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Forums :: Blog World :: Michael Pachla: HV71 coach Johan Lindbom offers some insight into Lawrence Pilut's game
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SabreWest
Buffalo Sabres
Location: BC
Joined: 03.02.2015

May 10 @ 3:18 PM ET
My son used to have a couple of posters of her in his bedroom years ago.
So, I think I could make the case that she was with me for sometime.

It could work, getting JT here...is it likely, hell to the no.
But would be great to see them go after him...then swindle the out of luck GM’s with ROR.

Mitts-Eichel-ROR trade acquisition
Okposo-JT-Reinhart
Girgenson-ERod-Baptiste
Wilson-Larsson-Pommer

Larsson, Pommer and Girgensons all gone next year (Saves $8.6m + Moulson $5m, total of $13.6m) and enables Asplund, Olofsson and Bustlander to graduate (costs $2.75m)

And they have the Cap Space to do it next year and into future even paying Reinhart $7.5m, Mitts $7.5m and Dahlin $10m in at the end of their contracts (2yr bridge deal at $4.5m for Reinhart 1st)

Slide that plan in front of JT...could work (oh and mention these other slugs called Dahlin, Risto, Guhle, McCabe, Pilut)

Core of Eichel, JT, Mitts on O, Dahlin & Risto on D
Support staff of Okposo, Reinhart, Guhle, McCabe)
Core

Not bad, this could definitely work.

- IonSabres


If JT signs with the Sabres, I promise this board that I will stalk down Megan Fox. However, unless I kidnap her, I still don't think she'll want to be with a 53-year pasty white Canadian.
SABRES 89
Season Ticket Holder
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I'm very Happy to be here. Las Vegas Via Buffalo N.Y.
Joined: 02.17.2007

May 10 @ 3:21 PM ET
It was 5 months before he changed his tune
- gerbe75pts

I didn't change my tune, I said all along they were willing to go to 11-11.5 a year for him.


Your Move
TheSabresTaco
Buffalo Sabres
Location: For me. jack Eichel is bobby ryan….that's it. - Octavarium, NY
Joined: 05.05.2011

May 10 @ 3:26 PM ET
I didn't change my tune, I said all along they were willing to go to 11-11.5 a year for him.


Your Move

- SABRES 89


It's easy to go to the archives from late June 2017 and see what everyone was saying.
Everyone was definitely thinking it was possible for the Sabres to sign STAMKO
jcragcrumple
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Reluctant bridge jumper; 6th round OHL draft pick, YT
Joined: 04.04.2016

May 10 @ 3:28 PM ET
Start the trade proposals backup


- gerbe75pts


Eichel for Kadri and a conditional 3rd
SABRES 89
Season Ticket Holder
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I'm very Happy to be here. Las Vegas Via Buffalo N.Y.
Joined: 02.17.2007

May 10 @ 3:30 PM ET
It's easy to go to the archives from late June 2017 and see what everyone was saying.
Everyone was definitely thinking it was possible for the Sabres to sign STAMKO

- TheSabresTaco

I don't need or ever go to, I know what I said. Just like I said a while back about offer sheets, only player they were going to send an offer sheet to was Zach Parise.
Sabresfan-365
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Lockport, NY
Joined: 12.09.2012

May 10 @ 3:31 PM ET
It's easy to go to the archives from late June 2017 and see what everyone was saying.
Everyone was definitely thinking it was possible for the Sabres to sign STAMKO

- TheSabresTaco



i thought leafs, same as Tavares
gerbe75pts
Anaheim Ducks
Location: DRAFT COLE CAUFIELD AT 7!!!, CA
Joined: 09.03.2009

May 10 @ 3:32 PM ET
I didn't change my tune, I said all along they were willing to go to 11-11.5 a year for him.


