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Forums :: Blog World :: Brad Lohr: When Times are Low, Look to Perrault.
Author Message
TheSabresTaco
Buffalo Sabres
Location: For me. jack Eichel is bobby ryan….that's it. - Octavarium, NY
Joined: 05.05.2011

Aug 10 @ 10:23 AM ET
Yes, a ~ 20% of the total budget increase this early though, mistakes were made.
- washedup20


That's possible, or a budget was created prior to an architectural assessment.

I do agree with you that it's a bad look, and anytime the Pegulas release anything, it's a bad (frank)ing look.
Jet Jaguar BD
Seattle Kraken
Location: BD look đź‘€ at you pic and you look like a burned out short order cook hiding in mommy basement!!
Joined: 07.17.2021

Aug 10 @ 10:24 AM ET
that 16 dollar roll of insulation costs 55 now, 3 years later


saw $7 for a box of cereal the other day at publix

cereal

- homiedclown

Oh dude cereal is outrageous
TheSabresTaco
Buffalo Sabres
Location: For me. jack Eichel is bobby ryan….that's it. - Octavarium, NY
Joined: 05.05.2011

Aug 10 @ 10:26 AM ET
I read this as Pegula will let that arena crumble waiting for the city/state to pick up the tab.
- washedup20


Of course he will. It's owned by Erie County. Not saying it's right, just saying what is.

Hopefully the Pegulas can pick up more than 50% this time around.
washedup20
Location: the little apple
Joined: 08.19.2014

Aug 10 @ 10:27 AM ET
That's possible, or a budget was created prior to an architectural assessment.

I do agree with you that it's a bad look, and anytime the Pegulas release anything, it's a bad (frank)ing look.

- TheSabresTaco


Well said
TheSabresTaco
Buffalo Sabres
Location: For me. jack Eichel is bobby ryan….that's it. - Octavarium, NY
Joined: 05.05.2011

Aug 10 @ 10:28 AM ET
Well said
- washedup20


and to side track, these overages with the stadium, and I'm not saying they're ron's fault, but they are on his dish no doubt.
washedup20
Location: the little apple
Joined: 08.19.2014

Aug 10 @ 10:35 AM ET
and to side track, these overages with the stadium, and I'm not saying they're ron's fault, but they are on his dish no doubt.
- TheSabresTaco


lol sure looks like it:

homiedclown
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We want 1, FL
Joined: 02.24.2008

Aug 10 @ 10:36 AM ET
why
- TheSabresTaco

it's a simple question

Hatboro_Swords
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Next year is gonna be 05/06 all over again, PA
Joined: 07.30.2010

Aug 10 @ 10:37 AM ET
Yes, a ~ 20% of the total budget increase this early though, mistakes were made.
- washedup20

This is a very bad sign. Interest rates weren't supposed to stay at 7%. Developers can't afford to go back to the bank for more money at these rates. I've been a Civil Engineer in Site Development for over 20 years. I never had one of my projects die on the vine after construction started. One project is hanging on by a thread right now.
homiedclown
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We want 1, FL
Joined: 02.24.2008

Aug 10 @ 10:37 AM ET
ask a simple hockey question on a hockey web site on a player that is going to be shopped by the gm


and the response is why



why



this is why this site is so phucked up


TheSabresTaco
Buffalo Sabres
Location: For me. jack Eichel is bobby ryan….that's it. - Octavarium, NY
Joined: 05.05.2011

Aug 10 @ 10:40 AM ET
it's a simple question


- homiedclown


your top 6 is ras sam pow clif erik joke

your 7 is loob or still, probably still.

i think if you make a move like that, you just do joke for petry and a 2nd.
washedup20
Location: the little apple
Joined: 08.19.2014

Aug 10 @ 10:41 AM ET
This is a very bad sign. Interest rates weren't supposed to stay at 7%. Developers can't afford to go back to the bank for more money at these rates. I've been a Civil Engineer in Site Development for over 20 years. I never had one of my projects die on the vine after construction started. One project is hanging on by a thread right now.
- Hatboro_Swords


Impressive career, good analysis of the current environment.
homiedclown
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We want 1, FL
Joined: 02.24.2008

Aug 10 @ 10:42 AM ET
This is a very bad sign. Interest rates weren't supposed to stay at 7%. Developers can't afford to go back to the bank for more money at these rates. I've been a Civil Engineer in Site Development for over 20 years. I never had one of my projects die on the vine after construction started. One project is hanging on by a thread right now.
- Hatboro_Swords

new house subdivisions remain vacant down here because they can't get electrical transformers
TheSabresTaco
Buffalo Sabres
Location: For me. jack Eichel is bobby ryan….that's it. - Octavarium, NY
Joined: 05.05.2011

Aug 10 @ 10:42 AM ET
ask a simple hockey question on a hockey web site on a player that is going to be shopped by the gm


and the response is why



why



this is why this site is so phucked up

- homiedclown


you've been a little soft these past few days clown. what gives?

i asked "why" so you'd provide your thought process instead of just throwing a dart.

again, the point of the board.
homiedclown
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We want 1, FL
Joined: 02.24.2008

Aug 10 @ 10:43 AM ET
you've been a little soft these past few days clown. what gives?

i asked "why" so you'd provide your thought process instead of just throwing a dart.

again, the point of the board.

