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Forums :: Blog World :: Lucas Neilson: Hold onto your shorts, here comes the second half surge
Author Message
burn
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Tavares is sledge hockey level - Islesrbettr, ON
Joined: 08.02.2006

Jan 15 @ 6:59 PM ET

- annoyed



It may be surprising to you but people do know what they're talking about.

babcockblows
Location: Toronto
Joined: 07.11.2015

Jan 15 @ 7:12 PM ET
Too funny. No "second half surge", only...

systemtool
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Real men always have to poo, ON
Joined: 09.12.2007

Jan 15 @ 7:15 PM ET
Too funny. No "second half surge", only...


- babcockblows



sweet. no pain, no gain.
Corn_Logg
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Jorts and Jergens, ON
Joined: 02.10.2014

Jan 15 @ 7:27 PM ET
Of course....



No wonder you were banned for so long.

Debbie (frank)ing Downer....

Ug's team if he was Gm

Matthews/McDavid/Crosby and that's the checking line

- annoyed

5 years minimum until we're contenders.
annoyed
Vegas Golden Knights
Location: ON
Joined: 10.28.2013

Jan 15 @ 7:30 PM ET
It may be surprising to you but people do know what they're talking about.
- burn


Lol, ya some do.
annoyed
Vegas Golden Knights
Location: ON
Joined: 10.28.2013

Jan 15 @ 7:34 PM ET
5 years minimum until we're contenders.
- Corn_Logg


50 years
Thecakeisalie
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Imagine something funny
Joined: 01.27.2010

Jan 15 @ 7:35 PM ET
It may be surprising to you but people do know what they're talking about.
- burn


Do you? He's right. The guy has only played 3 games this year. Is it those 3 games you're basing his "poor play" on?

His previous several seasons have all been pretty close to his average, so if he's suddenly declining, it's something that's just happened this year...

If you read the news he's been injured until recently, although he has been a healthy scratch for several games. This could be for a variety of reasons including him just not being good suddenly, or him not being entirely in game shape yet, etc.

So what exactly are you basing your opinion on?
Atomic Wedgie
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: The centre of the hockey universe
Joined: 07.31.2006

Jan 15 @ 7:39 PM ET
Of course....



No wonder you were banned for so long.

Debbie (frank)ing Downer....

Ug's team if he was Gm

Matthews/McDavid/Crosby and that's the checking line

- annoyed

That's because Robbie Earl is our #1 centre.
Zezel
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: God Leafs Satan The Oneness, ON
Joined: 02.28.2011

Jan 15 @ 7:41 PM ET
AWWWWW poop YEAH Lucas you know the Buds are gonna get cranking and blow some teams apart down stretch. The doubters will be jumping up on the bandwagon in their blue and white pyjamas. The haters better bring a lunchbox so they have something to kick down the road on the way home. WOOOOOOOOOO!!!!
Atomic Wedgie
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: The centre of the hockey universe
Joined: 07.31.2006

Jan 15 @ 7:42 PM ET
Who's he play for?

He's been injured and only played 3 games this year.

Are we talking about the same guy....you just spew poop and didn't even know he wasn't playing?

- annoyed

Generally speaking, if your team is good, you can't improve it by claiming a guy off waivers.
Thecakeisalie
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Imagine something funny
Joined: 01.27.2010

Jan 15 @ 7:42 PM ET
That's because Robbie Earl is our #1 centre.
- Atomic Wedgie


We should probably also sign that poopty defenseman Tanner used to always talk about a few years ago. Can't remember his name. Not Gardiner, the other one.
bixll
Location: New Glasgow, NS
Joined: 09.04.2008

Jan 15 @ 7:42 PM ET
50 years
- annoyed



Habs down 1 already. Excellent start.
Thecakeisalie
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Imagine something funny
Joined: 01.27.2010

Jan 15 @ 7:43 PM ET
Generally speaking, if your team is good, you can't improve it by claiming a guy off waivers.
- Atomic Wedgie


Hah. Shows what you know. We're going to ride Pickard all the way to the cup.
We didn't even claim him on waivers!
burn
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Tavares is sledge hockey level - Islesrbettr, ON
Joined: 08.02.2006

Jan 15 @ 7:46 PM ET
Do you? He's right. The guy has only played 3 games this year. Is it those 3 games you're basing his "poor play" on?

His previous several seasons have all been pretty close to his average, so if he's suddenly declining, it's something that's just happened this year...

If you read the news he's been injured until recently, although he has been a healthy scratch for several games. This could be for a variety of reasons including him just not being good suddenly, or him not being entirely in game shape yet, etc.

So what exactly are you basing your opinion on?

- Thecakeisalie


YEs i know hes only played 3 games, people do follow hockey and have some knowledge of what's goi g on around the league.

Base on:
Stephen Burtch
@SteveBurtch
·
Jan 14
Paul Martin has rapidly declined to arguably be a sub NHL defender over the past 4 yrs.

Note this year's data is in under 59 mins of TOI at 5v5 (all score adjusted)
Embedded

https://mobile.twitter.co...52642792701935616/photo/1
Thecakeisalie
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Imagine something funny
Joined: 01.27.2010

Jan 15 @ 7:49 PM ET
YEs i know hes oly Kaye's 3 games, people do follow hockey and have some knowledge of what's goi g on around the league.