Your Move

- SABRES 89


I apologize it was someone else then
SABRES 89
Season Ticket Holder
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I'm very Happy to be here. Las Vegas Via Buffalo N.Y.
Joined: 02.17.2007

May 10 @ 3:32 PM ET
i thought leafs, same as Tavares
- Sabresfan-365

The Leafs " ARE IN" on everyone. They need to worry about Matthews not Tavares.
gerbe75pts
Anaheim Ducks
Location: DRAFT COLE CAUFIELD AT 7!!!, CA
Joined: 09.03.2009

May 10 @ 3:34 PM ET
I don't need or ever go to, I know what I said. Just like I said a while back about offer sheets, only player they were going to send an offer sheet to was Zach Parise.
- SABRES 89


You mean sign Zach praise ?
SABRES 89
Season Ticket Holder
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I'm very Happy to be here. Las Vegas Via Buffalo N.Y.
Joined: 02.17.2007

May 10 @ 3:35 PM ET
You mean sign Zach praise ?
- gerbe75pts

They were talking about giving him an offer sheet before he went to the Wild.
gerbe75pts
Anaheim Ducks
Location: DRAFT COLE CAUFIELD AT 7!!!, CA
Joined: 09.03.2009

May 10 @ 3:37 PM ET
They were talking about giving him an offer sheet before he went to the Wild.
- SABRES 89


He was not a RFA
SABRES 89
Season Ticket Holder
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I'm very Happy to be here. Las Vegas Via Buffalo N.Y.
Joined: 02.17.2007

May 10 @ 3:37 PM ET
So Kurt Warner wants to come back and play ? what the hell.
SABRES 89
Season Ticket Holder
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I'm very Happy to be here. Las Vegas Via Buffalo N.Y.
Joined: 02.17.2007

May 10 @ 3:38 PM ET
He was not a RFA
- gerbe75pts

Better check again, I think he signed a 1 year deal with the Devils and then went to the Wild, something like that.
Lunaion
Joined: 05.23.2016

May 10 @ 3:38 PM ET
See, I ran the numbers in Excel.
It works.
At first I thought it would be crazy over, but it isn’t...it works.

I’d post the results, but I suck at posting images...and copy/paste sucks on here it takes forever to format it to line up.

- IonSabres


I've played around with 5 year projections, and I know Stripes has as well. The only way you can make it work is by being exceptionally cheap/unrealistic with the other 13'ish players on your roster.
gerbe75pts
Anaheim Ducks
Location: DRAFT COLE CAUFIELD AT 7!!!, CA
Joined: 09.03.2009

May 10 @ 3:38 PM ET
So Kurt Warner wants to come back and play ? what the hell.
- SABRES 89


I hope that’s a joke lol 😂
gerbe75pts
Anaheim Ducks
Location: DRAFT COLE CAUFIELD AT 7!!!, CA
Joined: 09.03.2009

May 10 @ 3:40 PM ET
Better check again, I think he signed a 1 year deal with the Devils and then went to the Wild, something like that.
- SABRES 89


I remember him and drew Stafford being best friends and all throughout that summer that was my card saying why he sign here lol

gerbe75pts
Anaheim Ducks
Location: DRAFT COLE CAUFIELD AT 7!!!, CA
Joined: 09.03.2009

May 10 @ 3:42 PM ET
Jack could use a young Zack Parise type I still say Jaden Schwartz might be the target

But maybe the wildcard is skinner

IonSabres
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I said that months ago, keep up!, FL
Joined: 03.10.2013

May 10 @ 3:48 PM ET
I've played around with 5 year projections, and I know Stripes has as well. The only way you can make it work is by being exceptionally cheap/unrealistic with the other 13'ish players on your roster.
- Lunaion


