$742 per person, based on double occupancy.

Looks like $100 gets you a decent upper bowl ticket.

I'll run the numbers again flying out of Buffalo.

- Atomic Wedgie

Not worth it to fly out of Buffalo.
Atomic Wedgie
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: The centre of the hockey universe
Joined: 07.31.2006

Apr 9 @ 3:16 PM ET
We going toe to face again?
- AdamFrench

Room has two double beds, but sure.
mr.sir
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Vancouver Island, BC
Joined: 01.18.2015

Apr 9 @ 3:49 PM ET
Always nice when the annual 3rd party audit is done for the year

🍺 🔜
TheMussel
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Toronto, ON
Joined: 09.24.2013

Apr 9 @ 8:50 PM ET
I want Matthews to score more than I want home ice
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