Base on:
Stephen Burtch
@SteveBurtch
·
Jan 14
Paul Martin has rapidly declined to arguably be a sub NHL defender over the past 4 yrs.

Note this year's data is in under 59 mins of TOI at 5v5 (all score adjusted)
Embedded

- burn


You must really respect this Stephen Burtch's opinion on Martin's 3 games of play after returning from an injury that kept him out half a season.

At least even he is honest enough to point out the data is based off of only 59 minutes of 5v5 time. That's what statisticians like to call a small sample size.
If there's one thing I learned from James Tanner it's that it takes at least a whole season (sometimes several depending on circumstances) to properly evaluate anything. Unless it doesn't, of course. Hmm. I think I need to check with Tanner again. I'm confused.

Look, I really don't have much invested in this argument. It's not like we're getting Martin at this point, but deciding he's suddenly poop after 3 games while returning in the middle of the season from an injury that kept him out almost 40 games seems rather silly.
burn
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Tavares is sledge hockey level - Islesrbettr, ON
Joined: 08.02.2006

Jan 15 @ 7:52 PM ET
You must really respect this Stephen Burtch's opinion on Martin's 3 games of play after returning from an injury that kept him out half a season.

At least even he is honest enough to point out the data is based off of only 59 minutes of 5v5 time. That's what statisticians like to call a small sample size.

Look, I really don't have much invested in this argument. It's not like we're getting Martin at this point, but deciding he's suddenly poop after 3 games while returning in the middle of the season from an injury that kept him out almost 40 games seems rather silly.

- Thecakeisalie



Did you read the post? The tweet?

Maybe I'm misunderstanding the part where he talks about 4previous year. You confusing "years" and "games"

Thecakeisalie
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Imagine something funny
Joined: 01.27.2010

Jan 15 @ 8:00 PM ET
Did you read the post? The tweet?

Maybe I'm misunderstanding the part where he talks about 4previous year. You confusing "years" and "games"

- burn


I see this guy is only showing 3 stats that work for his argument. Funny how people do that.
Looking at his point totals, his corsi or fenwick, everything looks similar for the past several years.

I'll be honest. I don't entirely know how they even calculate RelT xGF%. So I have no idea how useful a stat that actually is in player evaluations.
bixll
Location: New Glasgow, NS
Joined: 09.04.2008

Jan 15 @ 8:03 PM ET
I see this guy is only showing 3 stats that work for his argument. Funny how people do that.
Looking at his point totals, his corsi or fenwick, everything looks similar for the past several years.

I'll be honest. I don't entirely know how they even calculate RelT xGF%. So I have no idea how useful a stat that actually is in player evaluations.

- Thecakeisalie


That is why teams have scouts. Just sayin
Zezel
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: God Leafs Satan The Oneness, ON
Joined: 02.28.2011

Jan 15 @ 8:04 PM ET
Too funny. No "second half surge", only...


- babcockblows

Yeah for the Leafs' opponents.

Archangel is the lamest character in the Marvel Universe. Maybe the lamest character in the actual universe.
Thecakeisalie
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Imagine something funny
Joined: 01.27.2010

Jan 15 @ 8:06 PM ET
That is why teams have scouts. Just sayin
- bixll


Well I'm not a scout and I don't think Burn is either, so that doesn't help our pointless internet argument. ...Unless you are a scout and want to tell us if Martin is still good or a declining piece of garbage? We need this settled or neither of us will ever be able to move on with our lives!
Thecakeisalie
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Imagine something funny
Joined: 01.27.2010

Jan 15 @ 8:10 PM ET
Yeah for the Leafs' opponents.

Archangel is the lamest character in the Marvel Universe. Maybe the lamest character in the actual universe.

- Zezel



I thought his avatar was Babcock in his exercise clothes! So does this mean Babcock's favorite colors aren't red and blue? Now I regret sending him that knitted sweater.
babcockblows
Location: Toronto
Joined: 07.11.2015

Jan 15 @ 8:11 PM ET
Yeah for the Leafs' opponents.

Archangel is the lamest character in the Marvel Universe. Maybe the lamest character in the actual universe.

- Zezel


Coming from, Kool-Aid man. Gotcha.
Thecakeisalie
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Imagine something funny
Joined: 01.27.2010

Jan 15 @ 8:15 PM ET
Coming from, Kool-Aid man. Gotcha.
- babcockblows


Kool-Aid man is hardcore. Can Archangel break through concrete walls?



I didn't think so.
Zezel
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: God Leafs Satan The Oneness, ON
Joined: 02.28.2011

Jan 15 @ 8:17 PM ET
Coming from, Kool-Aid man. Gotcha.
- babcockblows


Kool Aid Man would run right through Archangel. Kool Aid Man can run through brick walls and dispense cool refreshing beverages. What can Archangel do? Fly over to Apocalypse's fort and suck his Richard.
Zezel
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: God Leafs Satan The Oneness, ON
Joined: 02.28.2011

Jan 15 @ 8:18 PM ET
I thought his avatar was Babcock in his exercise clothes! So does this mean Babcock's favorite colors aren't red and blue? Now I regret sending him that knitted sweater.
- Thecakeisalie

Babcock exercises naked, wearing only his Cup ring and gold medals.
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