I see. Excel must be wrong then.
Player 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23
Eichel $10.000 $10.000 $10.000 $10.000 $10.000
Mittelstadt $0.925 $0.925 $7.500 $7.500 $7.500
Baptiste/\ELC$0.725 $0.925 $0.925 $0.925 $0.925
Tavares $12.000 $12.000 $12.000 $12.000 $12.000
Okposo $6.000 $6.000 $6.000 $6.000 $6.000
Reinhart $4.250 $4.250 $4.250 $4.250 $4.250
Erod/3C $0.650 $1.500 $1.500 $1.500 $1.500
Pomer/3RW $5.600 $1.650 $1.650 $1.650 $1.650
Girgs/3LW $1.600 $1.750 $1.750 $1.750 $1.750
Larsson/4C $1.450 $0.925 $0.925 $0.925 $0.925
Bailey/4RW $0.750 $0.750 $0.750 $0.750 $0.750
Wilson/4LW $0.750 $0.750 $0.750 $0.750 $0.750
13th F $0.625 $0.625 $0.625 $0.625 $0.625
Dahlin $0.925 $0.925 $0.925 $10.000 $10.000
#2 D $5.500 $5.500 $5.500 $5.500 $5.500
Scand/#3 $4.000 $4.000 $2.000 $2.000 $2.000
Risto $5.400 $5.400 $5.400 $5.400 $5.400
McCabe $1.600 $2.000 $2.000 $2.000 $2.000
Bogo/#5D $5.142 $5.142 $1.250 $1.250 $1.250
Beaul/ 7D $2.400 $0.700 $0.700 $0.700 $0.700
Ullmark $0.925 $0.925 $4.000 $4.000 $4.000
B-up Goali $1.500 $1.500 $1.500 $1.500 $1.500 e
Moulson $5.000
Total $77.717 $68.142 $71.900 $80.975 $80.975
Salary Cap $80.000 $82.600 $85.285 $88.056 $90.918
Cap Space $2.283 $14.458 $13.385 $7.081 $9.943
Lunaion
Joined: 05.23.2016

May 10 @ 3:54 PM ET
I see. Excel must be wrong then.

- IonSabres


You're just proving what I predicted, you're significantly underpaying and raising the cap to 91m to make it work.
IonSabres
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I said that months ago, keep up!, FL
Joined: 03.10.2013

May 10 @ 4:00 PM ET
I've played around with 5 year projections, and I know Stripes has as well. The only way you can make it work is by being exceptionally cheap/unrealistic with the other 13'ish players on your roster.
- Lunaion[
/quote]
-Eichel at 10M
-Tavares at $12M
-Sam at bridge for $4.5M for 2 years, then $7.5M
-Mitts at ELC for 3 yrs of $0.925M then $7.5M in year 4
- Moulsons $5M counts
- Girgs, Larsson, Pommer all replaced with cheaper contracts for sure...ELC's, low risk FA's for 4th line etc.
- acquire a FA for top pair with Dahlin for $5.5
-replace Bogo after contract ends with more realistic contract for a 5/6

it assumes a 3.25% Cap growth per year, and starts with 2018-19 at $80M which is in the middle of the projected $78 - $82 as communicated by theat FVcK-tard Bettman.

It you know of a better way to paste those numbers, let me know --It is very hard to read...would love to have it post more clearly.
Sabresfan-365
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Lockport, NY
Joined: 12.09.2012

May 10 @ 4:05 PM ET

-Eichel at 10M
-Tavares at $12M
-Sam at bridge for $4.5M for 2 years, then $7.5M
-Mitts at ELC for 3 yrs of $0.925M then $7.5M in year 4
- Moulsons $5M counts
- Girgs, Larsson, Pommer all replaced with cheaper contracts for sure...ELC's, low risk FA's for 4th line etc.
- acquire a FA for top pair with Dahlin for $5.5
-replace Bogo after contract ends with more realistic contract for a 5/6

it assumes a 3.25% Cap growth per year, and starts with 2018-19 at $80M which is in the middle of the projected $78 - $82 as communicated by theat FVcK-tard Bettman.

It you know of a better way to paste those numbers, let me know --It is very hard to read...would love to have it post more clearly.

