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Forums :: Blog World :: Michael Pachla: Would you take a 2nd round pick for Robin Lehner?
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Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Jun 8 @ 6:48 PM ET
The high danger save percentage is the killer. 2nd last among goalies with 50 or more games played.


Greiss, who they could've had in FA that same year they acquired lehner, was fourth

- Sabresfan-365

Guys with a better GSAA per 60 over the last 3 years include Johnson, Enroth, and Neuvirth lol
Sabresfan-365
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Lockport, NY
Joined: 12.09.2012

Jun 8 @ 6:50 PM ET
Guys with a better GSAA per 60 over the last 3 years include Johnson, Enroth, and Neuvirth lol
- Feds91Stammer



i dont even necessarily think guys like johnson or greiss are better but you'd be getting close to the same results wins wise with them instead of lehner and you'd have an extra 2nd rounder (and potentially no long term deal although i dunno if he's asked for that)
Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Jun 8 @ 6:53 PM ET
i dont even necessarily think guys like johnson or greiss are better but you'd be getting close to the same results wins wise with them instead of lehner and you'd have an extra 2nd rounder (and potentially no long term deal although i dunno if he's asked for that)
- Sabresfan-365

Meh Greiss is 7th out of 58 in GSAA per 60 over the last 3 years 5v5
Michael Pachla
Buffalo Sabres
Location: solid!!!
Joined: 09.05.2007

Jun 8 @ 6:53 PM ET
The other day, carlo colaiacovo was on WGR talking to Peters and Rivet... Bylsma's system was brought up on Monday, he said something along the lines of Dan's system that he tried to implement didnt fit the players that are on the team., that they couldnt play it.
- TheSabresTaco


a lot of people saw that...and it also seemed as if he had his players going to defined spots on the ice no matter what the circumstance or what the opposition was doing...I remember commenting more than a few times that teams seemed to know exactly what the sabres were doing on any given play
Sabresfan-365
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Lockport, NY
Joined: 12.09.2012

Jun 8 @ 6:54 PM ET
Meh Greiss is 7th out of 58 in GSAA per 60 over the last 3 years 5v5
- Feds91Stammer



i wish corsica was still up cause i cant find total high danger shots faced although i figure this year lehner would be ahead of greiss.
Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Jun 8 @ 6:55 PM ET
i dont even necessarily think guys like johnson or greiss are better but you'd be getting close to the same results wins wise with them instead of lehner and you'd have an extra 2nd rounder (and potentially no long term deal although i dunno if he's asked for that)
- Sabresfan-365

I'd go hard after Raanta or Mason.
Michael Pachla
Buffalo Sabres
Location: solid!!!
Joined: 09.05.2007

Jun 8 @ 6:55 PM ET
Take a 2nd and run.

Lehner is 54th out of 58 goalies over the last 3 years with 2500+ 5v5 mins in GSAA per 60.

- Feds91Stammer

just curious...

how many times did you see him play a full game last season?

Sabresfan-365
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Lockport, NY
Joined: 12.09.2012

Jun 8 @ 6:56 PM ET
I'd go hard after Raanta or Mason.
- Feds91Stammer


mason would be a good add.
Stripes77
Referee
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Where ever Matt Ellis allows me to be, NY
Joined: 07.30.2012

Jun 8 @ 6:57 PM ET
he stopped more dangerous shots than lehner did. How is that useless?
- Sabresfan-365



But let in less dangerous ones...so again if he can't stop the basic shot (the ones you see more common) then how is he a better goaltender?

The honest question I have

Find me the 5 on 5 save percentage leaders and tell me where Lehner ranks there.

That's what I am most curious about
Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Jun 8 @ 6:58 PM ET
i wish corsica was still up cause i cant find total high danger shots faced although i figure this year lehner would be ahead of greiss.
- Sabresfan-365

I have some data I downloaded off there.

Last 3 years at 5v5

HDSA per 60

Greiss: 7.16

Lehner: 6.14
Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Jun 8 @ 6:59 PM ET
just curious...

how many times did you see him play a full game last season?

- Michael Pachla

Not often. As a DET fan I had plenty of poop hockey to watch.
Der Kaiser
Buffalo Sabres
Location: I Know Nothink ... NOTHINK!
Joined: 07.27.2007

Jun 8 @ 7:00 PM ET
I cant believe Pachla touched this third rail.

Headline perfectly formulated to draw a crowd and bring on the snark.

I salute you Michael.
Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Jun 8 @ 7:00 PM ET
But let in less dangerous ones...so again if he can't stop the basic shot (the ones you see more common) then how is he a better goaltender?

The honest question I have

Find me the 5 on 5 save percentage leaders and tell me where Lehner ranks there.

