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Forums :: Blog World :: John Jaeckel: The Times That Try Mens' Souls
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golfbard
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: NY
Joined: 06.22.2007

Feb 15 @ 9:49 AM ET
The McDonaugh injury may be big factor in that.

Wouldnt want Hawks in on Yandle anyway....not a fan of his defensive game...

- hawk35


The only argument for Yandle is if you think he can be another Brian Campbell paired up with Hammer then you reunite Keith and Seabs. That said unless they dump Bickell on the Rags then I dont want to take his cap hit even though hes on an expiring deal. I think the bigger need is at 1LW.
BetweenTheDots
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: IL
Joined: 06.13.2015

Feb 15 @ 9:52 AM ET
Well I was thinking and wondering if there is any statistical analysis about hockey's players when they peak, how bad is their drop off as they get older and honestly based on this article looks like the Hawks brass does not believe we only have a 3 year window

http://www.cbc.ca/beta/ne...-hockey-metrics-1.2646054

- BetweenTheDots


Also based on the article it does make an argument that the best chances for us to win is the next 3 years, I don't envy Stan and Co's job, still just sitting here on the fence
Mr Ricochet
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: Joliet, IL
Joined: 04.19.2009

Feb 15 @ 9:53 AM ET
Well I was thinking and wondering if there is any statistical analysis about hockey's players when they peak, how bad is their drop off as they get older and honestly based on this article looks like the Hawks brass does not believe we only have a 3 year window

http://www.cbc.ca/beta/ne...-hockey-metrics-1.2646054

- BetweenTheDots


And or the Hawks identified early in this cap world to identify and wrap up a core.

This is a good read. What jumped out most to me was the length of the window that players perform at 90% of their peak. And since Dmen stay at 90% of their peak for two more years than forwards you get more bang, and security, for your buck signing them long term.

Brander's team also found that forwards:

Perform within 90 per cent of their peak from 24 to 32 years old.

Defencemen, the co-authors report:

Perform within 90 per cent of their peak from 24 to 34 years old (two years longer than forwards).
powerenforcer
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: Wheeling, IL
Joined: 09.24.2009

Feb 15 @ 9:56 AM ET
Also based on the article it does make an argument that the best chances for us to win is the next 3 years, I don't envy Stan and Co's job, still just sitting here on the fence
- BetweenTheDots


Go for it now - In 3 years there may be another lockout. There is no way the owners are going to keep paying the players these salaries while the cap continues to drop. Re-writing contracts will need to happen for teams to survive Bettman's ignorance.
BGKarras
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: Itasca, IL
Joined: 06.19.2012

Feb 15 @ 10:19 AM ET
Good morning JJ, any updated info from your sources on any trades. I know the trade deadline is two weeks from today. I figured the sooner the Hawks make a trade the better in the sense of that player having ample time to adjust to the Hawks systems and teammates. Thank you in advance
DK002
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: Evanston, IL
Joined: 06.12.2012

Feb 15 @ 10:27 AM ET
Morning all...

another day closer to the TDL...

surprised they brought Vinny up and not Dano, but its mentioned Vinny's playing really well at the Rock. Wonder if they're showcasing him for a deal...

Hossa out for at least a week probably a bit longer...

Leafs tonight - Hawks could use the two points.

golfbard
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: NY
Joined: 06.22.2007

Feb 15 @ 10:35 AM ET
Q said on WGN radio that Hossa will miss a couple of weeks and the injury is not serious. Rest will benefit him and the Hawks dont have many games in this next little stretch.
mrpaulish
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: Itasca, IL
Joined: 01.18.2010

Feb 15 @ 10:42 AM ET
Q said on WGN radio that Hossa will miss a couple of weeks and the injury is not serious. Rest will benefit him and the Hawks dont have many games in this next little stretch.
- golfbard



So no LTIR then.....
PuckAndSticks
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: Chicago, IL
Joined: 10.31.2011

Feb 15 @ 10:48 AM ET
Hossa has a deal (at his age) that can't be traded, IMO. I believe that Hoss will attempt to fulfill his contract to its end, and over the next couple of seasons, we will see him drop down a notch or two in the lineup to reflect his lack of statistical production. And you are quite right, Hoss' skill set makes him an IDEAL 3rd liner for the Hawks. Personally, I don't know that Hoss can make another 5 seasons after this one, but if there is one player who can, it's Marian Hossa.
- MexicoHawk

Chris Pronger was traded with 2 years of a $4.9mil cap hit while on LTIR because he was only owed an actual salary $575k/year. Arizona saw a cheap way to get to the CBA mandated floor.

In 2017-18, Hossa's salary will be $1mil while his cap hit will be $5.275mil. For a small market team struggling to meet the floor, I would think Marion Hossa's net -$4.275mil contract would be coveted weather he can still play or not.
ArlingtonRob
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: 230 years was a good run, IL
Joined: 01.20.2012

Feb 15 @ 10:53 AM ET
So no LTIR then.....
- mrpaulish


I believe this is current information.

