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Forums :: Blog World :: HockeyBuzz Hotstove: Metro Division breakout picks for the 2017-18 season
Author Message
DARKSEID
Location: Apokolips!
Joined: 07.31.2017

Sep 15 @ 12:24 PM ET
50 points?
- Feds91Stammer

No, 50% shooting percentage.
DeflatedPucks
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: NYC, NY
Joined: 04.29.2016

Sep 15 @ 12:25 PM ET
No, 50% shooting percentage.
- DARKSEID


yes. and allstar votes too
DARKSEID
Location: Apokolips!
Joined: 07.31.2017

Sep 15 @ 12:28 PM ET
He put up 39 points as a defenseman last year. I love Skjei but I don't think he's a breakout candidate. He already has broken out.
- ToddCordellCGY

39 points isn't a "breakout" year for a player of Skjei's caliber. Just look at what he did in the playoffs! His shooting percentage is easily sustainable. McDavid should consider himself lucky if he comes close to his point totals this year. You'll see. You'll all see (except for jimbro who has already seen).
DARKSEID
Location: Apokolips!
Joined: 07.31.2017

Sep 15 @ 12:30 PM ET
yes. and allstar votes too
- DeflatedPucks

Crosby would trade all 3 Stanley Cups to have Skjei's skill if he could.
tomburton99
New York Rangers
Location: NYR distrust, NJ
Joined: 07.13.2009

Sep 15 @ 12:34 PM ET
39 points isn't a "breakout" year for a player of Skjei's caliber. Just look at what he did in the playoffs! His shooting percentage is easily sustainable. McDavid should consider himself lucky if he comes close to his point totals this year. You'll see. You'll all see (except for jimbro who has already seen).
- DARKSEID

DARKSEID
Location: Apokolips!
Joined: 07.31.2017

Sep 15 @ 12:37 PM ET

- tomburton99

You're starting to make me gay.

I've never seen such a dominant man before.
Victoro311
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: San Diego, CA
Joined: 06.17.2014

Sep 15 @ 12:46 PM ET
He's already broken out, bro haha.

The Penguins candidates are Sprong and Aston-Rees, and since they haven't played a single period of NHL hockey yet, I wouldn't bet on them although I have full confidence in their careers.
WaterVsAnchor
San Jose Sharks
Location: Fort Collins, CO
Joined: 08.21.2009

Sep 15 @ 1:10 PM ET

- DeflatedPucks


You're a Penguins fan, I get it, but you can laugh all you want. 19.8% in the regular season, 28.6 SH% in the playoffs. That's not sustainable. That's not a knock on Guentzel, I think he's a great kid and an excellent hockey player and I am excited to see what he does this year, but you have to approach his stats realistically. Unless he starts shooting more - a lot more, his goal totals are going to go down. Unless he gets PP time, his total points are going to drift towards the mean.

This is an unbiased, factual observation.
Victoro311
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: San Diego, CA
Joined: 06.17.2014

Sep 15 @ 1:19 PM ET
You're a Penguins fan, I get it, but you can laugh all you want. 19.8% in the regular season, 28.6 SH% in the playoffs. That's not sustainable. That's not a knock on Guentzel, I think he's a great kid and an excellent hockey player and I am excited to see what he does this year, but you have to approach his stats realistically. Unless he starts shooting more - a lot more, his goal totals are going to go down. Unless he gets PP time, his total points are going to drift towards the mean.

This is an unbiased, factual observation.

- WaterVsAnchor

19.8 is like hall of famer level goal scoring tick. He'll be a 60 point per season producer but in not sure he's an all time great just yet.
Dcoms
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Chatham , ON
Joined: 06.22.2014

Sep 15 @ 1:24 PM ET
He's already broken out, bro haha.

The Penguins candidates are Sprong and Aston-Rees, and since they haven't played a single period of NHL hockey yet, I wouldn't bet on them although I have full confidence in their careers.

- Victoro311

Sprong hasn't played a single period in the NHL yet? So this was all just a dream?
[url]
Dcoms
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Chatham , ON
Joined: 06.22.2014

Sep 15 @ 1:28 PM ET
Metro breakout player this year will be Jake Guentzel who will score more than 30 goals and Daniel Sprong who will also light it up depending on where he starts which would be on Mlakins wing if I was in charge. The are only 2 20 year olds who can shoot the puck like Sprong. He and Patrick Laine.
- Dcoms




[url]
tomburton99
New York Rangers
Location: NYR distrust, NJ
Joined: 07.13.2009

Sep 15 @ 1:31 PM ET
[url]
- Dcoms

Daniel Sprong or Theon Greyjoy
BINGO!
Carolina Hurricanes
Location: I'll always remember the last words my grandfather ever told me. He said, "A Truck!", SK
Joined: 09.21.2009

Sep 15 @ 1:32 PM ET
Aho AND Darling?

For the record it looks like they're going with three scoring lines

Aho - Staal - Lindholm
Teravainen - Rask - Williams
Skinner - Ryan - Stempniak
tomburton99
New York Rangers
Location: NYR distrust, NJ
Joined: 07.13.2009

Sep 15 @ 1:33 PM ET
Aho AND Darling?

For the record it looks like they're going with three scoring lines

Aho - Staal - Lindholm
Teravainen - Rask - Williams
Skinner - Ryan - Stempniak

- BINGO!

