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Forums :: Blog World :: Mike Augello: Leafs Not Misinterpreting Late Season Surge
Author Message
vermie22
Joined: 07.13.2011

Apr 19 @ 7:58 AM ET
Me too, just in a different way

I can see why, though.

- RickJames77


but if the Bruins did end up winning a spot in the top three, would you be confident enough with Sweeney making that pick?
Aetherial
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Has anyone discussed the standings today?
Joined: 06.30.2006

Apr 19 @ 7:59 AM ET
Leafs
Flames
Bruins

They come up way more often than I expected. Starting to wonder if the math behind this thing is legit.

- RickJames77


What I find odd about it is not how often the Leafs end up with a top-3 pick... that does seem a little low, but not unreasonable.

It is more that there seems to be very little difference between the Leafs "success" and that of other teams. It seems if you run it 100 times or so, Edmonton, Montreal, Winnipeg, Calgary, Columbus Ottawa etc... will all end up with pretty much the same number of top-3 picks as the Leafs.

I have never seen the differences between the teams be equal to the differences in the "odds".
RickJames77
Boston Bruins
Location: We’re Too Old, Boston
Joined: 04.03.2013

Apr 19 @ 8:04 AM ET
What I find odd about it is not how often the Leafs end up with a top-3 pick... that does seem a little low, but not unreasonable.

It is more that there seems to be very little difference between the Leafs "success" and that of other teams. It seems if you run it 100 times or so, Edmonton, Montreal, Winnipeg, Calgary, Columbus Ottawa etc... will all end up with pretty much the same number of top-3 picks as the Leafs.

I have never seen the differences between the teams be equal to the differences in the "odds".

- Aetherial

Just ran it 100 times: Here is the top 5


Vancouver Canucks
22 1st
12 2nd
10 3rd
44 Top3
Toronto Maple Leafs
15 1st
14 2nd
19 3rd
48 Top 3
Edmonton Oilers
12 1st
10 2nd
14 3rd
36 Top 3
Columbus Blue Jackets
12 1st
6 2nd
8 3rd
26 Top 3
Winnipeg Jets
10 1st
10 2nd
8 3rd
28 Top 3
RickJames77
Boston Bruins
Location: We’re Too Old, Boston
Joined: 04.03.2013

Apr 19 @ 8:06 AM ET
but if the Bruins did end up winning a spot in the top three, would you be confident enough with Sweeney making that pick?
- vermie22
Yeah, I think it's pretty clear cut in that you go with Matthews, Laine, Puljujarvi (sp?). If you're 3rd you go for whichever of the 3 is left.

But being the idiot he is I wouldn't be at all surprised if he went off the board.
burn
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Tavares is sledge hockey level - Islesrbettr, ON
Joined: 08.02.2006

Apr 19 @ 8:14 AM ET
Respectable .908 ?
burn
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Tavares is sledge hockey level - Islesrbettr, ON
Joined: 08.02.2006

Apr 19 @ 8:17 AM ET
Why is Ryan white still in the lesgue? Such a useless pos. He's such an idiot, prototypical flyer......."I'd be throughing stuff on the ice too"
bixll
Location: New Glasgow, NS
Joined: 09.04.2008

Apr 19 @ 8:18 AM ET
Respectable .908 ?
- burn



Since when is 57th position not respectable ??
Adam French
Atlanta Thrashers
Location: Isn't Cooley 5"11? You know who else is 5"11? Sydney Crosby. - Scabeh
Joined: 04.06.2011

Apr 19 @ 8:35 AM ET
Not sure, I was tied up myself. I did watch the first half of the Caps / Flyers game. Flyers keep making stupid mistakes that lead to the Caps goals, I guess it is like that in every game. But the Flyers seem to make big mistakes, missing coverage and costing them.
- bixll

Flyers defense is monstrously garbage...plus giving the Caps a PP...that's just dumb
bixll
Location: New Glasgow, NS
Joined: 09.04.2008

Apr 19 @ 8:39 AM ET
Flyers defense is monstrously garbage...plus giving the Caps a PP...that's just dumb
- AdamFrench


Ya, they have to stay out of the box for sure.
Adam French
Atlanta Thrashers
Location: Isn't Cooley 5"11? You know who else is 5"11? Sydney Crosby. - Scabeh
Joined: 04.06.2011

Apr 19 @ 8:42 AM ET
Ya, they have to stay out of the box for sure.
- bixll

Hard to do when their entire bottom-6 and Gudas seem intent on giving as many concussions as possible.
BorjeFan4Ever
Season Ticket Holder
Location: not the BigSmoke anymore
Joined: 10.29.2007

Apr 19 @ 8:45 AM ET
Perry Mason's hockey skills are almost as legendary as Mandela's.