LTIR--Players must miss a minimum of ten games and twenty-four days while unavailable due to their injury.

Here's a rather good like to info on the subject of IR and LTIR.

http://www.pensionplanpup...doing-claudes-job-for-him
powerenforcer
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: Wheeling, IL
Joined: 09.24.2009

Feb 15 @ 10:53 AM ET
Chris Pronger was traded with 2 years of a $4.9mil cap hit while on LTIR because he was only owed an actual salary $575k/year. Arizona saw a cheap way to get to the CBA mandated floor.

In 2017-18, Hossa's salary will be $1mil while his cap hit will be $5.275mil. For a small market team struggling to meet the floor, I would think Marion Hossa's net -$4.275mil contract would be coveted weather he can still play or not.

- PuckAndSticks


This is a violation of the cap rules, isn't it?
PuckAndSticks
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: Chicago, IL
Joined: 10.31.2011

Feb 15 @ 10:59 AM ET
This is a violation of the cap rules, isn't it?
- powerenforcer

http://www.cbssports.com/...klas-grossmann-to-coyotes

Happened 8 months ago, so i don't think so...
breadbag
Location: Edmonton, AB
Joined: 11.30.2015

Feb 15 @ 11:10 AM ET
This is a violation of the cap rules, isn't it?
- powerenforcer


Nope. Teams like Arizona like this because they don't have much real cash, but want cap hit. There will be teams looking for a guy like Hossa who they can pay a small salary while getting them closer to the cap floor.
resqmed99
Season Ticket Holder
Chicago Blackhawks
Joined: 06.18.2007

Feb 15 @ 11:14 AM ET
This is a violation of the cap rules, isn't it?
- powerenforcer


NHL owns the Coyotes, don't they?
powerenforcer
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: Wheeling, IL
Joined: 09.24.2009

Feb 15 @ 11:21 AM ET
NHL owns the Coyotes, don't they?
- resqmed99


Exactly, as fans of the NHL this should not be allowed. It is a way to put a lesser team on the ice. Here is really what I don't understand about it, when teams found a way to "manipulate" the cap in their favor to keep quality players, the league punished them. When a team finds a way to "manipulate" the cap in their favor so they do not have to sign quality players, the league finds this alright. Not good at all for NHL fans. It's a shame that more fans did not balk at this move. It's a real slap in the face to fans.
Assman22
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: San Francisco, CA
Joined: 04.13.2012

Feb 15 @ 11:32 AM ET
http://www.cbssports.com/nhl/eye-on-hockey/25227032/flyers-trade-chris-prongers-contract-nicklas-grossmann-to-coyotes

Happened 8 months ago, so i don't think so...

- PuckAndSticks


I have wondered for months how much it'd take to land Boedker and Grossmann from the Yotes at the deadline. Stan adds those two and the rest of the league slowly poops their pants
Panarin27
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: IL
Joined: 05.25.2015

Feb 15 @ 11:37 AM ET
Keith Yandle is apparently off the trade market.
- Dabearshawks

blackhawk24
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: Lake in the Hills, IL
Joined: 06.06.2009

Feb 15 @ 11:40 AM ET
Exactly, as fans of the NHL this should not be allowed. It is a way to put a lesser team on the ice. Here is really what I don't understand about it, when teams found a way to "manipulate" the cap in their favor to keep quality players, the league punished them. When a team finds a way to "manipulate" the cap in their favor so they do not have to sign quality players, the league finds this alright. Not good at all for NHL fans. It's a shame that more fans did not balk at this move. It's a real slap in the face to fans.
- powerenforcer

It's about the ego of the league and a commish worse than the one who used to run MLB. The league wants parity. They do NOT want a dynasty. Which is why I saw cringing on the face of someone when they said that word June 15th.

The league expanded into geographic locations --- PHX one of them --- which are incapable of supporting an NHL franchise. So they doubled-down on a bad bet allowing the Pronger deal. If the league did not own the 'yotes, the deal would have been disallowed and Philly would have been excoriated for intentional cap circumvention.

Watch for new rules in the next CBA extending the cap into the playoffs. League office "took notes" on Kane's LTIR last season. If as JJ surmises, the 'Hawks LTIR Kruger, which by the numbers, enables a trade, you can bet the suits at 1901 W. Madison will be paid a visit by the league wonks.
breadbag
Location: Edmonton, AB
Joined: 11.30.2015

Feb 15 @ 11:43 AM ET
Exactly, as fans of the NHL this should not be allowed. It is a way to put a lesser team on the ice. Here is really what I don't understand about it, when teams found a way to "manipulate" the cap in their favor to keep quality players, the league punished them. When a team finds a way to "manipulate" the cap in their favor so they do not have to sign quality players, the league finds this alright. Not good at all for NHL fans. It's a shame that more fans did not balk at this move. It's a real slap in the face to fans.
- powerenforcer


While it was a bit questionable with Pronger, given he was traded and everyone knew he would never play again, at least these types of contracts that are front loaded are not possible in the latest CBA. The variance on salary and cap hit will always be there, but less extreme.
ArlingtonRob
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: 230 years was a good run, IL
Joined: 01.20.2012

Feb 15 @ 11:50 AM ET
It's about the ego of the league and a commish worse than the one who used to run MLB. The league wants parity. They do NOT want a dynasty. Which is why I saw cringing on the face of someone when they said that word June 15th.