- IonSabres


The drawback is that if any of the ELC guys are remotely good, they'll be moved as soon as they are due any sort of raise. You limit your window to win and how many windows you get.
jcragcrumple
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Reluctant bridge jumper; 6th round OHL draft pick, YT
Joined: 04.04.2016

May 10 @ 4:07 PM ET
I see. Excel must be wrong then.
Player 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22 2022-23
Eichel $10.000 $10.000 $10.000 $10.000 $10.000
Mittelstadt $0.925 $0.925 $7.500 $7.500 $7.500
Baptiste/\ELC$0.725 $0.925 $0.925 $0.925 $0.925
Tavares $12.000 $12.000 $12.000 $12.000 $12.000
Okposo $6.000 $6.000 $6.000 $6.000 $6.000
Reinhart $4.250 $4.250 $4.250 $4.250 $4.250
Erod/3C $0.650 $1.500 $1.500 $1.500 $1.500
Pomer/3RW $5.600 $1.650 $1.650 $1.650 $1.650
Girgs/3LW $1.600 $1.750 $1.750 $1.750 $1.750
Larsson/4C $1.450 $0.925 $0.925 $0.925 $0.925
Bailey/4RW $0.750 $0.750 $0.750 $0.750 $0.750
Wilson/4LW $0.750 $0.750 $0.750 $0.750 $0.750
13th F $0.625 $0.625 $0.625 $0.625 $0.625
Dahlin $0.925 $0.925 $0.925 $10.000 $10.000
#2 D $5.500 $5.500 $5.500 $5.500 $5.500
Scand/#3 $4.000 $4.000 $2.000 $2.000 $2.000
Risto $5.400 $5.400 $5.400 $5.400 $5.400
McCabe $1.600 $2.000 $2.000 $2.000 $2.000
Bogo/#5D $5.142 $5.142 $1.250 $1.250 $1.250
Beaul/ 7D $2.400 $0.700 $0.700 $0.700 $0.700
Ullmark $0.925 $0.925 $4.000 $4.000 $4.000
B-up Goali $1.500 $1.500 $1.500 $1.500 $1.500 e
Moulson $5.000
Total $77.717 $68.142 $71.900 $80.975 $80.975
Salary Cap $80.000 $82.600 $85.285 $88.056 $90.918
Cap Space $2.283 $14.458 $13.385 $7.081 $9.943

- IonSabres



That's some damn fine Excel work, but that roster has the same problem we have now. 6 good players and a ton of scrubs
Lunaion
Joined: 05.23.2016

May 10 @ 4:22 PM ET
The drawback is that if any of the ELC guys are remotely good, they'll be moved as soon as they are due any sort of raise. You limit your window to win and how many windows you get.
- Sabresfan-365


Right. He also didn't give Sam the 7.5 he said. He traded RoR for a 1st line winger, then didn't pay him. Guhle isn't there. Scandella is taking a massive pay cut. There's a lot of problems here.
IonSabres
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I said that months ago, keep up!, FL
Joined: 03.10.2013

May 10 @ 4:25 PM ET
You're just proving what I predicted, you're significantly underpaying and raising the cap to 91m to make it work.
- Lunaion



Of Course it has Cap growth, lol!

since 2005 the Cap has increased by an average of 8% annually--HOWEVER it has slowed over the last 5 years to an Average of 4.8%, after large increases in the early years.

So using an average projected growth of 3.25% is pretty conservative, contrary to your belief. But thank you for proving my point

The Salary's projected are pretty reasonable...I'm sure everyone would disagree at the micro, individual level in a certain year...good, it's a debate. However, the big picture in fact shows it is quite possible.

BTW - I spent 5 Years in FiNanace for a Fortune 250 company projecting Budgets and Sales ...the one's the company depending upon being accurate. It got me promoted to oversee the dept for the next 3 years.
NOT BRAGGIN - nope, but I do LOVE this stuff
jcragcrumple
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Reluctant bridge jumper; 6th round OHL draft pick, YT
Joined: 04.04.2016

May 10 @ 4:27 PM ET
Right. He also didn't give Sam the 7.5 he said. He traded RoR for a 1st line winger, then didn't pay him. Guhle isn't there. Scandella is taking a massive pay cut. There's a lot of problems here.
- Lunaion


It also predicts a raise the in the cap (which is probably gonna happen), but it doesn't account for a raise in the minimum salary, or account for inflation. Finding a capable #5 Dman for $1.5 in 4 years will be tough
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