- TheSabresTaco

why
washedup20
Location: the little apple
Joined: 08.19.2014

Aug 10 @ 10:43 AM ET
ask a simple hockey question on a hockey web site on a player that is going to be shopped by the gm


and the response is why



why



this is why this site is so phucked up

- homiedclown


Where would you slot him into the lineup? Would he be a dad role?
RhinoFan
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Visionville
Joined: 10.12.2015

Aug 10 @ 10:44 AM ET
So you'd know that this isn't always, and is only sometimes, true.
- TheSabresTaco


Meh, supply chain latencies have lessened and that was the biggest hurdle for the past few years. Now that the ports are open, IMO, for a job that large, you shouldn't have these types of issues, at least with getting product. Delays on one or two things, sure, but talking about being 20-25% over budget is a shocking stat to me.
TheSabresTaco
Buffalo Sabres
Location: For me. jack Eichel is bobby ryan….that's it. - Octavarium, NY
Joined: 05.05.2011

Aug 10 @ 10:44 AM ET
new house subdivisions remain vacant down here because they can't get electrical transformers
- homiedclown


this is a national issue and it's been extremely annoying.
TheSabresTaco
Buffalo Sabres
Location: For me. jack Eichel is bobby ryan….that's it. - Octavarium, NY
Joined: 05.05.2011

Aug 10 @ 10:44 AM ET
Where would you slot him into the lineup? Would he be a dad role?
- washedup20


why
homiedclown
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We want 1, FL
Joined: 02.24.2008

Aug 10 @ 10:45 AM ET
your top 6 is ras sam pow clif erik joke

your 7 is loob or still, probably still.

i think if you make a move like that, you just do joke for petry and a 2nd.

- TheSabresTaco

dahlin-samuelsson
power-petry
johnson-clifton


or
dahlin-clifton
power-petry
samuelsson-joker
johnson


either is upgrade IMO over whatever lineup they can make right now

TheSabresTaco
Buffalo Sabres
Location: For me. jack Eichel is bobby ryan….that's it. - Octavarium, NY
Joined: 05.05.2011

Aug 10 @ 10:46 AM ET
Meh, supply chain latencies have lessened and that was the biggest hurdle for the past few years. Now that the ports are open, IMO, for a job that large, you shouldn't have these types of issues, at least with getting product. Delays on one or two things, sure, but talking about being 40% over budget is a shocking stat to me.
- RhinoFan


Over budget doesn't necessarily mean the product isn't arriving on time.

There are still real problems with rising costs of plastics and steel.
TheSabresTaco
Buffalo Sabres
Location: For me. jack Eichel is bobby ryan….that's it. - Octavarium, NY
Joined: 05.05.2011

Aug 10 @ 10:46 AM ET
dahlin-samuelsson
power-petry
johnson-clifton


or
dahlin-clifton
power-petry
samuelsson-joker
johnson


either is upgrade IMO over whatever lineup they can make right now

- homiedclown


You gotta think Johnson isn't here to play 40 games. That's the thing.
homiedclown
Buffalo Sabres
Location: We want 1, FL
Joined: 02.24.2008

Aug 10 @ 10:49 AM ET
You gotta think Johnson isn't here to play 40 games. That's the thing.
- TheSabresTaco

4 of last 11 seasons he has played less than 50 games
Hatboro_Swords
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Next year is gonna be 05/06 all over again, PA
Joined: 07.30.2010

Aug 10 @ 10:49 AM ET
new house subdivisions remain vacant down here because they can't get electrical transformers
- homiedclown

YES!!!! It's (frank)in ridiculous. I got a huge Shopping Center project under construction. It's going to get done and luckily we already have all transformers and switch gear already installed. PECO told the contractor that they won't have a transformer for a school project they are working on for 2 years. WTF. Before pandemic, there weren't any supply chain issues. It's like we're a 3rd world country now.
RhinoFan
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Visionville
Joined: 10.12.2015

Aug 10 @ 10:49 AM ET
Over budget doesn't necessarily mean the product isn't arriving on time.

There are still real problems with rising costs of plastics and steel.

- TheSabresTaco


It's actually closer to 20%, sorry for the misinfo. I had seen 40% but it's 300M over a 1.4B budget, so like 22%.

And that's fair, but the supply chain issues are what was forcing a lot of companies to pay high premiums and see sharp increases in the overall cost of jobs. Being that this isn't the case any longer, they should be able to bid out a lot of this and if someone doesn't deliver...poof, onto the next one. Plastic I don't deal with, but the steel prices haven't gone up that much in a couple years. The big spike was back in 2021, so that should mostly be accounted for in the estimates.
Buff36
Buffalo Sabres
Joined: 10.13.2019

Aug 10 @ 10:55 AM ET
Meh, supply chain latencies have lessened and that was the biggest hurdle for the past few years. Now that the ports are open, IMO, for a job that large, you shouldn't have these types of issues, at least with getting product. Delays on one or two things, sure, but talking about being 20-25% over budget is a shocking stat to me.
- RhinoFan

It will get worse to when they start putting in the Electrical and the specialized chips and conductors are needed. Very hard to get specialized material and it will only get more expensive.
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