The league expanded into geographic locations --- PHX one of them --- which are incapable of supporting an NHL franchise. So they doubled-down on a bad bet allowing the Pronger deal. If the league did not own the 'yotes, the deal would have been disallowed and Philly would have been excoriated for intentional cap circumvention.

Watch for new rules in the next CBA extending the cap into the playoffs. League office "took notes" on Kane's LTIR last season. If as JJ surmises, the 'Hawks LTIR Kruger, which by the numbers, enables a trade, you can bet the suits at 1901 W. Madison will be paid a visit by the league wonks.

- blackhawk24


Don't buy this at all. If the desire was there why didn't they push a change for this year? All clubs can use it so it's not unfair, besides the owners want that provision for a reason...

The wealthiest, cap tight clubs can use it to their advantage if needed...which is good for the league. Believe it or not the wealthiest clubs are the most powerful clubs, with the most powerful owners... and the most powerful owners support Bettman.
breadbag
Location: Edmonton, AB
Joined: 11.30.2015

Feb 15 @ 11:51 AM ET
It's about the ego of the league and a commish worse than the one who used to run MLB. The league wants parity. They do NOT want a dynasty. Which is why I saw cringing on the face of someone when they said that word June 15th.

The league expanded into geographic locations --- PHX one of them --- which are incapable of supporting an NHL franchise. So they doubled-down on a bad bet allowing the Pronger deal. If the league did not own the 'yotes, the deal would have been disallowed and Philly would have been excoriated for intentional cap circumvention.

Watch for new rules in the next CBA extending the cap into the playoffs. League office "took notes" on Kane's LTIR last season. If as JJ surmises, the 'Hawks LTIR Kruger, which by the numbers, enables a trade, you can bet the suits at 1901 W. Madison will be paid a visit by the league wonks.

- blackhawk24


Putting Kruger on IR won't give them that much to work with and I don't see why the league would care.
walleyeb1
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: Petersburg, IL
Joined: 09.25.2014

Feb 15 @ 11:52 AM ET
I believe this is current information.

LTIR--Players must miss a minimum of ten games and twenty-four days while unavailable due to their injury.

Here's a rather good like to info on the subject of IR and LTIR.

http://www.pensionplanpup...doing-claudes-job-for-him

- ArlingtonRob



Yep, could be very interesting, the good news is the only five games in the next two weeks. If it goes longer and he end up on LTIR, it would open up a lot of options for Stan.
furso27
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: Plainfield, IL
Joined: 03.02.2009

Feb 15 @ 11:52 AM ET
Don't buy this at all. If the desire was there why didn't they push a change for this year? All clubs can use it so it's not unfair, besides the owners want that provision for a reason...

The wealthiest, cap tight clubs can use it to their advantage if needed...which is good for the league. Believe it or not the wealthiest clubs are the most powerful clubs, with the most powerful owners... and the most powerful owners support Bettman.

- ArlingtonRob



Exactly. I'm sure the league would love to just restrict and punish the only nationwide TV draw the league has in the US.
DMChi2010
Joined: 06.03.2014

Feb 15 @ 11:53 AM ET
Just a Debbie Donwner doll?

But you are correct that they got the two elite players by being lousy and getting to draft in the top three twice and in the Kane draft by getting THE best offesnive player.

I think understand your tenor, and the fact that this board gets littered with all these demands. insults of the current roster, I understand how you along with management want there to be high level skilled players in the stable who COULD develop into real scoring threats.

But...Sharp toiled on the Philly Phantoms and came in a trade.
so there is a chance you trade and and a guy develops into an all-around player. (Sharp could always shoot the puck.)

So as the championship window that I believe I closed in 2016-2017 back about five years ago on this board is drawing to a close, but when things start to look like patches can't sustain around the core, the CORE will go, and the money will attract big star UFAs.

if that can bring you any solice.

- wiz1901


LOL at the bolded above.

Wiz, I think we're coming from the same place in saying that things come and go in cycles. There's a bit of luck to the whole thing, too, which probably gets overlooked.

Year in and year out, can the Hawks ice a team that looks like a legitimate contender? So far, so good, aside from 2011. But there may be a few Detroit years (circa 2003-2007) before there are enough elite parts to capture another Cup.

I'm still on the side of going for the first repeat in the Cap Era, whatever it takes.
walleyeb1
Chicago Blackhawks
Location: Petersburg, IL
Joined: 09.25.2014

Feb 15 @ 11:57 AM ET
Currently we're $491,000 below the cap. If both Kruger and Hossa end up on LTIR it would look something like this.

$1,500,000 +
$5,280,000 =

$6,780,000



- $491,000

= $6,289,000 allowed salary over the cap.
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