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Forums :: Blog World :: HockeyBuzz Hotstove: Hotstove: Thoughts On The Crouse Trade Between The Panthers & Coyotes?
Author Message
rangerdanger94
New York Rangers
Location: NY
Joined: 05.23.2010

Aug 26 @ 12:34 PM ET

- bulet13

Kassian 2.0
Tumbleweed
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: avid reader of the daily douche news
Joined: 03.14.2014

Aug 26 @ 12:36 PM ET
The guy did rank Nylander 1 and Marner 6. Are you saying he has no idea what he's talking about and those rankings for those guys are wrong?
- rangerdanger94


I am more just not interested in what he has to say.

Only thing I was pointing out was guys like Mathews, keller etc. don’t belong on a team ranking from feb 11.
WhiteLie
Referee
Location: When youre 7 pages behind Dont bother catching up, you will never get that time back - Codes1087
Joined: 07.26.2010

Aug 26 @ 12:37 PM ET
I like how people talk about how Arizona is making a mockery of the Salary cap but they're actual salaries they'll pay this year are higher than both Carolina and New Jersey.

Anyway, I've said too much.

- BINGO!


I dont think that includes not paying Datsyuk and whatever they may save with Bolland, which would put them very close to Carolina. My whole thing is that I hate seeing the Oakland A's make a run and then demolish their roster and sell off for prospects because they dont want to pay guys, I dont think its a mockery of anything. It is smart to capitalize on your assets, I just wouldnt appreciate that tactic as a fan hoping to see the team be competitive but a big chunk of your cap that is supposed to allow you to be competitive is tied up with dead money
rangerdanger94
New York Rangers
Location: NY
Joined: 05.23.2010

Aug 26 @ 12:37 PM ET
I am more just not interested in what he has to say.

Only thing I was pointing out was guys like Mathews, keller etc. don’t belong on a team ranking from feb 11.

- Tumbleweed

Gotcha. Is there an more recent list like this somewhere? From any media outlet?
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Aug 26 @ 12:40 PM ET
Because LTIR isn't that easy.
- Feds91Stammer



Florida is 9M under the cap, so it wouldn't be that hard for them. Technically, he wouldn't be on LTIR anyway. If Florida was a cap team, then I could see the difficulties of doing the LTIR cap dance with off season cap rules, being an issue.
Tumbleweed
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: avid reader of the daily douche news
Joined: 03.14.2014

Aug 26 @ 12:44 PM ET
Gotcha. Is there an more recent list like this somewhere? From any media outlet?
- rangerdanger94


here's one from a completely unbiased site

http://www.pensionplanpup...ted-nhl-prospects-ranking
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Aug 26 @ 12:46 PM ET
There is basically no risk from the Coyotes side. While 11th overall was a classic example of big, powerforward going too high in the draft, I think Crouse is being underrated by a lot of people in the complete opposite fashion.

Fact is, he may or may not ever make the NHL - but that's irrelevant.

Just based on the POTENTIAL that he can be a late-blooming 6'4 monster is enough to make the risk/reward of this trade favorable for the Coyotes.

If he makes the NHL at all as a regular, he's worth a 2nd a 3rd easily.

If he ends up being a top 9 player, then you have basically hit a double. Anything over 20 goals and it's a homerun.

For a small amount of cash and cap space that is essentially irrelevant, as well as two picks (one of which is Detroit's and the other of which they can easily recoup for a vet at the deadline later this year) the team with the deepest prospect pool in hockey can easily afford the risk of this trade.

The reward could be great. Because, even though players of LC's profile don't tend to live up to their draft-position/hype, a 6'4 220 lbs player who can skate at the NHL level does could always turn into something.

Assuming the OHL and WHL are roughly equal leagues, both Crouse and Lucic went from scoring about one in ever four games in their first season to one in every two by their last.

If there is even a 1% chance that Crouse becomes a Lucic, then this move is a no-brainer for the Coyotes.

- James_Tanner



No chance that the 2nd or 3rd round pick the Yotes gave up could wind up a "Lucic". What about if Bolland gets healthy and wants to play again? Any chance of that?
Garnie
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: ON
Joined: 11.30.2009

Aug 26 @ 12:48 PM ET
Bust for busted, sounds even to me!!!!
Xizord
Montreal Canadiens
Location: I am Eklund, QC
Joined: 01.03.2007

Aug 26 @ 12:51 PM ET
Vesey is a top 5 prospect in the nhl.

Crouse is not.

It should be about vesey.

