Wanna blog? Start your own hockey blog with My HockeyBuzz. Register for free today!
 
Forums :: Blog World :: Mike Augello: Betting odds and Twitter banter
Author Message
Aetherial
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Has anyone discussed the standings today?
Joined: 06.30.2006

Oct 21 @ 10:25 AM ET
If anything, at least this horrible beginning to the season will prove once and for all that having a good corsi doesn't mean you're playing well...
- Scabeh


No matter how much evidence you present, the advanced stats guys will just alter the narrative.

The best example is either luck... every time the results belie the advanced stats, it is luck.

OR... it is sample size.

With that in mind, just remember the following equations when evaluating the advanced stats.

Advanced stats - reality = Luck + you don't understand

Appropriate Sample Size = Sample Size where Advanced Stats fail + 1
Woderwick
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: David Clarkson's Water Bottle, ON
Joined: 02.12.2013

Oct 21 @ 11:03 AM ET
[quote=nbboy]
$120, $35, $75, $5 (5 x $1)
Canada Cup
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Not here to sell jerseys , ON
Joined: 07.06.2007

Oct 21 @ 11:06 AM ET
Your location deserves mention in Eks blog - #tannerdotes
- Aussiepenguin



Maybe Habs hire him when they dump Bergevan
winsix
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Henry Hudson's Fairchild 24 South Porcupine
Joined: 04.03.2016

Oct 21 @ 11:27 AM ET
Sens are a very underrated team.

I think this is because of all the comedy around their franchise and the fact that everyone (except Spaz-Doops) knows that last year's playoff run was largely because of injuries to their opponents and a lot of puck luck on their part.

But, they are a good team. When everything is clicking, they can beat anyone in the league. They have the best Dman in the league, a goalie who can stone teams at times and a couple very good forwards

They don't look to be deep enough at either forward or defense to be a real contender over the long haul and they are very much in "win now" mode.

- Aetherial


I agree they are underrated - and I would agree that they are really not equipped to beat top teams. Turris will want at least $6 to $7 million over term and that will put the squeeze on Eugene to cough up $10 million or more a year for Karlsson after next year. In my opinion, bias aside, they are in deep sh!t.
weirdoh
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 07.09.2006

Oct 21 @ 11:52 AM ET
Hey friends and Fruitcake.
Santo_44
Toronto Maple Leafs
Joined: 10.20.2014

Oct 21 @ 12:13 PM ET
No matter how much evidence you present, the advanced stats guys will just alter the narrative.

The best example is either luck... every time the results belie the advanced stats, it is luck.

OR... it is sample size.

With that in mind, just remember the following equations when evaluating the advanced stats.

Advanced stats - reality = Luck + you don't understand

Appropriate Sample Size = Sample Size where Advanced Stats fail + 1

- Aetherial


I think you do have to read into them a bit. But the way people rely on advanced stats as the only way of judging players/teams is crazy

Zezel
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: God Leafs Satan The Oneness, ON
Joined: 02.28.2011

Oct 21 @ 12:18 PM ET
I don't take so Marchand's tweet as making fun of the Matthews hype, it seems more like giving props to the kid. Or maybe a little bit of both. At any rate, hopefully it gives the Leafs extra motivation to mangle the Bruins when they play them.

Lol @ Habs

6-1 Leafs against the Spatsos tonight.
SofaKingBored
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Halifax, NS
Joined: 10.13.2006

Oct 21 @ 12:19 PM ET
6-1 Leafs against the Spatsos tonight.
- Zezel


That would be splendid... but I'll be happy with 2 points whatever the score is
Woderwick
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: David Clarkson's Water Bottle, ON
Joined: 02.12.2013

Oct 21 @ 12:21 PM ET
I don't take so Marchand's tweet as making fun of the Matthews hype, it seems more like giving props to the kid. Or maybe a little bit of both. At any rate, hopefully it gives the Leafs extra motivation to mangle the Bruins when they play them.

Lol @ Habs

6-1 Leafs against the Spatsos tonight.