That's what I am most curious about

- Stripes77

Raw 5v5 sv% last 3 years of the aforementioned 58 goalies

Lehner ranks 34th
Sabresfan-365
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Lockport, NY
Joined: 12.09.2012

Jun 8 @ 7:02 PM ET
But let in less dangerous ones...so again if he can't stop the basic shot (the ones you see more common) then how is he a better goaltender?

The honest question I have

Find me the 5 on 5 save percentage leaders and tell me where Lehner ranks there.

That's what I am most curious about

- Stripes77



this doesnt give you an accurate picture though. if he has a high 5v5 sv% but a low high danger save percentage then hes doing what most average goalies do. stop shots they're supposed and not stopping enough difficult shots?

Stripes77
Referee
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Where ever Matt Ellis allows me to be, NY
Joined: 07.30.2012

Jun 8 @ 7:04 PM ET
this doesnt give you an accurate picture though. if he has a high 5v5 sv% but a low high danger save percentage then hes doing what most average goalies do. stop shots they're supposed and not stopping enough difficult shots?
- Sabresfan-365



If a goaltender can't stop a common shot which in Greiss he had to let in more of those since he had such a high percentage of saves in "dangerous areas" but an overall save percentage much lower than Lehner's than how can you say he is better overall?
SRam19
Vancouver Canucks
Location: Messier the Greatest Canucks Captain
Joined: 02.12.2015

Jun 8 @ 7:06 PM ET
I'd bash you for taco assualt, but that's a vegetarian taco, so by all means..
- TheSabresTaco


That Taco doesn't even have sour cream or salsa. Thats a Fake!
Hatboro_Swords
Buffalo Sabres
Location: WE'RE PRACTICING THE POWER PLAY!, PA
Joined: 07.30.2010

Jun 8 @ 7:06 PM ET
mason would be a good add.
- Sabresfan-365

Please tell me you're not talking about Steve Mason. Dude is a complete head case. Don't believe me? Take your drivel to the Flyers' thread and see what they think.
Stripes77
Referee
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Where ever Matt Ellis allows me to be, NY
Joined: 07.30.2012

Jun 8 @ 7:07 PM ET
I cant believe Pachla touched this third rail.

Headline perfectly formulated to draw a crowd and bring on the snark.

I salute you Michael.

- Der Kaiser



Almost Garth like but you know there's a complete thought and proper english in there
Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Jun 8 @ 7:09 PM ET
If a goaltender can't stop a common shot which in Greiss he had to let in more of those since he had such a high percentage of saves in "dangerous areas" but an overall save percentage much lower than Lehner's than how can you say he is better overall?
- Stripes77

Low danger shots occur more often so a goalie that is stronger in that category could potentially have a better overall save percentage than a goalie that is stronger in medium and high danger shots.
Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Jun 8 @ 7:10 PM ET
Please tell me you're not talking about Steve Mason. Dude is a complete head case. Don't believe me? Take your drivel to the Flyers' thread and see what they think.
- Hatboro_Swords

Yeah because Philly fans are known for logic and common sense...
Michael Pachla
Buffalo Sabres
Location: solid!!!
Joined: 09.05.2007

Jun 8 @ 7:10 PM ET
I cant believe Pachla touched this third rail.

Headline perfectly formulated to draw a crowd and bring on the snark.

I salute you Michael.

- Der Kaiser






Sabresfan-365
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Lockport, NY
Joined: 12.09.2012

Jun 8 @ 7:11 PM ET
If a goaltender can't stop a common shot which in Greiss he had to let in more of those since he had such a high percentage of saves in "dangerous areas" but an overall save percentage much lower than Lehner's than how can you say he is better overall?
- Stripes77



im not saying greiss is perfect the question pachla posed is that if we were offered a 2nd for him would you do it. I would because if you did that and signed a FA goalie (like they could have that summer with greiss) how different would the results really be? my guess is not that much and you'd have an extra 2nd.
Sabresfan-365
Buffalo Sabres
Location: Lockport, NY
Joined: 12.09.2012

Jun 8 @ 7:11 PM ET
Please tell me you're not talking about Steve Mason. Dude is a complete head case. Don't believe me? Take your drivel to the Flyers' thread and see what they think.
- Hatboro_Swords



if im going to take drivel into the flyers thread its going to be 07 draft related. I could get 20 pages easy out of that
Mentalorgasm5
Buffalo Sabres
Location: "F-" Robert, NY
Joined: 06.29.2007

Jun 8 @ 7:12 PM ET
Wow. So goalies who late in soft goals, or a shot from a less dangerous area are better goalies because they saved more from higher dangerous areas? That literally makes no sense.
Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Jun 8 @ 7:13 PM ET
Wow. So goalies who late in soft goals, or a shot from a less dangerous area are better goalies because they saved more from higher dangerous areas? That literally makes no sense.
- Mentalorgasm5

Yeah nobody said that. I feel like there is a vast misunderstanding of how percentages work here.
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