Almost.


- As_I_See_It


I'm calling this a fabricated photo... Mandela was never a right hand shooting defender or winger...

he was a goalie
bixll
Location: New Glasgow, NS
Joined: 09.04.2008

Apr 19 @ 8:47 AM ET
Hard to do when their entire bottom-6 and Gudas seem intent on giving as many concussions as possible.
- AdamFrench



I thought the Flyers would play far more inspired hockey. Pretty bad.
senstroll
Location: Leafs AAV Champs, ON
Joined: 02.22.2008

Apr 19 @ 8:52 AM ET
Just ran it 100 times: Here is the top 5


Vancouver Canucks
22 1st
12 2nd
10 3rd
44 Top3
Toronto Maple Leafs
15 1st
14 2nd
19 3rd
48 Top 3

Edmonton Oilers
12 1st
10 2nd
14 3rd
36 Top 3
Columbus Blue Jackets
12 1st
6 2nd
8 3rd
26 Top 3
Winnipeg Jets
10 1st
10 2nd
8 3rd
28 Top 3

- RickJames77


so the leafs still have about a 50% shot at top 3 pick.

thanks for confirming that again
Lucas Neilson
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Atlantic Division Blogger, ON
Joined: 06.26.2015

Apr 19 @ 9:07 AM ET
As long as the Oil doesn't get #1, I am ok..
- bixll

i agree, I don't want that to happen either.

morning
bixll
Location: New Glasgow, NS
Joined: 09.04.2008

Apr 19 @ 9:10 AM ET
i agree, I don't want that to happen either.

morning

- Lucas.Neilson



I would rather see the Yotes get #1..
TheMussel
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Toronto, ON
Joined: 09.24.2013

Apr 19 @ 9:12 AM ET
As long as the Oil doesn't get #1, I am ok..
- bixll


And if the Habs get #1?
RickJames77
Boston Bruins
Location: We’re Too Old, Boston
Joined: 04.03.2013

Apr 19 @ 9:14 AM ET
And if the Habs get #1?
- TheMussel

I'll be so (frank)ing mad.

bixll
Location: New Glasgow, NS
Joined: 09.04.2008

Apr 19 @ 9:14 AM ET
And if the Habs get #1?
- TheMussel




Someone has to get #1..
TheMussel
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Toronto, ON
Joined: 09.24.2013

Apr 19 @ 9:14 AM ET
I'll be so (frank)ing mad.
- RickJames77


I'd rather see the oil get all top 3 picks than see the Habs in the top 3 at all.
bixll
Location: New Glasgow, NS
Joined: 09.04.2008

Apr 19 @ 9:15 AM ET
I'd rather see the oil get all top 3 picks than see the Habs in the top 3 at all.
- TheMussel

Dozzer
Referee
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Somewhere over the rainbow since I’m way up high
Joined: 09.15.2010

Apr 19 @ 9:15 AM ET
And if the Habs get #1?
- TheMussel


i will personally burn down the city of montreal.
bixll
Location: New Glasgow, NS
Joined: 09.04.2008

Apr 19 @ 9:16 AM ET
i will personally burn down the city of montreal.
- Dozzer



Never put it in writing..
RickJames77
Boston Bruins
Location: We’re Too Old, Boston
Joined: 04.03.2013

Apr 19 @ 9:16 AM ET
i will personally burn down the city of montreal.
- Dozzer

I'll meet you at the Belle Center.

Not really though
TheMussel
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Toronto, ON
Joined: 09.24.2013

Apr 19 @ 9:18 AM ET
i will personally burn down the city of montreal.
- Dozzer


Spare my music gear plz.
Dozzer
Referee
Toronto Maple Leafs
Location: Somewhere over the rainbow since I’m way up high
Joined: 09.15.2010

Apr 19 @ 9:18 AM ET
Never put it in writing..
- bixll


i'll take the jail time
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