- Zezel

You think so? First impression - he's a Richard, 2nd - same, 37th ditto.
Zezel
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: God Leafs Satan The Oneness, ON
Joined: 02.28.2011

Oct 21 @ 12:21 PM ET
That would be splendid... but I'll be happy with 2 points whatever the score is
- SofaKingBored


How about 7-0 Leafs?
SofaKingBored
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Halifax, NS
Joined: 10.13.2006

Oct 21 @ 12:23 PM ET
How about 7-0 Leafs?
- Zezel


While a slaughter would be nice, it may give the young guys a big head and they'll come out flat the next game...

(frank) it, 9-1 Leafs... both Sens goalies get pulled
Zezel
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: God Leafs Satan The Oneness, ON
Joined: 02.28.2011

Oct 21 @ 12:24 PM ET
You think so? First impression - he's a Richard, 2nd - same, 37th ditto.
- Woderwick


If he is making fun, that's stupid. The hype is totally understandable, just like it was for Crosby, Malkin, etc. I wouldn't want to give the Leafs bulletin board material at this point.
Zezel
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: God Leafs Satan The Oneness, ON
Joined: 02.28.2011

Oct 21 @ 12:24 PM ET
While a slaughter would be nice, it may give the young guys a big head and they'll come out flat the next game...

(frank) it, 9-1 Leafs... both Sens goalies get pulled

- SofaKingBored


I'm feeling it
Zezel
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: God Leafs Satan The Oneness, ON
Joined: 02.28.2011

Oct 21 @ 12:27 PM ET
I meant to say Ovechkin not Malkin. What does Marchand expect, Matthews is a marquee draw in the biggest market, of course there's gonna be a lot of coverage.
david22
Ottawa Senators
Joined: 04.15.2008

Oct 21 @ 12:34 PM ET
I don't take so Marchand's tweet as making fun of the Matthews hype, it seems more like giving props to the kid. Or maybe a little bit of both. At any rate, hopefully it gives the Leafs extra motivation to mangle the Bruins when they play them.

Lol @ Habs

6-1 Leafs against the Spatsos tonight.

- Zezel


4-3 Sens
SofaKingBored
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Halifax, NS
Joined: 10.13.2006

Oct 21 @ 12:40 PM ET
4-3 Sens
- david22


I hope you get explosive diarrhea before the game...
david22
Ottawa Senators
Joined: 04.15.2008

Oct 21 @ 12:42 PM ET
I hope you get explosive diarrhea before the game...
- SofaKingBored


Can I watch at your place?
Zezel
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: God Leafs Satan The Oneness, ON
Joined: 02.28.2011

Oct 21 @ 12:44 PM ET
Can I watch at your place?
- david22



But still, 10-0 Leafs.
Steven_Seagull
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Mitch Marner sucks
Joined: 03.03.2016

Oct 21 @ 12:50 PM ET
Hey friends and Fruitcake.
- weirdoh






Oh, you meant that dirty Newf.
Steven_Seagull
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Mitch Marner sucks
Joined: 03.03.2016

Oct 21 @ 12:51 PM ET


But still, 10-0 Leafs.

- Zezel



34-0 Leafs sounds lovely.
SofaKingBored
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Halifax, NS
Joined: 10.13.2006

Oct 21 @ 12:54 PM ET
Can I watch at your place?
- david22


You'd be shot or eaten before you got half way up the drive way...
Zezel
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: God Leafs Satan The Oneness, ON
Joined: 02.28.2011

Oct 21 @ 1:02 PM ET
34-0 Leafs sounds lovely.
- Steven_Seagull


Let's be realistic now, Sens might get a lucky one if the Leafs let their foot off the gas when they get up by 30
david22
Ottawa Senators
Joined: 04.15.2008

Oct 21 @ 1:04 PM ET
You'd be shot or eaten before you got half way up the drive way...
- SofaKingBored

Goodness...
Atomic Wedgie
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: The centre of the hockey universe
Joined: 07.31.2006

Oct 21 @ 1:05 PM ET
I hope you get explosive diarrhea before the game...
- SofaKingBored

In his hot tub.
Steven_Seagull
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Mitch Marner sucks
Joined: 03.03.2016

Oct 21 @ 1:10 PM ET
4-3 Sens
- david22



Just as long as Matthews scores all the Leafs’ goals, and it ends in a SO.
Page: Previous  1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37  Next