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Forums :: Blog World :: Bill Meltzer: Quick Hits: Memorial Cup, '97 & 2010 ECF Final Clinchers
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Feanor
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: DE
Joined: 02.13.2013

May 26 @ 10:12 AM ET
I feel like an idiot.

I feel like Morin, who everyone is high on, is basically maybe a slightly more offensive Gudbranson.

- J35Bacher


Morin being a better skater is probably more important.

Starting in the NHL as a 19 year old probably didn't help Gudbranson's development, either.
Feanor
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: DE
Joined: 02.13.2013

May 26 @ 10:15 AM ET
No need to straw-man Yost because no one even said what he has said about this trade, but don't let facts get in the way of that narrative
- AllInForFlyers


His take was as hot as lava.

@travisyost: Stay at home defender Erik Gudbranson's shots against impact comparable to Jared Cowen and Nate Guenin. He's not who you think he is.

@travisyost: Here's a free tip: Vancouver loses that trade. Just like the last eight and probably the next seven. Just absolutely lost.
J35Bacher
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 04.03.2014

May 26 @ 10:16 AM ET
Morin being a better skater is probably more important.

Starting in the NHL as a 19 year old probably didn't help Gudbranson's development, either.

- Feanor



He is maybe slightly better. But it's not like Morin is Provorov in skating ability.

I just think Morin and Gudbranson are closer in comparables than people think. but people are high on Morin and think Gudbranson is overrated.
Tomahawk
Ottawa Senators
Location: Driver's Seat: Mitch Marner bandwagon. Grab 'em by the Corsi.
Joined: 02.04.2009

May 26 @ 10:17 AM ET
He is maybe slightly better. But it's not like Morin is Provorov in skating ability.

I just think Morin and Gudbranson are closer in comparables than people think. but people are high on Morin and think Gudbranson is overrated.

- J35Bacher


I believe the people who feel Benning paid too much for Gud are likely the same people who have more realistic expectations of Morin -- they're not the Morin = Pronger people.
AllInForFlyers
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Call Me Sweetcheeks
Joined: 03.18.2013

May 26 @ 10:18 AM ET
His take was as hot as lava.

@travisyost: Stay at home defender Erik Gudbranson's shots against impact comparable to Jared Cowen and Nate Guenin. He's not who you think he is.

@travisyost: Here's a free tip: Vancouver loses that trade. Just like the last eight and probably the next seven. Just absolutely lost.

- Feanor


I didn't know he had said that, but that's awesome -- and I am totally stealing your "hot as lava" for my own personal use
YuenglingJagr
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: under the bridge
Joined: 10.05.2015

May 26 @ 10:19 AM ET
He is maybe slightly better. But it's not like Morin is Provorov in skating ability.

I just think Morin and Gudbranson are closer in comparables than people think. but people are high on Morin and think Gudbranson is overrated.

- J35Bacher


But what makes you say that besides EG being known as a defensive defenseman, Morin being touted as a defensive defenseman, and the fact that they are both above average in size?
jmatchett383
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Newark, DE
Joined: 03.09.2010

May 26 @ 10:22 AM ET
He is maybe slightly better. But it's not like Morin is Provorov in skating ability.

I just think Morin and Gudbranson are closer in comparables than people think. but people are high on Morin and think Gudbranson is overrated.

- J35Bacher


You'll never confuse Morin's skating for Ghost or Provorov's skating. But honestly, a better skating and nastier Gudbranson (not that he doesn't have a mean streak) who focuses on the defensive aspect would be okay with me. Gudbranson seemed like he was drafted based on size, where as Morin was drafted on size and potential. The Flyers have also shown some real patience with him to let him develop, as opposed to Gudbranson who was thrown to the wolves.
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

May 26 @ 10:24 AM ET
You'll never confuse Morin's skating for Ghost or Provorov's skating. But honestly, a better skating and nastier Gudbranson (not that he doesn't have a mean streak) who focuses on the defensive aspect would be okay with me. Gudbranson seemed like he was drafted based on size, where as Morin was drafted on size and potential. The Flyers have also shown some real patience with him to let him develop, as opposed to Gudbranson who was thrown to the wolves.
- jmatchett383



I don't know for a fact, but I think that's it possible that Gudbranson's contract demands could be a factor in this deal.
YuenglingJagr
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: under the bridge
Joined: 10.05.2015

May 26 @ 10:25 AM ET
Preventing goals is just as important as generating them. Playing defense, even if it doesn't directly result in offense, definitely contributes to that. It's about needs, and what each team feels they need.
- MJL


And where is the evidence that he is good at preventing goals...neither really matter as much as the difference between them, and for his lack of offense I don't think his defense is good enough to support the value that was placed on him.