Skinner on the 3rd line?
Victoro311
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: San Diego, CA
Joined: 06.17.2014

Sep 15 @ 1:34 PM ET
Sprong hasn't played a single period in the NHL yet? So this was all just a dream?

- Dcoms[url]

You right. Brain fart.
BINGO!
Carolina Hurricanes
Location: I'll always remember the last words my grandfather ever told me. He said, "A Truck!", SK
Joined: 09.21.2009

Sep 15 @ 1:35 PM ET
Skinner on the 3rd line?
- tomburton99


That's the line he played on when he went on that ridiculous scoring streak last year.

He'll bounce around a bit but they want to have a legitimate scoring threat on every line.

That and there's not really a 1st line there... just three 2nd lines.
SolidGoldBricks
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Robidas Island, MI
Joined: 10.30.2013

Sep 15 @ 1:36 PM ET
Aho AND Darling?

For the record it looks like they're going with three scoring lines

Aho - Staal - Lindholm
Teravainen - Rask - Williams
Skinner - Ryan - Stempniak

- BINGO!


patience is paying off in Carolina. I am excited to watch them this season.
BINGO!
Carolina Hurricanes
Location: I'll always remember the last words my grandfather ever told me. He said, "A Truck!", SK
Joined: 09.21.2009

Sep 15 @ 1:39 PM ET
patience is paying off in Carolina. I am excited to watch them this season.
- SolidGoldBricks


Best thing is going to be J.Staal actually getting some decent matchups. They're going to let Nordstrom-Kruger-McGinn/Jooris do the heavy lifting defensively
Victoro311
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: San Diego, CA
Joined: 06.17.2014

Sep 15 @ 1:43 PM ET
Best thing is going to be J.Staal actually getting some decent matchups. They're going to let Nordstrom-Kruger-McGinn/Jooris do the heavy lifting defensively
- BINGO!

Is that a good thing? Staal's the best pure shut down center in the league. I feel like if he's on my team I want him going up against #1's.
DeflatedPucks
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: NYC, NY
Joined: 04.29.2016

Sep 15 @ 1:53 PM ET
You're a Penguins fan, I get it, but you can laugh all you want. 19.8% in the regular season, 28.6 SH% in the playoffs. That's not sustainable. That's not a knock on Guentzel, I think he's a great kid and an excellent hockey player and I am excited to see what he does this year, but you have to approach his stats realistically. Unless he starts shooting more - a lot more, his goal totals are going to go down. Unless he gets PP time, his total points are going to drift towards the mean.

This is an unbiased, factual observation.

- WaterVsAnchor


I was commenting on your prediction of 45-50 pts bud not the SH%. I think he exceeds your projection.

I see 60 as a realistic possibility in a full season on Sid's wing. Assuming his assists pace remains the same from last season that should give him about 35. To hit 60 pts he would need 25 goals. If we take conservative look and assume he averages 2.025 shots per game like he did this past regular season, that works out to 166 shots overall and a SH% of ~15%. 20% might not be realistic but I think this is a fairly reasonable projection. Of course this is below his pace from last year and assumes no growth in his game.

I do believe his pp time will be going up, so if it exceeds this that might be a bonus. So yes, I am approaching this realistically
BINGO!
Carolina Hurricanes
Location: I'll always remember the last words my grandfather ever told me. He said, "A Truck!", SK
Joined: 09.21.2009

Sep 15 @ 1:53 PM ET
Is that a good thing? Staal's the best pure shut down center in the league. I feel like if he's on my team I want him going up against #1's.
- Victoro311


Think the idea is that Staal is more likely to produce with a favourable match-up than Kruger is. Plus it'll be nicer match-ups for Aho and Lindholm.
DeflatedPucks
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: NYC, NY
Joined: 04.29.2016

Sep 15 @ 1:55 PM ET
patience is paying off in Carolina. I am excited to watch them this season.
- SolidGoldBricks


That defense tho. Stacked with promise
WaterVsAnchor
San Jose Sharks
Location: Fort Collins, CO
Joined: 08.21.2009

Sep 15 @ 2:36 PM ET
I was commenting on your prediction of 45-50 pts bud not the SH%. I think he exceeds your projection.

I see 60 as a realistic possibility in a full season on Sid's wing. Assuming his assists pace remains the same from last season that should give him about 35. To hit 60 pts he would need 25 goals. If we take conservative look and assume he averages 2.025 shots per game like he did this past regular season, that works out to 166 shots overall and a SH% of ~15%. 20% might not be realistic but I think this is a fairly reasonable projection. Of course this is below his pace from last year and assumes no growth in his game.

I do believe his pp time will be going up, so if it exceeds this that might be a bonus. So yes, I am approaching this realistically

- DeflatedPucks


It's possible, but I still think 15% is a long shot. That's way above average for most players. Very few active players with a career average at or above 15% but obviously being on Crosby's wing will elevate his SH% possibilities.
Scabeh
Montreal Canadiens
Location: The Slovakian Jagr, QC
Joined: 02.25.2007

Sep 15 @ 2:45 PM ET
Hanifin and Burakovsky for me!
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

Sep 15 @ 3:07 PM ET
Andrew MacDonald's cap hit
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