Sorry for having to even look at the length of this post, but it'll be the last one.
Like Savvy and many others have said, focusing on the past isn't going to do anything, because the only reality we ever have is the now...so what do the Hawks do now? Well, the first thing they can do is LEARN FROM THE PAST, and don't repeat mistakes. There are UNDENIABLY good players (like Brouwer, Leddy, Vermette, Weise, etc.) that have been run out of town by Q...and most of these guys were young, with big upsides...and because the Hawks tried to repeat this season, you can now add guys like Dano and Danault to this list (plus a bunch of 1sts and 2nds over the past 3 years).
In return for all these trades the Hawks got prospects (with few of them ever getting a sniff from the big club), low picks and RENTALS. Not the stuff of longevity. But again, that's the past and all that matters is now. So, for a 2nd time, how are the Hawks going to address these mistakes, biases and chances? Big trades, Free Agency, European players, US College FAs? Let's look at the first one, a big trade. It can't/won't happen because the only players of value that the Hawks can trade, can't be traded, either because they are core players or players nobody would take because of the age, drop off in play and salary Cap. So you can scratch that "answer". But what about Teravainen you ask? What would the return be? A top 4 DMan, or a young, #5 DMan with a chance of becoming a top 4 guy? No chance. When you look at TT's size, lack of interest in a physical game and his ACTUAL STATS, no team would make this move without help. As Rick said, you can also forget TT becoming an NHL Centre any time soon. The Hawks are located in the WC, in the Central Division, playing for Cups every season...he's too weak to contribute in that role when it would count the most. The RW is Teravainen's destination, and the Hawks had better hope he can make it there in a Top 6 capacity, because they traded away most of their other top 6 talent.
Free Agency? Likely, but only in a limited role, as JJ identified perfectly, the Hawks don't possess a lot of desirable players that are available to the traded. The Hawks will need a decent, reliable guy to solidify the 3rd pairing...EXACTLY like they should have done last summer. The signing of Rozy was lunacy (after his 2014 and 2015 seasons)...everyone knew what was going to happen with Rozy, even if the Hawks gave his ankle extra time to heal (which they did). He didn't dress in the final 3 playoff games because he was WORSE than David Runblad...and that says a lot! How about a big Free Agent? Not a chance. The Hawks won't even be able to afford either Ladd or Weise after they lock up Andrew Shaw. And make no mistake about it, Shaw has become one of the most important players on this hockey club...he isn't going ANYWHERE! They will need to add one more veteran forward, and I think that Fleischmann would be a solid choice because he would accept something close to the league minimum, he fits the Hawk's system well, he now knows the system and prior to the playoffs, he was one of the Hawks best wingers. He's got size, speed, heart, and flexibility. He's a good Centre should the need arise (very much like Desi, who has one more year on his solid deal).
Europeans and College FAs? Who knows? Bowman is apparently after the top European DMan interested in coming to the NHL, and the top College FA. Maybe these players will help? Again, who knows. Promotions from Rockford? What else can this team do? Q and the fans have slammed Gus, but he did well early before being jerked around by the coaching staff...he has the ability to help the Hawks in a meaningful way, because he's already done it over a significant stretch. He simply needs coaching, confidence, and some time. Svedberg? He was a lot better this season than he had the right to be, so with a lot of coaching to improve his decision making process, he could stick...he certainly possesses a lot of natural abilities. Pokka? He's intriguing because his 2nd half in Rockford (when everyone else on that team forgot how to play defence) was very good...just like his 1st half in Rockford last year. He's got the size/strength, patience and decision making skills to stick...as long as he coached, and shown patience!
IMO, the Hawks are NOT nearly as bad as most people here want to believe. Some things happened towards the end of the season that brought a lot of hope and brightness to the Hawks for next season. One, TVR lasted an entire season, and while he had his ebbs and flows, he was more than decent, and kept getting better. In fact, I would argue that his series against the Blues was BETTER than those of Keith and Seabrook. The longer summer break will help Keith, Seabrook and Hammer...the best top 3 in hockey...and with TVR's progression and experience, there's NO REASON to not see him as our #4 guy moving forward...capable of being as effective as Johnny Oduya given the time and help.
Two, Hossa quietly and effectively slid down the roster to the 3rd line...and low and behold, he Kruger and Ladd were a hit! Now, how would that line look next season with Ladd gone, replaced by Shaw??? Nice freaking line, that could shut down any top opponent in the league, and generate some offence (besides all helping on Special Teams). Three, Richard Panik showed that he wasn't just a decent player, that in fact, the kid possesses a lot of abilities, and with his speed, playmaking, and ability to forecheck and hit, he's a top 6 forward in CHI moving forward. And kudos have to be given to Bowman for acquiring him as it cost nothing, and the guy is a "Hossa-like" player with youth, speed, size and a dynamic game. He and Panarin were absolute must additions for the Hawks, and give the team hope moving forward. Four, Dennis Rasmussen is a player. There is no question about this, and in fact he even shows an offensive game waiting to breakout. With the money paid to Kruger, its time for him to become the permanent 3rd line Centre...but what fortune to trade Danault and still have Rasmussen to guide the 4th line. Big advantage Blackhawks. And five, late in the season it became evident that Panarin could produce consistently WITHOUT having to have Patrick Kane as his RW. Certainly they possess a chemistry together that would be nice to maintain, but I don't think the Hawks can afford this luxury any longer.
