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Forums :: Blog World :: Ryan Wilson: Another injury may force trade + Breakdown of Penguins brilliant 5v3 setup
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Rinosaur
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Somewhere, NJ
Joined: 01.21.2016

Feb 22 @ 6:14 PM ET
Hero charts, Radar charts, corsica similarity calculator say they are extremely similar.
- Feds91Stammer


Then it must be true...
Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Feb 22 @ 6:14 PM ET
Gotta disagree with you there, pahtnah. I don't even think it's close.
- Rinosaur

Other than age and contracts what is vastly different?
Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Feb 22 @ 6:15 PM ET
Then it must be true...
- Rinosaur

No way the results from events that actually occurred could be true...
Rinosaur
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Somewhere, NJ
Joined: 01.21.2016

Feb 22 @ 6:16 PM ET
Other than age and contracts what is vastly different?
- Feds91Stammer


I know Shattenkirk is surrounded by better players in STL, but IMO he's better at creating offense.

EDIT: I think Green, while he rounded out his game nicely, isn't as sound defensively as Shattenkirk.
Rinosaur
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Somewhere, NJ
Joined: 01.21.2016

Feb 22 @ 6:17 PM ET
No way the results from events that actually occurred could be true...
- Feds91Stammer


Sorry, didn't mean to be a smarta$$. I think advanced stats are very good at painting a general picture of a player, but I just don't think it shows how a player thinks the game, makes decisions, etc...
Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Feb 22 @ 6:18 PM ET
I know Shattenkirk is surrounded by better players in STL, but IMO he's better at creating offense.
- Rinosaur

Based on what?
Rinosaur
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Somewhere, NJ
Joined: 01.21.2016

Feb 22 @ 6:19 PM ET
Based on what?
- Feds91Stammer


Well... points for one. Those are pretty good stats.
Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Feb 22 @ 6:20 PM ET
Well... points for one. Those are pretty good stats.
- Rinosaur

Like the ones that show Green produces at a higher 5v5 primary point rate?
Rinosaur
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Somewhere, NJ
Joined: 01.21.2016

Feb 22 @ 6:21 PM ET
Like the ones that show Green produces at a higher 5v5 primary point rate?
- Feds91Stammer


Rate is fine and definitely a solid stat to look at, but Shattenkirk will finish with more points than Green.
Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Feb 22 @ 6:22 PM ET
Rate is fine and definitely a solid stat to look at, but Shattenkirk will finish with more points than Green.
- Rinosaur

Green has more 5v5 points than Shattenkirk as of today.
Rinosaur
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Somewhere, NJ
Joined: 01.21.2016

Feb 22 @ 6:24 PM ET
Green has more 5v5 points than Shattenkirk as of today.
- Feds91Stammer


Shattenkirk = .70 points-per-game
Green = .52 points-per-game

5v5 isn't the whole story. Shattenkirk will score more than Green. Pretty simple.
Rinosaur
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Somewhere, NJ
Joined: 01.21.2016

Feb 22 @ 6:27 PM ET
Shattenkirk is on pace for 57 points
Green is on pace for 37 points

20 points is quite a significant difference.
Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Feb 22 @ 6:27 PM ET
Shattenkirk = .70 points-per-game
Green = .52 points-per-game

5v5 isn't the whole story. Shattenkirk will score more than Green. Pretty simple.

- Rinosaur

PP%

STL: 21.3%

DET: 12.3%

Specialty teams success is largely based on systems/coaching and you already said Shattenkirk is surrounded by better players. So yes you can look at point totals without any context if you choose to do so. Also Shattenkirk only has 4 more primary points than Green.
Rinosaur
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Somewhere, NJ
Joined: 01.21.2016

Feb 22 @ 6:28 PM ET
PP%

STL: 21.3%

DET: 12.3%

Specialty teams success is largely based on systems/coaching and you already said Shattenkirk is surrounded by better players. So yes you can look at point totals without any context if you choose to do so. Also Shattenkirk only has 4 more primary points than Green.

- Feds91Stammer


Now, I'm not saying Green isn't a good PP player, but do you think that MAYBE Shattenkrik is a big reason why their PP is so good?
Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Feb 22 @ 6:29 PM ET
Shattenkirk is on pace for 57 points
Green is on pace for 37 points

20 points is quite a significant difference.

- Rinosaur

Simple point per game rates come out to a 15 point difference over 82 games.
Rinosaur
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Somewhere, NJ
Joined: 01.21.2016

Feb 22 @ 6:30 PM ET
Simple point per game rates come out to a 15 point difference over 82 games.
- Feds91Stammer


Well, we can re-visit that at the end of the season, but I'm willing to bet plenty of money that Shattenkirk will still come out significantly ahead... barring a major injury of course.
nelson911
Pittsburgh Penguins
Joined: 02.03.2007

Feb 22 @ 6:31 PM ET
PP%

STL: 21.3%

DET: 12.3%

Specialty teams success is largely based on systems/coaching and you already said Shattenkirk is surrounded by better players. So yes you can look at point totals without any context if you choose to do so. Also Shattenkirk only has 4 more primary points than Green.

- Feds91Stammer

Maybe Shattenkirk is a better passer, maybe hes just better for the power play...

He plays less minutes and churns out more points, that is why Shattenkirk is near the very top of points per 60 for dmen and Green is not. Thus Shattenkirk is not equal to Green in the eyes of most people.
Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Feb 22 @ 6:32 PM ET
Now, I'm not saying Green isn't a good PP player, but do you think that MAYBE Shattenkrik is a big reason why their PP is so good?
- Rinosaur

Nope. When you enlarge the sample size their 5v4 P160 is much closer. Shattenkirk is better still but overall they are still extremely similar players.
Rinosaur
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Somewhere, NJ
Joined: 01.21.2016

Feb 22 @ 6:34 PM ET
Nope. When you enlarge the sample size their 5v4 P160 is much closer. Shattenkirk is better still but overall they are still extremely similar players.
- Feds91Stammer


This is the point where you start adjusting all these advanced stats to tailor your argument. They definitely have similar styles, but Shattenkirk is just better.
Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Feb 22 @ 6:35 PM ET
Well, we can re-visit that at the end of the season, but I'm willing to bet plenty of money that Shattenkirk will still come out significantly ahead... barring a major injury of course.
- Rinosaur

re-visit what?
Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Feb 22 @ 6:37 PM ET
This is the point where you start adjusting all these advanced stats to tailor your argument. They definitely have similar styles, but Shattenkirk is just better.
- Rinosaur

I'm not adjusting anything.
Rinosaur
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Somewhere, NJ
Joined: 01.21.2016

Feb 22 @ 6:37 PM ET
re-visit what?
- Feds91Stammer


the final point total
Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Feb 22 @ 6:40 PM ET
the final point total
- Rinosaur

For what purpose?
Rinosaur
Pittsburgh Penguins
Location: Somewhere, NJ
Joined: 01.21.2016

Feb 22 @ 6:40 PM ET
For what purpose?
- Feds91Stammer


Um... are you trying to start the conversation over? lol
Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Feb 22 @ 6:44 PM ET
Um... are you trying to start the conversation over? lol
- Rinosaur

No but you are willing to bet and revisit a stat that was never argued and that is contextually unequal.
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