- Tumbleweed


whos Vesey ?
Tumbleweed
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: avid reader of the daily douche news
Joined: 03.14.2014

Aug 26 @ 12:53 PM ET
whos Vesey ?
- Xizord


Ask garf
bulet13
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Faceoffs, Plus/Minus, and PIMs...the Holy Trinity, TX
Joined: 03.10.2013

Aug 26 @ 12:55 PM ET
here's one from a completely unbiased site

http://www.pensionplanpup...ted-nhl-prospects-ranking

- Tumbleweed


its not bad but there is definitely a bias towards players drafted this year
Top_Shelf_Shot
Joined: 02.16.2016

Aug 26 @ 12:56 PM ET
Someone said there is no chance a Lucic like player gets taken with the second rounder given up- why not? Lucic actually WAS a second rounder obtained when the Bruins traded Samsonov to the Oilers. Marchand was a second rounder too. It is a bit rare to have true impact players picked in round two but certainly possible.
bulet13
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Faceoffs, Plus/Minus, and PIMs...the Holy Trinity, TX
Joined: 03.10.2013

Aug 26 @ 12:58 PM ET
Someone said there is no chance a Lucic like player gets taken with the second rounder given up- why not? Lucic actually WAS a second rounder obtained when the Bruins traded Samsonov to the Oilers. Marchand was a second rounder too. It is a bit rare to have true impact players picked in round two but certainly possible.
- Top_Shelf_Shot


no one is denying that a second rounder can turn into a good player we're just saying its less likely and why not trade 2 3rd rounders for someone you think has a reasonable shot at an nhl role
Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Aug 26 @ 1:06 PM ET
Florida is 9M under the cap, so it wouldn't be that hard for them. Technically, he wouldn't be on LTIR anyway. If Florida was a cap team, then I could see the difficulties of doing the LTIR cap dance with off season cap rules, being an issue.
- MJL

He would be on LTIR it just wouldn't provide any relief. However moving him know helps for next season when Smith and Ekblad's extensions kick in as well as Huberdeau, Pysyk, and Petrovic's new deals.
Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Aug 26 @ 1:07 PM ET
here's one from a completely unbiased site

http://www.pensionplanpup...ted-nhl-prospects-ranking

- Tumbleweed

Not a terrible list
Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Aug 26 @ 1:08 PM ET
No chance that the 2nd or 3rd round pick the Yotes gave up could wind up a "Lucic". What about if Bolland gets healthy and wants to play again? Any chance of that?
- MJL

Do some research man
bulet13
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Faceoffs, Plus/Minus, and PIMs...the Holy Trinity, TX
Joined: 03.10.2013

Aug 26 @ 1:10 PM ET
Do some research man
- Feds91Stammer


that's too hard. that's why I let you do all the research for me
Feds91Stammer
Detroit Red Wings
Location: "China was as proactive as possible" - Rinosaur, SC
Joined: 02.01.2012

Aug 26 @ 1:10 PM ET
Someone said there is no chance a Lucic like player gets taken with the second rounder given up- why not? Lucic actually WAS a second rounder obtained when the Bruins traded Samsonov to the Oilers. Marchand was a second rounder too. It is a bit rare to have true impact players picked in round two but certainly possible.
- Top_Shelf_Shot

A 2nd round pick doesn't have all that much of a higher probability to make it to the NHL than a 7th round pick.
bulet13
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Faceoffs, Plus/Minus, and PIMs...the Holy Trinity, TX
Joined: 03.10.2013

Aug 26 @ 1:12 PM ET
A 2nd round pick doesn't have all that much of a higher probability to make it to the NHL than a 7th round pick.
- Feds91Stammer


probability is for boneheads and bruinsiak
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Aug 26 @ 1:15 PM ET
He would be on LTIR it just wouldn't provide any relief. However moving him know helps for next season when Smith and Ekblad's extensions kick in as well as Huberdeau, Pysyk, and Petrovic's new deals.
- Feds91Stammer



He would be on regular IR, not LTIR. LTIR is only used in situations where replacing the player, would put a team over the upper limit. LTIR doesn't exist when a team is under the upper limit. A team using LTIR is essentially over the Upper Limit and not banking cap space. A team must use all of it's cap space under the Upper Limit before qualifying for the LTIR exemption which is what it is, an exemption to go over the Upper Limit to replace an injured player.

True, moving the Bolland contract could help them in future years.
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Aug 26 @ 1:17 PM ET
Do some research man
- Feds91Stammer



LOL. You crack me up.
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Aug 26 @ 1:21 PM ET
A 2nd round pick doesn't have all that much of a higher probability to make it to the NHL than a 7th round pick.
- Feds91Stammer



Did you research this? A player drafted in the 2nd round has about a 44% chance of making the NHL. A player in the 7th round has about a 20% or less chance. That's a significant difference.
rangerdanger94
New York Rangers
Location: NY
Joined: 05.23.2010

Aug 26 @ 1:21 PM ET
here's one from a completely unbiased site

http://www.pensionplanpup...ted-nhl-prospects-ranking

- Tumbleweed

Hmmm I do not like some of these rankings, therefore this list is wrong
rangerdanger94
New York Rangers
Location: NY
Joined: 05.23.2010

Aug 26 @ 1:22 PM ET
Did you research this? A player drafted in the 2nd round has about a 44% chance of making the NHL. A player in the 7th round has about a 20% or less chance. That's a significant difference.
- MJL

What's the difference between a 3rd rounder and a 7th?
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

Aug 26 @ 1:23 PM ET
What's the difference between a 3rd rounder and a 7th?
- rangerdanger94



Somewhere around 15%
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