This trades closest comparable is probably Schenn/JVR
AllInForFlyers
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Call Me Sweetcheeks
Joined: 03.18.2013

May 26 @ 10:26 AM ET
He is maybe slightly better. But it's not like Morin is Provorov in skating ability.

I just think Morin and Gudbranson are closer in comparables than people think. but people are high on Morin and think Gudbranson is overrated.

- J35Bacher


See, who are "people?" I don't know who that is

I always say this about prospects: All prospects are suspects until they make it, and I know I make it clear that not only do I no longer have time to watch junior hockey anymore, for the first time in years I didn't watch the Phantoms play once last season

I have watched Gudbranson play numerous times over the years, for good Panthers teams and bad, and you don't even need analystics to realize where his limitations are

But I know I never compared anyone to Morin, or are too high or too low on him, because I haven't seen him play enough
YuenglingJagr
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: under the bridge
Joined: 10.05.2015

May 26 @ 10:27 AM ET
I don't know for a fact, but I think that's it possible that Gudbranson's contract demands could be a factor in this deal.
- MJL


I am sure it is, but that only makes getting fleeced on a trade for him even worse. Bottom line is the Panthers recognized that he either was not a part of their future or he was not worth what he thought he was to them. They got fantastic value for someone they no longer wanted
sjk540
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Hoboken, NJ
Joined: 01.28.2016

May 26 @ 10:30 AM ET
I disagree.
- Streit2ThePoint


ashame
Scoob
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: love is love
Joined: 06.29.2006

May 26 @ 10:30 AM ET
His take was as hot as lava.

@travisyost: Stay at home defender Erik Gudbranson's shots against impact comparable to Jared Cowen and Nate Guenin. He's not who you think he is.

@travisyost: Here's a free tip: Vancouver loses that trade. Just like the last eight and probably the next seven. Just absolutely lost.

- Feanor


#fancystats folks are turning hockey into baseball and I'm going to puke.

Some #fancystats people are also very smug.
Feanor
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: DE
Joined: 02.13.2013

May 26 @ 10:31 AM ET
He is maybe slightly better. But it's not like Morin is Provorov in skating ability.

I just think Morin and Gudbranson are closer in comparables than people think. but people are high on Morin and think Gudbranson is overrated.

- J35Bacher


The gif's no longer working but you might remember it from a year ago - Morin catching Duclair from behind on a breakaway.

http://www.hockeybuzz.com/blog.php?post_id=68556
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

May 26 @ 10:32 AM ET
And where is the evidence that he is good at preventing goals...neither really matter as much as the difference between them, and for his lack of offense I don't think his defense is good enough to support the value that was placed on him.

This trades closest comparable is probably Schenn/JVR

- YuenglingJagr



NHL teams consider how the pieces will fit together, to mold a team. I don't think Gudbranson is a star, but Vancouver obviously thinks they have a need for a top 4 defenseman, with size. Ultimately, how all the pieces fit together to form a team, is what matters. Not what each individual player's hero chart looks like, based on bad data.

JVR was far more of an established NHL player than McCann is, so I don't think that's a great comparable.
MJL
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Candyland, PA
Joined: 09.20.2007

May 26 @ 10:33 AM ET
I am sure it is, but that only makes getting fleeced on a trade for him even worse. Bottom line is the Panthers recognized that he either was not a part of their future or he was not worth what he thought he was to them. They got fantastic value for someone they no longer wanted
- YuenglingJagr



It's not a fact that anyone got fleeced on the trade. It remains to be seen how that "fantastic" value works out.
AllInForFlyers
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Call Me Sweetcheeks
Joined: 03.18.2013

May 26 @ 10:34 AM ET
#fancystats folks are turning hockey into baseball and I'm going to puke.