So, what do the Hawks need? It's not goaltending. Crawford has his best season yet, zero issues. Plus, Scott Darling showed that all he needed was more game time...Crow also demonstrated that he needed less. Problem solved. How about the forwards, a problem? I don't think so, in fact depending on how the situation is handled, it should be a team strength. There are two keys to the forwards, one is Teravainen (as discussed) and the other is the Head Coach (more to come). So, it must be defence that's the major problem...and I don't see it. With a rested Keith, Seabrook and Hammer, adding TVR makes a STRONG top 4...not a problem. So it's the 3rd pairing. All the Hawks possess right now are Gus, Sved, Runblad (because Bowman gave him a 2 year deal) and Pokka. That's not good enough, but not awful either. What they don't need is another BS decision to bring back a "trusted veteran". Rozy was done 2 seasons ago. All the Hawks need is sign or trade for a solid, consistent DMan (young or old) that can play 70 games and skate 15-18 minutes a night. This is NOT difficult for Bowman to achieve. He should have/could have done it last summer, but instead he RUSHED out to re-sign both Runblad and Rozy...and those were AWFUL decisions. Again, this is not an area as weak as some perceive it to be...Bowman just needs to do his job and it won't be a problem as it has been for the last 3 seasons!
So, its not looking bad at all. And in fact, here are my lines for next season:
Panik-Toews-Kane (you know this line will produce)
Panarin-Anisimov-Teravainen (potentially lethal, but it rides with TT)
Shaw-Kruger-Hossa (you know this line will produce results)
Desi-Rasmussen-Fleisch (Hartman/McNeil/Scmaltz/Motte) (Solid, flexible, predictable)
Keith-Seabrook (if rested/healthy best pairing in league)
Hammer-TVR (gets both guys on their "right" sides, very solid to good)
FA Vet DMan-Gus/Sved/Pokka (the key being the Vet DMan, but potential)
Crawford/Darling (Rock solid)
The good news? That lineup is capable of beating ANY team in a 7 game series and will fit under the Cap (with Bickell gone). Plus, its a good balance of youth and veteran players with lots of leadership. What more can hockey fans ask for, really?
Now the bad news...first, that lineup is capable of being beaten by ANY other NHL playoff team in a 7 game series. You see, the fact of the matter is, by missing with his moves this summer, the Salary Cap has finally taken away any EDGE the Hawks may have had over the rest of the league. The loss of Sharp and Stephen Johns for essentially NOTHING in return was the killer blow, but also losing Dano and Danault for NOTHING as well (plus losing more 1st and 2nd round picks) sealed the Hawks fate as Cap casualties. So ALL OF US just need to get used to the fact that the Hawks have a chance at winning the Cup just like say 11 other teams do as well. That's it. But there's more bad news, and this part few people here want to acknowledge, but not to do so is akin to the ostrich putting its head into the ground.
The Hawks have a serious rift between the Coaches and the Mgt. that has cost this team a LOAD of talent and youth for now and in the future. There are a literal ton of examples, but one need go no further than the Danault trade. Phil Danault is a winner...he's the kind of player like an Andrew Shaw. He makes the players around him better, and does whatever it takes to win. He's gone because the Hawk's TEAM deemed it was better to have Tomas Fleischmann and Dale Weise instead. And while the existence of Dennis Rasmussen may allow the Hawks to "get away" with this blunder, it more importantly unveiled this rift for everyone to see. So, what's going to happen? Contrary to some here who don't take the time to actually read the posts, I do not favour one over the other. I don't care who is "better" or more important than the other! Q or Bowman, I have no dog in this fight. All I care about is that they FINALLY get on the same bloody page once and for all. Either one of them should go, or they MUST start working together this summer because this team has run out of "2nd chances". There are no more easy fixes to "cover up" blunders. If the Hawks have to go forward with two of Gus, Sved and Pokka, then Q needs to show patience and COACH these kids into becoming smart, confident players, not "fraidy-cats" looking over their shoulders. If the Hawks resign both Panik and Shaw, plus decide to keep Teravainen then there is NO ROLE on this team for Brandon Mashinter, the guy who can't turn on his skates. Its time for McNeil and Hartman to be given this opportunity. Add these kids to say Rasmussen and Desi/Fleischmann, and the Hawks would have a good 4th line that could play a variety of roles.
Schmaltz and Motte progressed further than the Hawks had the right to expect; thus, both guys will be signed to PRO contracts and given the chance to contribute. There is reason to be optimistic. The core is still the best (most experienced) in hockey, but they can't be waylaid at the pass by the MGT any longer. They need help, THROUGH THE SEASON, so that they're not worn out come playoff time. And I will leave you all with this final thought...with the deepest group of NHL forwards Coach Q rolled 4 lines for an extended period only once during the season. That resulted in a 12 game winning streak, the trading of Garbutt, the ignoring of Sekac, and the introduction of Mashinter to a full time roll. With Mashinter in the lineup this season the Hawks were a .520 hockey team, without him in the lineup, they were a .690 hockey team. A playoff lineup without Mashinter/Rozy and with Panik/Weise/Gus would have won the STL series if they were employed from game one. The Coaches and the MGT need to get on the same page, once and for all, and decide what kind of team they are going to be, and then live with the results! Take care. |