Some #fancystats people are also very smug.

- Scoob


No need for that -- either Gudbranson plays well for Vancouver, or not

Stats can't ruin a sport no faster or more thoroughly than some grizzled scout saying "Pick Player X because they play hard, etc."

At the end of the day, both are opinions based off metrics each holds to be true
Scoob
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: love is love
Joined: 06.29.2006

May 26 @ 10:36 AM ET
No need for that -- either Gudbranson plays well for Vancouver, or not
- AllInForFlyers


Nope. Yost said he won't and Vancouver lost. Case closed.
AllInForFlyers
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Call Me Sweetcheeks
Joined: 03.18.2013

May 26 @ 10:38 AM ET
Nope. Yost said he won't and Vancouver lost. Case closed.
- Scoob


Ha! Well, he has to own that, for better or worse
Tomahawk
Ottawa Senators
Location: Driver's Seat: Mitch Marner bandwagon. Grab 'em by the Corsi.
Joined: 02.04.2009

May 26 @ 10:41 AM ET
No need for that -- either Gudbranson plays well for Vancouver, or not

Stats can't ruin a sport no faster or more thoroughly than some grizzled scout saying "Pick Player X because they play hard, etc."

At the end of the day, both are opinions based off metrics each holds to be true

- AllInForFlyers


But... but... progress frightens me.
Feanor
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: DE
Joined: 02.13.2013

May 26 @ 10:44 AM ET
Dreger never missed an opportunity to poop on Luke Schenn but loves him some Gudbranson.

http://www.todaysslapshot...one-in-terms-of-shopping/

Dreger:
to get quality players, you’ve got to be willing to give up quality assets – and that’s what Benning has done in acquiring Gudbranson. This guy is a Top-4 NHL defenseman. He’s got enormous size. He’s, again, age-like in terms of Ben Hutton, so the development of that blueline is going to happen simultaneously, which was important.

“It’s not going to be easy to do, but at least now he’s got certainty in Gudbranson coming to the Vancouver Canucks, as opposed to the ongoing negotiations with Dan Hamhuis, if you will. There’s whispers and rumors about maybe Kris Russell going into the free agent pool, leaving the Dallas Stars, and Vancouver having interest there.

“Now at least he has a sure piece that he paid a premium price for, but he’s got that piece.”
AllInForFlyers
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Call Me Sweetcheeks
Joined: 03.18.2013

May 26 @ 10:45 AM ET
But... but... progress frightens me.
- Tomahawk


One thing is for sure: I am curious to see who Gudbranson plays with out there
Streit2ThePoint
Seattle Kraken
Location: it's disgusting how good you are at hockeybuzz.
Joined: 09.20.2013

May 26 @ 10:46 AM ET
ashame
- sjk540


You cannot say they would win 100% because you cannot predict the past.
J35Bacher
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Philadelphia, PA
Joined: 04.03.2014

May 26 @ 10:48 AM ET
I don't know for a fact, but I think that's it possible that Gudbranson's contract demands could be a factor in this deal.
- MJL



Could that be something that comes up with Schenn?

AllInForFlyers
Philadelphia Flyers
Location: Call Me Sweetcheeks
Joined: 03.18.2013

May 26 @ 10:51 AM ET
Dreger never missed an opportunity to poop on Luke Schenn but loves him some Gudbranson.

http://www.todaysslapshot...one-in-terms-of-shopping/

Dreger:

- Feanor


You know, that's what makes it odd -- I would very much agree that Gudbranson is more consistent on a shift-by-shift basis than Luke Schenn has been, and if someone hangs their hat on that, by all means

But at the same time, that doesn't make you a player that is worth what Vancouver paid in assets -- youth and size are great, but Gudbranson's played enough where it's fair to say there is some risk in there

As you said earlier: I'd have kept McCann, made the picks, and signed Schenn first, if you had to have a RH defender with some size and youth. But that's just me
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